[Tommy]

Wednesday, August 17th

National League:

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves, 7:05 EST
Odalis Perez (L) vs. Tim Hudson (R)

Perez - Los Angeles 3-19 as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Hudson - 8-0 Under as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 3 seasons

San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Woody Williams (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

Williams - 42-19 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons
Willis - 1-9 TSR vs. NL West over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Esteban Loaiza (R) vs. Jon Lieber (R)

Loaiza - 10-2 Under as an underdog this season
Lieber - 14-2 TSR in home games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Josh Fogg (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)

Fogg - 7-0 Over in the second half of the season
Glavine - 43-14 TSR at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Luke Hudson (R)

Lowry - 7-1 TSR in road night games this season
Hudson - Cincinnati 2-9 in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season

Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros, 7:05 EST
Carlos Zambrano (R) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)

Zambrano - 21-9 Over in road night games over the last 3 seasons
Oswalt - Houston 40-19 at home this season

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Mark Mulder (L)

Webb - 0-3 TSR with 5.54 ERA and 1.538 WHIP vs. St. Louis
Mulder - 13-1 TSR in night games this season

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Jamey Wright (R)

Capuano - 14-8 TSR in road games over the last 2 seasons
Wright - 5-17 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers, 1:05 EST
David Wells (L) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)

Wells - 8-0 Over when the money line is -100 to -150 this season
Bonderman - Detroit 4-18 vs. Boston over the last 3 seasons

Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics, 3:35 EST
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Danny Haren (R)

Cabrera - 0-2 TSR with 15.00 ERA and 2.833 WHIP vs. Oakland
Haren - Oakland 36-12 as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners, 4:35 EST
Daniel Carrasco (R) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)

Carrasco - Kansas City 0-13 in August
Moyer - 23-4 TSR as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)

Young - Texas 13-1 Over in August
Millwood - 14-4 Under this season

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Al Leiter (L) vs. Mark Hendrickson (L)

Leiter - 5-1 TSR with 3.16 ERA and 1.270 WHIP vs. Tampa Bay
Hendrickson - 14-5 Over as an underdog this season

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Johan Santana (L) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)

Santana - 30-5 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons
Buehrle - White Sox 8-15 in home games in August over the last 2 seasons

Toronto Blue Jays at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Josh Towers (R) vs. Jarrod Washburn (L)

Towers - 7-1 TSR in road games in August since 1997
Washburn - 1-7 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Willis is 2-2, 1.29 in his last four starts.
-- Lieber is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- LHudson is 3-0, 4.30 in his last four starts. Lowry is 2-1, 1.44 in last four starts, and has not allowed run in his last 14 innings pitched.
-- Zambrano is 5-1, 1.99 in his last nine starts.
-- Webb is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts. Cardinals are 8-1 in Mulder's last nine starts.

-- Wells is 3-0, 3.15 in his last six starts.
-- Haren is 2-1, 1.17 in his last three starts.
-- Seattle is 9-4 in Moyer's last thirteen starts.
-- Millwood is 3-0, 2.51 in his last four starts.
-- Hendrickson is 2-0, 3.68 vs Bronx this season; 3-0, 5.09 in his last three starts overall.
-- Santana is 3-1, 2.12 in his last five starts.
-- Toronto is 4-1 in last five Towers starts (3-1, 3.22).

Cold pitchers
-- THudson is 1-2, 3.78 in his last five starts. Dodgers lost four of last five Perez road starts.
-- Williams is 1-3, 7.53 in his last five starts.
-- Loaiza is 1-3, 3.78 in his last five starts.
-- Glavine is 1-3, 4.18 in his last four starts. Fogg is 2-4, 7.94 in his last six starts.
-- Oswalt is 0-1, 4.99 in his last three starts.
-- Wright is 2-8, 7.19 in his last eleven starts. Capuano is 0-2, 8.68 in his last two starts.

-- Bonderman is 0-3, 4.05 in his last three starts.
-- Cabrera is 0-4, 7.52 in his last six starts.
-- Carrassco is 0-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Young is 1-2, 9.70 in his last five starts.
-- Leiter is 3-3, 5.40 in six starts for Bronx.
-- Buehrle is 3-4, 5.85 in his last eight starts.
-- Washburn is 0-2, 4.29 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last 13 Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-1 in Florida's last 12 home games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Philly home games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Met home games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine San Francisco road tilts.
-- 12 of last 17 Cub road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine games at Coors Field.

-- Last eight Boston games all went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Baltimore games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Royal road games.
-- Over is 13-0-1 in last fourteen Ranger games.
-- Five of last six Bronx road games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Comiskey Park games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Dodgers won thre eof their last four road games. The Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.
-- Marlins won eight of last twelve home games. Padres won six of their last seven road games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games. Nationals are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
-- Mets are 11-3 in last fourteen home games.
-- Reds won five of their last eight games.
-- Astros are 25-7 in last 32 home games, 4-5 last nine. .

-- Tigers won three of their last four games, all of which were decided by a run or in extra innings.
-- Orioles won six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last thirteen games. Devil Rays are 9-3 in last twelve home games, are 19-12 since the All-Star Break, and 8-4 vs Bronx this season.
-- Twins won five of their last six games.
-- Angels are 7-4 in their last 11 home games. Toronto won six of its last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates are 8-19 in their last twenty-seven road games.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Arizona lost nine of their last thirteen games. St Louis is 7-8 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Rockies lost five of last six games. Brewers lost six of their last eight games.

-- Red Sox are 7-9 in last six teen road games.
-- A's scored eleven runs in losing four of their last five games. Orioles lost nine of last fourteen on road.
-- Royals lost their last seventeen games. Mariners lost four of their last six games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five home games. Texas lost its last nine road games in row, allowing 83 runs.
-- White Sox are just 6-12 in their last 18 home games.


Umpires
-- Underdog is 3-3 in last six Poncino games. (LA-Atl)
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Wendelstedt tilts. (SD-Fla)
-- Under is 12-3 in last 15 Marquez games. Wsh-Phil)
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last dozen Gibson games. (Pitt-NY)
-- Dogs are 8-4 in last dozen Rapuano games. (SF-Cin)
-- Dogs won last five Marsh games, with five of his last seven staying under the total. (Chi-Hst)
-- Dogs are 4-3 in Carlson's last seven games. (Az-StL)
-- Dogs are 8-4 in last dozen Nelson games. (Mil-Col)

-- Under is 13-5-1 last 19 Schrieber games. (Bos-Det)
-- Dogs are 5-2 in last seven Guccione games. (Blt-A's)
-- Four of last five TWelke games went under (KC-Sea)
-- Seven of last 9 Culbreth games went over (Tor-Clev)
-- Dogs are 9-6 in last fifteen Reynolds games, with four of his last five staying under the total. (NY-TB)
-- Dogs are 6-2 in last eight Montague games. (Min-Chi)
-- Favorite is 8-2 last ten Scott games. (Tor-LA)