[Tommy]

Thursday, August 18th

National League:

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds, 12:35 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Ramon Ortiz (R)

Tomko - 6-0 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons
Ortiz - 9-0 Over when the money line is +125 to -125 this season

San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)

Peavy - 15-2 TSR when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons
Beckett - Florida 1-4 vs. San Diego this season

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
GAME 2 Ryan Drese (R) vs. Cory Lidle (R)

Drese - 13-3 Under in day games over the last 2 seasons
Lidle - 7-14 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Zach Duke (L) vs. Victor Zambrano (R)

Duke - 2-3 TSR on the road this season
Zambrano - Mets 19-8 Over at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST TBS
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. John Thomson (R)

Weaver - Los Angeles 4-23 as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Thomson - Atlanta 13-1 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season

Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Tomokazu Ohka (R) vs. Roger Clemens (R)

Ohka - 10-1 Over as an underdog this season
Clemens - Houston 14-5 at home vs. Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST ESPN
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)

Vargas - 7-2 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Marquis - 1-7 TSR in the second half of the season

American League:

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians, 12:05 EST
Chris Wilson (L) vs. Jake Westbrook (R)

Wilson - 0-4 TSR with 11.36 ERA and 2.367 WHIP this season
Westbrook - Cleveland 25-11 Under in home day games over the last 2 seasons

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Ryan Franklin (R) vs. Joe Mays (R)

Franklin - 9-1 Under as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Mays - 2-10 TSR in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons

Boston Red Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Tim Wakefield (R) vs. Bartolo Colon (R)

Wakefield - Boston 16-8 vs. Anaheim over the last 3 seasons
Colon - 8-16 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Ortiz is 1-1, 2.08 in his last two starts.
-- Beckett is 3-1, 3.24 in his last five starts. Peavy has a 2.03 RA in his last four starts.
-- Padilla has 1.69 RA in his last three starts, but 0 wins. Armas is 3-1, 2.77 in his last five starts.
-- Duke is 5-0, 2.06 in his last seven starts.
-- Dodgers are 4-1 in Weaver's last five starts.
-- Clemens is 4-0, 1.03 in his last five starts. Ohka has 3.24 RA in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 3-1, 1.98 in his last four starts.

-- Wakefield is 4-0, 3.41 in his last four starts. Colon is 4-0, 2.75 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Tomko is 1-5, 7.11 in his last nine starts.
-- Thomson is 0-0, 6.60 in his last three starts.
-- Lidle is 1-4, 9.20 in his last six starts. Drese is 0-5, 8.76 in his last five starts.
-- Zambrano has 7.04 RA in his last three starts.
-- Marquis is 0-5, 7.12 in his last five starts.

-- Westbrook has 9.18 RA in his last three starts, but Indians won four of his last five outings. Wilson is 0-4, 12.54 in his last five starts.
-- Mays is 0-5, 8.44 in his last six starts. Franklin is 1-2, 8.10 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten San Francisco road tilts.
-- Under is 12-1 in Florida's last 13 home games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Philly home games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Met home games.
-- 10 of last 14 Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Clemens starts.
-- Seven of last ten Arizona games went over the total


-- Over is 13-1-1 in last fifteen Ranger games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Franklin starts.
-- Last nine Boston games all went over the total; over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Braves are 21-7 in their last 28 home games.
-- Marlins won nine of last thirteen home games. Padres won six of their last eight road games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight games. Nationals are 6-3 in their last nine road games.
-- Mets are 12-3 in last fifteen home games.

-- Twins won six of their last seven games. Seattle won its last three games, sweeping awful Royals.

Cold Teams
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Pirates are 8-20 in their last twenty-eight road games.
-- Dodgers are 4-6 in their last ten road games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last nine games. Astros are
4-6 in their last ten home games.
-- Arizona lost ten of their last fourteen games. St Louis is 8-8 in its last sixteen home games.


-- Indians lost five of their last six home games. Texas lost nine of its last ten road games.
-- Red Sox are 7-10 in last seventeen road games. The Angels are 9-11 in their last twenty home games.