[Tommy]

Friday, August 19th

National League:

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies, 5:05 EST
Mark Prior (R) vs. Byung-Hyun Kim (R)

Prior - 0-8 TSR when the total is 10 or higher this season
Kim - 11-0 Under in day games over the last 3 seasons

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Kip Wells (R) vs. Robinson Tejeda (R)

Wells - 4-0 TSR with 1.26 ERA and 0.977 WHIP vs. Philadelphia
Tejeda - Philadelphia 26-13 Under in home night games this season

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Russ Ortiz (R) vs. Brandon Claussen (L)

Ortiz - Arizona 6-0 Under at Cincinnati over the last 3 seasons
Claussen - 1-8 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons

Washington Nationals at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
John Patterson (R) vs. Jae Weong Seo (R)

Patterson - 9-1 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
Seo - 2-7 TSR with 5.36 ERA and 1.511 WHIP vs. Washington

Los Angeles Dodgers at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
Dennis Houlton (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)

Houlton - Los Angeles 5-23 as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Burnett - Florida 14-3 Under in August

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
Chan Ho Park (R) vs. Mike Hampton (L)

Park - 1-2 TSR with 7.71 ERA and 1.857 WHIP last 3 starts
Hampton - 30-4 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997

Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Ezequiel Astacio (R)

Davis - 2-9 TSR vs. Houston
Astacio - Houston 28-12 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Brad Hennessey (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Hennessey - 0-3 TSR with 8.16 ERA and 2.092 WHIP last 3 starts
Carpenter - 12-1 TSR in night games this season

American League:

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Scott Elarton (R)

Bedard - 4-14 TSR in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons
Elarton - 32-17 Over when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
David Bush (R) vs. Mike Maroth (L)

Bush - Toronto 18-5 Under after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season
Maroth - Detroit 5-20 in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Juan Dominguez (R) vs. Seth McClung (R)

Dominguez - Texas 14-2 Over in August
McClung - Tampa Bay 5-1 last 6 games

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Jon Garland (R)

Mussina - 55-33 Under when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997
Garland - 10-1 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Gil Meche (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)

Meche - Seattle 1-13 as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Silva - 3-1 TSR with 2.48 ERA and 1.241 WHIP vs. Mariners

Boston Red Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Matt Clement (R) vs. John Lackey (R)

Clement - 7-0 Over in August over the last 2 seasons
Lackey - 0-6 TSR with 6.89 ERA and 1.868 WHIP vs. Red Sox

Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Jose Lima (R) vs. Rich Harden (R)

Lima - 2-20 TSR as a road underdog of +150 or more since 1997
Harden - 3-0 with 1.89 ERA and 1.263 WHIP vs. Royals

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Phillies won last five Tejeda starts (2-0, 2.15).
-- Claussen is 3-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.
-- Seo is 4-1, 1.35 in five starts this season. Patterson is 4-1, 1.72 in his last eight starts.
-- Burnett is 6-0, 1.64 in his last six starts.
-- EAstacio is 2-6, 7.46 in ten starts this season.
-- Cardinals won last eleven Carpenter starts (9-0, 1.07)

-- Bush is 2-1, 4.09 in five starts since coming back from minor leagues.
-- Twins won ten of Silva's last thirteen starts. Seattle is 9-4 in Moyer's last thirteen starts.
-- Lackey is 4-0, 2.68 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Prior is 1-2, 5.06 in his last six starts. Kim is 1-2, 5.51 in his last five outings.
-- Wells is 0-4, 5.85 in his last six starts.
-- Ortiz is 0-4, 7.79 in his last six starts.
-- Houlton is 0-4, 6.06 in his last six starts.
-- Park is 1-1, 9.64 in three starts for Padres. Hampton is 1-1, 10.20 in two starts since the DL.
-- Davis is 1-1, 4.84 in his last six starts.
-- Hennessey is 0-2, 8.16 in his last three starts.

-- Bedard is 1-3, 6.26 in his last five starts. Elarton 1-3, 5.45 in his last six starts.
-- Maroth has 5.92 RA in his last ten starts.
-- McClung is 3-4, 6.91 in his last eight starts. In his first start of year, Dominguez allowed five runs in seven IP, in game Texas lost in extra innings.
-- Garland is 1-2, 5.61 in his last four starts. Mussina is 1-2, 4.85 in his last four starts.
-- Clement is 1-1, 8.59 in his last five starts; his last start got rained out in 4th, with Clement trailing 5-2.
-- Lima is 0-3, 5.30 in his last three starts. A's scored a total of six runs in losing last three Harden starts (4.35)

Totals
-- Five of last six Prior starts went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Philly home games.
-- Eight of last eleven Arizona games went over the total
-- Seo's last four starts all stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-1 in Florida's last 14 home games.
-- 11 of last 15 Atlanta games went over the total.
-- EAstacio's last four starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven San Francisco road tilts.

-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Oriole road games.
-- Four of last five Maroth starts went over the total.
-- Over is 13-1-1 in last fifteen Ranger games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Comiskey games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Silva's last seven starts.
-- Last ten Boston games all went over the total; over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Angel games.
-- Five of last six Lima starts stayed under the total.


Hot teams
-- Cubs won five of their last seven games.
-- Phillies are 7-3 in their last ten games.
-- Mets are 12-3 in last fifteen home games. Nationals are 7-4 in their last eleven road games.
-- Marlins won ten of last fourteen home games. LA has won five of its last seven games.
-- Padres won six of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
-- Giants are 5-3 in their last eight games.

-- Orioles won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won four of their last five games. Toronto won seven of their last nine games.
-- Devil Rays won five of last seven games.
-- Twins won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Rockies lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates are 9-20 in their last twenty-nine road games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last ten home games.
-- Arizona lost four of their last five road games.
-- Braves are 3-5 in their last eight games. Padres lost five of last six games, got shut out in last two.
-- Astros are 4-7 in their last eleven home games.
-- St Louis is 8-9 in its last seventeen home games.


-- Indians lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Texas lost ten of its last eleven road games.
-- White Sox are 0-5 since beating Bronx in 10th inning last Wednesday. Bronx is 5-8 in last 13 road games.
-- Seattle is 3-10 on road since All-Star break.
-- Red Sox are 7-11 in last eighteen road games. The Angels are 10-11 in their last twenty-one home games.
-- Royals lost their last 18 games. A's lost five of their last six contests.