[Tommy]

Monday, September 12

National League:

Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Eude Brito (L)

Hudson - Atlanta 16-6 Under at Philadelphia
Brito - Philadelphia 2-11 off a win by 10+ runs

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)

Harang - 10-4 TSR away pitching off a win
Maddux - Cubs 1-8 at home off a one-run win

Florida at Houston, 8:05 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Brandon Backe (R)

Willis - 12-1 TSR away off BB starts allowing 1 or 0 runs
Backe - Houston 21-10 Under off a loss by 2 runs or less

Pittsburgh at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Mark Redman (L) vs. Mark Mulder (L)

Redman - 2-17 TSR as an underdog
Mulder - 15-3 TSR in night games

Colorado at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)

Francis - Colorado 18-48 as a road underdog
Weaver - Dodgers 27-11 Over off 6+ home games

San Diego at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Adam Eaton (R) vs. Kevin Correia (R)

Eaton - San Diego 2-14 as a road underdog of +125 or less
Correia - San Francisco 16-4 Under after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

American League:

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Ramon Colon (R)

Lohse - 5-18 TSR away pitching off BB losses
Colon - Detroit 5-2 at home vs. Minnesota this season

Oakland at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Dan Haren (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)

Haren - Oakland 2-10 at Cleveland
Sabathia - 7-0 TSR last seven starts

Boston at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)

Arroyo - 13-19 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less
Lilly - Toronto 12-6 off 9+ division games

Baltimore at Texas, 8:05 EST
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Edison Volquez (R)

Cabrera - Baltimore 17-31 off 3+ road games
Volquez - Texas 30-15 at home vs. AL East opponents

Anaheim at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Joel Pineiro (R)

Santana - Anaheim 16-5 ATS off 6+ road games
Pineiro - 5-19 TSR as an underdog of +150 or less

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Hudson is 4-0, 2.08 in his last five starts, and is 2-0, 2.07 vs Phillies this season.
-- Harang has 1.95 RA in his last four starts. Maddux has 1.83 mark in his last three, but Cubs lost six of his last seven Wrigley starts.
-- Willis is 5-0, 1.51 in his last five starts.
-- Mulder has 1.32 RA in his last four starts; Cardinals are 19-7 in his last 26 starts, 2-3 in his last five.
-- Padres are 10-2 in Eaton's last dozen starts.

-- A's are 8-1 in last nine Haren road starts. Sabathia is 7-0, 2.37 in his last seven starts.
-- Pineiro is 2-0, 1.84 in his last two starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Brito lasted nine innings in two starts, throwing 63,70 pitches, but with decent 3.00 RA.
-- Backe has 5.32 RA in his last four starts.
-- Pirates are 1-15 in last sixteen Redman starts, losing last eight in row (0-5, 8.76).
-- Francis is 1-4, 8.31 in his last six starts. Weaver has a 5.67 mark in his last six, but LA is 7-1 in his last eight.
-- Correia is 1-4, 4.89 in his last eight starts.

-- Colon is 1-3, 5.48 in his last four starts. Twins lost ten of last twelve Lohse starts.
-- Arroyo has 6.20 RA in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 4.00 in four '05 starts vs Jays. Lilly has 9.26 RA in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 0-2, 17.55 in two starts. Cabrera is 1-3, 8.63 in his last five road starts.
-- Santana is 1-2, 7.31 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Under is 3-1 in Hudson's last four starts.
-- Last four Harang starts all stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1 in last nine Willis starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Redman starts.
-- Over is 9-1 in last ten Weaver starts.
-- Under is 8-1 in last nine San Francisco home games.

-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Lohse starts.
-- Under is 3-1 in last four Sabathia starts.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Arroyo starts.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Cabrera starts.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Santana starts.

Hot teams
-- Braves are 8-3 in last eleven road games.
-- Astros are 11-2 in last thirteen home series openers.
Florida is 7-4 in its last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals are 14-3 in last seventeen home openers.
-- Dodgers are 6-2 in last eight home games.
-- Padres won first game in their last six road series.

-- A's are 21-5 in last 26 road games. Cleveland won its last seven games in a row.
-- Texas is 10-5 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Angels won their last four games in row.
-- Orioles are 5-3 in their last eight road games.


Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last eight games.
-- Reds lost their last five road games. Cubs lost five of their last seven Wrigley games.
-- Pirates are 2-5 in last seven road games.
-- Rockies lost four of last five road games.
-- Giants are 4-10 in last 14 home series openers, but they do get Barry Bonds back tonight.

-- Twins lost five of their last six games. Tigers won last two games, after losing their previous nine games.
-- Red Sox lost three of their last four games. Toronto is 2-5 in its last seven home games.
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.