[Tommy]

Tuesday, September 13

National League:

Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
John Thompson (R) vs. Gavin Floyd (R)

Thompson - Atlanta 10-1 revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season
Floyd - Philadelphia 17-6 Under at home vs. Atlanta over the last 3 seasons

Washington at NY Mets, 7:10 EST
John Patterson (R) (possible pitching change) vs. Tom Glavine (L)

Patterson - n/a
Glavine - n/a

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Eric Milton (L) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)

Milton - 0-3 TSR with 8.16 ERA and 1.884 WHIP last three starts
Zambrano - Cubs 10-2 Over vs. Cincinnati this season

Florida at Houston, 8:05 EST
Josh Beckett (R) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)

Beckett - 1-8 TSR in road games after a win this season
Rodriguez - Houston 6-1 Under at home vs. Florida over the last three seasons

Piitsburgh at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Ian Snell (R) (pitching change) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Snell - 0-3 TSR with 14.14 ERA and 2.857 WHIP over last three starts
Carpenter - 14-0 TSR against division opponents this season

Milwaukee at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Javier Vazquez (R)

Capuano - 11-4 TSR in road games this season
Vazquez - Arizona 2-15 at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season

Colorado at Los Angeles, 10:15 EST
Sun Woo Kim (R) vs. Edwin Jackson (R)

Kim - Colorado 0-11 as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season
Jackson - Los Angeles 7-0 Over after shutting out their opponent this season

San Diego at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Brian Lawrence (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)

Lawrence - San Diego 5-21 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Lowry - 10-2 TSR after a Giants win this season

American League:

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Brad Radke (R) vs. Nate Robertson (L)

Radke - 33-12 TSR on Tuesday since 1997
Robertson - 0-3 TSR with 8.53 ERA and 1.737 WHIP over last three starts

Oakland at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Kirk Saarloos (R) vs. Kevin Milwood (R)

Saarloos - 9-3 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Milwood - 7-0 Under at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season

Boston at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Matt Clement (R) vs. Scott Downs (L)

Clement - 0-2 TSR with 8.48 ERA and 1.885 WHIP vs. Toronto this season
Downs - 6-0 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Jaret Wright (R) vs. Doug Waechter (R)

Wright - Yankees 0-5 off a one run win over a division rival this season
Waechter - Tampa Bay 11-5 vs. Yankees this season

Baltimore at Texas, 8:05 EST
John Maine (R) vs. R.A. Dickey (R) (pitching change)

Maine - Baltimore 12-27 after 4 or more consecutive road games this season
Dickey - 8-0 Over at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Mike Wood (R)

Contreras - 8-2 TSR in road games in games played on a grass field this season
Wood - Kansas City 7-0 Under off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival this season

Anaheim at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Ryan Franklin (R)

Byrd - 12-2 Under on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons
Franklin - 8-0 Under when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Glavine has 1.91 RA in his last six starts.
-- Zambrano is 5-1, 3.00 in his last six starts.
-- Astros are 9-4 in last thirteen Rodriguez starts.
-- Carpenter is 4-0, 1.71 in his last four starts; St Louis is 24-3 in his last 27 starts.
-- Capuano is 4-1, 3.28 in his last five starts.
-- S. Kim is 2-0, 2.66 in four starts.
-- Lowry is 6-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts.

-- Clement is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.
-- Millwood has 2.70 RA in his last three starts. A's are 6-1 in last seven Saarloos starts.
-- Toronto is 6-1 in last seven Downs starts.
-- Bronx is 6-2 in last eight Wright starts.
-- Contreras is 3-1, 2.43 in his last four starts. Wood has 1.93 RA in his last four starts.
-- Byrd is 2-0, 0.60 in his last two starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Thomson is 1-2, 7.46 in his last five starts. Floyd has 6.61 RA in three starts this season.
-- Carrasco is 4-3, 2.04 as reliever this year, allowing 43 hits in 61 IP; this is his second big league start, he made a start for Boston in 2000.
-- Milton is 0-2, 8.79 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 1-2, 7.71 in his last four starts.
-- Snell is 0-2, 14.14 in two starts this season.
-- Vazquez is 0-2, 5.89 in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 1-1, 7.20 in his last three starts.
-- Padres are 3-10 in last thirteen Lawrence starts.

-- Robertson is 0-3, 8.53 in his last three starts. Radke has a 5.05 RA in his last six starts.
-- Waechter has 5.32 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Maine is 1-2, 5.52 in his last three starts. Dickey was 15-17, 4.28 in 28 starts in other years; he is 10-6, 5.99 in 17 minor league starts this season.
-- Franklin is 0-3, 7.88 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Atlanta games.
-- Last six Glavine starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Cub games.
-- Last five Florida road games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Pirate games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Arizona home games.
-- Under is 9-1 in last ten Colorado road games.
-- Under is 9-1 in last ten San Francisco home games.

-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Detroit home games.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Cleveland home games.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Clement starts.
-- Under is 4-1 in Wright's last five starts.
-- Under is 12-2-3 last seventeen Oriole road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Contreras starts.
-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Byrd starts.

Hot teams
-- Braves are 8-4 in last twelve road games; since the All-Star Break, Braves are 8-1 in second game of road series, if they lost the opener. Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Reds won last three games, allowing just seven runs. -- Florida is 8-4 in its last twelve road games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers are 7-2 in last nine home games.

-- A's are 22-5 in last 27 road games. Cleveland is 7-1 in its last eight games.
-- Devil Rays are 10-5 in last fifteen home games.
-- Orioles are 6-3 in their last nine road games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games. Seattle is 8-6 in its last fourteen home games.


Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last nine games.
-- Mets are 2-10 in their last twelve games. Nationals are 1-5 in their last six games.
-- Cubs lost seven of last ten home games. Reds lost five of their last six road games.
-- Astros lost three of their last four games.
-- Pirates are 2-6 in last eight road games.
-- Arizona is 4-11 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Rockies lost five of last six road games.
-- Padres lost their last three games, scoring seven runs. Giants lost five of their last seven games.

-- Twins lost five of their last seven games. Tigers lost 10 of their last twelve games.
-- Toronto is 2-6 in its last eight home games. Red Sox are 9-12 in last 21 road games.
-- Bronx is 5-11 vs Tampa Bay this season.
-- White Sox lost last four games, allowing 26 runs. KC is 3-14 in its last seventeen home games.