[Tommy]

Friday, September 16

National League:

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 3:20 EST
Matt Morris (R) vs. Glendon Rusch (L)

Morris - St. Louis 18-5 away vs. left-handed starters
Rusch - 11-24 TSR at home in day games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 5:05 EST Game One
Brandon Claussen (L) vs. Zach Duke (L)

Claussen - 5-18 TSR vs. division opponents
Duke - 4-0 TSR, 1.54 ERA in home games this year

Atlanta at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
John Smoltz (R) vs. Pedro Martinez (R)

Smoltz - Atlanta 12-4 vs. the Mets
Martinez - Mets 2-12 in September

Philadelphia at Florida, 7:35 EST
Jon Lieber (R) vs. Brian Moehler (R)

Lieber - 1-7 TSR as a road favorite
Moehler - Florida 20-5 off 3+ games scoring 4 runs or less

Milwaukee at Houston, 8:05 EST
Rick Helling (R) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)

Helling - Milwaukee 0-7 off 4+ games allowing 4 runs or less
Oswalt - 12-1 TSR at home pitching off a win

Colorado at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Zach Day (R) vs. Dustin Nippert (R)

Day - Colorado 2-11 with a line of +125 to -125
Nippert - Arizona 13-5 off 3+ games scoring 3 runs or less

Washington at San Diego, 10:05 EST
John Patterson (R) vs. Jacob Peavy (R)

Patterson - Washington 16-6 Under away off a one-run win
Peavy - 22-4 TSR as a home favorite

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Brad Penny (R) vs. Brett Tomko (R)

Penny - Dodgers 24-11 as a road favorite of -125 or less
Tomko - 1-9 TSR vs. division opponents


American League:

Kansas City at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Jimmy Gobble (L) vs. Scott Elarton (R)

Gobble - Kansas City 4-27 away after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Elarton - Cleveland 9-1 last ten games

Oakland at Boston, 7:05 EST ESPN
Joe Kennedy (L) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)

Kennedy - Oakland 9-2 away on Fridays
Wakefield - 6-13 TSR vs. AL West opponents

New York Yankees at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Randy Johnson (L) vs. David Bush (R)

Johnson - 2-9 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or higher
Bush - Toronto 17-11 off 6+ division games

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, 7:35 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Rodrigo Lopez (R)

Kazmir - Tampa Bay 9-30 off 3+ Overs
Lopez - 14-5 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 runs last start

Seattle at Texas, 8:05
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Josh Rupe (R)

Hernandez - Seattle 31-62 away off a loss
Rupe - Texas 14-6 off 6+ home games

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Jon Garland (R) vs. Scott Baker (R)

Garland - 16-5 Under on artificial turf
Baker - Minnesota 17-5 revenging BB home losses

Detroit at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
Jason Johnson (R) vs. John Lackey (R)

Johnson - 1-12 TSR in September
Lackey - Anaheim 12-2 off 3+ losses by 2 runs or less


Write-In Game:

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 8:05 EST Game Two
Ramon Ortiz (R) vs. Kip Wells (R)

Ortiz - 9-1 Over with a line of +125 to -125
Wells - 6-22 TSR vs. division opponents

[Tommy]

Friday September 16

Hot pitchers
-- Rusch is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Ortiz is 1-0, 2.16 in his last two starts. Claussen is 3-1 2.93 in his last seven starts. Duke comes off DL (ankle); he is 6-0, 1.96 in ten big league starts.
-- Braves won last five Smoltz starts (2-0, 3.27).
-- Lieber is 2-1, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Oswalt is 2-1, 2.75 in his last three starts. Helling has not allowed run in his last 14 IP, but he is flyball pitcher in small ballpark here.
-- Peavy is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.

-- Elarton is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts.
-- Boston is 7-2 in Wakefield's last nine starts.
-- Bush is 3-1, 1.61 in his last four starts. RJohnson 3-0, 1.27 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir is 1-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 1.77 in three road starts.
-- Baker is 2-1, 3.65 in four starts for Twins.
-- Lackey is 2-1, 1.29 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Morris is 0-3, 7.13 in his last three starts.
-- Trachsel is 0-2, 5.84 in his last two starts.
-- Wells is 0-4, 9.00 in his last four starts.
-- Valdes is 1-2, 6.66 in his last five starts.
-- Nippert allowed three runs in five IP in his first start, a 9-8 extra win at Pittsburgh.
-- Halama is 0-3, 9.00 in three starts for Nationals.
-- Penny is 1-2, 6.28 in his last five starts. Giants lost last seven Tomko starts (0-4, 4.29).

-- Gobble is 0-0, 3.38 in two starts, lasting total of just eight innings in two starts.
-- Kennedy is 0-3, 5.60 in his last three starts.
-- RLopez is 2-3, 6.21 in his last five starts.
-- Rupe was 6-7, 6.25 in 17 starts at AAA.
-- Garland is 1-4, 5.13 in his last six starts.
-- JJohnson is 1-3, 8.18 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Cub games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Ortiz starts, 3-7-1 in last eleven Claussen starts.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Smoltz starts.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Florida home games, 11-2 in last thirteen Lieber starts.
-- Under is 19-5 in last 24 Oswalt starts.
-- Under is 10-2 in last dozen Colorado road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Peavy's last six starts.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last 12 San Francisco home games.

-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Elarton starts.
-- Last five Fenway games stayed under the total.
-- Last six RJohnson starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Lopez starts.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Seattle road games.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Metrodome games.
-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Anaheim.

Hot teams
-- Cardinals are 13-5 in last eighteen road games.
-- Reds won four of their last five games.
-- Phils won five of their last seven games. Florida 10-5 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Brewers won seven of their last ten games. Astros are 7-4 in last eleven home games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Nationals are 8-3 in last eleven road games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games.

-- Indians are 9-1 in their last ten home games.
-- A's are 23-7 in last 30 road games; they're 4-3 on this critical road trip. Boston is 27-5 in last 32 at home, but 4-4 in their last eight.
-- Bronx won last four games, scoring 39 runs.
-- Texas is 12-7 in its last nineteen home games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs are 3-7 in last ten road games.
-- Pirates are 2-12 in last fourteen home games.
-- Mets are 2-13 in their last fifteen games. Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona is 5-14 in its last nineteen home games.
-- Padres are 2-13 in first game of last 15 home series.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last nine road games. Giants lost seven of their last ten games.

-- Royals are 3-20 in their last 23 road games.
-- Toronto lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Orioles are 2-9 in last eleven home games. Devil Rays lost five of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost six of last six games, allowing 47 runs. Twins lost six of their last nine games.
-- Seattle is 7-15 in last 22 road games.
-- Tigers lost eleven of their last fifteen games. Angels lost last four games; Guerrero left last night's game with a bad shoulder.