[Tommy]

Saturday, September 17

National League:

Atlanta at New York Mets, 1:20 EST
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Steve Trachsel (R)

Hudson - Atlanta 7-0 away revenging a shutout loss
Trachsel - Mets 20-49 in September

Philadelphia at Florida, 1:20 EST
Vicente Padilla (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

Padilla - Philadelphia 3-11 off a win by 10+ runs
Willis - 8-1 Under in day games

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 1:20 EST
Mark Mulder (L) vs. Grad Maddux (R)

Mulder - 21-8 TSR this season
Maddux - 4-10 TSR in home games this season

Los Angeles at San Francisco, 4:05 EST
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Jason Schmidt (R)

Weaver - 12-4 TSR pitching off a loss
Schmidt - San Francisco 11-22 at home off an Over

Colorado at Arizona, 4:10 EST
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Claudio Vargas (R)

Cook - Colorado 4-17 as a road underdog of +125 or less
Vargas - 9-4 TSR second half of the season

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Paul Maholm (L)

Harang - Cincinnati 4-1 at Pittsburgh this season
Maholm - Pittsburgh 10-24 as a home underdog

Milwaukee at Houston, 7:05 EST
Wes Obermueller (R) vs. Brandon Backe (R)

Obermueller - Milwaukee 0-8 off 4+ games allowing 4 runs or less
Backe - 8-0 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less

Washington at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Hector Carrasco (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)

Carrasco - Washington 15-6 Under vs. NL West opponents
Astacio - 2-9 TSR in night games


American League:

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 12:10 EST
Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)

Hernandez - White Sox 28-11 Under as an underdog
Santana - 5-0 TSR vs. White Sox last five meetings

New York Yankees at Toronto, 4:05 EST
Shawn Chacon (R) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)

Chacon - 14-30 TSR second half of the season
Chacin - Toronto 7-0 off BB divison losses by 2 runs or less

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, 4:35 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Bruce Chen (L)

Fossum - Tampa Bay 30-14 Over away vs. left-handed starters
Chen - 0-8 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 runs last start

Kansas City at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Cliff Lee (L)

Hernandez - Kansas City 4-28 away after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Lee - 12-3 TSR pitching off a win

Oakland at Boston, 7:05
Dan Haren (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)

Haren - Oakland 6-17 away after scoring 2 runs or less
Arroyo - Boston 28-8 at home vs. AL West opponents

Seattle at Texas, 8:05 EST
Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)

Pineiro - Seattle 7-23 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Rogers - 15-3 TSR at home pitching off BB wins

Detroit at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
Ramon Colon (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)

Colon - Detroit 14-29 in September
Santana - Anaheim 17-7 after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Braves won five of last six Hudson starts.
-- Willis is 6-0, 1.60 in his last six starts.
-- Maddux has 2.02 RA in his last four starts. St Louis is 11-3 in last fourteen Mulder starts.
-- Dodgers are 7-1 in last eight Weaver starts. Schmidt is 5-0, 4.01 in his last seven starts.
-- Maholm is 1-0, 1.71 in three starts. Harang is 2-1, 2.06 in his last five starts.
-- Cook is 5-0, 2.31 in his last six starts.
-- Astacio is 2-0, 2.43 in his last four starts.

-- Santana is 3-1, 1.39 in his last six starts.
-- Chen is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Trachsel is 0-2, 5.84 in his last two starts.
-- Padilla has 7.54 RA in his last three starts.
-- Vargas is 2-2, 7.99 in his last four starts.
-- Obermueller is 0-2, 12.10 his last three starts. Backe is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
-- Carrasco lasted just four innings four days ago, as the Nationals using whole bullpen when he starts.

-- OHernandez is 1-3, 6.91 in his last five starts.
-- Arroyo has 5.81 RA in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Hudson starts.
-- Under is 11-5-1 last seventeen Florida home games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Cub games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 San Francisco home games.
-- Last five Vargas starts went over the total.
-- Last five Harang starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-1 in Obermueller starts.
-- Last four Astacio starts stayed under total.

-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Metrodome games.
--
-- Under is 6-1 in Chen's last seven starts.
-- Under is 3-1 in last four Lee home starts.
-- Last six Fenway games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Seattle road games.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen games at Anaheim.

Hot teams
-- Phils won six of their last eight games. Florida 10-6 in its last sixteen home games.
-- Cardinals are 13-6 in last nineteen road games.
-- Reds won five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers won seven of their last 11 games. Astros are 8-4 in last twelve home games, winning last three.
-- Nationals are 9-3 in last twelve road games.


-- Bronx won last five games, scoring 50 runs.
-- Indians are 10-1 in their last eleven home games.
-- A's are 23-8 in last 31 road games; they're 4-4 on this critical road trip. Boston is 28-5 in last 33 at home, but 5-4 in their last nine.
-- Texas is 13-7 in its last twenty home games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets are 3-13 in their last fifteen games. Braves lost four of their last five games.
-- Cubs are 4-7 in last eleven home games.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last 10 road games. Giants lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last nine road games. Arizona is 5-15 in its last twenty home games. .
-- Pirates are 3-13 in last fourteen home games.


-- White Sox lost six of last eight games, allowing 49 runs. Twins lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Toronto lost seven of its last nine home games.
-- Orioles are 2-10 in last twelve home games. DRays lost five of their last seven games.
-- Royals are 3-21 in their last 24 road games.
-- Seattle is 7-16 in last 23 road games.
-- Tigers lost twelve of their last sixteen games. Angels lost four of last five games.

Umpires
-- Under is 22-8 in last 30 Barksdale games. (Atl-NY)
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Onora games, with dogs 4-1 in his last five games. (Phil-Fla)
-- Last eight Vanover games stayed under. (StL-Chi)
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Emmel games. (LA-SF)
-- Over is 5-2 in Nauert's last seven games. (Col-Az)
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Dowdy games; dogs are 7-4 in his last eleven games. (Cin-Pitt)
-- Home side won last ten Fletcher games, with the under 9-4-1 in his last fourteen games. (Mil-Hst)
-- Under is 10-5-2 last 17 Eddings games. (Was-SD)

-- Favorite won last four Meriwether games. (Chi-Min)
-- Dogs are 3-3 in last six games, with the visitor 5-1 in those games. (NY-Tor)
-- Under is 5-1-1 last seven Kulpa games; three of his last six games went extra innings. (TB-Blt)
-- Underdog is 11-6 in last 17 Nelson games. (KC-Cle)
-- Favorite won last four Guccione games. (A's-Bos)
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Hallion games. (Sea-Tex)
-- Dogs are 6-2 in last eight Demuth games. (Det-LA)

[$@M]

thanks for the trends, big123. much appreciated !

[Tommy]

No problem Sam I do what I can