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Old 09-20-05, 05:30 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Tuesday MLB Trends

Tuesday, September 20

National League:

Houston at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Andy Pettite (L) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)

Pettite - 3-0 TSR with 1.77 ERA and 0.737 WHIP last three starts
Gorzelanny - Pittsburgh 0-13 after a win by 6 runs or more this season

San Francisco at Washington, 7:05 EST
Matt Cain (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)

Cain - San Francisco 10-1 Under as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season
Hernandez - Washington 15-4 at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season

Florida at NY Mets, 7:10 EST
AJ Burnett (R) vs. Kris Benson (R)

Burnett - 3-18 TSR in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since
Benson - 12-1 Over after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 3 seasons

St. Louis at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Juff Suppan (R) vs. Randy Keisler (L)

Suppan - St. Louis 47-9 after a loss this season
Keisler - Cincinnati 3-7 vs. St. Louis this season

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee, 7:35 EST
Jerome Williams (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)

Williams - Cubs 6-0 revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs this season
Davis - Milwaukee 15-5 Under off 2 straight road losses against a division rival over the last 2 seasons

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:35 EST
Corey Lidle (R) vs Jorge Sosa (R)

Lidle - Philadelphia 11-2 Under after a loss by 6 runs or more this season
Sosa - 12-4 TSR this season

San Diego at Colorado, 8:35 EST
Woody Williams (R) vs. Jamey Wright (R)

Williams - 48-17 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Wright - 3-12 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons

Los Angeles at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. Javier Vazquez (R)

Lowe - Los Angeles 17-7 Over after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season
Vazquez - Arizona 3-16 at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season


American League:

Baltimore at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
John Maine (R) vs. Aaron Small (R)

Maine - Baltimore 52-39 Under against right-handed starters this season
Small - Yankees 0-5 in home games off a one run win over a division rival this season

Seattle at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Jeff Harris (R) vs. Josh Towers (R)

Harris - 0-3 TSR with 6.60 ERA and 1.600 WHIP last three starts
Towers - Toronto 10-3 at home vs. Seattle last three seasons

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Curt Schilling (R) vs. Seth McClung (R)

Schilling - Boston 13-16 as a road favorite of -175 or more over the last 2 seasons
McClung - Tampa Bay 14-9 revenging a 3 game sweep over the last 2 seasons

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)

Westbrook - Cleveland 12-1 last 13 games
Buehrle - 2-5 TSR last 7 starts

**Detroit at Kansas City, 5:10 EST GAME 1
Mike Maroth (L) vs. JP Howell (L)

Maroth - n/a
Howell - n/a

Minnesota at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Francisco Liriano (L) vs. Joe Blanton (R)

Liriano - Minnesota 7-0 Under vs. Oakland this season
Blanton - 16-4 Under in night games this season

Texas at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
Jose Dominguez (R) vs. Bartolo Colon (R)

Dominguez - Texas 12-2 after 7 or more consecutive home games this season
Colon - 12-3 Over as a home favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons


Added Game:

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 EST GAME 2
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Zach Greinke (R)

Robertson - n/a
Greinke - n/a
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Old 09-20-05, 10:28 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Default

Hot pitchers
-- Pettitte is 6-0, 1.49 in his last six starts.
-- Cain is 2-1, 2.00 in four major league starts.
-- Suppan is 3-0, 1.09 in his last four starts.
-- JWilliams has a 1.26 RA in his last three starts. Davis is 2-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.
-- Sosa is 3-0, 2.41 in his last three starts. Phillies won last four Lidle starts, scoring 33 runs.
-- WWilliams is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
-- Lowe is 3-1, 1.08 in his last five starts.

-- Small is 7-0, 3.21 as a starter this season.
-- Indians are 9-2 in last eleven Westbrook starts.
-- Greinke is 2-0, 2.31 in his last two starts.
-- Blanton is 5-2, 1.95 in his last ten starts.
-- Angels are 7-2 in last nine Colon starts; he's 3-0, 3.05 vs Texas this season. Dominguez is 3-1, 4.40 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Gorzelanny is 8-5, 3.26 in 23 starts for AA Altoona.
-- Hernandez has 6.23 RA in his last nine starts.
-- Burnett is 0-5, 9.25 in his last five starts. Benson 0-4, 7.92 in his last five starts.
-- Keisler allowed three runs in five IP in his first start of 2005, a 7-4 Reds win at Wrigley.
-- Wright is 0-5, 6.32 in his last five starts.
-- Vazquez is 0-3, 5.33 in his last four starts.

-- Maine is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts.
-- Harris is 0-3, 7.20 in his last three starts. Toronto lost four of last five Towers starts.
-- McClung is 1-3, 8.82 in his last four starts. Schilling is 2-5, 6.70 in eight starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 2-4, 5.33 in his last seven starts.
-- Maroth has 6.37 RA in his last six starts. Robertson is 0-4, 10.23 in his last four starts. Royals are 3-8 in last 11 Howell starts.
-- Liriano allowed two runs in five IP in his first '05 start, a 4-2 loss at Detroit.

Totals
-- Last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-5-1 in last 19 Giant road games.
-- Over is 10-2 in last dozen Florida games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cardinal road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Cub road games.
-- Last five Philadelphia games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Colorado home games.
-- Under is 12-3 in last fifteen Vazquez starts.

-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Oriole road games.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Mariner games.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Schilling starts.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Buehrle starts.
-- Last four Greinke starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Blanton starts.
-- Over is 14-6 in last twenty Colon starts.

Hot teams
-- Pirates and Astros both won five of last six games.
-- Giants are 5-2 in their last seven games.
-- Cardinals are 8-4 in last twelve road games.
-- Cubs are 8-2 in their last ten road games.
-- Braves are 6-1 in last seven home games. Phillies are 6-2 in their last eight games.
-- Rockies are 6-3 in their last nine home games. Padres won four of their last five games.


-- Bronx won seven of its last eight games.
-- Devil Rays won three of their last four games.
-- Indians are 13-1 in their last fourteen games.
-- A's scored 19 runs in winning their last two games.
-- Angels are 7-2 in their last nine home games. Texas won its last five games, scoring 31 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost five of last six home games.
-- Marlins allowed 43 runs in their last five games. Mets are 4-14 in their last eighteen games.
-- Reds lost five of last six home series openers.
-- Brewers lost last three games, scoring total of two runs
-- Arizona is 2-7 in its last nine home games. Dodgers lost five of their last six road games.


-- Orioles lost four of their last five games.
-- Devil Rays lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Seattle lost five of last six road games. Toronto is 2-6 in its last eight games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Royals lost six of their last nine games. Tigers lost four games in a row.
-- Twins are 2-6 in last eight road games.
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