[Tommy]

Saturday, September 24

National League:

Houston at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Ezequiel Astacio (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)
Astacio - n/a
Zambrano - n/a

Florida at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Brian Moehler (R) vs. John Thompson (R)
Moehler - 4-10 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season
Thompson - Atlanta 19-5 on Saturday this season

NY Mets at Washington, 7:05 EST
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)
Glavine - Mets 19-8 Under at Washington
Hernandez - 11-3 Under at home

St. Louis at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
Mark Mulder (L) vs. Gary Glover (R)
Mulder - 16-3 TSR in night games
Glover - Milwaukee 1-6 at St. Louis this season

Philadelphia at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Eude Brito (L) vs. Eric Milton (L)
Brito - Philadelphia 8-2 Over at Cincinnati last 3 seasons
Milton - 0-3 TSR with 13.96 ERA and 2.896 WHIP last 3 starts

San Francisco at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Sun Woo Kim (R)
Lowry - 12-2 TSR after a Giants win
Kim - 8-0 Over when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons

San Diego at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Brian Lawrence (R) vs. Russ Ortiz (R)
Lawrence - 5-11 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher this season
Ortiz - 62-26 TSR at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997

Pittsburgh at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Oliver Perez (L) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Perez - 13-4 Over this season
Perez - Los Angeles 14-2 vs. Pittsburgh over the last 3 seasons


American League:

Toronto at NY Yankees, 1:05 EST
Scott Downs (L) vs. Jaret Wright (R)
Downs - Toronto 5-11 vs. Yankees this season
Wright - Yankees 19-3 in home games after allowing 2 runs or less this season

Texas at Oakland, 4:05 EST
R.A. Dickey (R) vs. Barry Zito (L)
Dickey - 10-1 Under in road games over the last 3 seasons
Zito - 39-7 TSR as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997

Boston at Baltimore, 4:35 EST
Matt Clement (R) vs. Erik Bedard (L)
Clement - Boston 6-0 Under at Baltimore this season
Bedard - 1-11 TSR in the second half of the season

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 EST WGN
Joey Mays (R) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)
Mays - 1-11 TSR as an underdog this season
Garcia - White Sox 13-3 Under vs. Minnesota this season

Seattle at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Jason Grilli (R)
Moyer - 11-1 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
Grilli - Detroit 1-8 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

Cleveland at Kansas City, 7:10 EST
Kevin Milwood (R) vs. Mike Wood (R)
Milwood - Cleveland 16-2 as a road favorite of -125 or more this season
Wood - Kansas City 1-6 at home vs. Cleveland this season

Tampa Bay at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
Doug Waechter (R) vs. Jarrod Washburn (L)
Waechter - 6-0 TSR when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons
Washburn - 0-5 TSR as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Cubs won last five Zambrano starts.
-- Glavine has 2.01 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Mulder is 3-1, 1.50 in his last six starts.
-- Brito has 3.12 RA in his four starts this season.
-- Giants won eight of last nine Lowry starts.
-- Pirates won last five Oliver Perez starts.

-- Toronto is 4-1 in last five starts by Downs.
-- Seattle is 14-6 in last twenty Moyer starts.
-- Millwood is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts. Wood is 2-2, 3.27 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- EAstacio is 0-2, 5.55 in his last five starts.
-- Thomson is 1-3, 6.89 in his last six starts. Moehler is 0-4, 5.96 in his last five starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-2, 5.09 in his last three starts.
-- Glover makes first start since 5/25; he was 1-2, 6.35 in his last five starts.
-- Milton is 0-3, 15.23 in his last four starts.
-- S. Kim has 9.28 RA in his last two starts.
-- Ortiz is 0-3, 6.75 in his last three starts. Lawrence is 0-3, 8.18 in his last five starts.
-- Odalis Perez makes first start since 8/17; he was 1-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.

-- Wright has 6.06 RA in his last three starts.
-- Zito has 6.26 RA in his last four starts. Dickey has a 6.39 RA in his two starts this season.
-- Grilli makes first '05 start; he was 12-9, 4.08 in 28 starts at AAA this season.
-- Clement is 0-3, 10.29 in his last three starts. Orioles are 1-11 in last twelve Bedard starts.
-- White Sox lost six of last seven Garcia starts. Mays is starting for first time since 8/24; he is 1-5, 7.77 in his last eight starts.
-- Washburn makes first start in two weeks; he is 1-2, 3.82 in his last six starts. Waechter has 7.18 RA in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Wrigley Field games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Met road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Mulder starts.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Milton starts.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Lowry starts.
-- Last three Ortiz starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 13-4-1 in Oliver Perez starts.

-- Last three Downs starts went over total (11-11-12)
-- Four of last five Oakland home games went over.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Boston road games.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Garcia starts.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Moyer road starts.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Millwood starts.
-- Over is 5-2 in last eight Washburn starts.

Hot teams
-- Astros are 7-4 in their last eleven road games.
-- Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight home games.
-- Phillies are 16-7 in last 23 road games. Reds are 7-5 in their last twelve games.
-- Colorado is 8-5 in its last thirteen home games. Giants are 8-3 in last eleven road games.
-- Arizona won four of its last six games.

-- Bronx is 11-1 in its last twelve games.
-- Seattle won three of their last four games.
-- Indians are 16-2 in their last eighteen games. Royals are 6-2 in its last eight home games.
-- Angels won their last seven games. Devil Rays are 4-2 in their last six road games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs are 10-16 in their last 26 home games.
-- Braves lost seven of their last eleven games. Marlins lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mets are 3-10 in last thirteen road games. Nationals are 2-8 in last ten home games.
-- Cardinals lost four of their last five games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last seven games. Pirates lost eight of last eleven road games.


-- Toronto is 4-8 in its last twelve games.
-- Rangers lost four of last five road games. A's are 5-12 in their last seventeen home games.
-- Orioles are 1-8 in their last nine games. Red Sox are 13-16 in last 29 road games.
-- Tigers lost last eight games, are 6-13 in their last 19 home games.
-- White Sox are 2-7 in last nine home games. Twins are 6-11 in their last seventeen games.


Umpires
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Poncino games. (Hst-Ch)
-- Last three Wendeltstedt games went over. (Fla-Atl)
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Holbrook games. (NY-Was)
-- Home team is 11-3 last 14 Cederstrom tilts (Stl-Mil)
-- Favorite is 7-1 in last eight Timmons games; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.(Phil-Cin)
-- Rookie ump Reininger has no trends (SF-Col)
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Hernandez starts. (SD-Az)
-- Favorite won last five Hohn games, with last four staying under the total. (Pitt-LA)

-- Favorite is 7-2 in last nine Diaz games. (Tor-NY)
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Reilly games. (Tex-A's)
-- Favorite is 8-3 in last eleven Cuzzi games. (Bos-Blt)
-- Under is 22-8 in last 30 Barksdale games. (Min-Chi)
-- Dog is 5-2 in last seven Fairchild games. (Sea-Det)
-- Favorite is 8-1 in last nine Layne games. (Cle-KC)
-- Underdog is 5-2 last seven Brinkman tilts (TB-LAA)