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Old 09-27-05, 08:02 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Arrow Tuesday MLB Trends

Tuesday, September 27th

National League:

New York Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Victor Zambrano (R) vs. Jon Lieber (R)
Zambrano - 4-9 TSR in road games
Lieber - 45-15 TSR at home in the second half of the season

Washington at Florida, 7:05 EST
Esteban Loaiza (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)
Loaiza - 1-5 TSR, 7.09 ERA vs. Florida
Willis - 8-2 TSR, 2.48 ERA vs. Washington

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 7:35 EST
Brandon Claussen (L) vs. Rick Helling (R)
Claussen - 1-6 TSR, 6.82 ERA vs. Milwaukee
Helling - Milwaukee 9-3 after allowing 9+ runs

Colorado at Atlanta, 7:35 EST
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Tim Hudson (R)
Cook - Colorado 1-6 at Atlanta
Hudson - Atlanta 25-11 playing with double revenge

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Zach Duke (L) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Duke - Pittsburgh 27-11 Over after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Maddux - Cubs 1-11 at home off a one-run win

Houston at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Matt Morris (R)
Oswalt - Houston 13-2 Under when playing with a day of rest
Morris - St. Louis 29-5 after scoring 2 runs or less

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Adam Eaton (R)
Tomko - 2-13 TSR in road games
Eaton - 9-1 Over as a home favorite of -150 or less

Arizona at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)
Webb - Arizona 9-0 Under away off BB home games
Weaver - Dodgers 1-5 at home vs. Arizona


American League:

Chicago White Sox at Detroit 7:05 EST
Brandon McCarthy (R) vs. Nat Robertson (L)
McCarthy - White Sox 12-4 vs. Detroit
Robinson - Detroit 17-6 Under at home vs. White Sox

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Bruce Chen (L)
Mussina - Yankees 16-8 at Baltimore
Chen - Baltimore 5-16 off 4+ losses

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Scott Elarton (R)
Kazmir - 8-1 Under as an underdog of +150 or higher
Elarton - Cleveland 10-3 off 7+ road games

(TC) Toronto at Boston, 1:05 EST Game One
David Bush (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)
Bush - Toronto 19-5 on Tuesdays
Wakefield - 8-1 Under in day games

Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Hernandez - Kansas City 6-25 on artificial turf
Santana - 34-6 TSR in night games

Anaheim at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Joe Kennedy (L)
Santana - Anaheim 12-3 Under vs. Oakland
Kennedy - Oakland 7-16 off a one-run loss

Texas at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Kameron Loe (R) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Loe - Texas 11-5 vs. Seattle
Hernandez - Seattle 34-15 Under after 6+ road games
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Old 09-27-05, 08:06 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Hot pitchers
-- Lieber is 4-0, 1.32 in his last five starts.
-- Willis is 7-1, 1.78 in his last eight starts.
-- Claussen is 1-0, 1.67 in his last four starts. Helling has 1.72 RA in his last five starts.
-- Cook is 6-0, 2.72 in his last eight starts.
-- Oswalt is 3-1, 1.78 in his last five starts.
-- Webb is 2-0, 1.99 in his last three starts. Weaver 1-1, 2.35 in his last three starts.

-- McCarthy is 2-0, 0.40 in his last three starts.
-- Chen is 3-2, 3.06 in his last five starts. Bronx is 5-1 in last six Mussina starts.
-- Wakefield has 2.41 RA in his last four starts.
-- Elarton is 4-0, 0.92 in his last four starts. Kazmir 2-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.
-- JSantana is 4-1, 1.17 in his last seven starts.
-- ESantana is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two starts.
-- Loe is 4-1, 2.62 in six starts, but left his last start after being hit in head by line drive.

Cold pitchers
-- Zambrano makes first start in 25 days; he is 1-2, 5.04 in his last four outings.
-- Hudson has 5.23 RA in his last three starts.
-- Duke has 1.42 RA in his last four starts. Maddux 0-3, 3.68 in last three Wrigley starts.
-- Morris is 0-4, 5.71 in his last five starts.
-- Eaton is 0-2, 6.11 in his last three starts. Giants lost 11 of last thirteen Tomko starts.

-- Robertson is 0-4, 9.00 in his last five starts.
-- Schilling is 2-3, 6.09 in his last six starts. Bush is 0-2, 15.00 in his last two starts. Chacin has 5.06 RA in his last six starts.
-- Kennedy is 0-4, 6.33 in his last five starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three Safeco starts.

Totals
-- Under is 15-5 in last twenty Lieber starts.
-- Under is 21-10 in last thirty-one National road games.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Wrigley Field games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Oswalt starts.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six San Diego games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Arizona road games.

-- Under is 6-2 in McCarthy starts this season.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Chen games.
-- Last seven Devil Ray games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-8 in last twenty-one Red Sox games.
-- Under is 10-0 in last ten JSantana starts, over is 6-0-1 in last seven Hernandez starts.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Anaheim road games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Hernandez starts.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last eight games. Phillies won four of their last six games.
-- Nationals are 6-2 in last eight road games.
-- Braves are 10-4 in last fourteen home games. Rockies won five of their last six road games.
-- Brewers are 8-3 in their last eleven home games.
-- Astros won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Giants are 8-2 in last ten games, and got blanked in both their losses. they're only three games behind Padres
-- Arizona won four of their last five games. Dodgers are 10-5 in last fifteen home games.

-- Bronx is 13-2 in its last fifteen games.
-- Tampa Bay is 5-3 in last eight road games. Indians are 14-2 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Tigers won last three games, scoring 19 runs, after they had lost previous eight games.
-- Red Sox are 25-6 in last 31 Fenway games, but 4-4 in their last eight there.
-- Royals are 6-3 in their last nine games.
-- Angels won nine of their last ten games.
-- Seattle won five of its last seven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost ten of their last twelve games. Nationals lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Reds are 3-10 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Pirates are 4-10 in their last fourteen road games. Cubs are 2-7 in last nine home series openers.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Padres lost four of their last five games.

-- Orioles are 1-11 in their last twelve games.
-- White Sox are 4-7 in their last eleven road games.
-- Toronto is 5-9 in its last fourteen games
-- Twins are 6-14 in their last twenty games.
-- A's are 6-13 in their last nineteen home games.
-- Rangers are 2-5 in their last seven road games.
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