[Tommy]

Wednesday, September 28th

National League:

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST WGN
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Mark Prior (R)
Maholm - Pittsburgh 4-11 vs. Chicago Cubs
Prior - 8-2 TSR, 2.48 ERA vs. Pittsburgh

Colorado at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Kyle Davies (R)
Francis - Colorado 11-4 Under after allowing 10+ runs
Davies - Atlanta 1-7 off a win by 8+ runs

New York Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Steve Trachsel (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Trachsel - 12-6 Under vs. Philadelphia
Padilla - Philadelphia 6-11 vs. New York Mets

Washington at Florida, 7:05 EST
Esteban Loaiza (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)
Loaiza - Washington 24-16 off BB wins
Beckett - Florida 7-13 after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 7:35 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)
Harang - 17-9 TSR away second half of the season
Capuano - Milwaukee 19-36 off 6+ home games

Houston at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Brandon Backe (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)
Backe - Houston 21-6 Under off BB games scoring 3 runs or less
Carpenter - St. Louis 20-0 after scoring 1 or 0 runs

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 EST ESPN
Jason Schmidt (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)
Schmidt - 28-12 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less
Astacio - San Diego 12-30 as an underdog of +150 or less

Arizona at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Dustin Nippert (R) vs. DJ Houlton (R)
Nippert - Arizona 20-13 with a line of +125 to -125
Houlton - 1-11 TSR second half of the season


American League:

Chicago White Sox at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Sean Douglass (R)
Contreras - 10-3 TSR in road games
Douglass - 18-6 Under at home vs. White Sox

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Shawn Chacon (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
Chacon - Yankees 3-7 after winning 15+ of their last 20 games
Cabrera - 11-2 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 runs last start

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Seth McClung (R) vs. Cliff Lee (L)
McClung - Tampa Bay 12-2 Over away off 4+ Overs
Lee - 16-6 TSR in night games

Toronto at Boston, 7:05 EST ESPN
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Lilly - Toronto 12-32 off a division win as an underdog
Arroyo - 11-0 TSR in September

Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Jose Lima (R) vs. Kyle Lohse (R)
Lima - 0-16 TSR as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Lohse - Minnesota 18-8 at home vs. Kansas City

Anaheim at Oakland, 10:05 EST ESPN
Paul Byrd (R) vs Dan Haren (R)
Byrd - 8-2 Under in September
Haren - 8-1 TSR after allowing 0 walks last start

Texas at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Joel Piniero (R)
Young - 3-10 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Piniero - 17-7 Over with a line of +125 to -125

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Maholm is 2-1, 2.08 in his five big league starts.
-- Francis is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
-- Beckett is 3-0, 2.00 in his last four starts. Loaiza 1-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
-- Brewers are 14-5 in last 19 Capuano starts.
-- Backe is 2-0, 0.66 in his last two starts.
-- Schmidt is 3-0, 2.70 in hi slast five starts. Astacio has come out of nowhere to be 3-0, 2.31 in his last six starts; he was released by Texas!!!!

-- Contreras is 7-0, 2.41 in last seven starts. Douglass has 1.50 RA in his last two starts.
-- Chacon is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (16 IP)
-- Indians are 22-7 in Lee's last twenty-nine starts.
-- Arroyo is 4-0, 3.60 in his last five starts overall, 1-2, 3.82 in five starts vs Toronto this year.
-- Byrd is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five starts. Haren has 1.74 RA in his last three starts.
-- Young is 2-0, 1.97 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Prior is 2-2, 3.96 in his last six starts.
-- Davies has 5.04 RA in his last four starts.
-- Trachsel is 0-3, 4.81 in his last four starts. Padilla has 6.23 RA in his last five starts.
-- Harang is 0-1, 8.18 in his last two starts.
-- Carpenter is 0-2, 9.77 in his last three starts.
-- Houlton is 2-7, 5.48 in his last 11 starts. Nippert has 7.45 RA in his two starts this season.

-- Cabrera is 2-6, 6.00 in his last nine starts.
-- McClung is 0-3, 18.32 in his last three starts.
-- Lilly is 1-2, 7.91 in his last five starts.
-- Lima is 0-4, 11.86 in his last five starts. Twins 2-10 in Lohse's last dozen starts.
-- Pineiro is 0-2, 7.82 in his last two starts.

Totals
-- Over is 8-5 in last 13 Prior starts.
-- Under is 21-11 in last thirty-two National road games.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Padilla starts.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Harang starts.
-- Last three Carpenter starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven San Diego games.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Arizona road games.

-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Contreras starts.
-- Under is 13-5-2 in last twenty Cabrera starts.
-- Over is 8-0 in last eight Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 14-9 in last twenty-three Red Sox games.
-- Last six Lima starts all went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Anaheim road games.
-- Last three Pineiro starts went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Mets won eight of their last nine games.
-- Nationals are 7-2 in last nine road games.
-- Braves are 11-4 in last fifteen home games. Rockies won five of their last seven road games.
-- Brewers are 9-3 in their last twelve home games.
-- Astros won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Giants are 8-3 in last eleven games.
-- Arizona won five of their last six games. Dodgers are 10-6 in last sixteen home games.

-- Bronx is 13-3 in its last sixteen games.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-3 in last nine road games. Indians are 15-2 in their last seventeen home games.
-- Tigers won last four games, after they had lost their previous eight games.
-- Red Sox are 26-7 in last 33 Fenway games, but 5-5 in their last ten there.
-- Royals are 6-4 in their last ten games.
-- Angels won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Seattle won five of its last eight home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost 11 of their last thirteen games. Nationals lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Reds are 3-11 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Pirates are 5-10 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Padres lost four of their last six games.

-- Orioles are 2-11 in their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox are 4-8 in their last twelve road games.
-- Toronto is 6-10 in its last sixteen games
-- Twins are 7-14 in their last twenty-one games.
-- A's are 6-14 in their last twenty home games.
-- Rangers are 3-5 in their last eight road games.

Umpires
-- Home side won last six Drake games. (Pitt-Chi)
-- Over is 7-2-2 in last 11 Holbrook games. (Col-Atl)
-- Visitor is 7-1 in last eight Scott games, with last four staying under the total. (NY-Phil)
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Cuzzi games. (Wsh-Fla)
-- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Poncino games. (Cin-Mil)
-- Dogs are 5-4 in last nine Davis games. (Hst-StL)
-- Under is 23-9 in last 32 Barksdale games. (SF-SD)
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Brinkman games. (Az-LA)

-- Dogs are 6-3 in last nine Young games. (Chi-Det)
-- Under is 8-4 in last 12 Wendelstedt games. (NY-Blt)
-- Favorite won last five Reed games. (TB-Cle)
-- Over is 4-1-1 inlast six TWelke games. (Tor-Bos)
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Dimuro games. (KC-Min)
-- Last six Gibson games stayed under total. (LA-A's)
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Timmons tilts. (Tex-Sea)