[Tommy]

Thursday, September 29th

National League:

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 2:05 EST
Eric Milton (L) vs. Gary Glover (R)
Milton - 16-5 TSR on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997
Glover - Milwaukee 6-25 with a bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games

Colorado at NY Mets, 7:10 EST
Sun Woo Kim (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
Kim - 5-0 TSR after walking 1 hitter or less in each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons
Glavine - 1-11 TSR on Thursday over the last 3 seasons

Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 EST
Glendon Rusch (L) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)
Rusch - Cubs 5-15 after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span
Rodriguez - Houston 20-5 as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Brian Lawrence (R)
Lowry - NL
Lawrence - NL

Arizona at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Dustin Nippert (R) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Nippert - NL
Perez - NL


American League:

Chicago White Sox at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. Jason Grilli (R)
Garcia - White Sox 22-8 after a win by 4 runs or more this season
Grilli - Detroit 17-40 after 5+ home games over the last 2 seasons

Anaheim at Oakland, 3:35 EST
Bartolo Colon (R) vs. Barry Zito (L)
Colon - 8-0 TSR in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons
Zito - Oakland 14-3 Under vs. Anaheim this season

Texas at Seattle, 6:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Ryan Franklin (R)
Rogers - 33-15 TSR after a Texas win over the last 2 seasons
Franklin - 2-10 TSR with 8.02 ERA and 1.701 WHIP vs. Texas

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Aaron Small (R) vs. Erik Bedard (L)
Small - 4-0 TSR with 2.93 ERA and 1.156 WHIP on the road this season
Bedard - 1-12 TSR in the second half of the season

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
Fossum - Tampa Bay 5-0 at Cleveland this season
Sabathia - Cleveland 0-6 in home games with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games

Toronto at Boston, 7:05 EST
Scott Downs (L) vs. Matt Clement (R)
Downs - Toronto 13-32 off a win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons
Clement - Boston 29-2 as a home favorite of -250 to -330 over the last 3 seasons

Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Mike Wood (R) vs. Joe Mays (R)
Wood - Kansas CIty 6-27 on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons
Mays - 5-13 TSR in home night games over the last 3 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Glover is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Francis is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts. Glavine has 2.00 RA in his last nine starts.
-- Cubs won last four games started by Rusch.
-- Giants are 8-2 in last ten Lowry starts.

-- Grilli won his first '05 start, allowing one run in seven IP, in 7-1 win over Mariners.
-- Texas scored 32 runs in winning last five Rogers starts.
-- Bronx scored 36 runs in winning last four Small starts.
-- Toronto is 8-2 in last ten Downs starts.
-- Sabathia is 3-1, 1.78 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Milton has 14.40 RA in his last three road starts.
-- Rodriguez is 1-3, 4.56 in his last four starts.
-- Lawrence is 0-3, 8.06 in his last six starts.
-- Nippert has 7.45 RA in his first two '05 starts. Perez is 1-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.

-- White Sox are 2-6 in Garcia's last eight starts.
-- Colon is 1-2, 7.94 in his last three starts. Zito has 6.52 RA in his last five starts.
-- Franklin is 1-4, 6.53 in his last nine starts.
-- Orioles are 1-12 in Bedard's last thirteen starts.
-- Fossum has 6.08 RA in his last six starts.
-- Clement is 0-3, 7.20 in his last four starts.
-- Wood is 1-3, 5.24 in his last four starts. Mays is 1-6, 8.42 in his last ten starts.

Totals
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Francis starts.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Rusch starts, 6-0 in last six starts by Rodriguez. .
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven San Diego games.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Arizona road games.

-- Over is 5-1 in Garcia's last six starts.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Anaheim road games.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Franklin starts.
-- Small's last three starts all went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Tampa Bay games.
-- Over is 11-4 in last fifteen Clement starts.
-- Wood's last three starts all went over total.

Hot teams
-- Brewers are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Mets won eight of their last ten games. Rockies won six of their last eight road games.
-- Astros won eleven of their last fourteen games. Cubs are 9-4 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Giants are 8-4 in last twelve games.
-- Arizona won six of their last seven games.


-- Tigers won four of their last five games.
-- Angels won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Bronx is 14-3 in its last seventeen games.
-- Tampa Bay is 7-3 in last ten road games.
-- Royals are 6-5 in their last eleven games.


Cold Teams
-- Reds are 4-11 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Padres lost four of their last seven games, but they're NL West champs, at 79-79. .

-- Indians lost their last three games to Royals, D-Rays; they're 0-5 at home vs Tampa Bay this season.
-- Toronto is 7-10 in its last seventeen games Red Sox are 5-6 in their last eleven home games.
-- Orioles are 2-12 in their last fourteen games.
-- White Sox are 5-8 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Twins are 8-14 in their last twenty-two games.
-- A's are 7-14 in their last twenty-one home games.
-- Rangers are 4-5 in their last nine road games.