[Tommy]

Friday, September 30th

National League:

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Oliver Perez (L)
Davis - Milwaukee 20-37 off 6+ home games
Perez - 14-5 TSR pitching off a win

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Cory Lidle (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)
Lidle - 15-7 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Hernandez - 1-7 TSR at home second half of the season

Colorado Rockies at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Byung-Hyun Kim (R) vs. Kris Benson (R)
Kim - Colorado 10-30 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Benson - Mets 9-1 Over at home after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
John Thomson (R) vs. Josh Johnson (R)
Thomson - Atlanta 35-15 off a loss by 4+ runs
Johnson - Florida 4-16 at home with a line of +125 to -125

Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Carlos Zambrano (R) vs. Andy Pettitte (L)
Zambrano - 22-10 Under away in night games
Pettitte - 72-31 TSR vs. division opponents

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Randy Keisler (L) vs. Mark Mulder (L)
Keisler - Cincinnati 19-39 after the bullpen allowed 0 runs
Mulder - 24-7 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. Woody Williams (R)
Lowe - Dodgers 6-16 off a one-run loss
Williams - 47-20 TSR at home off a win

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Vargas - Arizona 9-0 off 3+ wins by 2 runs or less
Cain - San Francisco 13-2 Under off a combined score of 3 runs or less


American League:

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)
Buehrle - White Sox 7-1 Under revenging a shutout loss
Millwood - Cleveland 14-4 off 3+ games with the bullpen allowing 0 runs

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST ESPN
Chien-Ming Wang (R) vs. David Wells (L)
Wang - 11-5 TSR this season
Wells - 9-1 Over as a favorite of -150 or less

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Zack Greinke (R) vs. Josh Towers (R)
Greinke - Kansas City 3-22 away off a combined score of 15+ runs
Towers - Toronto 22-9 revenging a one-run loss

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
John Maine (R) vs. Doug Waechter (R)
Maine - Baltimore 2-12 after the bullpen pitched 6+ innings
Waechter - Tampa Bay 15-10 vs. Baltimore

Anaheim Angels at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Robert Dickey (R)
Washburn - 17-4 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or less
Dickey - Texas 7-18 off 6+ road games

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Francisco Liriano (L)
Maroth - 0-8 TSR as a road underdog of +125 or less
Liriano - Minnesota 24-10 after the bullpen blew a save

Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Kirk Saarloos (R) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)
Saarloos - Oakland 6-18 off a loss by 6+ runs
Moyer - 11-1 TSR as a home favorite

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Davis has 2.05 RA in his last three starts. Pirates are 11-1 in last dozen Perez starts.
-- Phillies won five of last six Lidle starts.
-- BKim is 2-1, 3.12 in his last six starts.
-- Thomson is 2-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.
-- Pettitte is 7-0, 1.68 in his last eight starts.
-- Mulder is 4-1, 1.34 in his last seven home starts.
-- Lowe is 4-2, 1.89 in his last seven starts.
-- Cain is 2-1, 2.03 in his six big league starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-0, 2.96 in four starts vs Indians this year. Millwood is 3-0, 3.24 in his last four starts.
-- Washbuirn is 2-1, 3.16 in his last five starts.
-- Royals scored 29 runs, won last four Greinke starts.
-- Seattle is 13-1 in last fourteen Moyer home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hernandez is 0-3, 5.23 in his last four starts.
-- Benson is 0-4, 6.87 in his last seven starts.
-- Zambrano has 5.25 RA in his last five starts, but Cubs are 5-1 in his last six outings.
-- Keisler is 1-1, 7.20 in three starts for the Reds.
-- Williams is 1-4, 6.21 in his last five Petco starts.
-- Vargas is 2-3, 7.25 in his last six starts.
-- Wells is 2-2, 6.55 in his last four starts. Wang has 4.89 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Towers is 1-2, 5.10 in his last three starts.
-- Maine is 0-3, 9.77 in his last four starts. Waechter is 1-3, 9.13 in his last five starts.
-- Dickey has 6.23 RA in his three '05 starts.
-- Maroth is 3-3, 5.48 in his last seven starts. Liriano is 0-2, 7.36 in his first three big league starts.
-- Saarloos is 1-2, 5.13 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Davis starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Hernandez starts.
-- Under is 16-5 in B. Kim starts this season.
-- Last five Thomson starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Zambrano starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Mulder starts.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Lowe starts.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Vargas starts.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Buehrle starts.
-- Over is 6-3 in Wells' last nine starts.
-- Over is 4-0-2 in last six Greinke starts.
-- Over is 3-1 in Maine's last four starts.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Washburn starts.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Maroth starts.
-- Under is 17-4-2 in last 23 Saarloos starts.

Hot teams
-- Brewers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
-- Phillies are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
-- Mets won nine of their last 11 games. Rockies won six of their last nine road games.
-- Astros won eleven of their last fifteen games. Cubs are 10-4 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Padres are 7-2 in their last nine games.
-- Giants are 8-5 in last thirteen games, 9-4 if Bonds is in the starting lineup. Arizona won seven of their last eight games.
-- Bronx is 15-3 in its last eighteen games.
-- Royals are 7-5 in their last twelve games.
-- Angels won eleven of their last thirteen games. Texas won its last five home games.
-- Tigers won four of their last six games.


Cold Teams
-- Pirates are 6-16 in their last 22 home games.
-- Nationals are 2-10 in last dozen home games.
-- Marlins lost their last five games. Braves lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Reds are 4-12 in their last sixteen road games. Cards lost six of their last eight games.
-- Dodgers lost their last six road games.
-- White Sox are 6-8 in their last fourteen road games; they clinched playoff spot yesterday. Indians lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox are 6-6 in their last twelve home games.
-- Toronto is 7-11 in its last eighteen games
-- Orioles are 2-13 in their last fifteen games. Tampa is 3-6 in their last nine home games.
-- Twins are 8-15 in their last twenty-three games.
-- A's lost six of their last eight games. Mariners are 1-4 in their last five games.