[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Playoffs - ALCS

Friday, October 15, 2010

New York Yankees (Sabathia) @ Texas Rangers (Wilson) 8:07 ET

Game 1: Series tied 0-0

Current Odds at Sports Interaction: Yankees -150 | Total 8

Sabathia is 3-1, 3.86 in his last five starts; he beat Texas 5-1 April 16 in rain-shortened six-inning game. He is 7-4, 4.54 in 12 career postseason starts. Wilson is 2-2, 3.26 in his last five starts; he was 0-1, 6.91 in three starts against Bronx this season. he blanked Tampa Bay for 6.1 innings in his first postseason start. Bronx is fortunate Tampa Bay extended the previous series to five games, knocking Lee out of this start.

[Tommy]

SABATHIA: 16-6 Over Away if total is 8 or 8.5.

WILSON: 18-4 TSR in night games.

NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas.

NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games when playing on the road against Texas.

Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees.

[Tommy]

NY Yankees at Texas

The Rangers look to build on their 8-0 record in C.J. Wilson's last 8 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Texas is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125).


Game 901-902: NY Yankees at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.872; Texas (Wilson) 17.107
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125); Over

[Tommy]

Jimmy Boyd

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers

The Rangers play in a great hitter's park. With the power that both of these teams pack, I expect Game 1 to fly over this number.

3 of the last 4 meeting between these two clubs have seen at least 11 runs scored.

In 24 games between these clubs over the last 3 seasons, we have seen an average of 10 runs scored per game.

Sabathia and Wilson are both quality starters, but each has a career ERA of 4.29 or higher in this matchup.

The Over is 5-0 in the Yankees' last 5 during game 1 of a series, 6-1-1 in their last 8 playoff road games, 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter and 10-3 in Sabathia's last 13 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.

The Over is 9-4-2 in the Rangers' last 15 home games and 3-1-1 in Wilson's last 5 home starts. We'll take the Over tonight.

Pick: 1 Unit on Yankees/Rangers OVER 8 Runs (-110)