[fondybadger]

Overall MLB Record 21-15-1 +$723
10.02 2-0 +$185
10.03 12-7-1 +$339
10.04 7-8 +$199

Money Line Plays
5-6 +$102
3-2 +$190 (favorites)
2-4 -$81 (dogs)

Run Line Plays
7-5 +$341
11-1 +$730 (Hypothetical if I would have taken the ML instead of RL)

Totals
9-4-1 +$280 (o&u)
2-3-1 -$65 (Under)
7-1-0 +$345 (Over)

Brewers Record
2-0 +395 (sides)
2-0 +$150 (totals)

Brewer game was a lot of fun. I was sitting on pins and needles though in the bottom of the 9th inning. I had $200 (win $270) on the Brewers RL. Brewers are up 2, Pittsburgh has runners on 1st and 3rd with no outs. Turnbow and the Brewers get out of it without giving up any runs and perserving my RL victory. My stomachs is in poor shape though after eating at George Webb's after the game (burger special with ticket stub) and I just beat though tonight, hence no writeups with the plays.

PLAYS

NL SIDES
$50 Cubs pk
$50 Philadelphia +115
$50 Mets RL +180
$50 Brewers -110 & $50 Brewers RL +185
$100 Colorado RL +160
$50 San Diego +115
$75 Braves even

AL Sides
$100 White Sox RL +170
$75 Detroit -140
$150 Angels even
$75 Baltimore RL +150
$50 Boston RL +110

NL Totals
$75 Cubs/Cincy OVER 10
$150 Brewers OVER 8.5
$100 Colorado/Arizona OVER 11
$100 Braves/Dodgers OVER 7.5

AL Totals
$100 Boston/Texas OVER 10

NOTES:
Pittsburgh Pirates Starter Zach Duke's Spring Training (courtesy www.rotoworld.com)

• March 12th Zach Duke was tagged for six runs -- five earned -- in four innings today in a loss to the Devil Rays. Five of the runs scored in the fourth inning. Duke hit consecutive batters in that last frame and then gave up two doubles and a homer to Josh Paul.
• March 16th Zach Duke yielded one run in three innings and struck out three versus the Reds today.
  Duke had struggled in his last two outings, though he actually pitched three pretty good innings before giving up five runs in the fourth last time out. The shorter outing today was the result of him pitching on three days' rest. He's in line now to be the Pirates' Opening Day starter.
• March 26th Zach Duke was tagged for eight runs -- six earned -- in four innings by the Blue Jays on Sunday.
  It's not good when you take the loss in a game in which the opposing pitcher gives up five homers. Duke is 0-3 with a 7.29 ERA. "I was battling myself all day and, as soon as I would start to feel good, I would get out of my rhythm and leave a pitch off the plate," Duke said. "But I feel like I know what I did. I feel like I know what I have to do to fix it." He was hurt today by Jose Castillo blowing a potential double play in the first inning. We're not very concerned about Duke's spring numbers.
• March 31st Zack Duke surrendered five more runs in five innings Friday to finish the spring with a 7.62 ERA.
  Duke should be fine given time, but it doesn't look like a very good April is on the way. He's been searching for his rhythm all spring long.

In Arizona/Colorado's first meeting they scored 5 runs, but combined left 20 men on base. That over 11 looks very good to me based on that and the Coors factor.

Only game I may add is a Yankee/Oakland plays tomorrow night.

GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!!!

[naught33]

GL on the plays today, didnt have time to cap anything last night, do like cincy tho over the cubs in the early game, ill post anything else i like later on buddy

[Tommy]

Tough one on the Cubs Nick. They try to make a comeback late but not enough. Nail the rest bro! BOL on tonights card

[fondybadger]

Originally Posted by big123

Tough one on the Cubs Nick. They try to make a comeback late but not enough. Nail the rest bro! BOL on tonights card

No worries on that game, got the over and ended up $25 up... Looks like with a Detroit Win, and ChiSox loss/1 run win, I'll be 2-2 and even on the day. I'm fine with that. Love baseball with the positive juice.

ADDING
$75 TB/Balt OVER 9
$50 Yankees -115
$50 Yanks/Oakland under 9.5

[fondybadger]

Adding
$50 Florida +170
$50 Flor/Houst OVER 8.5

[fondybadger]

Copying of some stuff I posted over at the Canadian site, figured it could possibly help some people over here as well.

Quote:

Quote:
fondy- i know its early but i think yost will sit prince vs lefties sooner than people think. this guy dont mess around with shit like this, whether its a quick hook on a pitcher or whatever he is a no nonsense type guy... who could play 1st vs lefties? i see you say hart, i had no idea he played there, thought he was a speedy cf, iwas thinking it would be nice to get cirillo in there(dont know if he plays there or not)... i seriously think koskie could handle that 3rd base job full time, love his patience at the plate, not sure how he hits lhp the last couple of years though. prince could end up being something special but there is something about him i dont like, maybe its his dad.

hey gl with yur plays also

~Dad

Dad - Like I said Corey Hart was drafted as a first basemen. He's 6'6 about 210 pounds, with 30 steal potential (Derek Lee type frame). When the Brewers drafted Prince Fielder they tried moving Hart to 3rd base. That experiment didn't work too well, as his big frame was a bit too akward with his footwork fielding. He can play there in a pinch, but would get exposed if he was there for more than a few games a month. They moved him to the corner outfield spots in the minors as a future replacement in right field. Then they traded for Carlos Lee, Jenkins went to right field and Corey was blocked again. That said, if either of those two are traded/injured Corey Hart should be able to step in for them. Late last season Hart was filling in a bit for Brady Clark in center field. It's weird seeing a guy that big playing center, but he's definately an athlete. I personally wouldn't be too sad to see him playing in center instead of Clark, but then you have the problem of who's going to be your leadoff batter (Weeks would be the only candidate, but he has too much power to be hitting in the one spot).

I agree that Prince will be pulled sooner than later, but I think they also need to keep his confidence up. When he came up to bat for his 5th at bat in the game Tuesday night, the crowd gave him a standing ovation. I think he's pressing way too much. He's trying to replace a fan favorite with a ton of expectations on him. It's been 2 games. The first game he was swinging at ball at his eye level. Tuesday he was at least swinging at good pitches. His last at bat he made some pretty solid contact on a flyball out to center field (first time he got it past the pitcher this year). Long term the Brewers have no one who could replace him at first base if he turns out to be a dud, which realistically isn't going to happen.

As for who can fill in where for short term/semi long term? Well lets assume you have a starting infield of Fielder 1st, Weeks 2nd, Hardy SS, Koskie 3rd. Bill Hall can come in and play at 3rd, SS, or 2nd base (in spring training he was also playing center field). They're expecting him to get 450+ AB's this year, so expect him rotating around alot. Jeff Cirillo has always been a 3rd basmen (has been an All-Star there), but in spring training they were playing him at 2nd base and he's also a fine fill in at first base. Corey Hart can also do spot duty at 3rd base and at 1st base. Gives a lot of flexibility around the infield.

If Prince Fielder is benched I would assume that Corey Koskie would get the chance at first base (if it was a somewhat long term). In the short term, I think Jeff Cirillo would probably get the start at 1st base (possibly tonight, but I wouldn't be shocked if it was Koskie right away).

Infield depth looks something like this...

1st Base - Fielder, Koskie, Cirillo, Hart
2nd Base - Weeks, Cirillo, Hall
Short Stop - Hardy, Hall
3rd Base - Koskie/Hall, Koskie/Hall, Cirillo, Hart

In the outfield you have:
Carlos Lee in left
Geoff Jenkins in right
Brady Clark in center

Corey Hart will be the 4th outfielder at any of those position. Gabe Gross can play either corner outfield spot and provide power off the bench. He led Spring Training in home runs in 05'. If something else happens with an outfielder the Brewers have Nelson Cruz in the minors who's capable of being a 30 home run kind of guy. Reminds me of Carlos Lee a bit. Pretty sure the Brewers picked him up in a Keith Ginter trade a few years ago to Oakland.

The starting pitching is a bit more of a question mark. They have an expected rotation of:

Ben Sheets
Doug Davis
Chris Capuano
Tomo Ohka
Dave Bush

and their relievers look like this:
Derrick Turnbow - closer
Matt Wise/Danny Kolb - 7th/8th
Jose Capellan - future closer (was Braves top prospect traded for Kolb)
Jorge De La Rosa - lefty specialist (was Arizona's top pitching prospect, received in the Richie Sexson trade)
Justin Lehr - Flame thrower, could replace Kolb as late game replacement
Rick Helling - long relief, possible 5th starter
Jared Fernandez - He'll be sent down/released when Sheets comes off DL

Long term, the Brewers have future #2-4 starting pitchers in Dana Eveland and Zach Jackson (Blue Jays prospect received in Overbay trade) are both 22. Dennis Sarfate is 25 and is knocking on the door to the Brewers rotation if Ohka or bush struggle. Three legit guys right there. The Brewers also have three young guys in the low minors all with #1 type stuff in the future years to look forward to. Yovani Gallardo, Mark Rogers, and Will Inman are all 19-20 year old guys in A or high A ball. Some of more recent top draft picks out of highschool. Manny Parra is only 23, and could very easily become a 15 game winner in the majors, although he could easily be a bust like any of these other young pitchers. Josh Wahpepah (2/3rd round pick a few years ago) is 21, and had a 3.28 Ground/fly ball ration at West Virginia, which projects really good for Miller Park. It's hard to project, but they have the guys there. One last name to toss out there is Rolando Pascual. I'm going to stick my foot in my mouth here I'm sure, but he's 6'6 and 16 years old. He was signed out of the Dominican Republic and could very easily be a guy like Felix Hernandez. His fast ball is amazing. Might be 17 now.

The Brewers also have Ryan Braun at 3rd base who as their #5 draft pick last year, projects to be there starting 3rd basemen by 2008 at the latest. Hernan Iribarren is a Marcus Giles type 2nd basemen, who could allow the Brewers to move Richie Weeks to center field, especially with the down slide of Dave Krynzel (A former Futures Game starter in center field) who messed up his collarbone/shoulder in a Mini-bike accident over the winter.

Other guys I haven't mentioned yet:
Angel Salome - 19 year old catcher (5th round pick in 04') who has Pudge Rodriguez type build and is a very good defensive catcher with power numbers. Needs to work on consistency at the plate and handling pitchers.

Ben Hendrickson - 25 year old pitcher, was spose to be the #4/5 guy the last two years. He's pitching in AAA as everytime he comes up he gets rocked. Last chance to prove himself this year as he's running out of option years.

Brad Nelson - 23 year old 1st basemen in AAA. Was moved to the outfield the same as Corey Hart when Prince was drafted, just moved back to 1st base this year. Was a 4th round pick in 01'. Power to places all over the field. Defense shaky. Blocked almost everywhere. As late as last year him and Corey Hart were considered 1a - 1b as terms of guys who would be the next guy called up.

Alcides Escobar - Probably the most unknown rising star in the Brewers roster. Plays SS and is only 19 years old. Reminds me of Rey Sanchez type of guy. A couple good years from him, but he does have major league ability/projection.

Centerfielders - It's crazy to think about what's available through the system. Steve Moss is 22 and by far the best defensively in the minors in the outfield. Michael Brantly is an 18 year old cf who was drafted in the 7th round last year, but could have been a #1 pick if he came out after his junior year of college. Charlie Fermaint was a 4th round pick in 03' in A+. Excellent arm and power... Last is our AAA CF, Tony Gwynn Jr. He was the Brewers 2nd round pick in 03'. He's got the size, speed, and eye to be a solid starter in the league. No power really, but definately a gap hitter. Future leadoff/cf???

Alright, I'm spent here now. Could go off about a few more guys, but I'm done. lol... God I love my Brewers!

[fondybadger]

Yanks26Sox6
Glad to hear it, Nick. That you're so pumped about the Brewers, that is. I like the synposis. I might need to reassess my opinion. Just be sure to let me know the days where they have great dog value, and we'll all be happy.

John - I actually think the Brewers could open the season 6-0 or 5-1. Their most likely chances of losing at home is either tonight or against the D'Backs on Friday when they have Dave Bush against Russ Ortiz. With Ortiz horrible 05' and Bush pitching good this spring, I'll probably take my chances with Bush (but we'll see how they do tonight). Otherwise I'll take my chances with Davis and Capuano against Zona on Saturday and Sunday. Probably take Milwaukee on the RL both games.

The next game the Brewers play is next Monday against the Cardinals, in St. Louis. I'm thinking it will be Okha against Mulder. Have to take Stl. RL in that game. They both have an off day on Tuesday, so you'd assume on Wednesday you'd have marquis/suppan vs. Davis. On Thursday I'm thinking Carpenter vs. Capuano. I'll take Stl monday/Thursday if the numbers are there. Wednesday I'll probably take the Brewers.

forgot one thing and that's Ben Sheets is eligible to come off the DL on Sunday 4/9... He's pitching in AA on Thursday (weather concerns in AAA), so I could also see him starting Wednesday. Don't see him pitching on 3 days rest coming off an injury, but Wednesday would look good if everything goes okay tomorrow. Alright I've got to post my NBA plays here.

GOOD LUCK with the plays tonight everyone!

so far today 2-2 +$0

Oh NBA plays tonight as well....
$75 Boston +1
$50 Toronto +10.5
$100 Philadelphia -3
$125 Bucks +3.5
$200 Cleveland -7.5 & $150 Cleveland 1H -4
$75 San Antonio -8 & $50 San Antonio 1H -4
$100 Houston -4

[naught33]

damn going against u i have sf and lad tonight, fuck!