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Old 01-31-07, 03:29 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default NBA trends and injuries - 1-31-07

NBA

Write-up


Wednesday, January 31



Hot Teams
-- Hawks are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Bobcats are 9-7 in their last sixteen games. Knicks are 11-2 vs spread in their last thirteen games.
-- Toronto is 9-4 in its last thirteen games. Wizards won seven of their last eight games.
-- Nets covered last eight games and fourteen of last sixteen.
-- Dallas is 23-2 in its last twenty-five games (4-4 vs spread in its last eight).
-- Hornets won last three games, covered nine of last ten.
-- 76ers are 4-3 in their last seven games, thats good, for them.
-- Houston won, covered seven of last ten games.
-- Minnesota won last two games, scoring 111 ppg, after it lost previous six games- they ended Suns' streak Monday.
-- Spurs won four of their last five games.
-- Portland won last three home games, by 18,3,3 points.
-- Bulls won three in row, six of last eight games. Clippers won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Warriors are 4-8 vs spread in last dozen games.
-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Orlando lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Celtics lost last twelve games (5-7 vs spread). Lakers lost last three games, five of last six, but get Bryant back for this game.
-- Pistons are 4-4 in last eight games, 1-2 in last three.
-- Grizzlies are 4-9 in their last thirteen games.
-- Seattle lost thirteen straight on the road (6-7 vs spread).
-- Kings lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Utah lost three of its last four games.
-- Nuggets lost last three games, allowing 111 ppg.

Series Records
-- Home side won both Warrior-Hawk games last season.
-- Knicks, Bobcats split pair of games earlier this season.
-- Home side won all four Milwaukee-Orlando games last year.
-- Home side won three of last four Wizard-Raptor games.
-- Visiting team won both Laker-Celtic games last season.
-- Pistons are 2-0 vs Nets this season: 92-91/90-82.
-- Mavericks are 2-0 vs Memphis this season: 115-103/89-84.
-- Home side won last three Philly-Hornet games.
-- Home side won three of last four Houston-Seattle games.
-- Home side won both Minnesota-Sacramento games this yr.
-- Home side won both Utah-San Antonio games this season.
-- Nuggets won last five games vs Portland, by 39,3,1,12,16.
-- Visitor won both Bull-Clipper games last season.


Back-to-Back Situations
-- Warriors are 0-5 vs spread last five times they played second night in row.
-- Knicks are 4-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bucks are 6-5 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Wizards are 4-7 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Celtics are, oddly enough, 8-1-1 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Detroit is 3-2 vs spread on road, if they played night before.
-- Dallas is 8-1 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Seattle is 5-5 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Spurs are 7-3 vs spread on front end of back/back.

Totals
-- Five of last six Warrior games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Charlotte games.
-- Over is 6-3 in Orlando's last nine games.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Toronto games.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten New Jersey games went over total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Dallas games.
-- Last five Philadelphia games all went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Seattle games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2 in Minnesota's last eleven games.
-- Under is 10-2 in Spurs' last dozen games, but 3-9 in Utah's last twelve games. .
-- Six of last eight Denver games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in Chicago's last nine games.


- - - -


NBA

1-31-07



San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz (ESPN | 9 PM ET)
San Antonio improved to 26-6 over the last five seasons on the "rodeo" road trip with a 96-94 overtime win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. The Spurs are 16-6 on the road this season, holding opponents to a league-low 90 points per game. BIG EDGE: SPURS
The Spurs are looking to avenge one of their four road losses to Western Conference teams, when the Jazz dropped them 83-75 in Utah, which was the lowest scoring game of the season for San Antonio. BIG EDGE: UNDER

The UNDER is 14-3 in the Spurs' last 17 games overall.
The OVER is 6-0 in Utah's last six home games.





Sacramento Kings at Minnesota Timberwolves (9 PM ET)
Minnesota is 13-8 at the Target Center but 2-3 in its last five games there. The Wolves have won 15 of the last 19 home matchups with Kings, who have dropped the first three games of a four-game road trip. EDGE: T-WOLVES
All three of Sacramento's defeats on the road swing have been close, as the Kings lost 88-84 to New Orleans on Friday and 106-104 to Dallas on Saturday. The Kings, however, are 5-15 away from home this season. SLIGHT EDGE: KINGS

Sacramento is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games playing on one day of rest.





Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers (10PM ET)
Denver guard Allen Iverson (sprained right ankle) and forward Carmelo Anthony (sprained left wrist) were both hurt in a 105-101 loss to Charlotte on Monday night, the third straight defeat for Denver. The Nuggets said Iverson did not travel with the team on Tuesday and will miss the game. Anthony says he's sore but hopes to play against the Blazers. EDGE: BLAZERS
The Nuggets have given up an average of 111.2 points in their last four games after holding opponents under 100 points in seven of their previous eight contests. EDGE: OVER

Denver is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Portland.





Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers (10:30 PM ET)
Chicago has won six of its last eight games,but will now head West to face division leaders Utah and Phoenix during the team's second seven-game road trip of the season. Chicago went 1-6 on the first trip and is 6-13 on the road this season. EDGE: CLIPPERS
The Clippers are 16-8 at Staples Center, where they're averaging 106.2 points per game over their last five contests. They have won 10 of the last 12 matchups, including five of the previous six meetings in Los Angeles. EDGE: CLIPPERS & OVER

Los Angeles is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games playing on two days of rest.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



at Indiana Pacers by 9.0 Boston Celtics O/U 188.0
Indiana Pacers are 79-54-7 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)



at Washington Wizards by 2.0 Detroit Pistons O/U 204.5
Washington Wizards are 26-44-1 ATS After 2 Wins (All Lines)
Washington Wizards are 17-7-0 O/U After 2 Unders (2 -> 3.5)
Detroit Pistons are 25-47-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Detroit Pistons are 71-99-2 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Detroit Pistons are 21-42-1 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)



at Cleveland Cavaliers by 1.5 Golden State Warriors O/U 205.0
Golden State Warriors are 82-58-6 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Golden State Warriors are 7-1-0 O/U After 2 Overs (PK -> 1.5)



at New York Knicks by 2.5 Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers O/U 205.0
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 11-3-0 O/U After 2 Losses (2 -> 3.5)



at Miami Heat by 8.0 Milwaukee Bucks O/U 202.5
Miami Heat are 49-31-2 ATS After 2 Overs (All Lines)
Miami Heat are 10-2-0 O/U vs. Milwaukee (All Lines)
Milwaukee Bucks are 78-49-1 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Milwaukee Bucks are 38-20-0 O/U After 2 Home (All Lines)
Milwaukee Bucks are 10-2-0 O/U vs. Miami (All Lines)



at Dallas Mavericks by 12.0 Seattle SuperSonics O/U 198.5
Dallas Mavericks are 60-88-3 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Dallas Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS After 1 Overs (12 -> 13.5)


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Washington: WAS are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Wed. games.
WAS are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Over is 7-3 in WAS last 10 games as an underdog.

Toronto: Under is 8-0 in TOR last 8 games as a favorite.
TOR are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Wed. games.
Under is 8-3 in TOR last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.

Head to Head: WAS are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.


New York: NY are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
NY are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Southeast.
Over is 7-3 in NY last 10 Wed. games.

Charlotte: Under is 7-3 in CHAR last 10 overall.
CHAR are 32-14-2 ATS in their last 48 Wed. games.


Golden State: GS are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Southeast.
GS are 5-16-2 ATS in their last 23 Wed. games.
Over is 12-4 in GS last 16 vs. NBA Southeast.

Atlanta: Over is 8-3 in ATL last 11 vs. NBA Pacific.
ATL are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Pacific.
ATL are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Head to Head: GS are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


Milwaukee: Under is 7-2 in MIL last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 7-3 in MIL last 10 Wed. games.

Orlando: Under is 8-1 in ORL last 9 Wed. games.
Under is 15-5 in ORL last 20 home games.
Under is 20-7 in ORL last 27 games as a favorite.

Head to Head: MIL are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Orlando.


L.A. Lakers: Over is 13-5 in LAL last 18 games as a favorite.

Boston: BOS are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
Under is 8-3 in BOS last 11 games as an underdog.


Detroit: DET are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Wed. games.

New Jersey: NJ are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Under is 25-12 in NJ last 37 Wed. games.


Dallas: Over is 6-2-1 in DAL last 9 games as a favorite.
Over is 6-2-1 in DAL last 9 overall.
Under is 11-5-1 in DAL last 17 road games.

Memphis: Over is 13-3-1 in MEM last 17 home games.
Over is 24-8-1 in MEM last 33 overall.
Over is 12-4 in MEM last 16 vs. Western Conference.

Head to Head: DAL are 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings.


Philadelphia: Under is 17-8-1 in PHI last 26 vs. NBA Southwest.

New Orleans: Under is 9-3 in NO last 12 games as a favorite.

Head to Head: Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in New Orleans.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.


Houston: Under is 8-1 in HOU last 9 Wed. games.
HOU are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Northwest.
HOU are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head to Head: SEA are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


Sacramento: Under is 9-2 in SAC last 11 road games.
SAC are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
SAC are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

Minnesota: Over is 20-6-1 in MIN last 27 overall.
MIN are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Over is 35-17 in MIN last 52 home games.


San Antonio: Under is 8-1 in SA last 9 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 14-3 in SA last 17 games as a favorite.
Under is 14-3 in SA last 17 overall.

Utah: Over is 10-4 in UTA last 14 games as an underdog.

Head to Head: Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Utah.
SA are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Utah.


Denver: Over is 6-2 in DEN last 8 overall.
DEN are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 Wed. games.
Over is 19-7 in DEN last 26 vs. NBA Northwest.

Portland: Over is 7-2 in POR last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.
Under is 42-19-1 in POR last 62 Wed. games.
Over is 13-6-1 in POR last 20 home games.

Head to Head: DEN are 18-5-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
Underdog is 17-6-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings.


Chicago: CHI are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games.



- - - -



NBA

Short Sheet


Wednesday, January 31st




Washington at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Washington: 10-25 ATS off 3+ SU wins
Toronto: 19-5 ATS off a road game

Golden State at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Golden State: 21-8 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less
Atlanta: 5-18 ATS off a SU win as an underdog

Milwaukee at Orlando, 7:05 EST
Milwaukee: 13-4 ATS off a loss by 15+ points
Orlando: 8-17 ATS as a favorite

New York at Charlotte, 7:05 EST
New York: 12-2 Under Away playing on BB nights
Charlotte: 7-1 ATS vs. New York

Detroit at New Jersey, 7:35 EST
Detroit: 3-13 ATS in the 2nd of BB road games
New Jersey: 12-2 ATS in January

LA Lakers at Boston, 7:35 EST
LA Lakers: 1-8 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 ATS
Boston: 4-16 ATS in home games

Philadelphia at New Orleans, 8:05 EST
Philadelphia: 15-5 Over at Hornets
New Orleans: 14-3 ATS vs. Eastern Conference

Dallas at Memphis, 8:05 EST
Dallas: 9-0 ATS after a combined score of 205+ points BB games
Memphis: 0-7 ATS at home vs. Dallas

Seattle at Houston, 8:35 EST
Seattle: 11-2 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
Houston: 2-11 ATS at home off BB SU wins

Sacramento at Minnesota, 9:05 EST
Sacramento: 3-12 ATS in January
Minnesota: 13-2 Over in January

San Antonio at Utah, 9:05 EST
San Antonio: 12-3 Under in January
Utah: 8-2 ATS off BB ATS losses

Denver at Portland, 10:05 EST
Denver: 9-2 ATS off BB non-conference games
Portland: 3-12 ATS revenging a home loss

Chicago at LA Clippers, 10:35 EST
Chicago: 5-14 ATS in road games
LA Clippers: 18-3 Under at home if the total is between 190 and 194.5

** (TC) Denotes Time Change




- - - -





NBA Injuries - 1-31-07




Atlanta - *Guard Speedy Claxton (1/31, sore left knee) is doubtful for Wednesday's game against Golden State.

Boston - *Guard Delonte West (1/31, flu-like symptoms) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the LA Lakers. Guard Tony Allen (1/13, left knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season. *Guard Paul Pierce (1/31, stress reaction in left foot) is expected to miss at least another 2-3 weeks. Center Theo Ratliff (1/5, to undergo lower back surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Charlotte - Forward Othella Harrington (1/30, sore left knee) is questionable for Wednesday's game against New York. Forward Sean May (1/30, sore right knee) is questionable for Wednesday's game against New York. Center Primoz Brezec (1/30, bulging disc in lower back) is questionable for Wednesday's game against New York. Guard Brevin Knight (12/30, abdominal surgery) will miss at least four weeks.

Chicago - *Center Ben Wallace (1/31, bruised/swollen left knee) is doubtful for Wednesday's game against the LA Clippers. Center Martynas Andriuskevicius (1/6, concussion/minor skull fracture) will miss the remainder of the season.

Cleveland - *Forward LeBron James (1/31, sprained right big toe) is questionable for Thursday's game against Miami.

Dallas - *Forward Josh Howard (1/31, personal) is probable for Wednesday's game against Memphis.

Denver - Forward Carmelo Anthony (1/30, sprained left wrist) is probable for Wednesday's game against Portland. Guard Allen Iverson (1/30, sprained right ankle) will miss Wednesday's game against Portland. Forward Kenyon Martin (11/15, right knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Detroit - No significant injuries.

Golden State - *Guard Monta Ellis (1/31, sprained right ankle) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Atlanta. Guard Jason Richardson (12/31, broken bone in right hand) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks. Forward Zarko Cabarkapa (12/26, back surgery) is out indefinitely.

Houston - Guard Kirk Snyder (1/30, upper respiratory infection) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Seattle. Center Yao Ming (12/24, fractured bone under right knee) is expected to miss at least six weeks. Guard Bob Sura (11/10, right knee/back) is out indefinitely.

Indiana - *Guard Marquis Daniels (1/31, left knee tendinitis) is questionable for Friday's game against the LA Lakers. *Guard Keith McLeod (1/31, strained abdominal muscle) is doubtful for Friday's game against the LA Lakers. Forward David Harrison (1/17, sprained left shoulder) is out indefinitely.

Los Angeles - Center Zeljko Rebraca (1/30, back surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Los Angeles - *Guard Kobe Bryant (1/31, suspension served) is probable for Wednesday's game against Boston. Forward Luke Walton (1/28, sprained right ankle) is expected to miss 1-2 weeks. Center Kwame Brown (1/24, sprained left ankle) is expected to miss at least another 7-10 days. *Center Chris Mihm (11/14, right ankle surgery) is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

Memphis - Forward Stromile Swift (1/25, back spasms) is out indefinitely. Guard Kyle Lowry (11/22, broken left wrist) is out indefinitely.

Miami - *Center Shaquille O`Neal (1/31, strained left calf) is questionable for Thursday's game against Cleveland. *Guard Jason Williams (1/31, left foot inflammation/lower abdominal strain) is questionable for Thursday's game against Cleveland. Forward Wayne Simien (11/30, salmonella infection) is out indefinitely.

Milwaukee - Guard Michael Redd (1/27, strained patellar tendon in left knee) is expected to miss another 1-2 weeks. Forward Bobby Simmons (1/13, right foot surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Minnesota - Forward Justin Reed (1/30, personal) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Sacramento. Guard Rashad McCants (1/30, right knee surgery) may return within one week.

New Jersey - Forward Bostjan Nachbar (1/30, flu) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Detroit. Forward Richard Jefferson (1/22, right ankle surgery) is out indefinitely. Center Nenad Krstic (12/23, left knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

New Orleans/Okla City - Guard Chris Paul (1/30, sprained right ankle) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Philadelphia. Guard Peja Stojakovic (12/18, lower back surgery) is expected to miss at least two months.

New York - *Guard Stephon Marbury (1/31, sore left knee) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Charlotte. *Forward Quentin Richardson (1/31, sprained right elbow) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Charlotte. Guard Steve Francis (1/30, right knee tendinitis) is expected to miss another two weeks.

Orlando - Guard Keyon Dooling (1/26, sprained ligaments in right thumb) is expected to miss one week. Forward Trevor Ariza (1/12, sprained MCL in right knee) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks.

Philadelphia - Forward Shavlik Randolph (12/1, left ankle surgery) is out indefinitely.

Phoenix - Forward Kurt Thomas (1/16, hyperextended left elbow) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

Portland - Forward LaMarcus Aldridge (1/30, flu) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Denver. Forward Travis Outlaw (1/30, sprained right ankle) is expected to miss at least another week. Forward Darius Miles (11/14, right knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Sacramento - No significant injuries.

San Antonio - Forward Matt Bonner (1/15, torn MCL in left knee) is expected to miss 2-6 weeks.

Seattle - *Center Danny Fortson (1/31, sore left knee) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Houston. Forward Rashard Lewis (1/29, right hand surgery) is expected to miss another 2-3 weeks. Center Robert Swift (10/27, torn ACL in right knee) will miss the entire season.

Toronto - Guard T.J. Ford (1/30, sore right ankle) is probable for Wednesday's game against Washington.

Utah - *Forward Carlos Boozer (1/31, hairline fracture in left leg) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

Washington - *Forward Antawn Jamison (1/31, sprained left knee) is expected to miss Wednesday's game against Toronto. Forward Michael Ruffin (1/13, sprained right foot) is out indefinitely. Forward Darius Songaila (1/25, back surgery) is expected to miss another 3-5 weeks.
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