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Old 02-02-07, 02:53 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default NBA trends and injuries - 2-02-07

NBA

Write-up


Friday, February 2






Hot Teams
-- 76ers are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Nets are 14-3 vs spread in their last seventeen games, but are 2-4 SU in last six.
-- Pacers won four of their last five games.
-- Clippers won six of their last seven games.
-- Toronto won six of its last eight games. Atlanta won four of its last five games, covered five of six.
-- Bobcats are 10-7 in their last seventeen games.
-- Pistons won five of their last seven games.
-- Hornets covered nine of their last eleven games.
-- Bulls won six of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Warriors lost five of their last seven games.
-- Orlando lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Lakers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Celtics lost their last thirteen games (5-8 vs spread).
-- Cavaliers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Bucks lost thirteen of their last fifteen games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Nuggets lost last four games, by 5,10,4,9 points. Portland lost five of its last six road games.
-- Seattle lost four of its last five games.

Series Records
-- Home side won last three Warrior-76er games.
-- Nets won last four vs Orlando, by 11,7,3,7 points.
-- Home side won last three Laker-Pacer games.
-- Celtics lost 100-77 at Clippers December 27 (+7).
-- Hawks are 2-1 vs Toronto this season: 111-102/97-93/92-105.
-- Home side won both Charlotte-Cleveland games this year.
-- Home side is 7-3 in last ten Detroit-Milwaukee games.
-- Visitor won both Timberwolf-Hornet games this season.
-- Nuggets, Blazers split pair of games this season.
-- Sonics lost 99-84 at Chicago Dec 13 (+9.5).

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Warriors are 6-5 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Orlando is 4-6 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Indiana is 9-2 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Cavaliers are 2-9-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bucks covered five of last six if they played night before.
-- Minnesota is 7-4-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Denver is 8-3 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Chicago is 3-8-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Warrior games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Net games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Clipper games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Charlotte's last eleven games.
-- Under is 11-5 in last sixteen Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 17-4 in last twenty-one Minnesota games.
-- Six of last eight Denver games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Seattle games went over the total.


- - - -




NBA

2-02-07




Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers (7 PM ET)
Golden State is 4-17 on the road this season and has not won away from home since a 97-89 victory over New Orleans on January 2nd. The Warriors are averaging 95.5 points - 10 below their season average - the past two games while shooting 42 percent from the field and eight percent from 3-point range. BIG EDGE: SIXERS
The 76ers are 4-14 against the Western Conference this year. EDGE: WARRIORS

The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.




Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers (7 PM ET)
Lakers guard Kobe Bryant is averaging 37 points in his last four contests, including a 43-point effort against Boston on Wednesday night. EDGE: LAKERS
The Pacers, who are tied with Atlanta for last in the conference in field-goal shooting at 43.7 percent, hit a season-best 53.6 percent (37-for-69) on Monday. EDGE: UNDER
Bryant was held to 21 points in the first meeting this season with the Pacers, but the Lakers won 101-87 on December 4th at Staples Center. However, Los Angeles has dropped its last three visits to Conseco Fieldhouse. EDGE: PACERS

The home team is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.




Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks (7:30 PM ET)
The Raptors have won eight of their last 11 trips to Atlanta, but they lost 97-93 on November 24th in their only visit this season. The Hawks had won three straight overall in this series before losing 105-92 at Toronto on Jan. 5 in the most recent meeting. SLIGHT EDGE: RAPTORS
Atlanta finished January with an 8-7 record. It's the team's first winning month since a 4-3 mark in April 2004, and the first time the Hawks have won at least eight games in a month since going 9-7 in March 2002. EDGE: HAWKS

The OVER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.




Los Angeles Clippers at Boston Celtics (7:30 PM ET)
A loss for Boston would extend the team's record losing streak to 14 games, surpassing the mark of 13 set during the 1993-94 season and matched in 1996-97. EDGE: CLIPPERS
Boston has been without star guard Paul Pierce for 22 games and is averaging 92.5 points in his absence - a drop off of more than eight points per game. EDGE: CLIPPERS & UNDER
The Celtics have also lost a club-record 10 consecutive home games and are a league-worst 4-18 at home this season. BIG EDGE: CLIPPERS

Boston is 5-22-1 ATS in its last 28 home games.




New Jersey Nets at Orland Magic (ESPN | 8 PM ET)
Orlando star center Dwight Howard was held to a career-low one point - missing all six of his field goal attempts - in a 101-94 loss at New Jersey on January 20th. The Nets have beaten Orlando four straight times. EDGE: NETS
The Nets are 8-2 in their last 10 visits to Orlando. BIG EDGE: NETS

The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.




Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons (8 PM ET)
Detroit is ranked sixth in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing 93.9 points per game. EDGE: UNDER
The Bucks have been held to 80 points or less four times since Michael Redd's injury and have lost 13 of their last 15 games. EDGE: UNDER

Detroit is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games.
The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings.




Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Hornets (8 PM ET)
New Orleans has scored 100-plus points in only four of its last 27 games. EDGE: UNDER
NBA insiders are quick to note that the Hornets offense was ineffective in point guard Chris Paul's first game back after a month-long absence, but the team is excited to be 3-1 on its current five-game homestand. EDGE: HORNETS

The underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.




Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets (9 PM ET)
Denver is just 8-11 with Allen Iverson in the lineup and only 2-3 with both him and Carmelo Anthony on the floor. SLIGHT EDGE: BLAZERS
Look for Anthony to come out on a mission to prove he should not have been snubbed as a reserve for the Western Conference All-Stars on Thursday. Anthony leads the NBA in scoring yet was not chosen due to his role in a brawl at Madison Square Garden back on December 16th. BIG EDGE: NUGGETS
The Nuggets are 12-12 at the Pepsi Center, where they will play three of their next four. However, the Nuggets have lost two straight and seven of 10 at home. Portland has lost six in a row and 12 of 13 at Denver. EDGE: NUGGETS
Portland plays five of its next seven games on the road, where the team is 8-15 and has lost five of six. EDGE: NUGGETS

Portland is 6-18-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings.




Chicago Bulls at Seattle SuperSonics (ESPN | 10:30 PM ET)
Chicago lost for the seventh time in eight road games versus Western Conference clubs with a 110-98 setback to the Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday. EDGE: SONICS
The Bulls are hopeful that center Ben Wallace will return Friday night. The team played without him on Wednesday night due to a bruised tendon in his left knee. Head coach Scott Skiles said the All-Star center could return either for this contest or Saturday at Golden State. EDGE: BULLS
Seattle guard Ray Allen has averaged 33.2 points over the last five games, but Seattle has lost four of them while allowing 109.8 points. EDGE: OVER

The Sonics are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games playing on one day of rest.



- - - -



NBA

Short Sheet

Friday, February 2nd




(TC) New Jersey at Orlando, 8:05 EST ESPN
New Jersey: 20-5 ATS after 3+ games committing 11 or less turnovers
Orlando: 2-12 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

LA Lakers at Indiana, 7:05 EST
LA Lakers: 15-5 ATS as an underdog
Indiana: 8-1 ATS playing with 2+ days rest

Golden State at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Golden State: 38-17 Over when the line is +3 to -3
Philadelphia: 13-26 ATS off a SU win as an underdog

LA Clippers at Boston, 7:35 EST
LA Clippers: 17-6 Over as a road favorite of 6 points or less
Boston: 4-17 ATS in home games

Charlotte at Cleveland, 7:35 EST
Charlotte: 4-12 ATS off BB SU wins
Cleveland: 38-20 Under playing their 3rd game in 4 nights

Toronto at Atlanta, 7:35 EST
Toronto: 11-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Atlanta: 3-16 ATS at home after scoring 105+ points

Milwaukee at Detroit, 8:05 EST
Milwaukee: 13-2 Over as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points
Detroit: 26-39 ATS off an ATS win

Minnesota at New Orleans, 8:05 EST
Minnesota: 9-0 Over off a home loss by 3 points or less
New Orleans: 14-2 ATS off a non-conference game

Portland at Denver, 9:05 EST
Portland: 1-5 ATS off a division game
Denver: 30-15 ATS on Friday nights

Chicago at Seattle, 10:35 EST ESPN
Chicago: 5-15 ATS in road games
Seattle: 11-2 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change




- - - -




NBA Injuries - 2-02-07




Atlanta - Guard Speedy Claxton (2/1, sore left knee) is probable for Friday's game against Toronto.

Boston - Guard Tony Allen (1/13, left knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season. Guard Paul Pierce (1/31, stress reaction in left foot) is expected to miss at least another 2-3 weeks. Center Theo Ratliff (1/5, to undergo lower back surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Charlotte - Forward Othella Harrington (1/31, left knee surgery) is expected to miss 3-6 weeks. Forward Sean May (2/1, sore right knee) is expected to miss 1-3 weeks. Center Primoz Brezec (2/1, bulging disc in lower back) is questionable for Friday's game against Cleveland. *Guard Brevin Knight (2/2, abdominal surgery) is questionable for Friday's game against Cleveland.

Chicago - Center Ben Wallace (2/1, bruised tendon in left knee ) is questionable for Friday's game against Seattle. Center Martynas Andriuskevicius (1/6, concussion/minor skull fracture) will miss the remainder of the season.

Cleveland - *Guard Shannon Brown (2/2, shin contusion) is out indefinitely.

Dallas - Forward Josh Howard (2/1, personal) is probable for Saturday's game against Minnesota.

Denver - Guard Allen Iverson (2/1, sprained right ankle) is questionable for Friday's game against Portland. Forward Kenyon Martin (11/15, right knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Detroit - No significant injuries.

Golden State - Guard Jason Richardson (12/31, broken bone in right hand) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks. Forward Zarko Cabarkapa (12/26, back surgery) is out indefinitely.

Houston - Guard Kirk Snyder (2/1, upper respiratory infection) is doubtful for Saturday's game against New Orleans/Oklahoma City. Center Yao Ming (12/24, fractured bone under right knee) is expected to miss at least six weeks. Guard Bob Sura (11/10, right knee/back) is out indefinitely.

Indiana - Guard Marquis Daniels (1/31, left knee tendinitis) is questionable for Friday's game against the LA Lakers. Guard Keith McLeod (1/31, strained abdominal muscle) is doubtful for Friday's game against the LA Lakers. Forward David Harrison (1/17, sprained left shoulder) is out indefinitely.

Los Angeles - Center Zeljko Rebraca (1/30, back surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Los Angeles - Forward Luke Walton (2/1, sprained right ankle) is expected to return within one week. Center Kwame Brown (2/1, sprained left ankle) is expected to miss Friday's game against Indiana. Center Chris Mihm (11/14, right ankle surgery) is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

Memphis - Forward Stromile Swift (1/25, back spasms) is out indefinitely. Guard Kyle Lowry (11/22, broken left wrist) is out indefinitely.

Miami - *Guard Jason Williams (2/2, left foot inflammation/lower abdominal strain) is doubtful for Saturday's game against Milwaukee. Forward Wayne Simien (11/30, salmonella infection) is out indefinitely.

Milwaukee - Guard Michael Redd (1/27, strained patellar tendon in left knee) is expected to miss another 1-2 weeks. Forward Bobby Simmons (1/13, right foot surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Minnesota - Forward Justin Reed (2/1, personal) is questionable for Friday's game against New Orleans/Oklahoma City.

New Jersey - Forward Richard Jefferson (1/22, right ankle surgery) is out indefinitely. Center Nenad Krstic (12/23, left knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

New Orleans/Okla City - Guard Peja Stojakovic (12/18, lower back surgery) is expected to miss at least two months.

New York - Forward Jared Jeffries (2/1, bruised lower back) is questionable for Saturday's game against Orlando. Forward Quentin Richardson (2/1, sprained right elbow) is questionable for Saturday's game against Orlando. Guard Steve Francis (1/30, right knee tendinitis) is expected to miss another two weeks.

Orlando - Guard Grant Hill (2/1, sprained MCL in right knee) is expected to miss 2-3 weeks. Guard Keyon Dooling (2/1, sprained ligaments in right thumb) is questionable for Friday's game against New Jersey. Forward Trevor Ariza (1/12, sprained MCL in right knee) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks.

Philadelphia - Forward Shavlik Randolph (12/1, left ankle surgery) is out indefinitely.

Phoenix - *Guard Raja Bell (2/2, inflammation in left knee) is questionable for Saturday's game against Utah. Forward Kurt Thomas (1/16, hyperextended left elbow) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

Portland - Guard Sergio Rodriguez (2/1, sprained left ankle) is doubtful for Friday's game against Denver. Forward Travis Outlaw (2/1, sprained right ankle) is probable for Friday's game against Denver. Forward Darius Miles (11/14, right knee surgery) will miss the remainder of the season.

Sacramento - Forward Shareef Abdur-Rahim (2/1, sore right knee) is probable for Saturday's game against Denver.

San Antonio - Forward Matt Bonner (1/15, torn MCL in left knee) is expected to miss 2-6 weeks.

Seattle - Center Danny Fortson (2/1, sore left knee) is out indefinitely. Forward Rashard Lewis (1/29, right hand surgery) is expected to miss another 2-3 weeks. Center Robert Swift (10/27, torn ACL in right knee) will miss the entire season.

Toronto - No significant injuries.

Utah - Forward Carlos Boozer (1/31, hairline fracture in left leg) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

Washington - Forward Antawn Jamison (2/1, sprained left knee) is expected to miss 3-6 weeks. Forward Michael Ruffin (1/13, sprained right foot) is out indefinitely. Forward Darius Songaila (2/1, back surgery) is expected to miss another 1-2 weeks.
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