[Tommy]

NBA | Monday, December 13

Hot Teams
- Miami won last eight games, covered last seven.
- Bulls won last five games, covered three of last four.
- Portland won four of its last five games. Grizzlies won last two games, covered six of last seven.
- Mavericks won last 12 games, covered eight of last ten. Bucks won three of their last four games.
- Jazz covered once in their last five games.

Cold Teams
- Hornets lost eight of last eleven games
- Pacers are 0-3-1 vs spread in last four games as road dog.
- Warriors lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread).

Totals
- Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Hornet games. Four of last five Miami games stayed under the total.
- Last four Chicago games stayed under the total.
- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Memphis games.
- Last four Dallas games went over the total.
- Under is 5-2 in last seven Golden State road games.

Back-to-Back
- Hornets are 2-2 vs spread if they played night before.
- Blazers are 4-1 vs spread if they played night before

[Tommy]

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MIAMI
New Orleans is 10-0-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami
New Orleans is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
Memphis is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Portland

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DALLAS
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. UTAH
Golden State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 19 games
Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Golden State

[Tommy]

Milwaukee at Dallas

The Mavericks look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games against the Western Conference. Dallas is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 12.

Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8 1/2).


MONDAY, DECEMBER 13

Game 501-502: New Orleans at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.035; Miami 125.820
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 11; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+11); Under

Game 503-504: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.096; Chicago 125.057
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 209
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Portland at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.638; Memphis 114.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Milwaukee at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.278; Dallas 128.132
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 12; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Golden State at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 110.786; Utah 120.336
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 9 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 11; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+11); Over

[Tommy]

Jeff Alexander

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Bottom Line: Memphis will be out for blood at home tonight as it looks to bring an 8-game home losing streak to the Blazers to an end. I like their chances, considering how limited Blazers guard Brandon Roy has been due to problems with his knees. The Blazers have really struggled away from home, going just 5-9 SU and 4-7-3 ATS. The Grizz have won 4 of their last 5 at home, with 2 of those wins coming on the Heat and Lakers. The Trail Blazers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Expect Memphis to cash a 5th straight ticket tonight.

Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -3 -110

[Tommy]

Dave Price

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks

The Key: Milwaukee has really struggled to score the ball on the road where it is averaging just 91.1 ppg. Its road struggles should continue tonight against a Dallas squad that is only allowing 91.6 ppg at home. The Under is 16-7-1 in the Mavericks' last 24 home games. It is also 12-4 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Considering the Bucks have had 2 days to rest their legs and prepare for this one, I expect a strong defensive effort from them as well. The Under is 6-1 in the Bucks' last 7 games when playing on 2 days rest. Bet the Under.

Pick: Total UNDER 186½ (-110)

[Tommy]

Rocky Atkinson

Milwaukee @ Dallas 8:35 PM EST

Milwaukee is 9-13 overall this year while Dallas comes in with a 19-4 overall record on the season.

Milwaukee is 1-9 ATS this year in non-conference games.

Dallas is 8-2 ATS this year after 3 or more consecutive wins.

Dallas will be going for their 13th straight win here tonight.

Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win.

Bucks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.

Bucks are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Bucks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.

Bucks are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.

Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Mavericks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win.

Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.

Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.

Mavericks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing SU record.

Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Home team is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.

We'll recommend a small play on Dallas tonight!

Pick: Dallas Mavericks -8½ -110

[Tommy]

Black Widow

Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls

The Indiana Pacers are one of the most underrated teams in the league this year. At 11-11 on the season, the Pacers are outscoring opponents 99.6 to 97.4 on average. This is a team that has bought into playing defense, and their player development is unmatched in the NBA.

Chicago is 14-8 this year but their scoring averages are very similar to Indiana's as they outscore foes 100.0 to 97.4. Asking the Bulls to lay 8 points to Indiana is simply too much to ask, thus we'll side with the underdog and take the value with the Pacers tonight.

Indiana is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. loss.

The Pacers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.

The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

Chicago is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.

Take Indiana and the points.