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Tuesday 12-21 NBA Picks and Trends

Tuesday 12-21 NBA Picks and Trends


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Old 12-21-2010, 02:24 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Tuesday 12-21 NBA Picks and Trends

NBA | Tuesday, December 21

Hot Teams
- Dallas won 15 of its last 16 games; they're 9-1 vs spread on road.
- Thunder won five of their last six games.
- Grizzlies won four of last six games, covered nine of last 11.
- Bulls won seven of their last eight games. 76ers won four of last five games, covered 12 of last 14 (4-1 last five as road dog).
- Lakers won seven of last eight games, covered last three.

Cold Teams
- Orlando lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
- Bobcats lost five of last six games, covered two of last eight as a road underdog.
- Nets are 0-6 vs spread in last six road games.
- Warriors lost last nine games, covered one of last five. Sacramento lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread).
- Milwaukee lost last three games, by 2-9-26 points.

Totals
- Seven of last eight Dallas games went over the total. Seven of last eight Orlando games stayed under.
- Four of last five Charlotte games stayed under the total.
- Five of last seven Memphis games stayed under the total.
- Seven of last nine Chicago home games stayed under total.
- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under the total.
- Four of last five Laker home games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Back
- Mavericks are 4-0 (3-1 vs spread) if they played night before.
- Charlotte is 4-1 vs spread at home if they played on road the night before,
- Warriors are 2-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
- Home team is 5-0 vs spread in games where Milwauke is playing for second consecutive night (Bucks 2-0 vs spread on road).
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Old 12-21-2010, 02:29 PM   #2 (permalink)
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7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. ORLANDO
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Orlando is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. MEMPHIS
New Jersey is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey

10:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SACRAMENTO
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Sacramento is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games at home
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA LAKERS
Milwaukee is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the LA Lakers last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games at home
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Old 12-21-2010, 02:31 PM   #3 (permalink)
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New Jersey at Memphis

The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a New Jersey team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog. Memphis is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 11.

Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6 1/2).

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 701-702: Dallas at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.011; Orlando 119.678
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Oklahoma City at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 119.463; Charlotte 110.798
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: New Jersey at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 111.004; Memphis 121.945
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Philadelphia at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.826; Chicago 125.905
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Golden State at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 110.663; Sacramento 115.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 4 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 205
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-3); Over

Game 711-712: Milwaukee at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.594; LA Lakers 125.144
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 189
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+12); Under
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Old 12-21-2010, 02:33 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Jimmy Boyd

Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic

Orlando has lost 7 of its last 8 games, and it will likely take a few more lumps with Dallas, San Antonio and Boston up next. The foundations of those three teams are rock solid. Right now, Orlando's foundation is looking a little shaky. The Magic made a big move to bring in Gilbert Arenas, Jason Richardson and Hedo Turkoglu, but it will take these three a little time to adjust to a new squad.

The Mavericks have been a beast on the road. They are 9-1 away from the American Airlines Center with six straight wins against teams that are a combined 45 games above .500. Dallas is an awesome is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog this season, winning these games by 6.2 points on average.

With both of these teams playing yesterday, it is also important to note that the Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without rest. The Magic, meanwhile, are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing without rest. The road team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series.

Take Dallas +3.
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Old 12-21-2010, 02:35 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Tom Freese

New Jersey Nets vs. Memphis Grizzlies

New Jersey is 8-20 straight up this year. The Nets are 10-25-1 ATS their last 36 Tuesday games. New Jersey is 0-6 ATS their last 6 games as road underdogs. The Nets are 3-8 ATS their last 11 games off a straight up win. New Jersey is 0-6 ATS their last 6 road games. Memphis is 12-16 straight up this year. The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS their last 8 games overall and they are 4-0 ATS off a straight up loss. Memphis is 5-1 ATS their last 6 games off an ATS win. The Grizzlies are 5-2-1 ATS their last 8 home games.

PLAY ON MEMPHIS -6
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Old 12-21-2010, 02:37 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Jack Jones

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings

This is a very low total for a Warriors game, and one I'll gladly take advantage of as Tuesday's free pick. The Warriors are scoring 100.9 PPG and allowing 106.8 PPG for an average of 207.7 PPG this season. Both the Warriors and Kings are terrible defensive teams, as opponents are shooting 47.3% against Golden State while Sacramento is allowing 47.4% shooting defensively.

Looking at the scores between these teams in recent meetings, it's easy to see why the OVER in this game is the clear choice. Golden State and Sacramento have combined to score 207 or more points in 9 of their last 11 meetings. They have scored 205 or more combined points in 10 of those 11 meetings, only once combining for less than 205. There is certainly some very nice value here.

Bet the OVER 206 in this contest.
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