[Tommy]

NBA | Sunday, January 9, 2011

1:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. TORONTO
Sacramento is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Golden State's last 25 games on the road
Golden State is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
LA Clippers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Golden State

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Minnesota is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PHOENIX
Cleveland is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Phoenix
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing Cleveland
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

9:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DENVER
New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games
Denver is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

9:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA LAKERS
New York is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
New York is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
LA Lakers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against New York
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing New York

[Tommy]

Cleveland at Phoenix

The Suns look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 2-11-1 ATS in its last 14 road games. Phoenix is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 13 1/2.

Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10 1/2).

[Tommy]

Info Plays

Miami Heat vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Heat -5

Reasons why the Heat will cover:

1) Miami has been unbelievable on the road this season, and getting them at -5 is just too good to not take in this situation.

2) The Heat are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games, and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.

3) Portland is coming in off a nice win and cover over the Timberwolves, but are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

[Tommy]

Rob Vinciletti

New Orleans Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets actually qualify in 2 systems here. What we want to do is play on home favorites off back to back road favorite losses if the last lost was by 10 or more points. These rebounding homers have cashed 20 of 18 times since 1990.

A Secondary system is to play on rested conference home favorites from -5 to -10 that are off a road favored loss and allowed 120 or more points. This one hits around 75% long term. The Nuggets were blown away by a poor Sacramento team in their last game while the Hornets lost a close one late to the Lakers. Take Denver to get the win and cover.

Pick: Denver Nuggets -5 (-110) at Bodog.

[Tommy]

Tom Freese

New York Knicks vs. Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers are 26-11 straight up this year. Los Angeles is 5-11 ATS their last 16 Sunday games.

The Lakers are 0-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Lakers are 2-6-1 ATS their last 9 games overall. Los Angeles is 4-10 ATS off an ATS loss.

The Lakers are 3-9 ATS their last 12 games as favorites of 5.0 to 10.5 points.

New York 21-14 straight up this year.

The Knicks are 19-7 ATS their last 26 games overall.

New York is 37-18 ATS their last 55 games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%.

The Knicks are 13-3 ATS their last 16 games as road underdogs.

The Knicks are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games in Los Angeles.

Pick: New York Knicks +6½ (-110)

[Tommy]

Hot Teams
- Warriors won six of last nine games (7-2 vs spread).
- Spurs won five of last seven games, but are 4-8-1 vs spread in last 13.
- Hornets covered seven of their last ten games.
- Miami won its last eight games; they're 8-2 vs spread in last 10 games as a road favorite. Portland won four of its last five (5-0 vs spread).
- Knicks won five of their last seven games. Lakers won five of their last six, but are 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games.

Cold Teams
- Kings are 1-5-1 vs spread in game following a loss. Toronto lost seven of its last nine games.
- Clippers lost six of their last nine home games.
- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
- Cavaliers lost their last nine games (1-8 vs spread). Phoenix lost three in row and seven of last eight games.
- Nuggets are 3-5 vs spread in last eight games as home favorite.

Totals
- Eight of last nine Sacramento road games stayed under total. Four of last five Raptor games went over.
- Over is 7-3 in last ten Golden State games. Under is 6-2-1 in Clippers' last nine home games.
- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Minnesota games.
- Last four Cleveland games went over the total. Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Phoenix games.
- Under is 11-3 in Hornets' last 14 road games.
- Five of last six Miami games went over the total.
- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Laker games.