[Tommy]

NBA | Wednesday, Febuary 2, 2011

Hot Teams
- Nets covered their last five games as a home underdog. 76ers won four of their last five games.
- Mavericks won last five games, covered three of last four. Knicks won three of last four games, covered four of last five.
- Thunder won six of last seven home games, but failed to cover last three as a home favorite. Hornets are 11-2 in last 13 games, but 1-4 vs spread in last five.
- Grizzlies won three in row, six of last seven games.
- Portland won six of its last eight games.
- Phoenix won seven of its last ten games. Bucks won three of their last four games.
- Clippers won their last nine home games. Chicago won/covered its last five games.

Cold Teams
- Toronto lost its last 12 games (0-4 vs spread in last four). Hawks are 7-14 vs spread as a home favorite.
- Cavaliers lost last 21 games, failing to cover last six tries as home dog. Pacers lost their last five road games (2-3 vs spread).
- Charlotte lost last two games, scoring 80.5 ppg, but they're 5-2 in last seven games as a road underdog. Pistons lost last three games, by 9-1-18 points.
- Minnesota lost six of last seven games, but covered last three.
- Nuggets lost last two games by 11-15 points; they've won five of last six home games.
- Jazz lost seven of their last nine games. Houston lost last three games, by 5-13-8 points.

Totals
- Last four Atlanta games went over the total. Under is 9-3 in last 12 Toronto games.
- Six of last eight Indiana games went over the total.
- Over is 6-3 in Nets' last nine home games.
- Three of last four Dallas games went over the total.
- Under is 5-2 in last seven Charlotte road games.
- Three of last four New Orleans games went over the total.
- Under is 15-7-1 in last 23 Memphis road games.
- Last six Denver games went over the total. Portland's last four stayed under the total.
- Five of last seven Houston games went over the total.
- Over is 5-2 in Milwaukee's last seven road games.
- Under is 5-2 in Chicago's last seven games.

Back-to-Back
- Hornets are 5-2 vs spread if they won the night before.
- Portland is 5-3 vs spread on road if it won the night before.
- Rockets are 3-6 vs spread if they lost the night before.

[Tommy]

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Atlanta's last 25 games when playing Toronto

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CLEVELAND
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW YORK
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
New York is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Dallas
New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. DETROIT
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New Orleans's last 25 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Minnesota's last 23 games when playing at home against Memphis

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. UTAH
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home
Utah is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

9:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Portland is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing Portland

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Chicago is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing LA Clippers
Chicago is 5-16 SU in their last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 8 games
LA Clippers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games

[Tommy]

Philadelphia at New Jersey

The Sixers are coming off a 110-99 win over Denver and look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Philadelphia is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sixers favored by 5.

Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1 1/2).

[Tommy]

Tom Freese

Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers are 19-28 straight up this year. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS their last 7 games as home underdogs. The Clippers are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games as underdogs of 0.5 to 4.5 points. Chicago is 33-14 straight up this year. The Bulls are 40-18-3 ATS their last 61 Conference games. Chicago is 4-1 ATS their last 5 games. The Bulls are 23-9 ATS their last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Chicago is 11-3 ATS their last 14 games when playing with 3 or more days rest.

PLAY ON CHICAGO -2 at Sports Interaction.

[Tommy]

Jimmy Boyd

Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Clippers

1 Unit on Chicago Bulls -2 at Sports Interaction.

The Clippers are playing well, but the Bulls are playing better. Chicago has won 5 in a row and 10 of 12, and it will be out to avenge an earlier season 1-point home loss to the Clippers. In fact, the Clippers have quietly won 3 straight in this series, and you can bet that's not sitting well with Derrick Rose and company.

Going to the numbers we find that plays on road teams, when the line is +3 to -3, out to avenge a home upset loss to an opponent, provided they are a good team winning 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a losing record, are an impressive 40-16 ATS since 1996.

The Clippers have put up some good offensive numbers this season, but Chicago is a much improved defensive team under coach Thibodeau. In fact, the Bulls are 15-5 ATS versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season. They are defeating these teams by an average score of 101.3 to 93.9.

I like the way the Clippers are playing, but they'll have their work cut out for themselves tonight, especially without the services of Eric Gordon. Bet the Bulls.

[Tommy]

Jack Jones

Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 at Bodog.

There's no question that Cleveland wants to put an end to this dreadful losing streak, and their best chance in quite some time comes Wednesday. The Cavaliers have lost 21 straight, but five of their last six losses have come against teams with winning records. Their lone loss to a losing team was a 101-103 setback at New Jersey on a buzzer-beater. Indiana (18-27) comes to town tonight playing their second game under an interim head coach after Jim O'Brien was fired. The Pacers have not been playing well either, going 2-7 SU & 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.

Asking the Pacers to win on the road by 7 points is simply too much to ask tonight. Indiana is 6-16 SU & 8-12-2 ATS in 22 road games this season, and the Pacers are getting outscored by 6.7 PPG away from home this year. Indiana is 3-0 in the first 3 meetings of this series this season, and it is very difficult to sweep a team in the same season. The Pacers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games overall. Indiana is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5. Great value here with the home team trying to put an end to this losing streak. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

[Tommy]

Jeff Alexander

Philadelphia 76ers vs. New Jersey Nets

1 Unit on New Jersey Nets +2

Bottom Line: The 76ers are just 6-18 this season on the road, where they are losing by an average of 5.0 ppg. The Nets, meanwhile, have shown some life at home, where they have won 5 of their last 6. It is worth noting that the lone defeat was a 1-point loss to Dallas. The 76ers have been lousy on the road laying points. In fact, they are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. The Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The 76ers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings at New Jersey. Plus, the underdog is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Bet the Nets.