NFL Week 4 Picks

Gamehendge · 09-30-06, 02:07 PM

10-01 NFL Week 4 Picks

Best Pick Record = 3-2
Strong Pick = 2-3
Regular Pick Record = 3-3

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San Diego @ Baltimore

Best Pick = UNDER 34.5 Points

This just might be the most physchical game in the
NFL so far. Both of these teams are dominating
on the defensive side of the ball. Baltimore's
offense has yet to really click. Their definetely
3-0 because of their stingy defense. San Diego
looked impressive offensively in their 2-0 season
so far, but they really were'nt tested playing in
my opinion the two worst teams in the league
against Oakland and Baltimore. Philip Rivers, is
making only his 3rd start of his career and will
be harassed by Ray Lewis and company. I look for
both teams to try to establish the run and ware
down their opponent. Both will have trouble in the
redzone, resulting in a game of field goals.

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Indianapolis @ N.Y. Jets

Best Bet = OVER 45.5 points

I think an average game for the Colts in this one
would be putting up 34 points. That leaves a
surprisingly good Jets team to put up 2 touchdowns
on their end. This is one where I can see the Colts
covering all by themselves. The Jets are playing with
a banged up secondary, Cornerbacks David Barrett (thigh)
and Derrick Strait (thigh) and safety Kerry Rhodes
(thigh) are questionable. The Colts are going to expoit
this early, causing the Jets to air it out as well, who
are having success at throwing the ball led by
Quarterback Chad Pennington. Even if the Colts get way
out ahead, this Jets team has showed a never quit
attitude behing first year coach Eric Mangini, which was
on display in a near comeback against the Patriots in
week 2.

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New England @ Cincinnati

Best Bet = Cincinnati -6

Here's a game that is finally gonna show that New
England is no longer an elite team in the NFL.
I think Cincinnati looks forward to these big games
more than most teams would. They want to show
everyone that they're no longer a pushover team,
and ready to make a Super Bowl run. I don't even see
this game being all that close. Cinci have a three
headed monster reciever core in Johnson, Henry and
Houshmandzadeh. How are the Pats defense going to
contain these guys and Rudie Johnson? Randall Gay
had to be placed on injured reserve, starting
cornerback Ellis Hobbs is questionable with a wrist
injury, safety Eugene Wilson is questionable with a
hamstring and backup safety Artrell Hawkins has been
nursing a thigh injury. The only way for New England
to stay in this game is for them to pass downfield
fluidly, but Cinci will know it's coming. There's
just not enough playmakers on a dismantled New
England Team.

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Cleveland @ Oakland

Best Bet = OVER 33.5 points

A big reason this line is so low is because the Raiders
starting Quarterback Aaron Brooks is out, which means
Andrew Walters will be getting his first career start
against the Browns. Oakland is coming off a bye week,
which allowed Walters plenty of time to get ready.
Aaron Brooks wasn't the answer for this team anyways,
so I don't even see this as much of a downgrade. I see
Randy Moss having a huge game in this one as well, after
being shutdown against Baltimore and San Diego, who are
argueably the two best defenses in the league. Cleveland
should have some success against Oakland's defense,
which is easily in the top 3 worst in the NFL this year.

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Indianapolis @ N.Y. Jets

Strong Pick = Indianapolis -9

I know -9 points is alot of points to give a home
team, expecially that is 2-1, but the Colts are gonna
light it up with ease in this one. Here's a big
reason why. Jets Cornerbacks David Barrett (thigh)
and Derrick Strait (thigh) and safety Kerry Rhodes
(thigh) are all questionable. This spells disaster
for a Colts team that has 5 to 6 options on every
play for Peyton Manning to get the ball moving.
The Jets are in for a long day but will still be
content being 2-2 a quarter of the way into the
season.

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San Francisco @ Kansas City

Strong Pick = Kansas City -7

The Chiefs come into this game 0-2, so this will be
a crucial game for them to win. They're also coming
off a bye week, which gives them plenty of rest and time
with backup Quarterback Damon Huard to get used to the
starting roll. San Francisco is looking much improved from
last year, but they're still going to have trouble on the
road where the home team is expected to win. Larry Johnson
has been semi quiet this far. Most defenses know stopping
him is the key to beating the Chiefs. KC will come out
throwing, which will make them back off the running game
somewhat allowing LJ to have a big game.

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Green Bay @ Philadelphia

Strong Pick = OVER 48 points

Green Bay is probably the worst defensive team in the
league, and Philadelphia has one of the best offenses.
Eagles Quarterback Donavan McNabb, has 960 yards
passing, to go along with 7 touchdowns and only 1
interception. Green Bay is coming off their best outing
of the season, scoring 34 points against the Detriot
Lions last week. This gives them some confidence that
they can compete. They will have to put up alot of
points to just stay in the game.

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Regular Pick = San Diego -2.5

The Charger's are coming off a bye week and pretty
much have a clean slate on the injuried list. They've
had 2 weeks to come up with a gameplan against a good
Baltimore team. The Ravens barely got past the Browns
last week, and really showed some flaws in their game.
I see the Charger's defense getting to McNair and
costing him to scramble and make some ill decisions.
I'm sure Baltimore will be bringing the blitz on young
QB Philip Rivers, who has yet to face a good defense.
This is where the best all around running back,
Ladanian Tomlison will come into effect on the screen
pass, taking chunks of positive yards. Look for a 8-10
catches along with 70-85 yards recieving yards from
Tomlison, which will be the difference in this ball game.

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Jacksonville @ Washington

Regular Pick = Jacksonville -2.5

I feel Jacksonville matches up well against the
Redskins. They have a strong physical team that can
shut Portis down, which is the main weapon on
Washingtons team. Jacksonville offensively have
looked pretty good as well, and seem to play a fairly
mistake free game which goes a long way when you
have a great defense. Whoever turns the ball over
less will win this one, and if the Jags stick to
what they've been doing all season long, that will
be in their favor.

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Seattle @ Chicago

Regular Pick UNDER 35 points

Here's two defenses that are ranked in the top 5. Seattle
star running back, Shaun Alexander is out with a broken
foot. This should take away some offense since he's a huge
part of their offensive scheme. Chicago Quarterback, Rex
Grossman, had some success in his first two games, but
they were against two poor defenses in Green Bay and the
Detriot Lions. Last week he didn't favor so well a against
a very good Minnesota Vikings defense. Seattle has a solid
defense as well and have been having alot of success
against the pass. Should be a grinde it out game, with
some long field goal attempts, and little action inside
the redzone. The only thing that worries me in this one
is that the defenses could very likely punch in a
touchdown.

Eaglesfan · 09-30-06, 08:15 PM

GL San diego Baltimore under looks like a good play see how Rivers handles Ravens D

mbeller83 · 09-30-06, 09:22 PM

Just to give you a heads up. Manginis head coach of Jets, lists tons of players as questionible to play mind games.. All those guys will play.

Tommy · 09-30-06, 11:03 PM

I like the Bengals play as well bro. They're the best team in the NFL right now as far as I'm concerned.

BOL...cash in

dog · 10-01-06, 01:13 AM

Chiefs offense is weak enough that 49ers should keep it close, I'm on them. Also like the Ravens with that smothering defense, San Diego hasn't seen anything like it this year. Otherwise I really like your picks.

OLD HEAD · 10-01-06, 09:04 AM

Like a few of your picks and your opinions on them.

Strong... Colts-9 and KC -7
Best...... Bengals -6 and Raiders Over 33.5
Really like the Oakland over.

These games deserve a second look. Thanks.

Good Luck!

footballmoses · 10-01-06, 09:59 AM

I agree with most everything you have to say except for the Under in the Seattle and Chicago game...both of these defenses stop the RUN very well...against the pass both are just good. Seattle has shown the 4 WRs set(HOlmgren loved this in GB) and Chicago has shown they are not afraid to throw with Grossman

I think this game will be in High 40s combined

Moses

QuickNick · 10-01-06, 02:22 PM

BOL today Bro!!!

09-30-06, 02:07 PM	#1 (permalink)
Gamehendge SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 78	NFL Week 4 Picks 10-01 NFL Week 4 Picks Best Pick Record = 3-2 Strong Pick = 2-3 Regular Pick Record = 3-3 ------------------------------------------------------ San Diego @ Baltimore Best Pick = UNDER 34.5 Points This just might be the most physchical game in the NFL so far. Both of these teams are dominating on the defensive side of the ball. Baltimore's offense has yet to really click. Their definetely 3-0 because of their stingy defense. San Diego looked impressive offensively in their 2-0 season so far, but they really were'nt tested playing in my opinion the two worst teams in the league against Oakland and Baltimore. Philip Rivers, is making only his 3rd start of his career and will be harassed by Ray Lewis and company. I look for both teams to try to establish the run and ware down their opponent. Both will have trouble in the redzone, resulting in a game of field goals. -------------------------------------------------------- Indianapolis @ N.Y. Jets Best Bet = OVER 45.5 points I think an average game for the Colts in this one would be putting up 34 points. That leaves a surprisingly good Jets team to put up 2 touchdowns on their end. This is one where I can see the Colts covering all by themselves. The Jets are playing with a banged up secondary, Cornerbacks David Barrett (thigh) and Derrick Strait (thigh) and safety Kerry Rhodes (thigh) are questionable. The Colts are going to expoit this early, causing the Jets to air it out as well, who are having success at throwing the ball led by Quarterback Chad Pennington. Even if the Colts get way out ahead, this Jets team has showed a never quit attitude behing first year coach Eric Mangini, which was on display in a near comeback against the Patriots in week 2. --------------------------------------------------------- New England @ Cincinnati Best Bet = Cincinnati -6 Here's a game that is finally gonna show that New England is no longer an elite team in the NFL. I think Cincinnati looks forward to these big games more than most teams would. They want to show everyone that they're no longer a pushover team, and ready to make a Super Bowl run. I don't even see this game being all that close. Cinci have a three headed monster reciever core in Johnson, Henry and Houshmandzadeh. How are the Pats defense going to contain these guys and Rudie Johnson? Randall Gay had to be placed on injured reserve, starting cornerback Ellis Hobbs is questionable with a wrist injury, safety Eugene Wilson is questionable with a hamstring and backup safety Artrell Hawkins has been nursing a thigh injury. The only way for New England to stay in this game is for them to pass downfield fluidly, but Cinci will know it's coming. There's just not enough playmakers on a dismantled New England Team. --------------------------------------------------- Cleveland @ Oakland Best Bet = OVER 33.5 points A big reason this line is so low is because the Raiders starting Quarterback Aaron Brooks is out, which means Andrew Walters will be getting his first career start against the Browns. Oakland is coming off a bye week, which allowed Walters plenty of time to get ready. Aaron Brooks wasn't the answer for this team anyways, so I don't even see this as much of a downgrade. I see Randy Moss having a huge game in this one as well, after being shutdown against Baltimore and San Diego, who are argueably the two best defenses in the league. Cleveland should have some success against Oakland's defense, which is easily in the top 3 worst in the NFL this year. --------------------------------------------------------- Indianapolis @ N.Y. Jets Strong Pick = Indianapolis -9 I know -9 points is alot of points to give a home team, expecially that is 2-1, but the Colts are gonna light it up with ease in this one. Here's a big reason why. Jets Cornerbacks David Barrett (thigh) and Derrick Strait (thigh) and safety Kerry Rhodes (thigh) are all questionable. This spells disaster for a Colts team that has 5 to 6 options on every play for Peyton Manning to get the ball moving. The Jets are in for a long day but will still be content being 2-2 a quarter of the way into the season. --------------------------------------------------------- San Francisco @ Kansas City Strong Pick = Kansas City -7 The Chiefs come into this game 0-2, so this will be a crucial game for them to win. They're also coming off a bye week, which gives them plenty of rest and time with backup Quarterback Damon Huard to get used to the starting roll. San Francisco is looking much improved from last year, but they're still going to have trouble on the road where the home team is expected to win. Larry Johnson has been semi quiet this far. Most defenses know stopping him is the key to beating the Chiefs. KC will come out throwing, which will make them back off the running game somewhat allowing LJ to have a big game. ---------------------------------------------------------- Green Bay @ Philadelphia Strong Pick = OVER 48 points Green Bay is probably the worst defensive team in the league, and Philadelphia has one of the best offenses. Eagles Quarterback Donavan McNabb, has 960 yards passing, to go along with 7 touchdowns and only 1 interception. Green Bay is coming off their best outing of the season, scoring 34 points against the Detriot Lions last week. This gives them some confidence that they can compete. They will have to put up alot of points to just stay in the game. -------------------------------------------------------- Regular Pick = San Diego -2.5 The Charger's are coming off a bye week and pretty much have a clean slate on the injuried list. They've had 2 weeks to come up with a gameplan against a good Baltimore team. The Ravens barely got past the Browns last week, and really showed some flaws in their game. I see the Charger's defense getting to McNair and costing him to scramble and make some ill decisions. I'm sure Baltimore will be bringing the blitz on young QB Philip Rivers, who has yet to face a good defense. This is where the best all around running back, Ladanian Tomlison will come into effect on the screen pass, taking chunks of positive yards. Look for a 8-10 catches along with 70-85 yards recieving yards from Tomlison, which will be the difference in this ball game. -------------------------------------------------------- Jacksonville @ Washington Regular Pick = Jacksonville -2.5 I feel Jacksonville matches up well against the Redskins. They have a strong physical team that can shut Portis down, which is the main weapon on Washingtons team. Jacksonville offensively have looked pretty good as well, and seem to play a fairly mistake free game which goes a long way when you have a great defense. Whoever turns the ball over less will win this one, and if the Jags stick to what they've been doing all season long, that will be in their favor. ------------------------------------------------------ Seattle @ Chicago Regular Pick UNDER 35 points Here's two defenses that are ranked in the top 5. Seattle star running back, Shaun Alexander is out with a broken foot. This should take away some offense since he's a huge part of their offensive scheme. Chicago Quarterback, Rex Grossman, had some success in his first two games, but they were against two poor defenses in Green Bay and the Detriot Lions. Last week he didn't favor so well a against a very good Minnesota Vikings defense. Seattle has a solid defense as well and have been having alot of success against the pass. Should be a grinde it out game, with some long field goal attempts, and little action inside the redzone. The only thing that worries me in this one is that the defenses could very likely punch in a touchdown.
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09-30-06, 08:15 PM	#2 (permalink)
Eaglesfan SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 2,054	GL San diego Baltimore under looks like a good play see how Rivers handles Ravens D __________________ *ALL NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL WAGERS* **1= $100 2=$200 3= $300 4*=$400* *NFL YTD 6-4 +$60* *Teaser 2-2 +64* *COLLEGE FOOTBALL YTD 9-3 +$820* *Teaser 1-1 +90* *NHL 3-4 -$280*
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09-30-06, 09:22 PM	#3 (permalink)
mbeller83 SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Palm Harbor, Fl Posts: 421	Just to give you a heads up. Manginis head coach of Jets, lists tons of players as questionible to play mind games.. All those guys will play.
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09-30-06, 11:03 PM	#4 (permalink)
Tommy Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,068	I like the Bengals play as well bro. They're the best team in the NFL right now as far as I'm concerned. BOL...cash in
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10-01-06, 01:13 AM	#5 (permalink)
dog SCI Member Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 108	Chiefs offense is weak enough that 49ers should keep it close, I'm on them. Also like the Ravens with that smothering defense, San Diego hasn't seen anything like it this year. Otherwise I really like your picks.
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10-01-06, 09:04 AM	#6 (permalink)
OLD HEAD SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Jul 2005 Location: JOISY !! Posts: 1,554	Like a few of your picks and your opinions on them. Strong... Colts-9 and KC -7 Best...... Bengals -6 and Raiders Over 33.5 Really like the Oakland over. These games deserve a second look. Thanks. Good Luck! __________________ SHOW NO EMOTION
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10-01-06, 09:59 AM	#7 (permalink)
footballmoses SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 20	I agree with most everything you have to say except for the Under in the Seattle and Chicago game...both of these defenses stop the RUN very well...against the pass both are just good. Seattle has shown the 4 WRs set(HOlmgren loved this in GB) and Chicago has shown they are not afraid to throw with Grossman I think this game will be in High 40s combined Moses __________________ 66-60-4 (Against the line); 76-51-3 (Over/Under)
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10-01-06, 02:22 PM	#8 (permalink)
QuickNick SCI Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: New Orleans Posts: 9,637	BOL today Bro!!! __________________ Nick
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