4-team teaser to close out the week

Ernie_Money · 11-05-06, 03:42 AM

NFL 4-team, 13-point teaser (ties lose):

Cincinnati +16
Miami +27.5
San Diego -1
Pittsburgh +10.5

laying $960 to win $800

Reasoning:

1) Baltimore's defense may score points, but they do give up points, too, at times. Up 35-7 at New Orleans last week, they allowed 15 points in garbage time (and the Saints moved at will and turnovers prevented at least one more score) to only win by 35-22. Cinicinnati can score, so as long as they protect the ball and don't let Jamaal Lewis run all over them, they should be able to stay within 2 TDs here.
2) Miami is 0-7 ATS this season and 1-6 SU, but are coming off a bye week and the Bears must be looking ahead to a Prime Time matchup vs. the N.Y. Giants next Sunday night at NY (ok, NJ). The Dolphins must protect the ball against this unbelievable Bears' defense, but since I think they can cover the 13.5 or 14.5 (depending on the shop), then I have to take them with 27.5.
3) I always worry about the Chargers playing to the level of their competition, but Marty-ball this season seems to be staying away from being conservative against inferior teams, which is good, because their defense is banged up and they will be missing their best defensive player this week, Shawne Merriamn (due to league suspension). As long as SD puts up points again, they should at least win here and hopefully by more than a point.
4) Pittsburgh has been super-tough at Home and their defense seems to be healthy again. This is the Steelers' season this week, a "test-your-manhood" game. Lose and they are done. They will pull out all the stops. To me, even if they lose, Denver doesn't blow anyone out, so the Steelers should be able to keep this to a 10-point loss or less.

Week 10: 10-12, -$782
Week 9: 9-4, +$880
Week 8: 3-5, -$696
Week 7: 5-2: +$636
Week 6: 5-1, +$750
Week 5: 4-4, +$681
Week 4: 3-6, +$110
Week 3: 3-3, -$575
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913

mbeller83 · 11-05-06, 10:31 AM

BOL looks solid/

naught33 · 11-05-06, 11:55 AM

ya man that looks like a sweetheart of a tease, gonna tail u on it, bol

Tommy · 11-05-06, 01:13 PM

BOL on your tease play Ernie. Close out the weak strong

Moldoveanu · 11-05-06, 02:33 PM

Cincinatii better play some defense if they are to get ur teaser in!!

ridicoulous game by Cincinatii but its the Ravens thier defense is great!

especially at home!!!

Miami is a lock SD too and Pitsburgh should have a great game as well

naught33 · 11-05-06, 04:19 PM

well 2 down for ya and 2 to go, lets get it

11-05-06, 03:42 AM	#1 (permalink)
Ernie_Money SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 48	4-team teaser to close out the week NFL 4-team, 13-point teaser (ties lose): Cincinnati +16 Miami +27.5 San Diego -1 Pittsburgh +10.5 laying $960 to win $800 Reasoning: 1) Baltimore's defense may score points, but they do give up points, too, at times. Up 35-7 at New Orleans last week, they allowed 15 points in garbage time (and the Saints moved at will and turnovers prevented at least one more score) to only win by 35-22. Cinicinnati can score, so as long as they protect the ball and don't let Jamaal Lewis run all over them, they should be able to stay within 2 TDs here. 2) Miami is 0-7 ATS this season and 1-6 SU, but are coming off a bye week and the Bears must be looking ahead to a Prime Time matchup vs. the N.Y. Giants next Sunday night at NY (ok, NJ). The Dolphins must protect the ball against this unbelievable Bears' defense, but since I think they can cover the 13.5 or 14.5 (depending on the shop), then I have to take them with 27.5. 3) I always worry about the Chargers playing to the level of their competition, but Marty-ball this season seems to be staying away from being conservative against inferior teams, which is good, because their defense is banged up and they will be missing their best defensive player this week, Shawne Merriamn (due to league suspension). As long as SD puts up points again, they should at least win here and hopefully by more than a point. 4) Pittsburgh has been super-tough at Home and their defense seems to be healthy again. This is the Steelers' season this week, a "test-your-manhood" game. Lose and they are done. They will pull out all the stops. To me, even if they lose, Denver doesn't blow anyone out, so the Steelers should be able to keep this to a 10-point loss or less. Week 10: 10-12, -$782 Week 9: 9-4, +$880 Week 8: 3-5, -$696 Week 7: 5-2: +$636 Week 6: 5-1, +$750 Week 5: 4-4, +$681 Week 4: 3-6, +$110 Week 3: 3-3, -$575 Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge) Week 1: 5-1, +$913
Status: Offline

11-05-06, 10:31 AM	#2 (permalink)
mbeller83 SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Palm Harbor, Fl Posts: 421	BOL looks solid/ __________________ NFL this year 28-11-1 +3950Units College football this year 37-29-2 +1150 Units
Status: Offline

11-05-06, 11:55 AM	#3 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	ya man that looks like a sweetheart of a tease, gonna tail u on it, bol __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

11-05-06, 01:13 PM	#4 (permalink)
Tommy Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,068	BOL on your tease play Ernie. Close out the weak strong
Status: Offline

11-05-06, 02:33 PM	#5 (permalink)
Moldoveanu SCI Member Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: New York City Posts: 829	Cincinatii better play some defense if they are to get ur teaser in!! ridicoulous game by Cincinatii but its the Ravens thier defense is great! especially at home!!! Miami is a lock SD too and Pitsburgh should have a great game as well
Status: Offline

11-05-06, 04:19 PM	#6 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	well 2 down for ya and 2 to go, lets get it __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline