nfl plays

rickj · 11-22-06, 09:51 AM

A good day yesterday. Dallas under 205 was a winner by almost 20 pts! That brings us to our highest percentage gain yet. 16.26% on 207 bets.

Things have been great..but let me discuss a second about draw down..or variance. Being a poker player it is generally accepted that your bankroll should be at least 300 big bets. Or if your playing 100-200 holdem ..60,000 to play day in and day out. The reason assuming you have a positive expectation in the game is variance or what some people call "running bad".

The same is true for sports betting. Even if you have a positive expectation variance will still require certain bankroll requirements.

So far we have had almost 0 draw down..everything has been pretty much straight up. But reality what it is dont get carried away with this and be conservative, expect ..anticipate a draw down and be prepared.

Good Luck!

22-Nov-06 9:30am
23-Nov-06 Football
Detroit Lions (+2.5) +105

26-Nov-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+3) -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 20-20 +2.56
Nba
Side 13-11 +1.71
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 207 Bets + 33.65 units +16.26% Return

Tommy · 11-23-06, 04:49 AM

BOL with Detroit play today Rick!

naught33 · 11-23-06, 01:45 PM

gl tonight bro

11-22-06, 09:51 AM	#1 (permalink)
rickj SCI Member Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 468	nfl plays A good day yesterday. Dallas under 205 was a winner by almost 20 pts! That brings us to our highest percentage gain yet. 16.26% on 207 bets. Things have been great..but let me discuss a second about draw down..or variance. Being a poker player it is generally accepted that your bankroll should be at least 300 big bets. Or if your playing 100-200 holdem ..60,000 to play day in and day out. The reason assuming you have a positive expectation in the game is variance or what some people call "running bad". The same is true for sports betting. Even if you have a positive expectation variance will still require certain bankroll requirements. So far we have had almost 0 draw down..everything has been pretty much straight up. But reality what it is dont get carried away with this and be conservative, expect ..anticipate a draw down and be prepared. Good Luck! 22-Nov-06 9:30am 23-Nov-06 Football Detroit Lions (+2.5) +105 26-Nov-06 Football Buffalo Bills (+3) -105 RickJ http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/ Record to date: mlb Sides: 17- 14 +6.83 o/u 3-8-1 -5.09 ncaafb Sides 29-21-1 +8.39 o/u 6-5 +.72 nfl Sides 14-3-1 +10.90 o/u 6-3 +2.83 nhl sides 20-20 +2.56 Nba Side 13-11 +1.71 o/u 8-3 +4.94 Total 207 Bets + 33.65 units +16.26% Return
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11-23-06, 04:49 AM	#2 (permalink)
Tommy Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,068	BOL with Detroit play today Rick!
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11-23-06, 01:45 PM	#3 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	gl tonight bro __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
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