[QuickNick]

My Friend just emailed me this,if any one is interested!!!

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Service Report 9/30PointwiseNFL KEY RELEASESDALLAS over St Louis RATING: 2PITTSBURGH over Arizona RATING: 3NEW ENGLAND over Cincinnati RATING: 4PHILADELPHIA over New York Giants RATING: 4TAMPA BAY over Carolina RATING: 5THE GOLDSHEETSUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30MIAMI 21 - Oakland 20Miami HC Cam Cameron (S.D. off. coord. LY) and QB Trent Green (7 yearswith K.C.) well familiar with Raiders from their days in AFC West. ButDolphins still looking for their first win, while rejuvenated Oaklandwithin a Mike Shanahan timeout of being 2-1 in 2007 (or their owntimeout of 03!) . Will it be Daunte Culpepper vs. his former teamafter Josh McCown suffered a foot injury last week? Miami only 8-23vs. spread last 31 at home!(05-Miami +7 33-21...SR: Oakland 18-12-1)Houston 23 - ATLANTA 13Matt Schaub vs. the team that still wished it had him. It would benice if Andre Johnson (sprained knee) returns to health for Houston,whose offense dropped to 254 yards last week vs. Indy without him. AndJoey Harrington's 361 YP vs. Carolina must not be overlooked, eventhough insiders say Atlanta handing Byron Leftwich entire gameplans sohe can play sooner rather than later. Falcons have re-signed47-year-old PK Morten Andersen. Viva Viagra!(03-HOUSTON -3 17-13...SR: Houston 1-0)CLEVELAND 20 - Baltimore 13Browns now have some weapons that must be respected in WR BraylonEdwards, TE Kellen Winslow II, and strong-armed Derek Anderson, whowas the QB for Cleveland in second meeting with Baltimore LY. Not surehow much former Raven RB Jamal Lewis has left (216 YR vs. Cin.; 56last week in Oak.), but his knowledge of Balt. offense might provehelpful. Steve McNair (groin) in an out of action (again). Ravens 0-4last four tries as a road favorite.(06-Balt. 15-CLE. 14...B.18-17 B.27/86 C.19/38 B.23/41/0/254C.21/33/1/250 B.0 C.1)(06-BALT. 27-Cle. 17...B.14-13 B.35/142 C.16/68 B.13/25/1/231C.23/33/2/168 B.2 C.0)(06-Baltimore -6' 15-14, BALTIMORE -12 27-17...SR: Baltimore 11-5)Chicago 23 - DETROIT 22Detroit's leaky pass defense appears to be just what the doctorordered for Rex Grossman (if he is able to retain his job afteranother poor performance last Sunday). But expect humiliated, 2-1Lions to play with greater determination at Ford Field (Detroit 4-1 ashome dog LY), hoping Mike Martz' unbalanced offense (446 YP, 39 YR, 9sacks at Philly) can keep them alive. Note Chicago on previous SuperBowl spread loser trend (0-3 TY).(06-CHI. 34-Det. 7...C.22-15 C.34/89 D.14/46 C.21/28/0/294D.23/30/0/199 C.1 D.3)(06-Chi. 26-DET. 21...C.22-18 C.30/116 D.18/67 D.27/45/0/260C.26/45/0/238 C.0 D.1)(06-CHICAGO -8 34-7, Chicago -5' 26-21...SR: Chicago 87-62-5)Green Bay 20 - MINNESOTA 16Will Minny be a home dog in this bitter rivalry? That's worth noting,as Vikes have covered last nine times getting any points in thisseries. Meanwhile, Packers have now won seven straight games overall,the longest streak in the league. This one appears to be a battlebetween aerials of Bret Favre as he seeks the all-time TDP record, andruns of Adrian Peterson (102 YR last week at K.C.). This bitter series"under" 4-0-1 last 5 bruising meetings.(06-G. Bay 23-MINN. 17...G.16-14 M.23/90 G.26/47 G.24/42/0/347M.18/30/1/222 G.0 M.1)(06-G. BAY 9-Minn. 7...G.19-3 M.22/77 G.24/46 G.26/51/2/273M.10/20/1/27 G.1 M.0)(06-Green Bay +5' 23-17, GREEN BAY -3' 9-7...SR: Green Bay 46-45-1)OVER THE TOTAL DALLAS 38 - St. Louis 21--Terrell Owens (8 TDs in last7) could be in for a big game as Cowboys return to their home carpetvs. Ram team shorthanded at CB with Fahkir Brown suspended one moregame and CB Tye Hill (check status) injured. And Dallas' big OL andRBs getting the job done vs. even the best teams. It looks like a longday for the St. Louis defense. Even though Rams' OL hurting, willmention Pokes' recent 15-7-2 "over" skein.(05-St. Louis +12' 20-10...SR: St. Louis 14-13)NY Jets 20 - BUFFALO 13Buffalo leads the NFL in injury depletion at the end of Week Three. Atthis writing, it looks as if J.P. Losman (sprained knee) will miss atleast 1-2 weeks, and bright young LB Paul Pozluszny is out two monthswith a broken forearm. Combine those with the previous injuries at DE,LB and DB--plus a rebuilt OL--and you have a disaster situation. Wecan't tell you to wager on Buffalo if promising rookie QB TrentEdwards (10 of 20, 1 int. off the bench last week vs. N.E.) making hisfirst start.(06-Jets 28-BUF. 20...B.26-15 B.31/169 N.24/74 B.22/39/1/306N.19/29/0/182 N.0 B.2)(06-Buf. 31-JETS 13...N.16-14 B.34/174 N.30/132 B.10/15/0/144N.22/35/2/143 B.1 N.1)(06-NY Jets +5' 28-20, Buffalo +4 31-13...SR: Buffalo 51-42)CAROLINA 20 - Tampa Bay 10Tampa Bay "O" still no smooth-running machine, especially with JeffGarcia reportedly butting heads with Jon Gruden on play-calling. Andwith Julius Peppers & Co. applying pressure, Garcia likely to be onthe move more than he would like. Not terribly excited about Carolinaattack either, especially if it has to turn to backup QB David Carr(check Jake Delhomme's elbow). But WR Steve Smith (4 TDC already)commanding extra attention, and DeShaun Foster (122 YR at Atlanta)back in stride.(06-Car. 26-T. BAY 24...C.22-13 C.28/101 T.25/64 C.22/36/0/249T.14/25/1/145 C.3 T.0)(06-CAR. 24-T. Bay 10...C.17-13 C.30/78 T.22/69 C.22/34/1/240T.17/32/2/153 C.1 T.2)(06-Carolina -3 26-24, CAROLINA -9' 24-10...SR: Carolina 8-5)SAN FRANCISCO 23 - Seattle 20Frank Gore (only 175 YR) still looking to regain his 2006 form, andS.F. defense has lost emerging, versatile young LB Manny Lawson.Still, up & coming 49ers playing with more confidence, grit anddefense than LY, when they swept Seattle, which had key players eitherout or less than 100% in both games. Must note, however, Seahawks only3-9-1 vs. the spread their last 13 on road and lack the KO power of acouple years ago.(06-S. FRAN. 20-Sea. 14...Sf.18-15 Sf.34/262 Se.21/70 Se.19/31/3/233Sf.19/25/0/154 Sf.1 Se.2)(06-S. Fran. 24-SEA. 14...Se.22-15 Sf.38/228 Se.27/90 Se.20/37/2/210Sf.14/25/0/162 Sf.0 Se.0)(06-SAN FRANCISCO +3' 20-14, San Francisco +10 24-14...SR: EVEN 8-8)ARIZONA 20 - Pittsburgh 17No shortage of juicy angles here, with new Arizona HC Ken Whisenhuntand OL coach Russ Grimm (a finalist for Pittsburgh HC job that went toMike Tomlin) facing their recent employer. Their familiarity with BenRoethlisberger and Steeler weapons ought to come in handy, especiallywith Cards' new 3-4 defensive scheme allowing front 7 to flow to balland to blitz from every angle. Improved Card infantry should helpcounter Pittsburgh defensive aggression (12 sacks) vs. QBs Leinart orWarner (a fine 15 of 20, 2 TDs off bench last week).(03-PITTSBURGH -7 28-15...SR: Pittsburgh 31-22-3)SAN DIEGO 24 - Kansas City 10Disappointed S.D. fans about ready to throw Norv Turner in a microwaveafter 1-2 start. But the opposition has been rugged, and no surpriseif "L.T." (only 130 YR) rediscovers his step vs. the same K.C. "D" heripped for 199 YR the last time he faced it in December. And we're notsure Chiefs (9 ppg!) could score much vs. LSU's defense, much less acompetent NFL stop unit, with journeyman QB Huard unable to stretchfield and opponents effectively ganging up on Larry Johnson (long gainjust 10 yards thru 3 weeks!). QB Rivers had 3 TDP last week at G.B.(06-K. CITY 30-S. Diego 27...S.22-19 K.30/134 S.23/97 S.26/44/1/252K.15/27/0/221 K.1 S.2)(06-S. DIEGO 20-K. City 9...16-16 S.38/265 K.21/90 K.23/41/1/151S.8/23/2/88 S.0 K.1)(06-KANSAS CITY +5' 30-27, SAN DIEGO -8' 20-9...SR: Kansas City 49-44-1)INDIANAPOLIS 34 - Denver 19Colts have handed Denver a pair of righteous whuppins' the Broncos'last two trips to Indy, beating them 41-10 in 2003 Wildcard Round andthen 49-24 in 2004 Wildcard Round. So Mike Shanahan (5-2 last 7 asdog) won't mind seeing RCA Dome blown up when Colts move to theirfancy, new Lucas Oil Stadium in 2008. Denver a team in transition withJay Cutler still learning and Broncos missing some key pieces at WR(Rod Smith) in OL, and at LB (Al Wilson). In Peyton we trust.(06-Indy 34-DENVER 31...D.24-23 D.36/227 I.21/92 I.32/39/0/345D.13/21/0/169 I.0 D.1)(06-Indianapolis +3 34-31...SR: Denver 11-7)*NY GIANTS 24 - Philadelphia 21Detroit's porous defense was just what the doctor ordered forbeleaguered QB Donovan McNabb and Philly offense. However, BrianWestbrook banged his ribs, and LT William (formerly Tra) Thomas' backis ailing. That might even the playing field with the banged-upGiants, who also got on the winning track last week at Washington.With Derrick Ward (94 YR vs. Redskins) running hard and defenseregaining some confidence, N.Y. might now have the edge in this NFCEast battle. TV--NBC(06-Nyg 30-PHIL. 24 (OT)...N.24-23 P.30/107 N.26/86 P.27/45/0/344N.31/43/1/318 N.0 P.1)(06-Phil. 36-NYG 22...N.22-21 P.30/161 N.22/88 N.28/40/2/270P.19/28/1/221 P.1 N.2)(06-PHIL. 23-Nyg 20...P.19-17 P.31/185 N.31/151 N.16/27/1/154P.17/31/0/138 P.0 N.0)(06-Giants +3 30-24 (OT), Phil. +5' 36-22, PHIL. -7 23-20 (P)...SR: NYGiants 78-67-2)MONDAY, OCTOBER 1*New England 37 - CINCINNATI 20Will "Ocho Cinco" (25 recs., 3 TDs) challenge N.E. Pro Bowl CB AsanteSamuel (10 ints. LY)? With an accurate QB such as Carson Palmer, C.Johnson will probably catch a few. Even so, the Cincy defense appearsway too ill-equipped to cope with Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welkerand the Patriots' plethora of formations and receiver groups that isgenerating 38 points each game the first three, even if the NFL officehas confiscated all of Bill Belichick's spy tapes. With Cincy being1-6 last 7 as home dog, can't buck N.E. Pats "over" 8 of last 9 games.CABLE TV--ESPN(06-N. Eng. 38-CINCY 13...N.26-17 N.41/236 C.17/71 C.20/35/0/208N.15/26/1/188 N.0 C.2)(06-New England +6 38-13...SR: New England 12-8)MONDAY NIGHT HISTORYNew England and Cincinnati on Monday NightNew England is 6-13 straight-up and 9-10 vs. the pointspread on theroad on Monday Night Football;6-8 straight-up and 5-8-1 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.Cincinnati is 5-2 straight-up and 4-3 vs. the pointspread at home onMonday Night Football;3-15 straight-up and 4-14 vs. the pointspread on the road on MondayNight Football.PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN (1993-07)Favorites vs. PointspreadFavored by 1-6½ points Won 84, Lost 88, Tied 4Favored by 7 points or more Won 32, Lost 25, Tied 2Total Favorites Won 116, Lost 113, Tied 6Home Teams vs. PointspreadsHome Team Favorite Won 84, Lost 84, Tied 6Home Team Underdog Won 29, Lost 31Home Team at Pick Won 1, Lost 0Total Home Team Won 114, Lost 115, Tied 62007 MONDAY NIGHT RESULTSCincinnati -2½ beat Baltimore 27-20 at Cincinnati o40San Francisco -3 beat Arizona 20-17 at San Francisco u45Washington +6½ beat Philadelphia 20-12 at Philadelphia u39HEAD-TO-HEAD MEETINGS SINCE 2004 (not necessarily Mon. night)2006 Reg. Seas.: New England +6 beat Cincinnati 38-13 at Cincinnati2004 Reg. Seas.: New England -11 beat Cincinnati 35-28 at New EnglandNFL KEY RELEASESCLEVELAND by 7 over BaltimoreNEW ENGLAND by 17 over Cincinnati (Monday)Gold Sheet EXTRANFLArizonaWinning PointsNFLBest BetsAtlanta over Houston by 15 21-6Arizona over Pitt by 11 27-16PreferredGreen Bay over Minn. by 12 26-14Denver over Colts by 2 26-24Sports ReporterNFLBest BetDallasArizonaMTI's KillerSports Newsletter5* Denver +9.5 over Indy4* Chicago / Detroit OVER 444* Teaser: Pitt +4.5, Denver +19.5, Baltimore +5.5NFL System: Play OaklandMarc LawrencePlaybookMIAMI over Oakland by 6It's been tough sledding for the Dolphins under new coach CamCameron. They've opened the 2007 campaign 0-3, although theyappear to be improving statistically with each game (outgained theJets, 424-256, in last week's loss). The Raiders look to be an improvedcommodity, as well. QB Daunte Culpepper relieved injured starterJosh McCown last week and led his team to victory. After Miami casthim aside in the off-season, you know he'll want this game! We'dlove to jump in the waters with him, but our AWESOME ANGLE (seepage 2) says no diving. And a quick check of the NFL QB LEAGUEat xxxxxxx reminds us Culpepper is 9-27 ATS as a starteragainst teams off a loss. Go Fish!3[1] BEST BETDETROIT over Chicago by 7The Bears continue to slumber in their 'Super Bowl Loser' seasonand now must take on an improving team with some eyepoppingnumbers. For openers, the Men from Motown are 8-0ATS as division home dogs against a foe off a loss. On the otherside of the coin, Chicago checks in 0-5 ATS as a favorite afterallowing 28 or more points in its previous game. Toss in the factthat defending Super Bowl Losers stand 32-74-2 ATS on the roadwhen not taking points and you can see Da Bears' dilemma. It'sour job to keep kicking them when they're down. We oblige.ATLANTA Over Houston by 4Young Texans suddenly fi nd themselves cast into all kinds of new andchallenging roles this season. Last week they gagged when trying towin three games in a row for the fi rst time in their expansion history.This week they'll saddle up as road chalk for the fi rst time ever. That'snot good, considering favorites off a loss against the defendingSuper Bowl champions are just 20-30-1 ATS when facing a team offa SUATS loss (0-5 ATS since 2004). If that foe owns a win percentageof .250 or less they dip to 4-13-1 ATS. With the Dirty Birds a sparkling18-6-2 ATS as dogs off three losses in a row, including 8-1 ATS againsta foe off a loss, look for Houie to choke once again.Baltimore over CLEVELAND by 7Romeo Crennel hosts a third straight division rival in his third homegame of the season. He'll need every trick in his bag to get the Brownsback up following a tough defeat at Oakland last Sunday (kicked agame-winning fi eld goal at the fi nal gun, only to have it called offby an unacknowledged time-out). Worse yet, .333 teams in GameFour, playing off one loss exact, are 15-28 ATS as single dogs,including 6-17 ATS when taking on an opponent that won eight ormore games last season. Baltimore's ravenous defense, coupled withCleveland's 0-12 ATS log as a dog of less than 9 points after allowing14 or more points, has us on the Black Birds.4[1] BEST BETDenver over INDIANAPOLIS by 3Here we go. As you've come to realize, one of our favoriteploys is to fade a powerhouse with a quality team off a loss.Especially if there is value in the play. Such is the case here, andwe'll hop on this Bronco. For openers, the Colts return homeoff a pair of division road wins, the last a satisfying revenger.Toss in Denver revenge from a 3-point home loss last season,and Indy's 2-8 ATS home mark against non-division foes with awin percentage of .666 or more, and we have all the makingsof a live dog ready to bark. Mike Shanahan's 22-12 ATS mark asa dog of more than 3 points (5-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss) isthe clincher. Upset!5[1] BEST BETMINNESOTA over Green Bay by 10It's been quite a magical, mystical ride for Bret and the boysas they've opened 3-0, with every win against a playoff team.Shazzam! Enter the bearer of bad news – the PLAYBOOKdatabase. It tells us the Pack is 10-21-2 ATS in games off threewins in a row, including 3-14 SU & 3-12-1 ATS when off a victoryof 10 or less points in its last game. Meanwhile, the Vikings wereedged by three points for the second straight week and teamsin this role are 26-13 ATS off these tough losses as a dog orfavorite of 3 or less points. Put them either at home (10-2 ATS)or in a division game (17-5 ATS) and the results are obvious.Minny's 8-0 ATS home log off back-to-back losses vs. a foe offan upset underdog win cements it.New England over CINCINNATI by 3The talk has already started. Are the Patriots the next team in line tochallenge the mighty undefeated '72 Miami Dolphins? Is this the bestteam Bill Belichick has ever fi elded? Is Tom Brady the greatest QB inNFL history? And on it goes. The fact of the matter is New England is3-0, and headed into a hornet's nest tonight. Our history book tellsus Cincinnati is 7-1-1 ATS in this series, including 5-1 ATS in the QueenCity. New England is 4-17 ATS in their 2nd road game of the campaign,including 4-10 SU & 1-11-2 ATS when playing off a home game. Nuffsaid. Go Bengals!DALLAS over St. Louis by 6As they last did in 1999, the Cowboys have opened the season 3-0and have visions of playing in Glendale in February. Let's only hopethe season doesn't conclude as it did in '99 when Dallas fi nishedwith a losing record. A quick check of the NFL COACHES LEAGUE(inside the HANDICAPPER'S LOUNGE at PLAYBOOK.COM) tells ushead coach Wade Phillips does not fare well when living the goodlife. That's confi rmed by a 5-6 SU & 4-7 ATS mark in games off threeconsecutive wins in his NFL head coaching career. It's no mysterythe Rams need this game like blood. The points are the placebo. St.Louis is the play.BUFFALO over NY Jets by 3Yes, it's another hold-your-nose type of play, but one we makewithout trepidation. With Buffalo QB Losman injured last week, theline value in this game has escalated. Why, we ask? Remember, theJets were soundly outstatted (424-256) in their win over Miami lastweek. Buffi e's 10-0 ATS mark in games after visiting New England,and their 12-2 ATS record in games off a division loss come to our aid.Grab the points with this bone-ugly home pup.Tampa Bay over CAROLINA by 2Here we go again with the Panthers. You know, the 'good dog /bad favorite' Cats. Sure, they managed to pull out an ugly cover aschalk at Atlanta last week. At home, they're an animal of a differentcolor when laying points under head coach John Fox (12-20-1 ATS,including 7-16-1 ATS when favored by more than 3 points). They arealso 2-12 ATS on the home front against an opponent off back-tobackwins and covers. You know what to do.Seattle over SAN FRANCISO by 1At least the Niners' offense awoke last week. Granted, 16 points and289 yards wasn't exactly a wide-eyed effort, but they did manage toeclipse the 200-yard mark for the fi rst time this season. Confl ictingtrends go head-to-head here as Frisco boss Dick Nolan is 6-0 ATS asa division dog, but the 49ers are 1-9 ATS off a pair of road gamesagainst an opponent off a win. Meanwhile, the Seahawks enter offan 'inside-out' win over the Bengals (lost the stats, 412-340). Youmake the call.Pittsburgh over ARIZONA by 4One might want to make this the Russ Grimm revenge-scrum. Afterall, the Cardinal assistant was considered the odds-on favorite toland the Steelers head coaching job when Dan Rooney opted forMike Tomlin instead. Tomlin's defensive schemes are the best in theleague as his team is surrendering 9 PPG in both the regular seasonand the preseason. Zona is 9-1-1 ATS as a home dog when facinga foe off a SUATS win. We'll wait to see where the number settlesbefore taking sides in this family spat.SAN DIEGO over Kansas City by 10With the Chiefs fi nally having broke their cherry, and the Chargersin off back-to-back defeats it would be easy to knee jerk to SanDiego today. Not so fast, my friend, says PLAYBOOK. Did you knowthat .333 home teams in Game Four, off back-to-back losses, are6-13-2 ATS if they lost the money in their last game? Did you knowSan Diego head coach Norv Turner is 1-10 ATS in his NFL headcoaching career as a division favorite of more than 5 points? Didyou know you can pass on this game if you choose? Forewarned isforearmed.NY GIANTS over Philadelphia by 3Both teams rose off the carpet with big wins last week and, justlike that, this becomes a meaningful contest. The G-Men were senthome from the playoffs by the Eagles last season. That should fi ndthem fully focused tonight. Then again, Andy Reid's sterling 10-1ATS record on the road against sub .500 division opposition makesa compelling case for the Green Birds. Us, we'll wait for the line tosettle in before taking a position.TEAM HOME AWAY KEY OVER/UNDER STAT TEAM HOME AWAY KEY OVER/UNDER STATBucs 36.7 35.0 0-6 UNDER away w/ div revengePANTHERS 37.1 40.0 1-6 UNDER L7 H vs Bucs 3* UNDERSeahawks 44.2 43.2 6-1 OVER Game Four49ERS 44.1 43.0 9-3 OVER Game FourSteelers 44.4 38.2 11-1 OVER off SU W 14 > ptsCARDINALS 41.7 44.1 5-0 OVER vs undefeated opp 4* OVERChiefs 40.7 38.0 0-8 UNDER L8 div road gms 5* UNDERCHARGERS 48.2 47.7 0-9 UNDER in 1st division gmBroncos 40.7 39.3 1-5 UNDER off BB home gmsCOLTS 47.3 49.5 2-7 UNDER in 1st of BB home gmsEagles 42.8 44.9 1-9 UNDER as division road favsGIANTS 40.9 46.6 1-9 UNDER home w/ div revengePatriots 40.6 45.0 8-3 OVER Monday nightsBENGALS 46.6 44.6 7-3 OVER Monday nightRaiders 37.5 37.9 4-0 OVER before Bye weekDOLPHINS 36.1 38.2 6-1 OVER off 3 straight lossesTexans 44.5 40.2 6-2 OVER September road gmsFALCONS 43.9 37.2 4-1 OVER in 2nd of BB home gmsRavens 37.0 35.3 1-4 UNDER as division road favsBROWNS 37.1 40.1 2-8 UNDER as division home dogsBears 39.1 37.3 7-3 OVER vs div opp w/ revengeLIONS 40.9 44.5 5-2 OVER with div revengePackers 40.4 44.4 5-1 OVER L6 away vs VikingsVIKINGS 41.2 37.6 5-1 OVER before ByeRams 47.3 42.1 2-8 UNDER vs NFC EastCOWBOYS 44.4 46.8 1-4 UNDER Game FourJets 40.8 36.1 7-1 OVER 2nd of BB division gmsBILLS 39.3 38.0 6-1 OVER L& home vs JetsBest Bets3* LIONS4* BRONCOS5* VIKINGS3* Panthers UNDER4* Cardinals OVER5* Chargers UNDERAWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEKMarc's Awesome Angle Of The WeekWins 67% In PLAYBOOK Last Four Years!ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-1 (94%)PLAY ON any winless NFL Game Four home team that is not a dog vs. afoe that is not off a SUATS loss.Play On: MIAMI DOLPHINSPower SweepNFL4*Seattle 34-21 over SAN FRAN3*N Eng 31-7 over CINN2*ATL(+)24-17 over Houston2*CLEVE(+) 20-21 over BaltPower Ratings Play:SEATTLEAngle Plays:3 DENV,3 PITTSystem Play:PITT/AZ OVERRedsheet88 Falcons87 Cowboys87 Eagles87 PatsDr. BobDALLAS (-12.5) 28 St. Louis 1410:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupThe Rams' offensive line is horrible and that has caused problems withboth the rushing attack (3.6 ypr) and the passing attack (5.2 yardsper pass play) and I just don't see them keeping up with a potentDallas attack that has averaged 6.9 yards per play and just ripped upthe Bears' stout defense on Monday night. My ratings favor Dallas by14 points in this game and using only games from this season wouldresult in a projection of Dallas by 21 points. The Cowboys apply to anegative 45-108 ATS statistical profile indicator but I just can'tback the Rams.MINNESOTA 17 Green Bay (-1.5) 1310:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupThe Packers have started the season at 3-0, but they've onlyout-gained their opponents 5.2 yards per play to 5.1 yppl in those 3games. All 3 teams that the Packers have beaten are 1-2 on the season,but I do rate their schedule as considerably tougher than averagegiven that Philadelphia and San Diego are presumably better than theirrecords. I do rate Green Bay as a solidly better than average teambecause their young defense has gone from promising to very good thisseason, but the offense is actually just barely better than averagethanks to the absence of a rushing attack (just 58 yards per game at3.1 ypr). Brett Favre has played well in the Packers' last two games,but he's averaging a mediocre 6.2 yards per pass play for the seasonand I rate Favre at only 0.3 yppp better than average aftercompensating for opposing pass defenses. Favre and company will havetrouble scoring in this game against a dominating Vikings defensethat's allowed just 4.5 yppl. Minnesota's offense is 0.4 yppl worsethan average with Kelly Holcomb at quarterback (based on his lifetimeyppp numbers) but I rate the Vikings as a bit better than averageoverall thanks to their strong defense and better than average specialteams. My ratings favor Minnesota by 1 point in this game and I likethe Vikings even more thanks to a negative 20-63-2 ATS road favoriteletdown situation that applies to Green Bay after last week's upsethome win. Minnesota, meanwhile, applies to a 107-44-3 ATS statisticalprofile indicator that suggests that the Vikings have thecharacteristics of a good home underdog. Unfortunately, Minnesota alsoapplies to a negative 25-58-1 ATS week 4 angle. That week 4 angle isnot nearly as strong as the angles favoring the Vikings, but itsenough to keep me off Minnesota as a Best Bet at the current price.I'll consider Minnesota a Strong Opinion at +1 or more and I'd takeMinnesota in a 2-Star Best Bet if they become an underdog of +3 ormore (at -115 odds or better).Chicago (-2.5) 23 DETROIT 2010:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupLovie Smith has finally made the decision to bench ineffectivequarterback Rex Grossman for veteran Brian Griese, whose career 6.1yards per pass play average and 3.4% interception rate is better thanGrossman's career averages of 5.8 yppp and 4.2% interceptions (4.3yppp and 6.7% int this season). The Bears' offense should go fromhorrible to just a little below average and their defense shouldbounce back from their bad outing last Monday night against anexplosive Dallas attack. Detroit's offense will certainly present agood challenge, as the Lions are averaging a robust 6.1 yards per playthis season against 3 solid defensive teams (Oakland, Minnesota, andPhilly). However, throwing the ball over 50 times per game has led to2 interceptions thrown per contest for quarterback Jon Kitna and theLions' defense isn't good enough to keep opponents from takingadvantage of turnovers. In fact, the Lions' defense has been horriblein allowing 6.4 yppl and that's more than just a product of lastweek's 9.5 yppl allowed to the Eagles. Detroit also gave up 5.1 ypplto the bad offensive units of Oakland and Minnesota, who would combineto average about 4.7 yppl against an average defensive team. Myratings favor Chicago by 6 points with Griese at the controls (wouldhave favored the Bears by 3 points with Grossman), but the Bears applyto a negative 24-49-5 ATS week 4 situation. I'll call for a 3 pointChicago victory.ATLANTA 20 Houston (-2.5) 1910:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupSuper Bowl champion Colts last week. Atlanta has started the seasonwith 3 straight losses by an average score of 10-21. While is seemsobvious to take Houston, you should note that Atlanta has only beenout-gained by 9 total yards per game and 5.3 yards per play to 5.8yppl, which is far from being horrible. Houston has gained and allowed5.4 yppl but the Texans are a below average offensive team with starWR Andre Johnson out of action for a second straight week, as MattSchaub simply has no other legitimate downfield targets. Afteraveraging over 8 yards per pass play in each of the first two gameswith Johnson in the lineup the Texans averaged a mediocre 5.9 yppplast week against the Colts and Houston is now without top runningback Ahman Green, who has averaged a solid 4.3 ypr. The rest of therunning backs are all at 3.0 ypr or less, so the Texans offense isn'tlooking very good in its current state. My ratings favor Houston byonly 1 point in this game and Atlanta applies to a very good 83-38-3ATS situation while Houston applies to a negative 123-184-18 ATSstatistical profile indicator that suggests that the Texans have thecharacteristics of a bad road favorite. Unfortunately, the Falconsalso apply to a negative 24-49-5 ATS game 4 situation but thetechnical analysis is still in favor of Atlanta overall. I likeAtlanta plus the points and I'd consider Atlanta a Strong Opinion at+3 points or more.Baltimore (-4.0) 23 CLEVELAND 1910:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupBaltimore 23 Cleveland 17 if no TE Winslow for ClevelandThe Browns are a pretty decent team with Derek Anderson atquarterback, which has made up for a bad defense. Anderson hasaveraged a healthy 7.2 yards per pass play on 100 pass plays thisseason and his lifetime average of 6.4 yppp (on 225 pass plays) isenough evidence to suggest that he could be the real deal – althoughhis interception rate continues to be far too high (4 in 98 attemptsthis year). Cleveland's defense is not good but the Ravens have beenstruggling offensively (just 5.0 yards per play) and quarterback SteveMcNair is not 100% healthy (he's had to be replaced in all 3 gamesthis season by less effective backup Kyle Boller. My ratings favorBaltimore by 4 ½ points is McNair plays the entire game at his normaleffectiveness, which isn't likely. I'll pass on this one, although I'dlean with Baltimore if Cleveland TE Kellen Winslow is downgraded fromquestionable to doubtful or out with his injured shoulder.MIAMI (-4.0) 19 Oakland 1810:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupOakland finally broke their long losing streak by blocking the gamewinning field goal against Cleveland last week and that win shouldhave the Raiders emotionally up this week as they prepare for theDolphins. In fact, the Raiders apply to a very good 40-11-1 ATSsituation that is based on that victory while Miami applies to anegative 25-58-1 ATS week 4 angle. While the situational analysis isstrongly in favor the Oakland the line value is not. Miami may be 0-3,but the Dolphins have gained 5.7 yards per play and allowed 5.2 ypplagainst a tougher than average schedule (Washington, Dallas and theJets). Oakland, meanwhile, has been out-gained 5.4 yppl to 6.2 yppl byan average schedule (Detroit, Denver, and Cleveland). The Raiders havealso been bad on special teams and my ratings favor Miami by 7 pointsin this game. Daunte Culpepper takes over at quarterback for theRaiders, but he's averaged only 5.5 yards per pass play in 2-plusseasons without being able to throw to Randy Moss, so he's notnecessarily an upgrade over Josh McCown. The situations are strongenough to get me leaning with the Raiders plus the points.NY Jets (-3.5) 23 BUFFALO 2110:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupThe Bills may have caught a break with the injury to startingquarterback J.P. Losman, as Losman had averaged a pathetic 3.5 yardsper pass play in the first 2 games and one play (he was injured on hisfirst pass attempt). Rookie backup Trent Edwards averaged only 4.2yppp on his 21 pass play, but that's not all that bad for being throwninto the game without first team reps in practice and facing a toughPatriots' defense on the road. Buffalo has a pretty good rushingattack and the Jets' pass defense is so bad (8.0 yppp allowed) thatEdwards could have pretty decent success in his first start. The Billsdefense isn't good either, but the 6.8 yards per play that theyallowed came against 3 good offensive teams in Denver, Pittsburgh, andNew England that have averaged a combined 6.5 yppl on offense thisseason. My ratings favor New York by only 1 ½ points and I'll leanwith Buffalo plus the points.CAROLINA (-3.0) 23 Tampa Bay 2001:05 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupDavid Carr will get the start at quarterback for injured starter JakeDelhomme and that is a downgrade for the Panthers, as Carr has been abelow average quarterback in all but one season during his 5 seasonsas a starter in Houston. Carolina has a good rushing attack, so theiroffense is still about average even with Carr, but Tampa Bay has asolid defense (4.8 yards per play allowed). Tampa's offense has beenthe story, however, as Jeff Garcia has averaged 8.3 yards per passplay without throwing an interception this season. Carolina has been abit worse than average defensively through 3 games and my ratings makethis game a pick. Sadly, I cannot take the points with the underratedBucs because Tampa applies to a negative 47-92-4 ATS road letdownsituation. I'll pass on this one.SAN FRANCISCO 21 Seattle (-2.0) 2001:05 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupThe 49ers beat the Seahawks in both games last season and I'll leanwith them to do so again. I was actually a bit surprised that Seattlewas favored in this game, as I still don't consider them anything morethan an average team. In fact, the Seahawks have averaged 5.8 yardsper play this season and they've allowed 5.8 yppl to a schedule ofaverage strength. San Francisco has been worse than average so farthis season, producing just 4.2 yppl while allowing 5.3 yppl, but theNiners' offense is surely better than what they've shown so far afterbeing a slightly better than average attack in 2006. My ratings favorSan Francisco by 1 point and I'd consider the 49ers a Strong Opinionif the line goes to +3 points (at -115 odds or better).INDIANAPOLIS (-9.5) 27 Denver 1901:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupThe Broncos barely beat bad teams Buffalo and Oakland and then werebeaten 14-23 by a good Jacksonville team in Denver. What's odd aboutDenver is that they've been out-scored 17.3 points to 19.0 points pergame despite out-gaining their opponents 6.4 yards per play to 4.5yppl. There has certainly been bad special teams play, but Denvershould certainly be scoring more than they have been given how wellthey move the ball. The Colts look like a better overall team thanlast year's Super Bowl champs, as their great offense (6.5 yppl) isbeing complimented by a good defensive unit that's allowed just 4.7yppl. My ratings favor Indy by 8 ½ points, so the line looks a bit toohigh.SAN DIEGO (-11.5) 21 Kansas City 1401:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupWhat is going on the with Chargers? Could it be the Norv Turneraffect? Turner has a way of ruining teams when he takes over as a headcoach, but I just don't see how Turner is to blame for LaDainianTomlinson averaging 2.3 ypr. Afterall, Turner helped put this offensetogether when he worked for the Chargers a few years ago and they'rerunning the same scheme that they ran so successfully last season.Quarterback Philip Rivers is having a sub-par year so far too,averaging just 5.8 yards per pass play (6.7 yppp last season). The SanDiego defense is also not playing as well, as that unit has yielded5.8 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.5 ypplagainst an average defensive team. I do expect the Chargers to startplaying better, but so do the oddsmakers given the line on this game.Kansas City is struggling offensively as expected (4.3 yppl, butagainst teams that would allow 4.8 yppl to an average team) but theChiefs' defense has given up just 4.5 yppl this season and is clearlybetter than average even after compensating for strength of opposingoffenses faced. That defense should keep this game relatively closeand my ratings favor San Diego by only 9 points - and the math wouldfavor the Chargers by only 11 points if I used last year's offensiveand defensive numbers for San Diego. San Diego does apply to anegative 25-58-1 ATS week 4 situation and I'll consider Kansas City aStrong Opinion at +11 points or more.Pittsburgh (-5.5) 23 ARIZONA 1701:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupMatt Leinart was horrible last week before getting relieved by veteranKurt Warner, who brought the Cardinals back from a huge deficit to tiethe game against the Ravens before losing on a late field goal.Leinart will be back as the starter this week and the Cardinals have abelow average offense with the second year quarterback at thecontrols. Arizona's defense has been pretty good (5.1 yppl allowed)but they'll have a tough time stopping a Pittsburgh attack that hasaveraged 6.2 yppl this season and has rushed for 199 yards per game at5.8 ypr. The Steelers' first two games were against bad defensiveteams Cleveland and Buffalo, but Pittsburgh racked up 6.5 yppl lastweek against a solid 49ers defense. Pittsburgh's defense has allowed4.3 yppl to 3 below average offensive teams (Cleveland with Frye atquarterback, Buffalo, and SF) but they're an above average unit evenafter compensating for strength of opposing offenses faced. My ratingsfavor Pittsburgh by 6 points and there are situations going againsteach team.Philadelphia (-2.5) 27 NY GIANTS 2605:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Sep-30 - Stats MatchupBoth of these teams got their first win last week and both teams willbe fighting to avoid a 1-3 start. I rated the Eagles as the best teamin the NFC heading into this season and I still think that is the case(only Dallas is even in the discussion). The Eagles busted outoffensively last week and McNabb and company should enjoy more successtonight against a Giants defense that's allowed 6.1 yards per playthis season. New York has actually played at a decent level the lasttwo weeks on defense after getting overwhelmed in Dallas in theiropener, but I still rate New York's stop unit as slightly worse thanaverage. New York's offense has looked very good, as the rushingattack has been effective (4.7 ypr) and Eli Manning is showing signsof being a better than average quarterback (6.1 yards per pass playagainst a tough trio of defensive teams). Philadelphia has a betterthan average defense and they should be able to contain Manning andcompany in this game. My ratings favor Philly by 5 ½ points in thisgame, but New York applies to a solid 84-42-4 ATS momentum situationand that angle will get me leaning with the Giants.New England (-7.5) 28 CINCINNATI 1905:30 PM Pacific Time Monday, Oct-01 - Stats MatchupIt seems pretty obvious that New England's unbelievably good offense(6.8 yards per play and 38 points in all 3 games) will score at willagainst a soft Cincy defense that's allowed 6.4 yppl and 32 points pergame. However, Cincinnati's numbers have been skewed by one really badgame against Cleveland (9.0 yppl) and the Bengals actually allowedjust 5.1 yppl combined in games against Baltimore and Seattle, sotheir defense really isn't as bad as their season to date numberswould suggest. Cincinnati's offense is once again one of the league'sbest units, but the Patriots are playing great defense this season andhave allowed just 3.9 yppl (although to teams that have combine toaverage just 4.3 yppl combined this season), so they ought to slowdown the Bengals attack and win this game rather handily. My ratingsfavor New England by 9 points and using this year's stats only wouldin a projection of Pats by 14 points. New England has won and coveredall 3 of their games so far but teams that are 3-0 SU and ATS are only13-23-2 ATS on the road in game 4, including 6-18-1 ATS innon-divisional games. I doubt that the Patriots will suffer a letdownbut they're unlikely to keep playing as well as they have. My ratingsare based on realistic levels of play for the Patriots and I'll callfor a 9 point win.Ben BurnsTotal of Week **EARLY** (61% this millenium)It's no secret that Ben Burns has a GRAND-MASTER RATING with hisover/under picks. In fact, Monday's winner on the Saints/Titans"under" the the number, brought The Man to an ABSOLUTELY EPIC 177-115his L292 NFL Totals. That's BETTER THAN 60% over almost 300 plays!This week's #1 TOTAL kicks-off EARLY.Miami/Oakland UNDER (40 or better)#1 Non-Conference Game of the Week*21-11 L32Despite settling for a split in Week 3 (3-3-1) Ben Burns remains anOUTSTANDING 21-11-1 his L33 NFL selections. Sure, that 64% STREAK isPRETTY SWEET. However, it's nothing when compared to Ben's MAGNIFICENT513-398-27 MARK this millennium.Arizona (+4 or better)Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR (18-5!)INCREDIBLE NFL STATS are one of the reasons why Ben Burns has beenable to establish himself as one of the BEST HANDICAPPERS of themodern era. However, his "BIG GAME DOMINANCE" also played a MAJORrole! This Documented Champion enters the weekend with an REMARKABLE18-5 RECORD with his L23 "GOY" releases.San Francisco3-Game EXECUTIVE Report *EARLY KICK-OFFBen Burns went 2-1 with last week's "Executive Report" including EASYWINNERS with the Eagles and the Giants. Ben also had to "settle" for a2-1 card with the previous Sunday's Executive Report, including a pairof EASY over/under WINNERS. This week's card, which contains TWOTERRIFIC TOTALS and one SWEET SIDE kicks-off EARLY.Philly/NYG UNDERKC/SD UNDER (37 or better)AtlantaJimmy PriceTeaser of the decade10 point teaserCowboys, Colts, ChargersAce-Ace / Allan Eastman +57.55u ytd nfl21 OAKLAND +4 1/220 KC UNDER 398 NYJ-3 1/25 HOU-34 PIT-63TEAM TEASER3 KC +21 1/2 / OAK +14 1/2 / KC UNDER 49Gator's NFL "Tech" Game of the WeekNFL Technical Game of the Week Selection (1-2 -1.20):Game: St. Louis Rams vs. Dallas CowboysTechnical Set: When NFC East hosts teams from the NFC West these gameshave gone over the posted total at a rate of 10 out of the last 11games. Play Over NFL Road teams against the total after allowing 3points or less in the first half last game against opponent afterscoring 3 points or less in the first half last game, 48-21 Over last5 years. Also Game Four road teams who have lost each of their firstthree games have gone over the total in 12 of their last 14. Game Fourhome teams who come in off a win by 21 or more points have gone overin 14 of their last 17 games in that situation. St Louis is 21-8 Overversus teams averaging 7 or more passing yards per attempt since 1992.Dallas is 16-3 Over in home games after 3 or more consecutive winssince 1992 and 8-1 Over in the first half of the season over the last2 seasons. One final note this series has gone Over the total in nineof the last twelve and five of the last six played in Dallas.Selection: St Louis / Dallas OVER 46NFL (Monday Night Football):Game: New England vs. CincinnatiPlay Over NFL teams off a win by 21 points or more over a divisionrival, in the first month of the season. 38-14 Over since 1983.PLAY: OVER 52.5ROBERT FERRINGO4.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 Philadelphia at New York Giants(8 p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)I think this is a natural overreaction to the Eagles' eruption lastweek. We do have two weak secondaries here but we also have two prettyhard-nosed football teams. The Giants are 1-6 against a total of 47.0or higher in the Tom Coughlin era while the Eagles are 0-6 against thetotal in the same area under Andy Reid. The 'under' is 8-2 in the last10 meetings in New York, 4-1 in Philly's last five divisional games,and 8-3-1 in New York's last 12 home games (4-1-1 as a home dog). Aswe saw with both Cincinnati and Cleveland last week: it's tough to goon the road after putting up amazing offensive numbers and find thesame rhythm.3-Unit Play. Take #206 Miami (-4) over Oakland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 30)Oakland is 21-46-1 ATS in its last 68 games and 1-6 ATS in the lastseven meetings between these teams. The favorite has covered six ofeight in this series and I think that Daunte Culpepper'sturnover-prone ways will have a negative impact on this team. TheRaiders do not travel well, especially to the East Coast, and they'refacing a prideful, veteran Miami club that's desperate for somethingpositive. Cam Cameron is used to game planning for Oakland with SanDiego and I think he gets his first "W" as a head coach this weekend.3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 39.0 Kansas City at San Diego (4 p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)Much like the Green Bay-Minnesota game, we have two very strongdefenses and at least one pop-gun offense. Neither team has been ableto run the ball effectively and neither has any wideouts that scareyou. This is a divisional game, meaning both clubs are familiar withone another, and I think both of these conservative coaches will belooking to establish the run and play the field position game.2.5 Unit Play. Take #217 New York Jets (-3.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m.,Sunday, Sept. 30)The Bills are certainly a live dog this weekend, but we're going to goby the book here and take the healthier, better-coached team. Buffalois simply out of warm bodies on defense and they are starting a rookiequarterback. The Jets are 9-0 ATS after a loss against the number, 5-1ATS on the road, and 4-0-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.Finally, teams coming off back-to-back games scoring less than ninepoints (Buffalo), playing a team that's given up 40 or more combinedpoints in its previous two games (NY), are 6-14 ATS over the past 10years.2.5-Unit Play. Take #212 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 30)Finally, our long national nightmare is over: Rex Grossman has beenbenched in favor of Brian Griese. That's great news for Bears fans andit should give the offense a boost. The trouble is, Chicago's defenseand offensive line is undergoing forced attrition and could be withouttwo starters in the already depleted secondary this week. Detroit haswon three of the last five meetings in this series at home and sevenof the last at in Detroit have been decided by six points or less.Also, home dogs that surrendered 40+ points the previous week havecovered the spread at a 64.8-percent clip over the past 21 years.2-Unit Play. Take #208 Atlanta (+3) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 30)The Falcons have been playing a bit better than their record wouldindicate and I think they get their first "W" this weekend. Houston isin a prime letdown spot after their tightly contested game againstIndianapolis last week. Teams instilled as road favorites the weekafter facing the Colts are just 16-24 ATS. Also, the Texans have neverbeen posted as this high of a road favorite. We have a reverse linemovement and I think the Falcons win this one outright over a teamthat will still be without its top two wide receivers.2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 40.0 Baltimore at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday,Sept. 30)An average of just 31.4 points has been scored in the last sevenmeetings in Cleveland, with the last four staying 'under' the total.The 'under' is 5-3 in the last eight meetings overall. Also, Clevelandis 3-8 against a total between 38.5 and 40.5 and the Ravens are 2-4vs. this range on the road. Cleveland could be without Kellen Winslowthis week, and I don't see Jamal Lewis fooling his old team with thoseold legs. The Browns have been sailing 'over' lately, but Baltimore is8-18-2 against the total on the road (2-7-1 as road chalk) and 7-16-4against the AFC. We're above some key numbers and I expect a rathersloppy, controlled game out of these teams.2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take 'Over' 30.0 New York Jets at Buffalo (1p.m., Monday, Oct. 1) AND Take 'Under' 38.0 Green Bay at Minnesota (1p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)The 'over' is 5-0 in the last five overall meetings and 6-0-1 in thelast seven in Buffalo. The Jets have been an 'over' machine, sailingthe total in 10 of their last 12 divisional games and in 13 of theirpast 18 conference games. I think the Bills are going to pull out allthe stops this weekend, throwing the ball down the field to Lee Evansand Roscoe Parrish, and I think after two straight poor offensiveperformances against two of the better defenses in the league theBills will bust out with a 17-23 point outburst. Don't be nervous ifthis one starts out slowly – once the floodgates open points will becoming fast and furious.With Green Bay-Minnesota, I think we have two of the top five defensesin the league right now and on Minnesota's side a very unstablequarterback situation. The Vikings have seen an average of just 29points in their first three games and the 'under' is 4-0-1 in the lastfive meetings. I think points are going to be tough to come by andthat Minnesota will control both lines of scrimmage. If we can avoidany special teams or defensive scores I don't think the defenses willsurrender more than six touchdowns.MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 53.5 New England at Cincinnati (8 p.m.,Monday, Oct. 1)This is a move against the public. Now, I have to warn you, if thisgame does go 'over' it will likely be by about 20 points. However,over the last three years there have been 15 games with a total in the50's and teams are just 2-13 against those posted total. BillBelichick is smart enough to know that he needs to run the ball tobeat the Bengals, while Cincinnati can move the chains just wellenough keep the clock moving.Will CoverThe 'Boys are coming off a 34-10 rout of the Bears on Sunday NightFootball with their defense completely shutting down Rex Grossman andCompany at Soldier Field. They now return home and should have notrouble with the popgun offense of the Rams who could muster only afield goalG against Tampa Bay last week.St. Louis is 0-3 on the year and averaging just 10.6 points per gameso far. We don't expect the Rams' offense to finally come to lifeagainst this stellar Dallas D, especially with stud RB Steven Jacksonnot expected to play in this one. The Cowboys will get their points onoffense but we don't look for many from this banged-up Rams offense.Key stats: The Rams 8-2 to the Under vs the NFC East and the Cowboys4-1 to the Under in Game 4. Dallas scores, St.Louis doesn't thuskeeping this contest under the total.Free Pick: Rams-Cowboys Under 46 (-110)Joey GaffneyNFL PicksDallas Cowboys 10* GOY 13Green Bay Packers 7* PP 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7* PP 4Oakland Raiders 7* PP 4.5Arizona Cardinals 7* PP 7Game Units LineSan Diego Chargers-Kansas City Chiefs ** UNDER ** 7* PP 40Big AlNew York Jets at Buffalo BillsPrediction: Buffalo BillsReason: At 1:00, our complimentary selection is on the Buffalo Billsplus the points over the Jets, as Buffalo is a terrific 31-8 ATS since1980 at home off a SU/ATS loss, if they're matched up against a foeoff a SU win. With Buffy off a 38-7 loss at New England last week, andthe Jets off a win over the Dolphins, we'll back impressive rookie RBMarshawn Lynch & Co. at home over New York. Take Buffalo.ALEX SMARTGreen Bay PackersThe Green Bay Packers are preparing to make it 4 wins in a row tostart out their season. The D, continues to be one of the mostimpressive in the league, despite of being a little banged up thisweek. On the other side of the ball Packers under rated offensive lineis giving their aging star QB Brett Favre a lot more time to makedecisions in the pocket, something he was not able to do last season.Bottom line: The Packers are the only way to bet this game, as theirhosts Minnesota despite of being a capable defensive team, have fewoffensive tools to move the ball down field ,even against a injurydepleted GB secondary.Green Bay -2.5Wild BillOakland +4 (1 unit)Over 38 1/2 Atlanta-Houston (1 unit)Browns +4 1/2 (1 unit)Detroit +3 1/2 (1 unit)Green Bay -1 1/2 (3 units)Over 45 1/2 Dallas-St Louis (2 units)Buffalo +3 1/2 (1 unit)Carolina -2 1/2 (1 unit)Arizona +6 1/2 (1 unit)Chiefs +11 1/2 (1 unit)Eagles -2 1/2 (5 units)Patriots -6 1/2 (2 units)Chuck LuckMinn +1.5Sea -2Oak +4.5Rams +12.5Den +9.5Phil -3Chuck E Cheese10 point teaserDallas -3Colts -1Chargers -1.57 point teaserSteelers +1.5Pats PKMarc LawrencePERFECT SYSTEM CLUB9/30/07 - NFL GOING DOWNPLAY AGAINST any 3-0 ATS NFL team in Game Four of the season if theywon their first game of the season by 15 > points and are facing anopponent that scored > 10 points in its previous game.ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 0-12Play Against: Pittsburgh and New EnglandRationale: NFL teams who open the year 3-0 ATS are quite popularwith the odds maker and the betting public. If they won their openinggame of the season in overwhelming fashion their following grows.Put them up against a formidable opponent and they dissapoint, goingjust 2-10 SU in this role as well.Victor KingKing Creole Sports"TOTALS" TIPSHEET3* Rams @ Cowboys Play over The Total2* Texan's @ Falcons Play over The Total2* Raiders @ Dolphins Play over The TotalPurelock5* Carolina PanthersNORM HITZGES NFL PLAYSRegular season: NFL: 17-13NFLDouble Play--SD - vs KCDouble Play--Arizona + vs PittsburghDetroit + vs ChicagoMiami - vs OaklandCleveland + vs BaltimoreMinnesota + vs Green BayDallas - vs St. LouisSan Diego/KC UnderArizona/Pittsburgh OverNew England - vs CincinnatiNew England/Cincinnati OverMARC LAWRENCE4* Arizona +63* Atlanta +33* Minnesota +1.53* Cincinnati +7.5Valley Sports 7-0 last week for about 25 units5* TB +34* AZ +63* CLEV+4'3* DEN +9'3* STL o45'3* NYG u482* SEA -2Winning Points OnlineNFL SIDE pick of the day***BEST BETNY Jets over Buffalo* by 17The Bills' scheduled starting QB is a rookie fromStanford. Trent Edwards racked up nice stats inthe pre-season, when he was playing with theBills' back-ups. He has very little experience withthe offensive starters, but now he must get behindcenter and lead an offense vs. #1 defensive playerson a division rival, while his the defense playingbehind him has suffered more injuiries to startersthan any other team in the NFL to this point, and theyhad a lot of new starters to begin with as theycontinue to try to implement a new defensive schemefrom two-gap to one-gap. MLB Paul Poslusznyunderwent surgery on Monday and is the fifth Bills'defensive starter hurt for the Bills, joiningcornerback Jason Webster (broken forearm), freesafety Ko Simpson (broken ankle), outside linebackerKeith Ellison (high ankle sprain) and cornerbackTerrence McGee (ribs).No continuity in personnel means things cannot gosmoothly enough on either side of the ball for the Bills.Offensive lineman Jason Whittle got hurt and will missthis game as well. So far, the regular season scoreagainst Buffalo with Edwards in the game is 35-7and after the Jets review the tape of Buf-NE, it'sunlikely that Edwards will move signficantly forwardfrom that effort.NY JETS 34-17***BEST BETUNDER 41Seattle at San FranciscoThe 49ers' defense has improved. The offense? Gore.That's about it. Darrell Jackson and Arnaz Battle atwide receiver are two major yawns. And when youneed a big first down, Alex Smith is not your man tomake it. The injury to the tight end from Maryland whohas been hurt so much in a season and three gamesthat nobody remembers his name and might not everlearn it, is out for the 49ers in this game. The offensewill not be making huge strides today.But Seattle has to be careful here. Their go-to runningback Shaun Alexander is playing with a brokenleft wrist, protected. If they use him more as a decoy,they'll still have to worry about the 49ers blitzing fromall over the place, and the fact that the 49ers now havemuch better cover cornerbacks than they had when theywere blitzing all over the place and allowing big passcompletions and 40 points every other game.SEATTLE 16-9Jimmy BoydNFL1 Unit on Pittsburgh OVER 41.5There's no containing the Steelers offense right now. Arizonacertainly doesn't have the defense to do it. The Steelers areaveraging 35.7ppg through the first three weeks. The Cards have alsoshown that they can be effective on offense averaging 21ppg. I thinkyou'll see their best offensive showing yet this season at home. We'lltake the OVER here as we have this one chalked up as a shootout.Jeff AlexanderNFL1 Unit Miami -4The Raiders are a terrible road team and that's why we have to givethe Dolphins the edge here. Also, last season, Oakland's defenseappeared on the fringe of greatness, but it is giving up nearly 30ppgthis season. Miami's offense is improved and the defense is stillthere. We'll take the fish to bounce back at home after a tough roadloss to the Jets.Dave PriceNFL1 Unit on Chiefs +12The Chiefs are catching way too many here for us to refuse. The Chiefsrun the football and play a field position game which keeps the clockgoing and caters to a close low scoring affair. San Diego has not doneanything offensively to get this much respect with this line. TheChiefs keep this one under double points.Bryan LeonardGAME: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills Sep 30, 2007 1:00PMREASON FOR PICK: Jets over the Bills: Neither team has gotten off to agood start, but the Jets have more talent, healthy bodies and got thetough part of their schedule out of the way. They got blitzed by NewEngland and Pittsburgh, so the sight of the limping Bills is a welcomeone. Buffalo is 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS and has had nothing going right, witha ton of injuries sinking what was already a thin team.PLAY THE JETSStephen NoverGAME: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals Sep 30, 2007 4:15PMSPORT: National Football LeaguePICK: Arizona CardinalsREASON FOR PICK: The Pittsburgh Steelers sure have looked good,winning all three of their games by at least three touchdowns.But just how good is Pittsburgh? Those three victories have comeagainst the Browns on the road and home games against the Bills and49ers.Now the Steelers find themselves in an ambush situation. They have totravel to the desert to face a Cardinals squad that actually has beenwinning the line of scrimmage. The Cardinals hold a rushing edge ontheir foes and have become physical.This attitude adjustment was brought to Arizona by new coach KenWhisenhunt and four of his assistants, all coming from Pittsburgh. Youknow Whisenhunt wants this game bad and has been pointing to it. Sodoes Cardinals offensive line coach Russ Grimm, who actually believedhe was the Steelers new head coach instead of Mike Tomlin.Whisenhunt knows everything about Ben Roethlisberger having workedclosely with him in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals will be primed for astrong defensive effort. Not helping matters for Pittsburgh is thedoubtful status of Hines Ward (sprained knee).Dave Cokin(213) GB Packers(214) MIN VikingsTake "(213) GB Packers"--------------------------------------------------------------------------------"Brett Favre used to struggle at the Metrodome, but that's changed thelast few years. Favre is 3-1 in his last four visits to this site,including a nifty 10/2 TD/Int ratio. Minnesota's defense has beenoutstanding, but their attack is very weak and I can't see KellyHolcomb having much success against a staunch Green Bay defense. Ilike the Packers to get to 4-0 with would be their eighth straight wingoing back to last season. GB minus the small number."Jim Fiest(211) CHI Bears(212) DET LionsTake "(212) DET Lions"--------------------------------------------------------------------------------If this game was about QB play, the Lions would have the edge. Butit's also about defense and these teams couldn't be more different.The Bears (1-2 SU/0-3 ATS) have been in a funk ever since Rex Grossmanplayed so bad in the Super Bowl. Grossman is a huge problem, with oneTD and 6 INTs in this team's poor start. It's clear he has noconfidence with the offense averaging 11 points. Backup QB BrianGriese is expected to start this game. Including the playoffs lastseason, Grossman has committed 33 turnovers in the last 17 games. Witha banged up defense that could potentially be missing nearly half thestarters from Week 1, ball security becomes an even greater issue andas a 63 percent career passer, Griese represents a more stable option.Another concern is this pass defense, which is giving up 232 yards pergame and just allowed 300 yards in a 34-10 home loss to Dallas.Talented safety Mike Brown was hurt in the opener (Knee) and is out,and Nose tackle Dusty Dvoracek is also out with a season-ending kneeinjury. LB Lance Briggs and cornerback Nathan Vasher went down withgroin injuries Sunday night. Then Tommie Harris hobbled out of thegame with a sprained knee ligament. And Detroit can pass the football!It's clear what the Lions strategy will be this season with rookie WRCalvin Johnson: Spread the field and throw the ball! Of course, that'swhat they did last season, too, with OC Mike Martz. Detroit (2-1SU/1-1-1 ATS) is better offensively with WR Calvin Johnson joining RoyWilliams and WR Mike Furrey, so QB Jon Kitna (998 yds, 6 TDs, 4 picks)will attack the Chicago secondary. He had 446 passing yards Sunday,but, oh, is this defense bad, in a 56-21 loss at Philly. The Eagleshad 536 yards (173 rushing) and the Lions defense didn't feel liketackling or covering people in the secondary. The Lions have beenwithout power back T.J. Duckett, who has been out because of a highankle sprain, but RB Kevin Jones is back. The Lions are struggling inthe running game and will struggle here. This offensive line is awfuland Kitna was sacked nine sacks by the Eagles! Detroit lost 34-7 atChicago a year ago and lost 26-21 at home. Bears defense is just toobanged up to stop Kitna and company here on Sunday. The Lions willgive up lots too, but we'll take the field goal at home here onSunday.Ben BurnsTotal of Week **EARLY** (61% this millenium)It's no secret that Ben Burns has a GRAND-MASTER RATING with hisover/under picks. In fact, Monday's winner on the Saints/Titans"under" the the number, brought The Man to an ABSOLUTELY EPIC 177-115his L292 NFL Totals. That's BETTER THAN 60% over almost 300 plays!This week's #1 TOTAL kicks-off EARLY.Miami/Oakland UNDER (40 or better)#1 Non-Conference Game of the Week*21-11 L32Despite settling for a split in Week 3 (3-3-1) Ben Burns remains anOUTSTANDING 21-11-1 his L33 NFL selections. Sure, that 64% STREAK isPRETTY SWEET. However, it's nothing when compared to Ben's MAGNIFICENT513-398-27 MARK this millennium.Arizona (+4 or better)Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR (18-5!)INCREDIBLE NFL STATS are one of the reasons why Ben Burns has beenable to establish himself as one of the BEST HANDICAPPERS of themodern era. However, his "BIG GAME DOMINANCE" also played a MAJORrole! This Documented Champion enters the weekend with an REMARKABLE18-5 RECORD with his L23 "GOY" releases.San Francisco3-Game EXECUTIVE Report *EARLY KICK-OFFBen Burns went 2-1 with last week's "Executive Report" including EASYWINNERS with the Eagles and the Giants. Ben also had to "settle" for a2-1 card with the previous Sunday's Executive Report, including a pairof EASY over/under WINNERS. This week's card, which contains TWOTERRIFIC TOTALS and one SWEET SIDE kicks-off EARLY.Philly/NYG UNDERKC/SD UNDER (37 or better)AtlantaDaniel Perkins ATS Advice (TopTen)Daniel Perkins NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH!St. Louis(0-3) @ Dallas(3-0)1:00pm ESTLine: O/U 45 (BetED)There really is not much to say about this game. The total is not setat 60 because the Rams have hardly scored this season. Stephen Jacksonwill not play for the Rams this week which will save some time on theclock as St. Louis will have to rely strictly on the air game. TheRams are listed as the 3rd best pass defense in the league, onlybecause they have played Tampa Bay, Carolina and San Francisco, teamswho rely on running the ball. Dallas is running the 3-4 defense toperfection. Dallas has a strong pass rush with a big linebackingmiddle. Roy Williams protects the deep pass at safety and shouldgenerate an interception or two this game. Once the defense turns theball over the St. Louis defense will be on the field. St. Louis isgiving up the 27th most rushing yards per game, watch out for JuliusJones this week. With Tony Romo connecting on passes left and right toOwens, Crayton and Jason Witten the Rams defense is in trouble and thescoreboard is in for a lot of points. This is a great spot to play theover, Dallas can put up points at will against a week defense whileSt. Louis will have to go to their star recievers and not worry aboutrunning the ball.Pick: Over 45Daniel Perkins SECRET SUNDAY UPSET!:New York Jets(1-2) @ Buffalo Bills(0-3)1:00pm ESTLine: Home +3.5J.P Losman took an elbow to the knee and is out indefinitely. Thismakes way for Terrance Edwards a rookie out of Los Gatos. He may be ina good spot facing a Jets defense ranked 27th in the league. This weekthe Bills return home where they lost to Denver 15-14 due to a lastsecond field goal in week 1. However, the Bills rank last in TotalOffense, Rushing, Passing, Points Score, Rush D, Pass D and are givingup over 26 points per game. The Jets offense appears to be heading inthe right direction, Chad Pennington returned, Jericho Cothrey andLaverneus Coles are catching passes and Thomas Jones is rushing theball well enough to keep the attack balanced. The Buffalo Bills playgood football at home. In their past 3 home losses they have only been-5 in scoring. They lost 15-14 Denver, 30-29 to Tennessee and 24-21 toSan Diego dating back to last season. The Jets are a big publicfavorite this week so the line may go up even more by Sunday. TheBills will keep this one close and may even win the game outright.Take the Bills plus the points.Pick: Bills +3.5Daniel Perkins PROFESSIONAL PICK: GB@MIN:Green Bay(3-0) @ Minnesota(1-2)1:00pm ESTLine: Home +2A big division rivalry takes place this week in the Metrodome thisweek. The Vikings are coming off a tough 3 point loss on the road toKC while the Packers are coming off their third win in a row beatingup on the Chargers. However, Green Bay may be in for trouble this weekunless they can pull out another Sam Gado like they did last season.Both their 1st and 2nd string running backs are out this week. Theteam head coach Mike McCarthy said there is no indication on who tostart and they will have to rely on the pass heavy this week.Minnesota is giving up around 240 yards per game and is ranked 19thoverall for pass yards. They have the 12th ranked defense and haveonly allowed 67.3 yards on the ground per game. Don't be surprised ifthat number is less then 50 yards this week. Chester Taylor is goingto return this week and should split time with Adrian Peterson thisweek taking the load off Kelly Holcomb who will start instead ofTarvaris Jackson this week. The Green Bay offense is in for a shockthis week against the Minnesota secondary. Not being able to run theball will make Brett Farve vulnerable in the pocket and turnoverprone. Take the Vikings at home this week plus the 2 points.Pick: Vikings +2Pointwise Phone Plays3 Phil3 Jets3 NE3 Dallas3 Atla2 ClevBrandon Lang30 DIMEDALLAS COWBOYS20 DIMESan Francisco 49ers15 DIME 6-POINT TEASERColts and UnderTo clarify - I want you to reduce the price you're laying with theFavorite (Indianapolis) and Inflate the Total so you take the Underthere as well using the standard 6 points you get in a two-teamteaser.For example, if you''ve got the Colts at -10, you're reducing them to-4 in this scenario. And if you've got a total of 46, you're pushingit up to 52 and then taking the Under.10 DIMECleveland BrownsTampa Bay BuccaneersArizona Cardinals5 DIMEGreen Bay PackersDetroit LionsUltra Sports5 Arizona5 St.LouisBobby MaxwellHouston at ATLANTA (+3) Last week we pushed with our FREE play on theNFL gridiron as the Chiefs ended up beating the Vikings by 3. Today wego to Atlanta for a complimentary play on the Falcons as they host theTexans.The Falcons showed signs of life last week on offense and ifcornerback DeAngelo Hall hadn't lost his cool, they might have pulledoff the upset of Carolina.But I like the life on offense and I like the signing of QB ByronLeftwich because if starting QB Joey Harrington struggles early, he isgoing to get the hook and watch as this team, and likely city, ralliesaround Leftwich. Leftwich is the kind of QB that can rally a team, butdon't think Harrington will struggle in this one. he won't and theFalcons will give Houston all it wants and might just come out on toptoday.Against Carolina, Harrington threw for 361 yards and 2 TDs but therushing game came up short with just 91 yards and lost two fumbles.Houston is hurting offensively with star receiver Andre Johnsonalready out and injuries to starting RB Ahman Green and backup RB RonDayne, this team is going to struggle to move the ball. I know MattSchaub has been the darling in Houston so far this season, but thecareer backup QB in Atlanta is going back there as Houston's starterand isn't ready for this one.The game is going to be placed on Schaub's shoulders and he doesn'thave the offensive weapons to back him up. The Texans are a roadfavorite for the first time in franchise history and are just 4-9-1ATS against the NFC.We're going with the home underdog in this one. Grab the points butexpect Atlanta to finish this one.3♦ ATLANTASports Gambling HotlineSeattle (-2) at SAN FRANCISCO Although the spread numbers sayotherwise, we are going to go ahead and lay the small road chalk withSeattle this Sunday afternoon.The reason is simple: REVENGE!Last year a battered Seattle team lost both meeting in the series, butthis year the shoe appears to be on the other foot. The Seahawks arerelatively healthy, and they do catch the Niners still trying to getFran Gore untracked, as Gore has been stuck in neutral thus far thisseason. The 49ers are also minus their emerging LB Manny Lawson, andreplacing him will be a bit difficult.That being the case, we like the revenge angle to work for theSeahawks this afternoon, as we liked the way the slowed down thepotent Cincinnati attack last week in their comeback win. In thatgame, the defense sacked Carson Palmer 8 times, and held the Bengalsunder 100 yards rushing.We say go with the Seahawks to get their revenge with the road win andcover today in the Bay Area.Play on Seattle.2♦ SEATTLEKarl GarrettPhiladelpia at NY GIANTS (+3)I pity the scorebaord operator in this game, as the abacus better beout with all the scoring they are going to be doing at the Meadowlandstonight!The G-Man says to play the OVER between division rivals Philly and New York.The Eagles lit up the scoreboard last week against Detroit, while theGiants have played 2 of their first 3 games OVER the total, justmissing the OVER last week by a hook at Washington.Series numbers show the OVER coming through on a 5-1-1 clip the last 7times these teams have tangled.Last year both regular season meetings eclipsed the posted price, andthey just missed the OVER in their playoff game by 5-points.I see a high-scoring affair from the outset, and the OVER as the playin this prime time Sunday night affair.3♦ OVERBob BalfeSunday Free PlayCarolina -3 over Tampa BayThe Bucs have been a huge surprise this year, but you can credit thatto their favorable home schedule so far. Carolina will not have JakeDelhomme today and will be going with David Carr who has turned into amuch better quarterback then his days in Houston. This game will bewon on the defensive side of the ball and today you will see a greatPanthers defense. Look for the Bucs to get a taste of what home fieldadvantage can do against them. Take the Panthers.Winning PointsOnline special release10-STAR NFL***BEST BETDETROIT (+3)h Chicago2006 – L, 7-34, 21-26PASTFirst meeting was the second game of the season, Jon Kitna's first inthe new, pass-happy Detroit system. Bears led 24-0 at halftime butdidn't score an offensive TD as Lions imploded on offense. Secondmeeting was played when Lions had injuries all over the place andHarris and Cason (who?) split carries in the offensive backfield withKevin Jones out.PRESENTJones got back into action just last week, got his feet wet in Philly.Bears – with problems scoring points -- are favored on the roadagainst an opponent capable of getting a lead against them by virtueof being able to move the ball – Lions are averaging 400+ yards pergame. They intended to show the run last week, but got too far behindto continue.Bears have a new D coordinator. Over the winter, this was writtenabout the situation:''...It will be interesting to see who Lovie brings in to fill theposition. I'm sure it will be someone with similar coaching lineage asSmith. Someone who knows the Tampa Two defense...''It was Bob Babich, who had been on Bears' staff so yes, he knows theTampa-2 defense. But did they choose a bad time to bring in Griese astheir starting QB over Grossman? Both Lions head coach Rod Marinelliand defensive coordinator Joe Barry were defensive assistants in TampaBay when Griese was the back-up quarterback there. THEY sure as heckknow the Tampa-2 defense, have had Detroit practicing against it, andmore importantly, they know the throws that Griese can make and, moreimportantly, the throws he can't make. In a loud dome, Griese, rustybehind center, figures to have problems checking off at the line.Meanwhile, the best player on the Bears' defensive line, TommieHarris, has an MCL sprain and is likely to be out injured. Pro Bowllinebacker Lance Briggs (groin) and Pro Bowl cornerback Nathan Vasher(hip) also were injured against the Cowboys on Sunday night. The Bearshad already lost defensive starters S Mike Brown and DT Dusty Dvoracekto season-ending knee injuries.*DETROIT over CHICAGO by 16, 33-17.Carlo CampanellaSt. Louis (0-3) has opened the season with a terrible 0-3 SU & ATSrecord. No one thought the Rams would be this bad, as they were evenfavored in their first two games of the year. The truth is that St.Louis is NOT that bad of a football team and theyll want to prove itto the rest of the league against an undefeated Cowboys (3-0) squadthis Sunday. St. Louis enters this off an embarrassing 3-24 loss atTampa Bay last week and most of the public will figure that the Ramstroubles will continue as they stay on the road for the secondconsecutive week. Take the points with a Rams team thats 2-0 SU & ATSin Dallas since 1992 and defeated the Cowboys, 20-10, in Dallas lastseason.7* Play On St. LouisRobert RossDallas lost its last three at home outright when favored by atouchdown or more. Letdown spot for them after big wins over theGiants and Bears and road win in Miami. Supporting angle says to PlayAgainst - Any team (DALLAS) - with a turnover margin of +2 /game orbetter on the season (48-19 over the last 10 seasons, 71.6%).Take St. LouisJimmy The MooseThe 3-0 SU and ATS Green Bay Packers are playing well on both sides ofthe ball. The offense, led by a rejuvenated Favre, is averaging 27.3PPG while the D is holding the opposition to 16.7 PPG. The Packershave cashed in 6 of their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing recordat the window. Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFCopponents. The Vikings have a good D but are really struggling to putup points. Minnesota is averaging 17 PPG this season. The Vikings are3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games. Look for the Packers to remainundefeated for one more week.Play the PackersTom FreesePittsburgh is 40-12-2 ATS after rushing for over 150 yards in theirlast game and they are 35-17-2 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.The Steelers are 13-3 ATS off straight home games. Arizona is 6-16 ATStheir last 22 home September games. The Cardinals are 19-44-1 ATSafter rushing for under 90 yards in their last game.Play On PittsburghScott Rickenbach1* (regular play) St Louis Rams (+) @ Dallas @ 1:00 ETThe Rams are 0-3 on the season plus they have yet to cover a game. TheCowboys are 3-0 on the season and they have earned the cash in everysingle season game! No one wants the Rams here and that has beenproven throughout the week as the money pours in on the Cowboys andthe line continues to rise! We'll gladly grab the extra line valuehere and we'll tell you not to be surprised if the Rams do pull offthe upset here. This is the perfect spot for the Cowboys to be flatand it's also the perfect spot for big dog St Louis to show they'rebetter than what they've shown this season.We are well aware of the issues that the Rams have had along theiroffensive line. That is an area of concern for St Louis right now butthey are working hard to get use to life without some injured startersand they will improve with each week from here on out. The Ramsoffensive line is fully focused here after a great week of practiceand look for the Cowboys defense to continue to struggle. Keep in mindthat Rex Grossman and the Bears can make any defense look good! Dallasis certainly not "fired up" about this game as they have already hadthree big tests. They started off their season with a divisional winover the Giants, then took their first road trip to Miami and gotanother win. The Cowboys followed that up with a big road win atChicago on Sunday night last week.The Cowboys are still celebrating their first win in the underdog roleand they also are still licking some wounds off of some very physicalballgames to begin their season. Dallas clearly does not see the Ramsas a threat and that makes St Louis a very dangerous dog here. Keep inmind that the Rams have actually defended the pass quite well so farthis season and the Cowboys will be content to just run the ball andtry to simply notch a win and then move onto their next game whichjust happens to be another primetime affair with a Monday nighter ondeck for Dallas. The Cowboys are definitely in a sandwich spot hereand the Rams can take advantage.The Rams get a key player back on defense this week with LB PisaTinoisamoa returning. On offense RB Steven Jackson will miss this gamebut RB Brian Leonard is more than ready to make a big statement inthis game. In fact, the entire St Louis team is relishing thisopportunity to take on "America's Team" in the role of a double pointunderdog. With no one giving them a chance this is one of those gameswhere the Rams could end up playing the role of underdog shocker! Ramscoach Scott Linehan has openly discussed the fact that this has been aseason of missed opportunities so far. He also feels the team has madeimprovement that all the hard work will eventually start leading tosome wins. The Rams attitude is very positive here despite their 0-3start. While the Rams may not get the outright win in Dallas theirattitude is exactly what you want to see from a hungry double pointdog heading into a match-up with an overconfident big favorite. TheRams surprise many today, but not us! Play St Louis plus the points asa regular selection.Cappers AccessFalcons +3Bills +3.5Cardinals +6Giants +3Jim FiestInter-Conference GOYAtlanta FalconsPersonal Service WinnerDallas CowboysThe Professional GamblerRAIDERS +4.0 -102 at DolphinsRaiders at Dolphins OVER 41.5 -105TEXANS -3.0 +104 at FalconsRAVENS -4.0 -102 at BrownsRavens at Browns OVER 39.5 -110Bears at Lions UNDER 45.0 +100COWBOYS -11.5 -113 over RamsRams at Cowboys OVER 45.5 -105STEELERS -5.5 -102 at CardinalsCHIEFS +11.5 -104 at ChargersDrew GordonGreen Bay (-2) at MINNESOTA205-179-4 over my L388 Free Play releases!Look guys, this Packers team is for real, but not for the reasonswe're used to giving them credit. For most of his career Brett Favrehas been the catalyst for this Green Bay squad, but this year, itstheir young and aggresive defense that's leading the way... And thatmakes all difference in this match up.Minnesota has been absolute garbage on the offensive side of the ball,no thanks to Tarvaris Jackson, who got hurt and was replaced by KellyHolcomb last week. What did we learn? Different quarterback, samestagnant offense, as Holcomb was just as ineffective, going 14 for 28and holding the ball for an eternity, getting sacked 5 times! Do thatagainst this Packers defense, and the Vikings are in for big trouble.Here's the other issue, while the Vikings defense has been strongagainst the run, their weakness is against the pass, which happens tobe the Packers forte. Favre may not be in his prime, but he's still ahell of a QB, enjoying a real resurgence this season, completing 64%of his passes for a 6/2 TD to INT ratio! He's going to shred thisMinnesota secondary, plain and simple.Bottom line, evetually Favre breaks down the Vikings defense, and oncethat happens, Minnesota will be forced to play from behind...Something they simply cannot due based on their dink-and-dunk offense.Green Bay controls the Vikings offense, while Favre breaks the TDrecord and grabs us the cash in the process!Take Green Bay comfortably over Minnesota in this NFC North showdown.3♦ GREEN BAYOakland at MIAMI (-4)While neither team in this contest has done anything to write homeabout, the fact of the matter remains the Dolphins are desperate for awin, and know this maybe their best chance in weeks to finally get win# 1.Several factors weigh in the Dolphins favor, including the fact theyfinally got the offense moving the chains last week against the Jets,scoring 28 points and more importantly getting Ronnie Brown involved,as he had 211 total yards and 3 TDs.Same cannot be said for the Raiders offense, as they may have scored24 points against the Browns terrible defense, but they'll behard-pressed to repeat that today, especially with Daunte Culpepperstarting. Say what you will about Culpepper 3 years ago, but he's notthe same quarterback, and you'll see why the 'Fins opted for TrentGreen after this contest.Finally, realize that the Dolphins loss to the Jets was devastating,not only because they should've won the game, but also because theoffense scored 28 points, yet they lost... That falls on the defenseshoulders, which should be much better this afternoon as the veteransget their asses in gear.Bottom line, the Dolphins win convincingly, taking out theirfrustrations on a sputtering Oakland offense, while Ronnie Brown andMiami O build off last weeks strong effort.Take Miami comfortably over Oakland in afternoon NFL action.2♦ MIAMIAll Star SportsThe Rainman5* Green BayTriple PlayDallasRegular PlaysArizonaPittJOE GAFFNEY10* Dallas Cowboys7* Green Bay Packers7* Tampa Bay Buccaneers7* Oakland Raiders7* Arizona CardinalsMike RoseDetroit Lions +3.0 (-120)Sun Sep 30 '07 1:00pThe defending NFC Champion Chicago Bears have gotten off to a terriblestart to their 2007-08 campaign, and it looks as if it might get alittle worse before things start to get better for them this season.QB Rex Grossman was benched this week, and for the first time sincehe's been healthy, the words, "Rex Grossman is our starting QB",didn't come out of the mouth of HC Lovie Smith. Whether this was awise decision remains to be seen, but I don't foresee QB Brian Griesebeing the cure to an offense that can't get much done right now. Allthe problems this offense has experienced thus far weren't all RexGrossman's fault. The O-Line play has been dreadful, the WR's weredropping a lot of balls and not making all out efforts to get theball, and the ground game has been non-existent.On top of that, the Bears suffered a multitude of injuries to theirdefense last week, and they'll be without four key starters thisafternoon vs. the Lions. That's not good, especially since CB'sTillman and Vasher are out as well as S Mike Brown. DL Tommie Harrisis gone as well, and DE Ogunleye and LB Briggs will play hobbled.The news in the paragraph up above has the Lions offense grinning formear-to-ear, and it looks as if Detroit might finally be able to snaptheir four game losing streak to their division rivals. OC Mike Martzwill have cooked something up to take advantage of the Bears defensivewoes, and the defense should be able to contain a rather vanilla Bearsoffensive attack.I've said from day one that I don't like the outlook for the Bears in2007, and unfortunately, my prognostication looks to be dead on ballsaccurate. They are the Seattle Seahawks of 2006. The Super Bowl loserthat suffers a number of injuries across the board. However, I'm notsure if the Bears will be able to sneak into the playoffs like theSeahags did last year. It's still early, but I don't like what I'veseen whatsoever. However, money talks, and that's exactly what we'llmake today as the Lions hand the Bears their 3rd loss of the season.New York Giants +3.0 (-115)Sun Sep 30 '07 8:15pNFC East rivals collide this Sunday night on NBC as the (1-2)Philadelphia Eagles invade The Meadowlands to take on the (1-2) NewYork Football Giants. Both clubs are coming off their first victoriesof the season last week, and both will be hungry to pick up adivisional win considering each club already has a loss in thatdepartment.The Eagles, and mainly QB Donovan McNabb, silenced all their criticslast week when they sported some of the ugliest uniforms I ever saw,and went out and destroyed the then (2-0) Detroit Lions. It was acoming out party for WR Kevin Curtis who hauled in 11 of QB McNabb's26 pass attempts for 221 yards and 3 TDs. RB Brian Westbrook also hadhis finest game of the young season. He scampered to the tune of 110yards on 14 attempts, and hauled in another 5 receptions for 111 moreyards. All in all, he accounted for three Touchdowns on the day.However, it wasn't all fun and games for this Eagles group. Afterbolting out to a 35-7 lead, they saw that number shrink to a 14-pointspread in a matter of minutes. This eagles secondary is by no meansany good, and that spells trouble for them here in this spot tonight.The Giants picked up their first win of the season last week indramatic fashion. They came back from a 14-point deficit at the halfto take a lead late, and then put forth one heck of a goal line standto win it in the closing seconds (WSH HC Gibbs play calling aided).Anyway, a win is a win, and since they showed me they own a potentpassing game last week vs. a solid Washington defense, I have noreason to believe they won't be able to go off on the Eagles banged upsecondary. Philly was lit up for 446 passing yards last week, and thatshould have WR Plax Burress and the rest of his mates very eager totake the field tonight. FS Brian Dawkins will most likely be back forthis one, but he's still feeling the effect of the neck stinger hetook in Week 2, and won't be 100%. CB Lito Sheppard is still a no go.As long as QB Eli Manning limits his mistakes, the Giants should havean excellent night on the offensive side of the ball.These clubs always play in close contests, and with home fieldadvantage, I'm more inclined to back the Sunday night home dog in thisspot. They're yet to win in front of their home fans this season andwill no doubt want to send them home happy after this ones all saidand done. This game really can go either way, so why not have theextra cushion in your back pocket. Back the Giants who have covered 6of their L/8 NFC East contests.New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals o53.0 (-110)Mon Oct 1 '07 8:30pI don't think they can set a number high enough in this one for me notto back the 'Over' in this spot. The Patriots offense has been simplyunstoppable to start the season, and it doesn't look to me like theBengals have the defensive horses to hinder their play this evening.QB Tom Brady already has 10 TD passes on the year, and that numberscertain to go up tonight when he looks to dissect a Bengals defensethat's allowing opponents to score a tad under 32 PPG. It's amazing tome that a Marvin Lewis coached defense can give up these types ofnumbers, but it is what it is, and I expect NE fantasy owners to bevery happy after this ones all said and done.New England's offense is a machine. It doesn't sleep. It doesn't eat.Heck, it doesn't even look like it enjoys itself. However, what itdoes best is move the ball and put points up on the board at a veryrapid pace. The Pats have totaled 38 points in each of their firstthree games, and they cut through those defenses (NYJ, SD, BUFF) likea warm knife through butter. QB Tom Brady and WR's Randy Moss and WesWelker are in such a groove right now that nobody can stop them.Especially not this Bungles stop unit that's been thrown on to thetune of 258 YPG. It did a better job at Seattle last week, but theSeahawks have nowhere near as good a WR corps as the Patriots.Also aiding this position tonight is the fact that Cincinnati won't beable to do much on the ground. Their feature back, RB Rudi Johnson,will sit this game out with a hamstring injury. This will make thePatriots job on defense a bit easier with the Bengals being moreone-dimensional, but I still believe Palmer, Johnson, & Houshmandzadehare good enough to carry the offenses burden on their backs. As bad astheir defense is, the offense is that much better and the Bengals onlyshot of winning this game is by partaking in a shoot-out. Look for theBengals to be very pass happy, and try to mix in a run every once inawhile to keep the Pats "D" honest. I'm not sure this attack will begood enough to help them win the game, but it should aid our positionon the 'Over'.Rob FerringoNFL SELECTIONS4.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 Philadelphia at New York Giants (8p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)I think this is a natural overreaction to the Eagles' eruption lastweek. We do have two weak secondaries here but we also have two prettyhard-nosed football teams. The Giants are 1-6 against a total of 47.0or higher in the Tom Coughlin era while the Eagles are 0-6 against thetotal in the same area under Andy Reid. The 'under' is 8-2 in the last10 meetings in New York, 4-1 in Philly's last five divisional games,and 8-3-1 in New York's last 12 home games (4-1-1 as a home dog). Aswe saw with both Cincinnati and Cleveland last week: it's tough to goon the road after putting up amazing offensive numbers and find thesame rhythm.3-Unit Play. Take #206 Miami (-4) over Oakland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 30)Oakland is 21-46-1 ATS in its last 68 games and 1-6 ATS in the lastseven meetings between these teams. The favorite has covered six ofeight in this series and I think that Daunte Culpepper'sturnover-prone ways will have a negative impact on this team. TheRaiders do not travel well, especially to the East Coast, and they'refacing a prideful, veteran Miami club that's desperate for somethingpositive. Cam Cameron is used to game planning for Oakland with SanDiego and I think he gets his first "W" as a head coach this weekend.3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 39.0 Kansas City at San Diego (4 p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)Much like the Green Bay-Minnesota game, we have two very strongdefenses and at least one pop-gun offense. Neither team has been ableto run the ball effectively and neither has any wideouts that scareyou. This is a divisional game, meaning both clubs are familiar withone another, and I think both of these conservative coaches will belooking to establish the run and play the field position game.2.5 Unit Play. Take #217 New York Jets (-3.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m.,Sunday, Sept. 30)The Bills are certainly a live dog this weekend, but we're going to goby the book here and take the healthier, better-coached team. Buffalois simply out of warm bodies on defense and they are starting a rookiequarterback. The Jets are 9-0 ATS after a loss against the number, 5-1ATS on the road, and 4-0-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.Finally, teams coming off back-to-back games scoring less than ninepoints (Buffalo), playing a team that's given up 40 or more combinedpoints in its previous two games (NY), are 6-14 ATS over the past 10years.2.5-Unit Play. Take #212 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 30)Finally, our long national nightmare is over: Rex Grossman has beenbenched in favor of Brian Griese. That's great news for Bears fans andit should give the offense a boost. The trouble is, Chicago's defenseand offensive line is undergoing forced attrition and could be withouttwo starters in the already depleted secondary this week. Detroit haswon three of the last five meetings in this series at home and sevenof the last at in Detroit have been decided by six points or less.Also, home dogs that surrendered 40+ points the previous week havecovered the spread at a 64.8-percent clip over the past 21 years.2-Unit Play. Take #208 Atlanta (+3) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 30)The Falcons have been playing a bit better than their record wouldindicate and I think they get their first "W" this weekend. Houston isin a prime letdown spot after their tightly contested game againstIndianapolis last week. Teams instilled as road favorites the weekafter facing the Colts are just 16-24 ATS. Also, the Texans have neverbeen posted as this high of a road favorite. We have a reverse linemovement and I think the Falcons win this one outright over a teamthat will still be without its top two wide receivers.2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 40.0 Baltimore at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday,Sept. 30)An average of just 31.4 points has been scored in the last sevenmeetings in Cleveland, with the last four staying 'under' the total.The 'under' is 5-3 in the last eight meetings overall. Also, Clevelandis 3-8 against a total between 38.5 and 40.5 and the Ravens are 2-4vs. this range on the road. Cleveland could be without Kellen Winslowthis week, and I don't see Jamal Lewis fooling his old team with thoseold legs. The Browns have been sailing 'over' lately, but Baltimore is8-18-2 against the total on the road (2-7-1 as road chalk) and 7-16-4against the AFC. We're above some key numbers and I expect a rathersloppy, controlled game out of these teams.2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take 'Over' 30.0 New York Jets at Buffalo (1p.m., Monday, Oct. 1) AND Take 'Under' 38.0 Green Bay at Minnesota (1p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)The 'over' is 5-0 in the last five overall meetings and 6-0-1 in thelast seven in Buffalo. The Jets have been an 'over' machine, sailingthe total in 10 of their last 12 divisional games and in 13 of theirpast 18 conference games. I think the Bills are going to pull out allthe stops this weekend, throwing the ball down the field to Lee Evansand Roscoe Parrish, and I think after two straight poor offensiveperformances against two of the better defenses in the league theBills will bust out with a 17-23 point outburst. Don't be nervous ifthis one starts out slowly – once the floodgates open points will becoming fast and furious.With Green Bay-Minnesota, I think we have two of the top five defensesin the league right now and on Minnesota's side a very unstablequarterback situation. The Vikings have seen an average of just 29points in their first three games and the 'under' is 4-0-1 in the lastfive meetings. I think points are going to be tough to come by andthat Minnesota will control both lines of scrimmage. If we can avoidany special teams or defensive scores I don't think the defenses willsurrender more than six touchdowns.MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTIONS3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 53.5 New England at Cincinnati (8 p.m.,Monday, Oct. 1)This is a move against the public. Now, I have to warn you, if thisgame does go 'over' it will likely be by about 20 points. However,over the last three years there have been 15 games with a total in the50's and teams are just 2-13 against those posted total. BillBelichick is smart enough to know that he needs to run the ball tobeat the Bengals, while Cincinnati can move the chains just wellenough keep the clock moving.Paramount SportsPROSMinnesota + 1 1/2San Francisco +2Carolina -2Oakland +4JWhip | NFL Totaltriple-dime bet224 ARI / 223 PIT Over 41.5 BetUSAnalysis: Steelers at Cardinals Over 41.5 (3 Units)The Steelers are looking for their first 4-0 start in 28 years whenthey take on the Arizona Cardinals in the desert.The Steelers have been putting up the points on the defensive side andoffensive side of the ball averaging 32 points per game whichtranslates into third best in the league.The Cardinals defense has look ok at times, but the Steelers will betheir toughest challenge yet, as the Cards are already giving up atotal of 22 points per game against the Ravens/Seahawks/49ers whichare not powerhouses on the offensive side of the ball so far thisyear.The Cardinals plan to start Matt Leinart at quarterback, but then useKurt Warner at times running the no huddle offense which produced twolate touchdowns last weekend.The Steelers picked off 49ers QB Alex Smith for a 50 TD last week, andsimply didnt let him settle down the whole game which I see that samegame plan happening against Leinart.The way the Steelers are playing the Cardinals know they have to putup the points to have a chance (which they do at home). This is ourBiggest Total bet of the Weekend.Power Train6* Atlanta3* Chic-over Pitt-overAts Lock Club7 units on Baltimore -4 over Cleveland6 units on Denver/Indy OVER 45.55 units on Seattle -1.5 over San Francisco5 units on Dallas -13 over St LouisMike Lineback5* Green Bay -24* Jets -3 (buy 1/2 point)4.5* Seattle -24.5* N. E./ Cinci over Monday nightGreat Lakes Sports NFL:Game of the Month: 5* green bay (-2) 1:004* denver (over 46) 4:154* dallas (-13) 1:003* arizona (+5.5) 4:153* tampa bay (under 39) 4:05Red Dog Sports NFL:NFL Game of the Month:5* seattle (-2)Hank Goldbergvikings +1.5bears -3chargers -11.5browns +4.5jets -3.5Michael Cannon Yesterday: 2-3 -65 Dimes30 Dime –VIKINGSTake the points with the Vikings today at home over the Packers.Has Green Bay's 3-0 start been impressive?Yes.Does it look like they are going to roll to 4-0 here today as BrettFavre breaks Dan Marino's record for touchdown passes?To the untrained eye, yes.This game has the classic aroma of trap written all over it. A 3-0Green Bay team favored by less than a field goal over a 1-2 Minnesotateam has to be the play of the year, right?Wrong.The Vikings enter this game with a vastly underrated defense. Theyhave allowed an NFC-low 36 points and have registered 11 sacks andfive interceptions.Their run defense is the conference's best, allowing just 67.3 ypg.Green Bay checks into this game averaging a league-low 57 ypg rushing,so the Vikings have already turned the Packers into a one-dimensionalteam for this game.They can game plan for the pass and believe me when I tell you Favreis due to throw some big picks here this afternoon.Everyone has been all hunky-dory over Favre's impressive start to theseason, and I'll give him that, but this is also the same quarterbackwho had at least as many interceptions as TD passes in both 2005 and2006.Minnesota's offense has been guilty of turning the ball overthemselves, but with quarterback Tarvaris Jackson expected to missthis game due to injury, they will actually be in better hands withKelly Holcomb calling the signals.The Vikings have a star in rookie running back Adrian Peterson, solook for coach Brad Childress to get him the ball every way imaginabletoday. Peterson by himself is capable of keeping the Vikings closehere today.The Packers are just 10-21-2 ATS in games off three wins in a row,including 3-14 SU and 3-12-1 ATS when off a victory of 10 or lesspoints in the previous game.The Vikings are 8-0 ATS at home off back-to-back losses against a foeoff an upset underdog win.Take the points with Minnesota as they grab the win here today at home.10 Dime –FALCONSTake the points with the Falcons at home today over the Texans.Houston has looked good to start the season, but I don't think they'requite ready to be installed as a road chalk, especially without theirstar wide receiver.Andre Johnson missed last week's 30-24 home loss to the Colts and he'sout again today, which will limit QB Matt Schaub's options today.The Texans may also be without running back Ahman Green who missedpractice this week because of a knee injury, and backup Ron Dayne isday-to-day with bruised ribs.Atlanta got better play from quarterback Joey Harrington in lastweek's home loss to the Panthers. Harrington threw for 361 yards withtwo TDs and no interceptions and was sacked only once after going down13 times in the first two games.If Harrington approaches those numbers today the Falcons will win this game.Atlanta is 18-6-2 ATS as underdogs off three losses in a row,including an 8-1 ATS mark against a foe off a SU loss.Take the points with the Falcons as the Texans choke in their firstrole as an away chalk.5 Dime –BROWNSLet's make it a hat trick with home dogs today and back the Brownsover the Ravens.Cleveland should have grabbed their second-straight win last week, buta last second 40-yard field goal attempt was blocked, and they fell tothe Raiders, 26-24.Despite the loss, the Browns have really showed me something as itlooks like they're actually improving this year under coach RomeoCrennell.Baltimore, on the other hand, doesn't look like the dominating defenseof last year.The Ravens have blown big leads in their last two games and have hadto battle just to grab the wins in both. Last week they allowed theCardinals 17 straight fourth-quarter points before kicking a lastsecond field goal to salvage the win. The week before they gave up 10points in the last 10 minutes of a 20-13 win over the Jets, and almostlost the lead as three Jets receivers dropped potential touchdownpasses on New York's final drive.The Dawg Pound will be fired up for this matchup and I have all theconfidence in the world the Browns can hang tight with a suddenlyaging Baltimore Ravens team.Baltimore is 0-4 ATS as a road chalk since 2005, and 6-14 SUATS in itslast 20 road games under coach Brian Billick.The Browns are on a 6-0 ATS run against teams with a winning record,and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings of this series.Take the points with the Browns as they keep it close with the Ravenstoday at home.Sunday's Late NFL Action...15 Dime –EAGLESLay the points with the Eagles on the road tonight over the Giants.Philadelphia should have no problem whatsoever keeping their offenserolling tonight against a pitiful Giants defense. The Eagles destroyedthe Lions 56-21 last week behind Donovan McNabb's 381 yards passingand four TDs. They rolled up 42 first-half points last week and I'd beshocked if they didn't continue that outburst tonight against theGiants.Much will be made about the Giants defensive effort against theRedskins last week, and they did stop Washington with a goal-linestand after a first-and-goal at the 1 with 58 seconds left. But Iexpect them to revert back to their form from the first two games,when they were lit up for 80 points and more than 600 yards.The Eagles may be hurting in the defensive secondary, but the Giantsare hurting at receiver with Plaxico Burress nursing an injured ankle.I can't trust that Eli Manning will make the plays here tonight tokeep pace with the Eagles.The Giants are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.Lay the small number with the Eagles on the road as they cruise to thewin and cover.5 Dime –49ERSTake the points with San Francisco at home over Seattle.I don't see Seattle getting the job done here on the road today. Notafter watching them struggle offensively against a porous Cincinnatidefense at home last week.Shaun Alexander is beat up again and Matt Hasselbeck hasn't exactlybeen lighting it up in the early going so far.The 49ers swept the season series against the Seahawks last year, withrunning back Frank Gore paving the way. The All-Pro ran for 356 yardsin San Fran's two wins last year against Seattle.The Seahawks are just 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games and lackthe KO power they had from a couple of years ago. They have lost fourstraight divisional games and they're 0-6 ATS in the last six.San Francisco is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog and 7-1-1 ATSagainst NFC West opponents.Take the points with the 49ers as they get it done today at home over Seahawks.NorthcoastMarquee PlayNY Giants + 3Paul Leiner40* Over 47.5 NYG/Phi10* Rams +1310* Dolphins -4Nick ParsonsNFC NORTH GAME OF THE YEARChicago Bears -3The Rex Grossman era is over. Good news for Bears fans! In steps BrianGriese. Grossman has been horrible for a long time now, that's notnews to anyone. The Bears defense was unable to bail Grossman out lastweek and the Bears got buried at home to the visiting Dallas Cowboys,34-10. The Bears do not need a 'super-star' QB to win games though,they simply need a pivot who can move the ball down the field a fewtimes and limit turnovers. Almost any other QB in the league couldstep in and do a better job than Grossman. Griese has played all overthe league, and is at least halfway competent and will be able toutilize the Bears offensive weapons in an efficient manner. The Lionsstarted the year off with a convincing road win over Oakland andfollowed that up with an ugly OT win over the Vikes at home; lastweekend however they got buried in Philadelphia, 56-21, to show thatagainst a good defense, these are still the Lions of old, no matterhow much better their offense has become. Although they have someinjuries to their defense, I look for the Bears to do just enough tokeep the Lions offense in check and look for Griese to carve up one ofthe worst-ranked defenses in the league; my NFC North Game of the Yearis on the BEARS!Big Al McmordieChampionship - BrownsBlue Chip - TexansLinemover - Dolphins10 Dimes - BillsOffshore Steam - ChargersComputer Boys - LionsWayne RootChairmanBrownsMillionaireFalconsMoney MakerGiantsNo LimitVikingsInsiderPanthersPerfectLions

[QuickNick]

sorry it is all together, I don't know why it did that