[Tommy]

NFL Football Trends

Thursday, August 11th

San Diego at Green Bay, 8:00 EST

San Diego - 25-12 Over vs. non-conference opponents
Green Bay - 18-11 ATS in home games


Friday, August 12th

Detroit at NY Jets, 7:00 EST

Detroit - 0-4 ATS in road games
New York - 9-4 Over first two weeks of preseason

New England at Cincinnati, 7:30 EST

New England - 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Cincinnati - 4-0 Under in home games

Chicago at St. Louis, 8:00 EST

Chicago - 2-6 ATS last two years
St. Louis - 12-6 Under in dome stadiums

Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:00 EST

Kansas City - 7-0 Under in dome stadiums
Minnesota - 10-5 ATS first two weeks of preseason

Tampa Bay at Tennessee, 8:00 EST

Tampa Bay - 11-3 Under first two weeks of preseason
Tennessee - 8-0 ATS over last 2 years

Seattle at New Orleans, 8:00 EST

Seattle - 5-1 Under with a line of +3 to -3
New Orleans - 6-13 ATS as a home favorite

Saturday, August 13th

Baltimore at Atlanta, 7:30 EST

Baltimore - 8-2 ATS on artificial turf
Atlanta - 8-2 ATS as home favorites of 3 or less

Miami at Jacksonville, 7:30 EST

Miami - 14-7 ATS as a road underdog
Jacksonville - 6-1 Under last 2 years

Buffalo at Indianapolis, 8:00 EST

Buffalo - 0-4 ATS vs. AFC South opponents
Indianapolis - 16-7 Under in home games

Denver at Houston, 8:00 EST

Denver - 19-4 ATS on Saturdays
Houston - 0-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

Washington at Carolina, 8:00 EST

Washington - 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Carolina - 10-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

NY Giants at Cleveland, 8:00 EST

NY Giants - 5-17 ATS as a favorite
Cleveland - 12-5 ATS at home

Oakland at San Francisco, 8:00 EST

Oakland - 0-6 ATS in August
San Francisco - 4-1 Under as an underdog

Dallas at Arizona, 10:00 EST

Dallas - 3-17 ATS first two weeks of preseason
Arizona - 5-1 ATS as an underdog

Monday, August 15th

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 8:00 EST

Philadelphia - 6-1 Over in August
Pittsburgh - 3-8 ATS first two weeks of preseason


http://www.vegasexperts.com/articles/nfltrends.asp

http://www.sportspic.com/football/nfl_trends.htm

http://www.footballpicks.com/articles/nfltrends.asp

[Tommy]

Ill try to get more today

[JimFiestSux]

Your stats have the Bears 2-6 last 8 of preseason. I have the Bears at 6-1 last seven in the 2nd week of preseason. 2 different stats that will confuse people. Therefore I'm deleting my trends so people can go by yours! Good luck, not sure where you recieved yours. Mine were from ATSWins.

[Tommy]

I just checked out another source and they have the same as what I got, same exact. I looked on ATS wins and I cant find any trends there Where they at? I thought that what you had posted was different information. I dont know Im being stupid I guess

[Tommy]

NFL Preseason Football Trends

Arizona – With Dennis Green taking over as head coach last year the Cardinals played .500 ball both in sides and totals going 2-2 against the spread. The ‘over’ and ‘under’ split at 2-2. I’ll pass on Arizona this preseason with no apparent edge at the present time.



Atlanta – Same exact situation here with Jim Mora taking over as head coach in 2004. The Falcons went 2-2 ATS, with the ‘over/under’ going 2-2, but in their dress rehearsal for the season in Week No. 3 of the preseason, the Falcons blew away the Bengals 37-10. That’s something to keep a look at for when Atlanta plays Jacksonville on August 25th.



Baltimore – After going 1-3 ATS in 2003 the Ravens turned things around last year and went 3-1. Trend to watch for this preseason is that Baltimore has seen the ‘under’ cash three straight when they play their regulars in Week 3 of the preseason.



Buffalo – New Head coach Mike Mularkey showed no trends that can give us an edge splitting his four preseason games, with the totals going 2-2.



Carolina - The Panthers are a perfect 8-0 ATS in the preseason the last two years, which includes a 6-0 mark as an underdog.



Chicago – In Lovie Smith’s first year as head coach the Bears played very conservatively producing four straight ‘under’ tickets in the preseason.



Cincinnati – Since Marvin Lewis took over as the Bengals head coach back in 2003. Cincinnati is only 3-5 ATS losing their first and third games of the preseason in both years.



Cleveland – With this being Romeo Corennel’s first year as head coach we don’t have any information to go on. As the New England defensive coordinator last year every preseason game the Patriots played went ‘under’ the total. Also the Browns saw the ‘under’ go 4-0 last preaseason. Another trend to keep an eye on come August.



Dallas – Bill Parcells has shown in the past that he likes to win preseason games. Since he has taken over as head coach for Dallas in 2003 the Cowboys are 5-3 ATS. But the Cowboys have not started fast losing their first game of the preseason the last two years.



Denver – Even though the Broncos had a losing record last year going 2-3 ATS. Head coach Mike Shanahan loves to win preseason games. In 2002 and ‘03 the Broncos produced a 6-2 mark ATS, with seven of the eight going ‘under’ the total.



Detroit – Since Steve Mariucci took over as the Lions head coach back in 2003. The Lions have produced a losing mark against the spread going 3-5. But it should be mentioned that Detroit has won and covered their first preseason game the last two years under Mariucci.



Green Bay – We all know the Packers are one of the worst defensive teams in the entire league. However, the Packers have seen the ‘under’ go 6-0 in the last six preseason games. A very strong trend to watch for this preseason.



Houston – Don Caper the Texans head coach definitely does not care about winning preseason games. Since Houston entered the league back in 2002 they are a dismal 3-10 ATS. It is also worth mentioning that Capers also had a losing preseason record when he coached the Panthers. Houston has also not faired well in their dress rehearsal game going 0-3.



Indianapolis – The Colts have been a money maker the last two years, going 6-2 against the spread. Also something to watch is that the Colts are a perfect 3-0 in week number 3 when they play the majority of their regulars.



Jacksonville - Since Jack Del Rio has taken over as the Jaguars head coach back in 2003. Defense is what has been stressed in the preseason. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in Jacksonville’s last eight preseason games.



Kansas City - The Chiefs have not faired well the last two preseason’s, going 3-5 ATS. It is also worth noting that the Chiefs have lost their first and third games of the preseason the last two years.



Miami – With new head coach Nick Saban taking over in Miami this season. Look for the Dolphins to be a much improved team this preseason especially at home.



Minnesota – The Vikings have been a very erratic team in the preseason under head coach Mike Tice. In 2003 they went 3-1 and last year 1-3. Plus with the loss of offensive coordinator Lineham the Vikings are definitely a team to stay away from this preseason.



New England – Just like in the regular season, head coach Bill Belichick stresses defense in the preseason. In the last three years, the ‘under’ is an impressive 10-2 in the Patriots last 12 preseason games.



New Orleans – The Saints are another team to stay away from in the preseason going 6-6 the last three years. No positive trends at the present time.



New York Giants – New head coach Tom Coughlin did not get off to a fast start in his first year with the Giants producing a 1-3 ATS record. But it should be noted that three of the four Giants games easily went over the total.



New York Jets – The Jets are another team that shows no positive trends over the last two seasons going 4-5 against the spread. Head coach Herm Edwards started out strong in the preseason when he took over the Jets four years ago. But his recent results have been just average.



Oakland – Head coach Norv Turner just produced a .500 record when he was head coach of the Redskins fro 1994 to 2000. This trend continued last year in his first year as head coach of the Raiders producing a 2-2 record against the spread. It should be noted that three of the four Oakland games last year went ‘over’ the total.



Philadelphia – The Eagles have been just a .500 team over the past three training camps. But it should be noted that in Week 3 when most of the regulars play the Eagles are 0-3 against the spread.



Pittsburgh – The Steelers are only 2-6 ATS in the last two years during the preseason. But where money can be made this preseason is in the totals. The ‘over’ is 6-2 in the last eight Pittsburgh preseason games and a perfect 4-0 in their first two preseason games the last two years.



St Louis – The last two years head coach Mike Martz has taken a more conservative approach to these preseason games, with four of the last five games going ‘under’ the total. The odds makers and public will always see the Rams as a wide open offensive team. The totals posted are always a few points too high. With Martz slowing things down in the preseason all the value will be with the ‘under’ this year.



San Diego – Strong trend developed last year with all four Chargers’ preseason games going ‘over’ the total. Look for this trend to continue with Brees and Rivers fighting it out to see who will be the starting quarterback this year.



San Francisco – The 49’ers were dreadful last year going 0-4 ATS in the preseason. With what he has to work with can’t see new head coach Mike Nolan doing any better. San Francisco is a definite play against until further notice.



Seattle – The Seahawks head coach Mike Holmgren doesn’t put much emphasize in preseason games going 4-8 ATS the last three years. One game that Holmgren really doesn’t care about is the last preseason game of the year where the Seahawks are 0-3 against the spread.



Tampa Bay – In his third year as head coach John Gruden showed some strong trends in the preseason going 3-1 ATS and the ‘under’ was a perfect 4-0. Look for both of these trends to continue this year.



Tennessee – Two very strong trends have developed for the Titans over the past two preseasons. Tennessee has gone 7-0-1 ATS and seven of their eight games have gone ‘under’ the total. Watch for these strong trends especially when playing a team that compliments these situations.



Washington – Joe Gibbs and the Redskins went 3-2 against the spread in Gibbs first preseason in over a decade. Gibbs always took these preseason games seriously and had a winning record in his previous 12-year stint with the Redskins. With a year under his belt look for the Redskins to have another winning preseason this year.

[Tommy]

Hey Jeff, Im just trying to throw as much info as I can in here. Im not even thinking, just grabbibg shit and posting it.

[JimFiestSux]

The ATSWins newsletter was sent to me and in the envelope was the QB rotation for preseason and trends also. Thats where I got it from, not posted on their site. Also picks they give too! This is when they do well capping cause this is the time to pick up new clients and what better time to pick people up as to give nothing but winners in preseason! I deleted my trends so go to work and post your trends buddy, good luck on your plays!

[Tommy]

The trends you posted are for something different I thought, then the ones I posted, I am just gathering anything I can and putting it in.

[Tommy]

I restores your threads Jeff, The trends are different for all 4 weeks for yours and I just posted the last post for the little writeups, not the QB Rotation, sorry