[Tommy]

NFL Football Week 16

Sunday December 27, 2009


Seattle Seahawks (5-9) @ Green Bay Packers (9-5) 1:00 ET

Odds: Packers -14 | Total 41½

Green Bay had five-game win streak ended by last-second Roethlisberger TD pass last week; Packers won four of its last five home games- they're 4-3 vs spread as home favorite. Pack held last seven opponents under 100 rushing yards (average of 67.7 ypg); Rodgers has been sacked only seven times in last five games (41 times in first nine). Seahawks lost last two games 34-7/24-7; eight of their nine losses are by 11+ pts, with Seattle 0-6 as road underdog this year. Four of last five Seattle games, three of last four Packer games stayed under the total. NFC North home favorites are 4-8 against spread.

Oakland Raiders (5-9) @ Cleveland Browns (3-11) 1:00 ET

Odds: Browns -3 | Total 37½

Oakland (0-4) was outscored 115-23 in four games that followed its first four wins; this is fourth road game in five weeks for Raider team that won its last two road games, and is 3-2 in last five games. Browns covered last five games, winning last two 13-6/41-34; Cribbs ran two kicks back for TDs last week. Browns ran ball for 212.3 ypg last three weeks, with Harrison for 286 last week, 3rd-best in NFL history. Unsure what effect Holmgren hiring will have on team rest of year. AFC West road dogs are 6-8 vs spread in non-division tilts. AFC North home favorites are 7-6 vs spread. Four of last five Oakland games went over the total.

Kansas City Chiefs (3-11) @ Cincinnati Bengals (9-5) 1:00 ET

Odds: Bengals -13½ | Total 39

Toughest of weeks for Bengal squad that had to go to Louisiana for Henry's funeral Tuesday; Cincy lost last two games but won last four home games, allowing 12.3 ppg (five TDs on 41 drives)- they're 0-4 vs spread as home favorite this year. Underdogs covered 12 of 13 Bengal games, with one pick 'em. Chiefs lost last four games (0-4 vs spread) by 29-31-6-7 points, allowing average of 36 ppg (12 TDs on 46 drives). Four of last five Chief games went over total; five of last seven Bengal games stayed under. AFC West road underdogs are 6-8 vs spread. AFC North favorites are 8-10 vs spread, 7-6 at home.

Buffalo Bills (5-9) @ Atlanta Falcons (7-7) 1:00 ET

Odds: Falcons -8½ | Total 40½

Brohm gets first NFL start at QB against Falcon team that needs two more wins to have back/back winning years for first time in franchise history. Bills are 3-4 on road, 4-1 as road underdog, losing away games by 1-28-24-3 points- only twice in seven road games has Buffalo lost by more than a FG. Atlanta is 2-4 in last six games, losing last two at home, both with Redman at QB- they're 4-2 vs spread as favorite, 4-1 at home. NFC South favorites are 10-7 vs spread, 7-5 at home. AFC East underdogs are 7-9 vs spread, 7-5 on road. Last four Atlanta games, eight of last ten Buffalo tilts stayed under the total.

Houston Texans (7-7) @ Miami Dolphins (7-7) 1:00 ET

Odds: Dolphins -2½ | Total 45½

Elimination game in crowded AFC Wild Card race. Houston is 6-2 outside its division, winning last five non-divisional tilts; they're 4-3 on road, 3-1 as road underdog (only non-cover was a 28-21 loss at Arizona, when they tied game 21-all after being down 21-0 at half'). Miami is 4-2 at home, but is favored at home for just second time this year- Dolphins' last three games were all decided by four or less points. Texans outscored last three opponents 31-6 in second half. AFC South road underdogs are 5-5 this season. AFC East home favorites are 6-5 against spread. Six of Houston's last seven games stayed under the total.

Carolina Panthers (6-8) @ NY Giants (8-6) 1:00 ET

Odds: Giants -7½ | Total 42½

Big Blue needs two wins and help to get into playoffs; they scored 31-38-45 points in last three games (13 TDs on last 31 drives), are 2-3 in last five home games, 1-4 as home favorite, with home wins by 6-37-3-7 points. This is likely Giants' last game in this stadium. Carolina coach Fox could very well be Giants' defensive coordinator next year; Panther defense allowed four TDs on last 45 drives. Carolina is 2-5 on road, 3-3 as a road dog, losing away games by 8-14-10-11-10 points. NFC South road dogs are 8-6 against spread; NFC East home favorites are 8-7. Carolina's last five games all stayed under the total.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-12) @ New Orleans Saints (13-1) 1:00 ET

Odds: Saints -14 | Total 49

Unlikely results last week, with Saints losing, Bucs winning. Saints are 4-3 as home favorite, with four home wins by 14+ points. New Orleans won first meeting 38-7 in Week 11; Saints had 183 passing yards, 187 rushing with four takeaways (+4). Bucs had scored three TDs on last 48 drives before upsetting Seahawks 24-7 last week; they're 4-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 13-3-19-28-2-3-10 points. NFC North home favorites are 2-3 vs spread in division games. Four of last five Saint tilts, last five Tampa Bay games stayed under the total. Saints need to win here to stay ahead of Vikings in race for home field thru NFC playoffs.

Jacksonville Jaguars (7-7) @ New England Patriots (9-5) 1:00 ET

Odds: Patriots -8 | Total 43½

Jags lost three of last four games; too bad they lost twice to Colts by total of six points- they're 3-3 as road dog, losing away games by 2-41-17-17 points (won at Texans/Jets). New England won all seven home games- they're 4-3 as home favorite, winning home games by 1-16-6-59- 10-17-10 points. Four of last five Jaguar games, last four Patriot games stayed under total. AFC East home favorites are 6-5 against spread. AFC South road underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. Patriots are 2-4 if they allow 20+ points, 7-1 if they allow less. Jaguars scored 20+ twice in their last five games. This game is way more important to Jacksonville, whose season depends in it.

Baltimore Ravens (8-6) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7) 1:00 ET

Odds: Steelers -2½ | Total 42½

Pitt snapped five-game skid with unlikely win last week, scoring on last play of game for 37-36 win (Big Ben passed for 503 yards). Steelers lost 20-17 at Baltimore in Week 12 (-7), in game Big Ben was out for (backup Dixon was 12-26/145 passing). Ravens are 2-4 on road, with wins at Chargers/Browns- they're 2-3 vs spread as the dog. Baltimore won its last two games 48-3/31-7, but foes were doormats Chicago/Detroit. Seven of last eight Baltimore games stayed under total. Underdogs are 8-2 vs spread in AFC North games this season. This is the pivotal game of weekend in playoff race; Steeler win creates wild scenario going into Week 17.

St Louis Rams (1-13) @ Arizona Cardinals (9-5) 4:05 ET

Odds: Cardinals -14½ | Total 43½

Playoff-bound Arizona was killing Rams at half in first meeting 21-3, but Warner sat out second half (concussion) and it got close late, with Rams throwing pass into end zone on last play to try and tie game (Arizona won 21-13, -9). St Louis lost last six games (5-2 vs spread in last seven); they're 4-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 28-2-35-3-8-40 points. Cardinals clinched division title, could still move up to #3 seed for playoffs; they're 2-3 as home favorite, winning by 7-11-13 points (3-3 SU at home). Home favorites are 4-2 vs spread in NFC West games. Four of the last five Arizona games stayed under the total.

Detroit Lions (2-12) @ San Francisco 49ers (6-8) 4:05 ET

Odds: 49ers -13½ | Total 41

QB Stanton gets first start for Lions; he played second half vs Arizona last week, when Detroit rallied from 17-0 deficit to tie Redbirds before losing 31-24. Lions are 1-5-1 as road underdog, losing on road by 18-24-26-12-17-10-45 points- they lost last four games overall, allowing an average of 34 ppg (allowed 10 TDs on last 25 drives). 49ers are 4-2 as favorite this year, winning home games by 13-35-4-17-5 points, losing to Falcons and Cardinals at Candlestick. NFC North road dogs are 2-8 vs spread outside of its division; NFC West home favorites are 5-5. Three of 49ers' last four games stayed under the total.

Denver Broncos (8-6) @ Philadelphia Eagles (10-4) 4:15 ET

Odds: Eagles -6½ | Total 41½

Red-hot Philly won last five games (4-1 vs spread), with last three wins by 27-7-14 points; they've won five of last six home games, are 3-2 as home favorite, winning home games by 20-19-23-3-14 points. Denver needs wins to stay in front of pack in Wild Card chase; they're 2-6 in last eight games, losing last two games 28-16/20-19- they're 2-2 as road dog, with road losses by 23-10-12 points. AFC West road dogs are 6-8 vs the spread. NFC East home favorites are 8-7. Bronco DB Dawkins is one of all-time great Eagle players; he returns to Linc here. Five of seven Eagle road tilts went over the total.

NY Jets (7-7) @ Indianapolis Colts (14-0) 4:15 ET

Odds: Colts -5½ | Total 40½

No idea how long Manning, other starters playing here, but fact that they've had 10 days since last game has to increase chances of their playing longer here. Jets had 3-game win streak snapped with an ugly home loss to Falcons last week; they're 4-3 on road, 1-2 as road dog, losing by 14 at Saints, 4 at Miami, 17 at Patriots. Jet defense allowed just two TDs on last 48 drives, but facing high-powered Colts (15 TDs on last 38 drives) is a major step up in class. Indy is 3-4 as home favorite, winning its home games by 2-17-4-3-1-10-12 points. AFC South home favorites are 7-9 vs spread in non-division games. Last four Jet games stayed under total.

Dallas Cowboys (9-5) @ Washington Redskins (4-10) 8:20 ET

Odds: Cowboys -7 | Total 41½

Washington had covered five games in a row before 45-12 debacle vs Giants Monday night; Redskins are 3-4 at home, beating Rams/Bucs/Denver- they're 6-3 vs spread as underdog, 2-2 at home. Dallas could miss playoffs if they slip up, Giants win twice; they beat Skins 7-6 in first meeting (-10) in Week 11 running ball for 153 yards but not scoring until 2:41 was left in game. Dallas is 4-3 on road; they're 1-3 as road favorite, winning away games by 13-6-4-7 points (4-3 SU). Underdogs are 8-2 against spread in NFC East games, 2-2 at home. Seven of last eight Washington games went over the total. Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under.

All odds listed above are from 5Dimes.

[Tommy]

BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH

Baltimore is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home


BUFFALO vs. ATLANTA

Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games


CAROLINA vs. NY GIANTS

Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home
NY Giants are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games at home


HOUSTON vs. MIAMI

Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


JACKSONVILLE vs. NEW ENGLAND

Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville


KANSAS CITY vs. CINCINNATI

Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games


OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND

Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home


SEATTLE vs. GREEN BAY

Seattle is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS

Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games


DETROIT vs. SAN FRANCISCO

Detroit is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA

St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Arizona is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home


DENVER vs. PHILADELPHIA

Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


NY JETS vs. INDIANAPOLIS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Jets last 9 games on the road
NY Jets are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON

Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

[Tommy]

Week 16 | Sunday December 27: NFL Schedule, Picks and Analysis

[Tommy]

Lang is on the Ravens and Colts FYI.

[Tommy]

Randall the Handle

Chiefs @ Bengals

We like what the Bengals have accomplished this season after most figured that they would continue to underachieve. What we don’t like is spotting points with them. Cincinnati has a bad habit of playing to its opponent’s level as evidenced by their uncanny 13-1 record for the underdog in their games. The Bengals have yet to cover as a fave and this price range makes it all the more unlikely. The Chiefs lost a whacky one to Cleveland last week but still managed to throw for more than 320 yards.TAKING: Kansas City +13½ RISKING: 2.2 units to win 2


Broncos @ Eagles

Eagles ascending at right time of year but Donovan McNabb and Co. have been aided by a recent schedule that had them facing some of the weaker pass defences in the league. That won’t be the case here as the Broncos boast the 2nd best ranking at defending the pass. Both teams fighting for post-season positioning but Denver likely to have greater sense of urgency after allowing the Raiders to steal one from the last week. QB Kyle Orton has been solid on the road all season and should continue same here. TAKING: Denver +7 RISKING: 2.26 units to win 2


Raiders @ Browns

Don’t expect the same kind of shootouts that the Browns enjoyed against equal caliber Lions and Chiefs. If nothing else, the Raiders can play defence while excelling on special teams. Raiders have won three of five against much superior opposition. TAKING: Oakland +3


Seahawks @ Packers

Seattle has lost 21 of its past 30 games. It has won just three of its past 15 road games with two of those victories occurring in St. Louis .. The Seahawks have been outscored by a 2:1 ratio when leaving their nest this season. Things won’t improve here TAKING: Green Bay –14


Bills @ Falcons

Brian Brohm will quarterback the Bills here and while he has yet to take a snap as a pro, we figure he can’t be much worse than what Buffalo has trotted out thus far. The Falcons are eliminated from post-season and don’t figure to pour it on. TAKING: Buffalo +9


Texans @ Dolphins

Just when you think the Texans have things figured out, they inevitably shoot themselves in the foot more blatantly than Plaxico Burress. Both squads remain eligible for playoff activity but Miami ’s more disciplined style will keep their hopes alive. TAKING: Miami –3


Panthers @ Giants

We’ve seen the Giants peak this time of year before and after last week’s complete effort and domination of the Redskins, we could similar effort here. Panthers neophyte QB Matt Moore looked good against Vikings last week but this setting offers much stiffer challenges. TAKING: NY Giants –7


Buccaneers @ Saints

Saints can have a nice rest if they knock off these Bucs and they should have no trouble doing so. New Orleans will be anxious to make amends after suffering first defeat while Tampa Bay will be travelling for fourth time in five weeks. TAKING: New Orleans –14


Jaguars @ Patriots

Patriots keeping it together despite limited roster. Jags offer enough challenges to keep New England honest and with Tom Brady’s recent reluctance to spread the field, this one could easily come down to the wire. TAKING: Jacksonville +8


Ravens @ Steelers

Can’t rely on Pittsburgh to defeat any team by any margin these days, especially a Ravens team that appears primed to make some noise heading into post-season. Baltimore won first meeting with defensive formula that can work again. TAKING: Baltimore +2 ½


Rams @ Arizona

Arizona has outside shot at #2 seed while seeking to redeem itself in front of home fans that haven’t forgotten debacle two weeks ago versus Niners. Rams continue to underwhelm with just one win in past 24 games. TAKING: Arizona –14


Lions @ 49ers

The Lions have now lost 19 straight on road, including all seven this season. Each of this year’s defeats have been by double digits. While we’re not anxious to be giving away this many with sub .500 San Francisco squad, it is preferred to alternative. TAKING: San Francisco –11 ½


Cowboys @ Redskins

Wonder which version of each team shows up here? Let’s go with the ‘good’ Dallas squad over the battered and surrendering Washington group. Jim Zorn is a dead man strolling while Cowboys should feed off win over Saints. TAKING: Dallas –6 ½


Jets @ Colts

While their coach didn’t realize that they are still mathematically alive for a wildcard spot, the Jets playoff aspirations are flickering at best. Colts can play at half speed and still cover against this meager visitor. Indy rests starters only when this one is well in hand. TAKING: Indianapolis –5 ½


Vikings @ Bears

Brett Favre’s diva ways resurfacing but may not matter against this woeful opponent. Bears have tossed in the towel and have covered just one game since mid-October. Minnesota can’t let up with Eagles chasing them for #2 spot. TAKING: Minnesota –7

[Tommy]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Seattle (5-9 SU and ATS) at Green Bay (9-5, 9-4-1 ATS)

The Packers, looking to solidify their wild-card spot in the NFC playoffs, return home from a two-game road swing to face the struggling Seahawks at Lambeau Field.

Green Bay lost a wild contest at Pittsburgh 37-36 last Sunday on a Ben Roethlisberger TD pass as time expired, ending the Packers’ five-game SU run. But the Packers cashed as a 2½-point pup, moving to 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. Green Bay is putting up 378.8 ypg (fifth) and 27.1 ppg (seventh), and over the last six games, QB Aaron Rodgers has tossed 12 TDs against just two INTs – and both picks came in a 27-14 win over Baltimore.

Seattle got drubbed for the second straight week, this time at home by one of the worst teams in the league in a 24-7 loss to Tampa Bay as a 6½-point favorite, following a 34-7 beatdown at Houston as a seven-point pup. The Seahawks are 2-4 SU and ATS in their last six games, getting held to 20 points or less five times in that stretch, and they are averaging just 18.4 ppg (22nd) while allowing 23.2 ppg (23rd).

Green Bay has won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, including a 27-17 road decision catching one point in October of last season. Nine months earlier in the divisional playoffs, the Pack rumbled to a 42-20 blowout home as a nine-point chalk. Green Bay is 2-0-2 ATS in the last four clashes.

The Packers are just 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 as a home chalk of more than 10 points, but they are on a bevy of positive pointspread streaks, including the aforementioned 5-0-1 overall, 3-0-1 laying points, 3-0-1 against losing teams, 4-1 after a SU loss and 4-1 in December. On the flip side, the Seahawks are on ATS dives of 4-9 overall, 1-7 in roadies, 0-8 catching points on the road, 0-6 against winning teams and 3-7 in conference action.

The over for Green Bay is on tears of 23-7 after a spread-cover, 21-8-1 against NFC opponents, 12-5 as a home chalk and a lengthy 47-23-2 against losing teams. And in this rivalry, the total has gone high in four of the last six meetings (4-1-1). However, Seattle is on “under” runs of 4-1 overall and 4-1-1 in December.

ATS ADVANTAGE: GREEN BAY


Oakland (5-9, 7-7 ATS) at Cleveland (3-11, 8-6 ATS)

The Browns pursue a surprising third straight victory when they play host to the Raiders, who have posted three big upsets in the past five weeks.

Cleveland outlasted Kansas City 41-34 Sunday in a shootout as a one-point road pup, winning SU for the second week in a row and cashing for the fifth straight week. Despite the Browns’ recent uptick, they are still 30th in the league in scoring (14.2 ppg) and 31st in total yards (255.8 ypg), and their turnover margin of minus-14 is the worst in the league.

QB Brady Quinn (right foot) is done for the season, so Derek Anderson will return to the starting role for Cleveland.

Oakland shocked Denver with a last-minute TD to claim a 20-19 road win as an overwhelming 13½-point ‘dog – two weeks after a road upset of Pittsburgh, and four weeks after a home win over first-place Cincinnati. However, the Raiders have been inconsistent at best all year, following up all four of their previous wins with double-digit losses (0-4 ATS). Oakland remains dead last in total offense (253.1 ypg) and 31st in scoring (12.5 ppg).

These teams have met five times this decade, with Cleveland covering in the last four (3-1 SU). Most recently, Oakland won 26-24, but fell short as a three-point home favorite in 2007. The SU winner is 4-1 ATS in the last five contests.

Along with their current 5-0 ATS surge, the Browns are on pointspread rolls of 4-0 against the AFC, 10-4 against losing teams and 9-4 following a SU win, but they are also in an 0-4 ATS rut in the rare role of favorite, and they’ve gone just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Raiders have cashed in four of their last five in conference action, though they are on ATS declines of 0-5 after a spread-cover, 0-4 after a SU win, 4-20-2 as a pup of three points or less, 16-37-1 against losing teams and 18-38 in December.

Cleveland is on “under” stretches of 8-2 against losing teams, 7-2 laying points, 12-4 as a home chalk and 10-3-1 in December, and the under for Oakland is on streaks of 5-1-1 against losing teams and 9-3 with the Raiders getting three points or less. However, the over for Tom Cable’s troops is on runs of 4-1 overall (all as a pup), 4-0 in December and 7-3 after a SU win.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Kansas City (3-11, 5-9 ATS) at Cincinnati (9-5, 7-7 ATS)

The Bengals will try to snap a two-game skid and clinch the AFC North crown when they tackle the lowly Chiefs at Paul Brown Stadium.

Cincinnati, playing three days after the death of wideout Chris Henry, gave San Diego all it could handle before losing 27-24, giving up a 52-yard field goal in the final seconds. But the Bengals covered as a 6½-point road pup, snapping a four-game ATS skid (2-2 SU). Cincy’s defense rates fifth in yards allowed (300.5) and is tied for third in points allowed (17.4 ppg), helping compensate for a mediocre offense that’s netting just 20.6 ppg (17th).

Kansas City has dropped four in a row SU and ATS, including Sunday’s 41-34 home loss to Cleveland as a one-point chalk. It was the Chiefs’ highest scoring output of the season, but they are still averaging just 17.1 ppg (26th), having been held to 16 points or less nine times. Plus, K.C.’s defense is giving up the second-most points in the NFL (27.4 ppg).

These teams met in the regular-season finale last year, also in Cincinnati, with the Bengals winning 16-6 as a three-point favorite. In fact, they’ve met each of the past four seasons, alternating SU and ATS wins, with the SU winner going 4-0 ATS. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes.

The underdog has covered in 13 of Cincy’s 14 games this year, and the Bengals come into this one on ATS slides of 1-4 overall, 0-5 against losing teams and 7-20-1 as a favorite (0-4 as a home chalk), but they are on a 4-1 ATS upswing coming off a SU loss. The Chiefs are on a 9-2 ATS run as a ‘dog of more than 10 points, but they’re otherwise on a bevy of pointspread dives, including the aforementioned 0-4 overall, 0-5 in December, 1-4 against winning teams, 2-8 after a non-cover and 4-9 following a SU loss.

Cincinnati is on a bundle of “under” tears, including 5-2 overall, 18-7-1 at home, 8-0 as a home favorite, 13-3 in December and 7-2-1 against losing teams, and the total has stayed low in four of the last five meetings in this rivalry. Conversely, the over for Kansas City is on sprees of 4-1 overall, 4-0-1 against winning teams, 5-1-1 after a non-cover and 7-3-2 with the Chiefs a pup.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI


Buffalo (5-9, 7-6-1 ATS) at Atlanta (7-7, 9-5 ATS)

Two teams playing for nothing but pride get together when the Falcons face the Bills in a non-conference contest at the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta QB Matt Ryan hit tight end Tony Gonzalez with a short TD pass on fourth down to rally past the Jets 10-7 last week as a 5½-point road ‘dog, covering for the second straight week and ending what proved to be a season-killing 1-4 SU slide. The Falcons, who went 11-5 SU last year and reached the playoffs as a wild card, have numbers befitting tehir mediocre record, averaging 22.3 ppg (16th) and 332.8 ypg (18th), while allowing 22.3 ppg (20th) and 371.3 ypg (28th).

Buffalo lost to New England 17-10 Sunday at home to get a push as a seven-point home underdog. The Bills (3-1-1 ATS last five games) have now alternated SU wins and losses over their last five games. Buffalo is averaging a meager 16.1 ppg (28th), scoring less than that nine times this year, while averaging 271.5 ypg (30th).

In two meetings with Buffalo this decade, Atlanta is 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS, including a 24-16 road win getting three points in September 2005.

The Falcons are on pointspread runs of 5-2 at home, 4-1 as a Georgia Dome chalk and 4-0 giving 3½ to 10 points, though they’ve gone 1-4 ATS in their last five starts following a SU win. The Bills sport a handful of positive ATS streaks, including 8-2 in roadies, 6-2 as a road pup and 4-1 following a SU loss.

The under for Atlanta is on surges of 4-0 overall, 5-1 in December and 4-1 at the dome, and Buffalo is on “under” rolls of 8-2 overall, 4-0 in December, 4-1 on the highway and 6-2 with the Bills a ‘dog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA and UNDER


Houston (7-7, 6-7-1 ATS), at Miami (7-7, 8-6 ATS)

The Texans travel to LandShark Stadium to take on the Dolphins in a battle of two teams clinging by their fingernails to stay in the AFC postseason picture.

Houston barely held off a dismal St. Louis squad 16-13 Sunday, falling far short as a 14-point road chalk. The Texans have followed up a four-game losing skid (1-3 ATS) with back-to-back wins to remain alive in the wild-card race. QB Matt Schaub (25 TD passes, 13 INTs) paces the No. 2 passing offense (291.4 ypg), and the Texans average 377.4 total ypg (seventh) and 23.4 ppg (11th). The defense is fair, ranking 12th in total yards allowed (322.7 ypg) while giving up 20.4 ppg (14th).

Miami’s 4-1 SU run to get into playoff contention ended with a 27-24 overtime loss at Tennessee last week, though it cashed as a 4½-point ‘dog. The Dolphins, on a 3-0 ATS uptick, sport the NFL’s fourth-best running attack (148 ypg) for an offense netting 22.6 ppg (14th), but their defense rates 18th in total yards allowed (341.4 ypg) and 24th in points allowed (23.8 ppg). Miami also has a minus-7 turnover margin (25th).

These teams have met each of the last three years and four times overall dating to 2003, with Houston going 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS. Miami covered in the past two meetings, including last year’s 29-28 loss as a three-point road pup. The visitor is 3-1 ATS in those four contests, and the underdog has cashed in all four games.

The Texans are in ATS ruts of 1-4 overall and 2-5-1 following a SU win, but they are on spread-covering rolls of 7-2 getting points, 6-1 as a road pup and 17-8 in December. The Dolphins are on ATS surges of 4-1 overall, 5-0 in December and 7-1 within the AFC, but they are 15-37-1 ATS in their last 53 games at Land Shark and 7-24 ATS in their last 31 as a favorite.

Houston is on “under” runs of 6-1 overall, 6-0 on the highway, 5-1 as a road pup, 7-1 in December and 9-2 after a SU win, and the under is 5-2 in Miami’s last seven December games. The over for Miami is on rolls of 5-1 at home, 11-4 following a SU loss and 4-0 with the Dolphins favored.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Carolina (6-8, 7-7) at N.Y. Giants (8-6, 6-7-1 ATS)

The Giants, scrambling to keep their playoff hopes alive, take on the upset-minded Panthers at the Meadowlands.

New York, on the outside looking in for the postseason at the moment, hammered Washington 45-12 Monday night as a three-point road chalk and has alternated SU wins and losses over its last six games (2-4 ATS). The Giants have a disparate defense, allowing just 306.8 ypg (seventh) but also giving up 24.4 ppg (26th). Prior to shutting down the Redskins on Monday, New York had allowed at least 21 points in nine straight games, with four of those teams scoring 30 or more. Meanwhile, the Giants’ offense is averaging 382.7 ypg (fifth) and 27.6 ppg (sixth).

Carolina upended Minnesota 26-7 as a heavy nine-point home underdog Sunday night to cover for the third straight week. The victory ended a string of four games in which the Panthers scored 17 points or less, but they still average just 17.9 ppg (24th) and 325.3 ypg (20th), while the defense allows 20.6 ppg (16th.) and 323.1 ypg (13th).

New York has won and covered in the last two meetings in this rivalry, including a 34-28 overtime victory as a 3½-point home chalk last December, a game that decided the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage in the playoffs. The SU winner is 5-0 ATS in the last five clashes, and the chalk is on a 4-1 ATS run.

Despite Monday’s rout, the Giants remain on a handful of negative ATS streaks, including 2-7 overall, 1-5 laying points, 1-4 at home and 2-5 within the NFC, though they are also on pointspread upticks of 5-0 against losing teams, 4-1 in December, 19-7 after a SU win and 23-9 following a spread cover. The Panthers sport positive ATS runs of 6-2 overall, 5-0 against winning teams, 6-0 against NFC foes, 5-1 as a pup and 4-1 on the road, and they are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 December games.

The over for New York is on tears of 4-1 overall, 5-0 in the NFC, 4-1 in December, 6-2-1 against losing teams and 5-2 at the Meadowlands. On the flip side, the under for Carolina is on stretches of 5-0 overall, 4-0 after a SU win, 6-1 after a spread-cover and 4-1 with the Panthers a road pup. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in four of the last five meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. GIANTS


Tampa Bay (2-12, 5-9 ATS) at New Orleans (13-1, 8-6 ATS)

The Saints, looking to bounce back from their first loss of the year, take on the dismal division rival Buccaneers at the Superdome.

New Orleans’ rally came up short in a 24-17 Saturday night loss to Dallas as a 7½-point home favorite, ending the Saints’ chances at a perfect season while also giving them their third straight ATS setback. New Orleans, averaging 35.8 ppg prior to last week, failed to score at least 24 points for the first time all year. However, it still leads the NFL at 34.5 ppg and 419.6 ypg. The Saints lost the turnover battle 3-0 against the Cowboys, yet are still third in the league with a plus-13 margin.

Tampa Bay scored a dominating road upset last week for just its second win of the year, routing Seattle 24-7 catching 6½ points to end a five-game SU skid (2-3 ATS). Despite that scoring “outburst,” the Bucs are still averaging just 15.3 ppg and 282.5 ypg, rating 29th in the league in both categories, while giving up 25.9 ppg (29th) and 365.4 ypg (26th).

New Orleans is on a 3-0 ATS surge in this rivalry (2-1 SU), including a 38-7 blowout as a 10½-point home chalk on Nov. 22, giving the SU winner a 5-1 ATS mark in the last six clashes. However, Tampa is 5-1 ATS on its last six trips to the dome, and the road team is on a 10-3 ATS tear in the last 13 matchups.

The Saints have struggled at the betting window lately, shouldering negative ATS streaks of 2-6 overall (all as a chalk), 0-4 in December, 1-6 inside the conference and 1-4 in the NFC South. However, they’ve been an excellent bounce-back team, going 11-1 ATS in their last dozen following a SU loss, and they are on a 7-3 ATS run as a home chalk.

Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is on ATS purges of 5-11 overall, 1-5 after a spread-cover, 1-4 in December and 2-5 in division play, and the Bucs are just 2-16 SU (6-12 ATS) in their last 18 games, dating to last season.

New Orleans has stayed under the total in four of its last five (all as a favorite), but it remains on “over” runs of 10-3 in December, 14-5-1 in the Big Easy and 19-7-1 in NFC action. Also, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in six of the last eight meetings. Conversely, the under for Tampa Bay is on streaks of 5-0 overall (all as a pup), 4-1 in the NFC South and 9-3 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER


Jacksonville (7-7, 5-9 ATS) at New England (9-5, 6-7-1 ATS)

The Patriots aim to wrap up the AFC East and stay in contention for the No. 3 seed when they meet the Jaguars at Gillette Stadium.

New England topped Buffalo 17-10 to get a push as a seven-point road chalk Sunday, winning for the second straight week while ending a three-game ATS hiccup. The Patriots are still eighth in the league in scoring (26.1 ppg), but they’ve put up 21 points or less in four straight games, after scoring 25 or more in eight of their first 10 outings. New England is No. 2 in total offense (398.3 ypg), and the defense allows 314.9 ypg (10th) and just 17.4 ppg (tied for third).

Jacksonville is on an untimely two-game SU and ATS skid, though it still harbors the best playoff hopes among the six AFC teams tied at 7-7. In a Thursday night home shootout last week with unbeaten Indianapolis, the Jags lost 35-31 as a 3½-point ‘dog, falling to 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four starts. Jacksonville is averaging 341.6 ypg (15th) and netting just 19 ppg (21st).

New England has won three in a row in this rivalry (2-1 ATS), including a 31-20 divisional playoff victory two seasons ago, though Jacksonville covered as a 13½-point road pup. The Pats are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, and the SU winner is on a 6-1 ATS run.

The Patriots are on ATS upswings of 34-16-1 laying 3½ to 10 points and 4-0 at home as a chalk of the same price. The Jaguars are on several pointspread skids, including 2-8 overall, 0-4 against winning teams, 1-4 in December, 3-8 after a SU loss, 2-5 after a non-cover and 2-5 in the AFC.

New England is on “under” streaks of 4-0-1 overall, 4-0 in December, 5-0-1 laying points, 5-1 after a SU win and 4-0 after a spread-cover. Similarly, Jacksonville is on “under” runs of 4-1 overall, 7-2 in roadies, 8-2 as a road pup and 6-2 in December, though the over for the Jags is on upturns of 5-1 after a SU loss and 13-5-2 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ENGLAND


Baltimore (8-6 SU and ATS) at Pittsburgh (7-7, 4-10 ATS)

The Ravens make the trip to Heinz Field to meet the bitter rival Steelers, with both participants in last year’s AFC title game fighting to gain a spot in the AFC playoffs this time around.

Baltimore has posted two straight blowout home wins the past two weeks, albeit against Detroit and Chicago, respectively. On Sunday, the Ravens rolled 31-7 as a 10½-point favorite, following a 48-3 beatdown of the Lions laying 14 points. After five straight games of scoring 20 points or less, Baltimore has its offense back on track and is averaging 25 ppg for the year (ninth), while allowing just 16.1 ppg, second only to the Jets’ 15.8 ppg.

Pittsburgh outlasted Green Bay 37-36 as a 2½-point home chalk on a Ben Roethlisberger-to-Mike Wallace TD pass as time expired. It was a win the defending Super Bowl champion Steelers desperately needed after an 0-5 SU freefall, though they failed to cover for the third straight week. Roethlisberger threw for an outrageous career-best 503 yards, going 29 of 46 with three TDs and no INTs.

This matchup features two of the league’s better defenses, with Baltimore yielding 299.8 ypg (fourth) and Pittsburgh allowing 304.2 ypg (sixth). Four weeks ago, the Ravens edged the Steelers 20-17 in overtime, going off as a nine-point chalk due to Roethlisberger sitting out with concussion symptoms.

The Steelers have covered the last three in this rivalry, including a 23-14 home win giving six points in the AFC title game last year. The underdog is on a 4-1 ATS run in the last five meetings.

The Ravens are on spread-covering surges of 19-9 overall, 6-1 as a road pup of up to three points, 4-1 in December and 13-6 after a spread-cover, but they’ve gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven AFC North games and are 1-4 ATS in their last five following a SU win. The Steelers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 against winning teams, but they are otherwise on ATS dives of 1-5 overall, 0-5 laying points, 1-4 at home (all as a chalk), 3-13 giving three or less at Heinz, 1-4 in division play and 2-6 after a SU win.

The under for Baltimore is on stretches of 6-2 overall, 5-1 in the AFC and 4-1 in the division, but the over is on an 8-2-1 tear with the Ravens a road ‘dog. Furthermore, the over for Pittsburgh is on a boatload of rolls, including 4-1 overall, 50-22-1 at home, 20-7 laying three points or less and 19-8 against AFC opposition. Finally, in this heated rivalry, the total has gone high in six of the last seven clashes overall and five straight at Heinz Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


St. Louis (1-13, 7-7 ATS) at Arizona (9-5, 8-6 ATS)

The defending conference champion Cardinals, who have already clinched their second straight NFC West but who still have a shot at the No. 3 playoff seed, take on the lowly Rams at University of Phoenix Stadium.

Arizona held off another dismal team last week, beating Detroit 31-24 but coming up way short as an overwhelming 14-point chalk in failing to cash for the second straight game. The Cardinals, who have alternated SU wins and losses over their last five games, have 10 turnovers over their past two games (three last week) and are at a minus-8 margin for the season (26th). Still, they are 10th in the league in scoring at 24.1 ppg.

St. Louis gave Houston a scare Sunday, losing 16-13 as a hefty 14-point home underdog for its sixth consecutive SU loss (4-2 ATS). The Rams’ problem is an inability to score averaging a league-worst 11.4 ppg, and the effort against the Titans marked the eighth time they’ve been held to 13 points or less this season. The Rams are also allowing 26.9 ppg (30th).

Arizona has won six in a row against St. Louis (4-2 ATS), including a 21-13 road victory Nov. 22, though the Rams covered as a 9½-point pup to halt a 3-0 ATS run by the Cardinals in this rivalry. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes, and the underdog is on a 9-3 ATS roll.

The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five as a chalk, but the ATS streaks turn upward from there, including 13-6 overall, 4-1 after a pointspread defeat and 7-3 at home. The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games (all as a pup) and are on a pair of 4-1 ATS runs – in conference play and in December – but they are on a 1-23 SU freefall (11-13 ATS), and they carry negative ATS streaks of 7-19 in the NFC West and 7-16 against winning teams.

In this rivalry, the total has stayed low in four of the last five meetings at Arizona. In addition, the under for the Cards is on stretches of 4-1 overall, 4-1 in division action and 6-2 after a SU win, and the under for St. Louis is on runs of 5-1-1 in the division and 5-2 on the road. That said, the over is 14-5 in Arizona’s last 19 at home, 15-4 in its last 19 in December and 38-17 in the Cardinals’ last 55 games against losing teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ARIZONA


Detroit (2-12, 4-9-1 ATS) at San Francisco (6-8, 8-4-2 ATS)

The 49ers, who have fallen apart since getting off to a 3-1 start, take on the woeful Lions at Candlestick Park in a meeting of two teams playing out the string.

San Francisco has alternated SU wins and losses over the past seven weeks (3-3-1 ATS), falling 27-13 at Philadelphia last week as a seven-point pup. The Niners have beaten the defending NFC champion Cardinals twice this year, and their defense is allowing just 19.2 ppg (eighth). But their offense is 28th in total yards (286.6 ypg) and tied for 18th in scoring (20.1 ppg).

Detroit rallied from a 17-0 deficit to give Arizona a game Sunday, ultimately losing 31-24 but covering as a heavy 14-point home ‘dog. The Lions have dropped four in a row (2-2 ATS), and their defense continues to be porous, allowing 31.2 ppg and 396.1 ypg, both the worst marks in the league. The offense is netting just 16.6 ppg (27th) and 296.1 ypg (25th). Dating to the middle of the 2007 season, Detroit is a meager 3-35 SU (12-25-1 ATS).

San Francisco is on a 6-0 SU tear in this rivalry (4-1-1 ATS), most recently rolling 31-13 at home as a five-point chalk in September 2008. The Niners are also 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings at Candlestick.

The 49ers sport positive pointspread streaks of 11-5-3 overall, 5-0-2 after a non-cover, 6-1-1 following a SU loss, 7-2-1 at the ‘Stick and 16-7 laying more than 10 points, though they’ve also gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight against losing teams. The Lions are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 starts catching more than 10 points, but they are on numerous ATS slides, including 2-6-1 overall, 1-5-1 on the road (all as a pup) and 6-19-1 after a spread-cover.

San Francisco is on “under” streaks of 4-0 overall, 7-1 in December, 8-2 after a SU loss, 4-1 in NFC contests and 5-2 at home, and in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in six straight meetings overall, with five of those contests played at Candlestick. Detroit, meanwhile, is on “over” rolls of 23-9 on the highway, 9-3 as a road ‘dog, 11-3 in December, 11-2-1 after a non-cover and 5-1 against losing teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO


Denver (8-6 SU and ATS) at Philadelphia (10-4, 9-5 ATS)

The streaking Eagles, who still have a shot at the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoffs, gear up for a non-conference contest with the inconsistent Broncos at Lincoln Financial Field.

Philadelphia dropped San Francisco 27-13 as a seven-point home chalk Sunday for its fifth consecutive SU victory (4-1 ATS). The Eagles, who can clinch the NFC East with a victory today, have scored 24 points or more in all five games, moving into the No. 2 slot in the NFL at 28.5 ppg for the year, behind only high-octane New Orleans (34.5 ppg). Philly forced four turnovers last week, an area that has been key all season, as the Eagles now hold a turnover margin of plus-17, one behind league-leading Green Bay.

Denver imploded against Oakland last week, giving up a last-minute TD in a 20-19 home loss as an overwhelming 14-point favorite to severely hamper its playoff prospects. The Broncos have had one of the better defenses in the league all year, allowing 294.4 ypg (third) and 17.9 ppg (tied for sixth), but their offense hasn’t taken advantage. Against Oakland, Denver (19.6 ppg) settled for four field goals, blowing a first-and-goal from the 2-yard line late in the game.

These teams have met just once this decade, with Denver plowing to a 49-21 rout as a four-point home chalk in October 2005.

The Eagles are on nothing but positive ATS runs, including 4-1 overall (all as a favorite), 4-0 in December, 7-3 at home and 6-2 laying points at the Linc. On the flip side, the Broncos are on ATS purges of 2-6 overall, 1-4 getting points, 1-6 in December, 1-6 after a SU loss and 8-24 after a pointspread setback. Also, the SU winner has cashed in all 17 straight Denver games.

The over for Philadelphia is on streaks of 8-2-1 at home, 6-2-1 with the Eagles a home chalk and 5-2 against winning teams, and the over for Denver is on rolls of 5-0 in December, 4-1 on the road, 16-6-2 after a SU loss and 20-8-2 after a non-cover. However, the under for the Broncos is on a 6-1 stretch against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and OVER


N.Y. Jets (7-7 SU and ATS) at Indianapolis (14-0, 10-4 ATS)

The Colts aim to continue their run toward a perfect season with a Lucas Oil Stadium contest against the Jets, who must win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

Indianapolis edged Jacksonville 35-31 as a 3½-point road favorite in the Thursday contest last week, with the winning score coming on a 65-yard TD pass from Peyton Manning to Reggie Wayne. The Colts, who have cashed in five straight games, are fourth in the NFL in total offense (383.3 ypg) and fifth in scoring (28.1 ppg). Manning leads the league with 4,213 passing yards, and he’s tied with Drew Brees atop the TD passing list with 33 (15 INTs). Indy is also fifth in scoring defense (17.7 ppg).

New York hindered its bid to make the playoffs with a 10-7 home loss to Atlanta on Sunday as a 5½-point chalk, ending a three-game SU and ATS surge. The Jets field the No. 1 total defense (262.8 ypg) and the No. 1 scoring defense (15.8 ppg), and they have the NFL’s top rushing attack (164.1 ypg). However, they are just 18th in scoring (20.1 ppg), and rookie QB Mark Sanchez has 20 INTs on the year, against just 12 TDs.

These teams last met in October 2006, with Indianapolis winning 31-28 on the road, and New York covering as a 7½-point pup. Indy is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five home meetings with the Jets, the home team is on a 7-2-2 ATS roll, and the favorite is 5-2-2 ATS in the last nine clashes. Also, the SU winner is on a 6-1 ATS run in this rivalry.

The Colts have won 23 consecutive regular-season games, going 15-8 ATS in that stretch, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five December starts. Their current 5-0 ATS run has all come from the favorite’s role. The Jets are on a 7-3 ATS spurt as a road ‘dog, but they are on ATS skids of 1-4 against winning teams, 2-8 after either a SU or an ATS loss, 2-6 in December and 2-5 within the AFC.

In addition, the SU winner has covered in New York’s last 16 games, dating to last December.

New York is on a bundle of “under” runs, including 4-0-1 overall, 6-2-1 on the highway, 3-0-1 as a pup, 3-0-1 against winning teams and 20-8-2 in December. But in this rivalry, the total has gone high in four of the last six meetings (4-1-1).

ATS ADVANTAGE: INDIANAPOLIS


Dallas (9-5, 7-7 ATS) at Washington (4-10, 7-7 ATS)

The Cowboys, who control their playoff destiny and still have a shot at the NFC East title, travel to FedEx Field for a division battle with the reeling Redskins.

Dallas dealt New Orleans its first loss of the year, posting a 24-17 road victory last Saturday as a 7½-point underdog for just its fifth SU win and third ATS win in its last 15 December games. The Cowboys sport the third-most-productive offense in the league, at 394.5 ypg, though they’ve generated just 22.9 ppg (12th) from those yards. Defensively, the Pokes are middle-of-the pack in allowing 329.9 ypg (15th), but they’re giving up just 17.9 ppg (tied for sixth).

Coach Jim Zorn almost assuredly sealed his fate as the soon-to-be-ex Washington coach in a humiliating 45-12 Monday night loss to the Giants as a three-point home pup. Zorn called for a fake field out of a wild formation at the end of the first half, leading to an INT, and the Redskins had their five-game ATS winning streak snapped. Washington is averaging 317.9 ypg (23rd) and just 17.6 ppg (25th).

Dallas needed a late fourth-quarter TD to sneak out a sloppy 7-6 home victory over Washington five weeks ago, falling far short as an 11-point chalk. The Redskins are 7-2 ATS (5-4 SU) in the last nine clashes in this rivalry (5-1 ATS last six), and the underdog is on a 21-7 ATS spree. However, Dallas has gone 8-3 ATS on its last 11 trips to D.C., and the road team is on a 4-1 ATS run.

The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last seven starts against losing teams, but the ATS streaks head downward from there, including 3-12 in December, 4-9 on the road, 1-4 as a chalk and 0-4 as a road chalk. The Redskins have cashed in just three of their last 13 at FedEx, but they sport positive pointspread streaks of 5-1 overall, 4-0 after a SU loss, 4-1 against winning teams and 4-1 as a pup.

The under for Dallas is on tears of 6-1 overall, 4-1 in the NFC, 4-1 with the Pokes favored, 7-3 in December and a lengthy 49-23-3 against losing teams. Also, in this rivalry, the under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Washington. On the flip side, the Redskins are on a plethora of “over” streaks, including 4-0 overall, 4-0 in December, 4-0 at home, 6-1 getting points, 6-1 against winning teams and 4-1 in the NFC East.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS

[Tommy]

DCI

Season
Straight Up: 147-73 (.668)
ATS: 116-104 (.527)

Sunday, December 27, 2009

ATLANTA 22, Buffalo 14
CINCINNATI 29, Kansas City 12
CLEVELAND 18, Oakland 17
GREEN BAY 31, Seattle 15
MIAMI 25, Houston 18
N.Y. GIANTS 25, Carolina 22
NEW ENGLAND 26, Jacksonville 14
NEW ORLEANS 36, Tampa Bay 13
Baltimore 21, PITTSBURGH 18
ARIZONA 35, St. Louis 9
SAN FRANCISCO 33, Detroit 12
PHILADELPHIA 30, Denver 17
INDIANAPOLIS 29, N.Y. Jets 12
Dallas 22, WASHINGTON 16

[Tommy]

Carolina at NY Giants

The Giants look to take advantage of a Carolina team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. New York is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 10.

Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-7).