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Old 10-30-05, 09:59 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Ok, I went even 3-3 Saturday. I went against my system for some stupid reason and lost on the TCU game, so I am sticking with it 100% for Sunday to bounce back big. Not a whole lot of action in the NFL on Sunday, but I like 4 plays.

Washington vs NYG

Wash Off Avg = 22.5
Opp Def Avg = 20.5
Wash Outperforms = 2ppg

Wash Def Avg = 17.2ppg
Opp Off Avg = 21.0
Wash Outperforms = -3.8

Washington Composite Performance = 5.8ppg

NYG Off Avg = 28.8ppg
Opp Def Avg = 23.3
NYG Outperforms = 5.5ppg

NYG Def Avg = 22.8ppg
Opp Off Avg = 22.1
NYG is Outperformed = .7ppg

NYG Composite Performance = 4.8ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 3/3
2004 3/8
2003 1/8
2002 5/8

NYG has won 44% of their home games in the last 4 years raising their Edge to 1ppg.

Washington +2.5


Chicago vs Detroit

Chi Off Avg = 16.7ppg
Opp Def Avg = 18.4
Chi is Outperformed = -1.7ppg

Chi Def Avg = 11.3ppg
Opp Off Avg = 17.2
Chi Outperforms = -5.9ppg

Chicago Composite Performance = 4.2ppg

Det Off Avg = 17.3ppg
Opp Def Avg = 16.6
Det Outperforms = .7ppg

Det Def Avg = 17.7ppg
Opp Off Avg = 18.2
Det Outperforms = -.5ppg

Detroit Composite Performance = 1.2ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 2/3
2004 3/8
2003 5/8
2002 3/8

Detroit has won 48% of their home games in the last 4 years, dropping Chicago's Edge to 1.0ppg

Chicago +3


KC vs SD

KC Off Avg = 24.8ppg
Opp Def Avg = 19.83
KC Outperforms = 4.97ppg

KC Def Avg = 22.0ppg
Opp Off Avg = 20.25
KC is Outperformed = 1.75ppg

KC Composite Performance = 3.22ppg

SD Off Avg = 27.6ppg
Opp Def Avg = 20.6
SD Outperforms = 7ppg

SD Def Avg = 20.9ppg
Opp Off Avg = 23.47
SD Outperforms = -2.57ppg

SD Composite Performance = 9.57ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 1/3
2004 7/9
2003 2/8
2002 5/8

SD has won 53% of their home games in the last 4 years, raising SD Edge to 8.35ppg.

San Diego -6

Buffalo vs New England

Buff Off Avg = 16.0ppg
Opp Def Avg = 21.8
Buff is Outperformed = 5.8ppg

Buff Def Avg = 19.7ppg
Opp Off Avg = 18.25
Buff is Outperformed = 1.45ppg

Buffalo Composite Performance = -7.25ppg

NE Off Avg = 23.0ppg
Opp Def Avg = 19.98
NE Outperforms = 3.02ppg

NE Def Avg = 27.3ppg
Opp Off Avg = 24.18
NE is Outperformed = 3.12ppg

NE Composite Performance = -.1ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 1/2
2004 9/9
2003 10/10
2002 5/8

NE has won 83% of their home games in the last 4 years, raising New England's Edge to 11.35ppg.

New England -9

Thats it for Sunday! There are so many other games that against the points could be a tossup. I feel these are the 4 strongest plays for Sunday. Hope they all hit! Best of Luck to everyone!
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Old 10-30-05, 01:55 PM   #2 (permalink)
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BOL Today Wig I really like the SD and Washington Picks. SD has a good run D which KC features and LT and Comp should have a field day on the KC D. Also like Washington. I see a close game and actually Washington winning that game. Solid D and now a solid O with brunell slinging it opeing it up for Portis. Washington could be a real threat come the playoffs.
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Old 10-30-05, 02:58 PM   #3 (permalink)
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GL on the picks man...i love the chicago pick, their d is just outright nasty! detroit is a little banged up on d and itll hurt, chicago wins this SU...the wash/giants game im staying away from..on paper wash shold win, better d and a good o, vs a high scoring team w a shitty defense...eli seems to work miracles in the 4th at home so im not touching that...NE romps tonight over buffalo, i like that one a lotr
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Old 10-30-05, 04:37 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Wigington, how did you go 3-3 when I have you at 1-5???????????

Minnesota loser
Wisconsin loser
TCU loser
Texas loser
Nebraska loser
Penn St winner am I missing something or what!!!!!!!!!
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Old 10-30-05, 04:48 PM   #5 (permalink)
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I never took Texas or Nebraska. I posted those as picks but I never took them. Penn St, VT, Colorado St.
3-3 On the week for NCAA.
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Old 10-30-05, 04:57 PM   #6 (permalink)
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You said that Penn St and Texas was your strongest plays??? How do posters know that you did not take a game that you have posted. You should come back up here and let everyone know what you actually wagered on. You sure came up here in desperation to let us know that you had TCU???????? I can post plays and they lose and then come up here and say that I did not play them.
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Old 10-30-05, 06:17 PM   #7 (permalink)
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BOL Today Wig, I like Washington, but, I am going to be on Kansas City later.
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Old 10-30-05, 06:18 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Yo Wig like three out of four .Going with Giants at home instead of Wash.Like Bears,Chargers,Pats.Thanks for your input.
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Old 10-30-05, 07:20 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Neverlose, I did post the texas cover, but I didn't play it, just the over. I realize the confusion as I will only post plays that I will be wagering on. I posted them early in the week and then I backed out on that Neb/TX games.
I see where the confusion comes in. Why are you so worried about my record?
I post my picks I win, I lose. Get over it. I am.
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Old 10-30-05, 07:39 PM   #10 (permalink)
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hey guys, no need to get into an argument here...wigg, we appreciate you opinions on the games...by my recollection he had his plays posted in BOLD nevelose, and at the bottom as an addendum posted about texas which he didnt list as a play...i could be wrong, but we are all here for the same reason to help each other win...we all win games, we all lose em...
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Old 10-30-05, 07:52 PM   #11 (permalink)
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This is how I feel. Picks posted on the forum should reflect your posted record on the forum if you actually bet it or not. I assume that every pick posted on the forum has been actually wagered on, or at least I do anyway.
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Old 10-30-05, 08:25 PM   #12 (permalink)
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i dont see what is so difficult here..wiginton posted his analysis, his plays were in BOLD and then he just gave an opinion on other games he didnt have as plays just was posting his thoughts. i dont have any problem w it
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Old 10-30-05, 09:48 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Look guys I hate to argue over a record. I admit losses as much as I admit victories. From now on, I will only post wagered plays. Washington just didn't come through for me. Chicago looks like they will. Lets hope the afternoon treats us well. Good Luck to Everyone!
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Old 10-30-05, 09:56 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Wig, no problems here..i greatly respect what you do and how you do it...BOL on chicago and SD!
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Old 10-31-05, 01:07 AM   #15 (permalink)
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Thanks guys, Chicago came through and SD looks good with 4 minutes left. Lets hope the Patriots come through and finish this night for us BIG!!
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Old 10-31-05, 01:31 AM   #16 (permalink)
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nice hit w the bears, i had them also...SD hangs on for another winner for you, good job bro..lets bang NE tonight heavy
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