$$$ Wigington's MNF System Pick $$$

Wigington · 11-07-05, 07:28 PM

Hope we all had a good Sunday. The Cards killed me but the Jets came through like a champ! Hoping to finish off the night strong. I know the public is riding
the Colts and they should be. I mean they have no reason not to at this point.
I put these two teams into a system play of mine. They matchup closer than expected.

Indianapolis vs New England

Indy Off Avg = 27.0 ppg
Opp Def Avg = 23.4 pp
Indy outperforms their opponents = 3.6 ppg

Indy Def Avg = 11.0 ppg
Opp Off Avg = 16.8 ppg
Indy outperforms = -5.8 ppg

Indy Composite Performance = 9.4ppg

NE Off Avg = 22.7 ppg
Opp Def Avg = 19.5 ppg
NE outperforms = 3.2 ppg

NE Def Avg = 25.7 ppg
Opp Off Avg = 23.9 ppg
NE is Outperformed = 1.8 ppg

NE Composite Performance = 1.4 ppg

Now lets take a look at Home Field Advantage

>90% = 5 pts
70-90% = 4 pts
55-70% = 3 pts
40-55% = 2 pts
25-40% = 1 pt
0-25% = 0 pts

Last 4 years at home

2005 2/3
2004 9/9
2003 10/10
2002 5/8

New England has won 86% of their home games in the past 4 years lowering Indianapolis Edge to 4.0ppg.

This is almost dead on what the line has been raised to. I think NE definately has Home Field working for them tonight and them being Home Dog looks tempting. We all know the history of these two teams, but I believe that will change tonight. Peyton likes to air it out and the running game has looked really well with Edgerrin James. We all know NE are the Champs, but we have seen what teams with a balanced offense have done. Remember the SD game? Carolina? Tonight Peyton gets his shot.

Indianapolis -3

naught33 · 11-07-05, 08:53 PM

GL tonight wiggy...hope you cash, i dont have a great feel for this game, i mean NE look liked total crap last week until the last 8 min of the game, i know they will be up for this one, as will indy should be fun

Wigington · 11-07-05, 08:57 PM

The Pats have been dismantled by the Panthers and the Chargers and do not forget about the Broncos. I think what happens in a game like this is people often look at trends and the trend is heavily favoring the Pats. The Pats this year are not the Pats we have seen in the Pats. I know everyone is sick of hearing about injuries and a team does have to rise above it, but they are hurting and they know it. I will side with the Patriot backers that the Colts do have an easy schedule. The best offensive team they have played is the Rams. I do believe if Bulger would have stayed in, they could have won straight up and especially covered. So maybe this is why Patriot backers like laying points at home. I believe the Colts are the best they have every been and ever since that shock of being down 17-0 first quarter it has shown them that they have to do more than show up. They will not take the Patriots lightly. LT lit em up at home, espect the same from Edgerrin James and a better pass attack than SD to boot.

Colts -3
Colts -4
Colts -4.5
Colts -5

naught33 · 11-07-05, 08:59 PM

yeah i agree w all your points bro....everything to me points to a huge indy win...BUT im not sold on indy's defense..i think NE can trade shot for shot w indy tonight especially at home, itll be cold, and the indy defense is vulnerable as the rams showed before bulger got hurt

Wigington · 11-07-05, 09:33 PM

Point taken. Just because they looked shaky doesn't mean they will be shaky tonight. They know what this game means. Just want to see you on the winning side.

Tommy · 11-07-05, 11:30 PM

They know what this game means but can they get it done?? Pats at home are toguh and NE has Mannings number. It is a different year though and Indy looks great while NE has look less than stellar and has had alot of injuries. I hope its a great game and I wish you the BOL TONIGHT WIG!!!

QuickNick · 11-07-05, 11:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wigington

The Pats have been dismantled by the Panthers and the Chargers and do not forget about the Broncos. I think what happens in a game like this is people often look at trends and the trend is heavily favoring the Pats. The Pats this year are not the Pats we have seen in the Pats. I know everyone is sick of hearing about injuries and a team does have to rise above it, but they are hurting and they know it. I will side with the Patriot backers that the Colts do have an easy schedule. The best offensive team they have played is the Rams. I do believe if Bulger would have stayed in, they could have won straight up and especially covered. So maybe this is why Patriot backers like laying points at home. I believe the Colts are the best they have every been and ever since that shock of being down 17-0 first quarter it has shown them that they have to do more than show up. They will not take the Patriots lightly. LT lit em up at home, espect the same from Edgerrin James and a better pass attack than SD to boot.

Colts -3
Colts -4
Colts -4.5
Colts -5

Wig, I have great respect for you as a capper, but, I have to disagree with you tonight. I can't see Vegas taking a hit in this game, it's gonna be one of those HOW IN THE HELL DID NEW ENGLAND cover this spread. I may have to bet a couple of units on the ML, just in case!!!

BOL Bro!!!!

Wigington · 11-08-05, 04:12 AM

Nick that means a lot that you respect me as a capper. It really does because
respect seems to be something that is hard to get. Best of luck to you bro, one of us will be on the winning side. Either way, I have a lot of great picks for us this Sunday! We are gonna cash in big so GET READY!!

naught33 · 11-08-05, 04:28 AM

looks like youre right so far wig

QuickNick · 11-08-05, 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wigington

Nick that means a lot that you respect me as a capper. It really does because
respect seems to be something that is hard to get. Best of luck to you bro, one of us will be on the winning side. Either way, I have a lot of great picks for us this Sunday! We are gonna cash in big so GET READY!!

Wig, I deserve to lose almost 2 dimes last night on New England. I had a BAD feeling about the game after I read your thread. I was trying to think positive when I told you I disagreed with your selection.

Keep up the great picks bro!!! You are one hot capper!!!!

Wigington · 11-09-05, 05:47 AM

Thanks Nick! Don't sweat Monday Night, we'll bounce back big this weekend. I'll be back this week with some picks.

$@M · 11-09-05, 06:20 AM

Congrats the win on MNF, Wig. I'll make sure keep my eyes on your picks the coming weeks ~

BOL, mate~

11-07-05, 07:28 PM	#1 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	$$$ Wigington's MNF System Pick $$$ Hope we all had a good Sunday. The Cards killed me but the Jets came through like a champ! Hoping to finish off the night strong. I know the public is riding the Colts and they should be. I mean they have no reason not to at this point. I put these two teams into a system play of mine. They matchup closer than expected. Indianapolis vs New England Indy Off Avg = 27.0 ppg Opp Def Avg = 23.4 pp Indy outperforms their opponents = 3.6 ppg Indy Def Avg = 11.0 ppg Opp Off Avg = 16.8 ppg Indy outperforms = -5.8 ppg Indy Composite Performance = 9.4ppg NE Off Avg = 22.7 ppg Opp Def Avg = 19.5 ppg NE outperforms = 3.2 ppg NE Def Avg = 25.7 ppg Opp Off Avg = 23.9 ppg NE is Outperformed = 1.8 ppg NE Composite Performance = 1.4 ppg Now lets take a look at Home Field Advantage >90% = 5 pts 70-90% = 4 pts 55-70% = 3 pts 40-55% = 2 pts 25-40% = 1 pt 0-25% = 0 pts Last 4 years at home 2005 2/3 2004 9/9 2003 10/10 2002 5/8 New England has won 86% of their home games in the past 4 years lowering Indianapolis Edge to 4.0ppg. This is almost dead on what the line has been raised to. I think NE definately has Home Field working for them tonight and them being Home Dog looks tempting. We all know the history of these two teams, but I believe that will change tonight. Peyton likes to air it out and the running game has looked really well with Edgerrin James. We all know NE are the Champs, but we have seen what teams with a balanced offense have done. Remember the SD game? Carolina? Tonight Peyton gets his shot. Indianapolis -3
Status: Offline

11-07-05, 08:53 PM	#2 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	GL tonight wiggy...hope you cash, i dont have a great feel for this game, i mean NE look liked total crap last week until the last 8 min of the game, i know they will be up for this one, as will indy should be fun __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

11-07-05, 08:57 PM	#3 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	The Pats have been dismantled by the Panthers and the Chargers and do not forget about the Broncos. I think what happens in a game like this is people often look at trends and the trend is heavily favoring the Pats. The Pats this year are not the Pats we have seen in the Pats. I know everyone is sick of hearing about injuries and a team does have to rise above it, but they are hurting and they know it. I will side with the Patriot backers that the Colts do have an easy schedule. The best offensive team they have played is the Rams. I do believe if Bulger would have stayed in, they could have won straight up and especially covered. So maybe this is why Patriot backers like laying points at home. I believe the Colts are the best they have every been and ever since that shock of being down 17-0 first quarter it has shown them that they have to do more than show up. They will not take the Patriots lightly. LT lit em up at home, espect the same from Edgerrin James and a better pass attack than SD to boot. Colts -3 Colts -4 Colts -4.5 Colts -5
Status: Offline

11-07-05, 08:59 PM	#4 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	yeah i agree w all your points bro....everything to me points to a huge indy win...BUT im not sold on indy's defense..i think NE can trade shot for shot w indy tonight especially at home, itll be cold, and the indy defense is vulnerable as the rams showed before bulger got hurt __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

11-07-05, 09:33 PM	#5 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Point taken. Just because they looked shaky doesn't mean they will be shaky tonight. They know what this game means. Just want to see you on the winning side.
Status: Offline

11-07-05, 11:30 PM	#6 (permalink)
Tommy 2008 World Champions! Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,144	They know what this game means but can they get it done?? Pats at home are toguh and NE has Mannings number. It is a different year though and Indy looks great while NE has look less than stellar and has had alot of injuries. I hope its a great game and I wish you the BOL TONIGHT WIG!!!
Status: Online

11-08-05, 04:12 AM	#8 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Nick that means a lot that you respect me as a capper. It really does because respect seems to be something that is hard to get. Best of luck to you bro, one of us will be on the winning side. Either way, I have a lot of great picks for us this Sunday! We are gonna cash in big so GET READY!!
Status: Offline

11-08-05, 04:28 AM	#9 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	looks like youre right so far wig __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

11-09-05, 05:47 AM	#11 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Thanks Nick! Don't sweat Monday Night, we'll bounce back big this weekend. I'll be back this week with some picks.
Status: Offline

11-09-05, 06:20 AM	#12 (permalink)
$@M SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Sydney Posts: 1,536	Congrats the win on MNF, Wig. I'll make sure keep my eyes on your picks the coming weeks ~ BOL, mate~
Status: Offline

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