[naught33]

YTD: 145-100-2, +114.79 units

not liking the lines too much so just this for now

5 units parlay

DENT -180 over Berdych
JANKOVIC -160 over Myskina

Dent has a perfect game suited for grass, big serve, good approaches and pretty good net play. If he can cut down on the double faults I don't see him losing this match to Berdych. Myskina has struggled all yr long, that is no surprise with everything going on with her personal life. Jankovic owns a 20-15 record this yr to only 9-11 for Myskina. Jankovic has played well on grass this yr and is in good form right now, Myskina is clearly not.

GL

also looking at bjorkman, likhovtseva and gonzo, but not making them plays right now

[naught33]

oh yeah, the parlay is 5 units to win 7.64 units

[dananderson32]

i got enough to bet tennis tomorrow liking these tell me what you think naught always love your input:

Elena Dementieva -400

Jelena Jankovic -170

Elena Likhovtseva -140

Marat Safin -450

Taylor Dent -200

[naught33]

hey dan, good to see you here....always feel free to shoot me an IM if you use any of that stuff, naught08 on AIM is my IM name....as far as your plays go...here are my brief thoughts

I obviously like Dent and Jankovic as I'm parlaying them myself and posted my opinion on them so i'll move on to the rest.

The Safin match scares me. He should win, BUT it is a high price, and I know he has looked good, but Lopez does lead the h2h matchup w him at 2-1 (all on hard courts i believe), and all the sets have been close. Lopez is a hard serving lefty and could give Safin some fits here, but seeing Safin defeat Philippoussis the other day bodes well for him, although he didn't break until the final set i don't think, and Philippoussis did give away the 2nd set tiebreak. I'd lean to Safin if you want who wins the match, but I don't like the odds, so I'm not playing it, but safin should , emphasis on SHOULD win.

Likhovtseva at -140 is solid IMO. She has a more complete game, and grass doesn't favor Farina-Elia. Elena has looked good in her 1st 2 round matches, Farina-Elia had a tough time in her 2nd round, I think Lik takes her out fairly easily.

I hate betting on Dementieva because of that god awful serve. She is a brilliant ball striker but on a fast surface serve is important and im not sure her serve can take her far here. She is only 8-6 in her career at Wimbledon and only played one grass court tuneup match and retired in the first set. Washington played 2 tuneup tourneys on grass losing to Clijsters in the quarters in one and Jankovic in the quarters of the other. Dementieva should get by in this match though as she clearly is better than Washington, but it is a steep price.

I like the dent/jankovic/lik plays...maybe add maleeva, i think she is solid tomorrow....

[ns03]

Originally Posted by naught33

The Safin match scares me. He should win, BUT it is a high price, and I know he has looked good, but Lopez does lead the h2h matchup w him at 2-1 (all on hard courts i believe), and all the sets have been close.
I like the dent/jankovic/lik plays...maybe add maleeva, i think she is solid tomorrow....

- +2004, Aug. 17 Lopez defeated Safin in Olypic game 7:6 6:3. I don´t think Safin did his best in that game since there is no money from his homeland for him.
+ 2004, Oct 20 Safin defeated Lopez in ATP Masters series Madrid: 7-5, 6-7 and 6-3. Lopez had never led Safin 2-1 in the H2H. Pls check this.

- I like Jelena too, not for her tennis but other thing. anyhow I will place a parplay: Dent+Jankovic+Safin+Kurnetsova.

[naught33]

NS, GL on your parlay, looks solid to me, if Safin wins you should win in my opinion. I did re-check, and Lopez does own a 2-1 h2h advantage over Safin. Maybe where you got confused is that in 2004 they only played twice and split their meetings and their other meeting came in 2002.

2004 Madrid AMS, Hard, R32 Safin 7 5 6 7 6 3
2004 Athens Olympics, Hard, R32 Lopez 6 7 3 6
2002 Hong Kong, Hard, China Hard R16 Lopez 6 7 5 7

[naught33]

wow, wtf is Jankovic doing, drops 1st set 6-0, 0 winners, 14 UE's wow

[martinezz]

Hi naught
looks that Jankovic is just awful dissapointment ...

Wimbledon is sometimes very tricky in finding rigth way, maybe I will already specialize since now for this event only on players I know

[naught33]

hey MartinezZ, yeah Jankovic had her head in her ass in the first set, 0 winners and 14 unforced errors, jesus...she is playing better 2nd set on serve, hope she can still pull it out...dent is up 1 set so he looks good....nice to see you here and hope you enjoy it here and post your thoughts and plays on tennis and everything else you bet in the forums

[naught33]

adding

3 units on JCF -140 over Mayer....late line movement has been going in direction of JCF which tells me the sharp money is on him...public was all over mayer last night dropping the line to almost a pick by early morning. Going to go in the direction of the line move here.

[DUlrich1227]

let get JCF BRO !

this is typical JJ at her best LOL

[naught33]

yeah VAMOS JCF Dave....Jankovic is trying to pull a rabbit out of her hat here, hope she can pull it out. I knew Lopez was going to be a tough matchup for safin, should have thrown some cashycake on him but didn't have the balls. oh well

[DUlrich1227]

dman bro jj was up 5-3 its now 5-5 UGH

[Buckery]

JJ was up 5-1...

B

[naught33]

yeah i dont care if she wins this match, horrible nerves, someone remind me never to bet on JJ again

[Buckery]

30 break point opportunities for Myskina, 15 in the third set alone!!!!

Sweet jeezis if Jankovic wins I'd be thanking my lucky stars she did...

B

[naught33]

well jankovic choked and lost...up 5-1 in the 3rd no excuse to lose that...oh well, cant win them all, just hope the JCF match gets in before the rain

[Buckery]

She did choke indeed... unbelievable stats in that match.

[thadaz]

does any1 think roddick will lose the match here?

[Tommy]

Roddick just got by, I cant believe it went 5 sets For a minute there I thought he would lose when it was 2-2 in the 5th but he did what he had to and won. No way he beats Fed playing like he did today.