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Free Sports Picks and Predictions

Below you will find daily free picks and predictions from expert and seasoned sports handicappers. These picks are from the day's current sports card that include NFL and college football, MLB baseball, NBA and college basketball.
Friday, April 18, 2014
By Sport: NFL | NCAAF | MLB | NBA | NCAAB | NHL
MLB  |  Apr 18, 2014
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
Total
7 un-116
  at  BMAKER
in 12h

1* Free Play “under”  Cardinals/Nationals.

 

The last time these two pitchers squared off it was a 2-0 win for the Cardinals. I think this contest sets up nicely as another low scoring game. The Nationals will send Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.50 ERA) to the hill and the Nats are looking to bounce back from yesterday’s drubbing at the hands of the Cards. Gonzalez is looking to bounce back himself after giving up six runs to the Braves in a loss on Sunday. Gonzalez has always been stingy in games vs St. Louis though, a career 2.42 ERA with a 1-1 record against it. The Cardinals will counter with hard throwing right hander Michael Wacha (2-0, 1.89 ERA). Wacha has pitched well this season, giving up just 4 runs in 19 innings pitched. The youngster delivered a gem the last time he faced the Nationals, giving up zero runs in a playoff game last season. The Nationals couldn’t get to Adam Wainwright yesterday but it hardly mattered as the Cards beat up on the Nats worst pitcher. While it doesn’t get much easier today with Wacha, I think Gio will keep this one competitive. Two of the last three games Gonzalez has pitched against the Cards the lower number has hit. Look for another low scoring game here. Consider the “under.”

 

AAA

MLB  |  Apr 18, 2014
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians
Total
8½ ov+101
  at  BMAKER
in 12h


04/18 7:05 PM  MLB   (917) TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS (918) CLEVELAND INDIANS
Take: over the total.
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, April 18th, 2014, comes in baseball as the Toronto Blue Jays and the Indians meet in Cleveland. Cleveland is a small park, great for offenses, and Toronto comes to town with an offense ranked 13th in runs scored, 14th in slugging. The problem here for the defense is starter Drew Hutchison, who has walked 8 in 14+ innings while allowing 13 hits, poor ratios. Cleveland came into this series with a losing record and the over is 18-8 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. a team with a losing record and 23-9 over on the road against a team with a losing record. Cleveland's offense is good, loaded with veteran hitters who put the ball in play, 13th in baseball in runs scored, 9th in on base percentage. The over is 16-4-2 in the Indians last 22 vs. the American League Central. Starter Justin Masterson (5.87 ERA) has not been on his game, allowing 26 base runners in 15 innings. Masterson had a second consecutive rocky outing Saturday, allowing six runs (five earned) on seven hits and five walks against the White Sox. The over is 6-0 in the Indians last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter and the team is on an 8-3 run over the total. Play Toronto/Cleveland Over the total.     

 

MLB  |  Apr 18, 2014
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
+130
  at  SPBOOK
in 12h

Toronto Blue Jays +115

The Jays are coming off a double header so the pen might be a little light in this one. As much as I like Drew Hutchison on the mound I think their bats are going to enjoy facing the Indians Justin Masterson who has struggled this season. 

Masterson was hoping for a new contract and it may be in his head that the negotiations have stalled. The Jays have a lineup just looking to burst out and in 2 of 3 outings Hutchison hasn’t even given up a run. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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NBA  |  Apr 19, 2014
Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
-2-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

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Brooklyn Nets (44-38 SU, 41-40 ATS, -129 AFP) at Toronto Raptors (48-34 SU, 46-34 ATS, +165 AFP) (-2)

12:30 ET ESPN

5* Toronto (-2)

Brooklyn micro tanked (thanks for coining a new word ESPN) this week (with losses to the Knicks and Cleveland) in their effort to avoid facing Chicago in round 1.  And why not!  This is a playoff experienced group of Nets, who will be facing a Toronto team that was just 34-48 last season.  As is true with so many things in life, be careful what you wish for.  Under 1st year HC Kidd, Brooklyn was underachieving at 10-21 SU the end of December.  It took a meeting of the minds for the Nets to pull it together to make the playoffs.  Since the inception of 2014, Brooklyn is 34-17 SU, 31-21 ATS.  But, that stretch pales in comparison to the late season surge of this Toronto team.  Prior to the trade of non-defender, Rudy Gay, Toronto was 7-13 SU.  Like clockwork, the departure of Gay added chemistry to an offense led by Lowry and DeRozan.  The Raptors finished on a season-ending surge of 41-21 SU, 39-23 ATS.  These two split the season series at 2-2, with each winning once on their home court.  Though each team lost their season finale, the Raptors have been the more resilient team, standing 22-10 ATS following a defeat.  The Brooklyn team has more playoff experience, but the Raptors are the hotter team down the stretch.  They laid 7 and 8 points to Brooklyn in the regular season on this court.  At the current line, it looks like a bargain.  Note that Toronto covered by a net 165 points this year, while Brooklyn failed to the number by a net of 129 points.  Looks like perception/reality to me!

MLB  |  Apr 18, 2014
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
-148
  at  PINNACLE
in 13h

Mac Attack’s 2* Free Play on Texas Rangers ML @ Chicago White Sox.

The White Sox fell to .500 last night with a late game loss to the visiting Red Sox 3-1.  The White Sox gave up a double and walked home a run in the top of the 9th to let the game slip away.  Chicago got a strong outing on the mound from pitcher Chris Sale who allowed just 1 hit and K’d 10 batters.  The outing deserved a win but the late inning loss leaves him at 3-0 for the season.  

The Rangers used steady offense throughout their contest Thursday to overcome a 3rd inning outburst by Seattle to take down their third straight in a four game series away from home.  The Rangers got another huge game from recently promoted Kevin Kouzmanoff who had two doubles and scored twice for the Rangers in the game.  Kouzmanoff has now been batting .414 since being called up from the minors.  The Rangers will send Martin Perez to the mound Friday night -- Perez is 2-0 on the season and sports a solid 2.70 ERA with 12 K’s.  The Rangers hitters have been efficient and productive on the year but have yet to show much power as their leader in home runs and RBI’s is Elvis Andrus with 1 jack and Alex Rios with 7 RBIs.

Texas has been pretty solid this year and are finding their groove after a great last three days in Seattle.  We like Perez to be the difference here as he has gone eight innings and six in his past two starts respectively, with the eight inning showing being a 5 hit shutout at home.  We like the Rangers to win this one handedly behind their young ace and strong run support.

Take Texas here in our 2* Free Play.

 

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MLB  |  Apr 18, 2014
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
-105
  at  SPBOOK
in 12h

Friday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #908 New York Mets over Atlanta Braves (7:10pm EST) All good things eventually come to an end, and in the case of Aaron Harang they will come crashing down hard. The 35-year old right-hander has turned in three outstanding starts since joining the Braves. He has a miniscule 0.96 ERA and 0.80 WHIP so far, but let’s put things in perspective before we get too excited. First off, Harang was 5-12 with a 5.40 ERA in pitcher-friendly Seattle last season. Yes it was an off year, but there have been warning signs of deterioration for years. So far in 2014, he has only pitched 18.2 innings. His BABIP (batting average on balls in play) in those starts is a ridiculously low .191, which isn’t even close to sustainable. His career BABIP is over 100 points higher at .303 over his 13 seasons of work. So needless to say, Harang is in for some major regression and the Mets could be the beneficiaries. New York is fifth in the NL in runs scored so far this season thanks to some timely hitting. Jon Niese gets the ball for the Mets and he’s in line for his best season yet at the age of 27. Niese has put together back-to-back strong seasons with ERAs at 3.40 and 3.71 in 2012 and 2013. So far in 2014 he’s looking good, especially in the control department. He’s only walked two batters in 13 innings of work while striking out nine. The Braves has been feast or famine at the plate this season, but the last two games were certainly the latter. They scored a combined one run over their last two games against the Phillies, so Niese could be catching them at the right time. Take the Mets to get the win here.

MLB  |  Apr 18, 2014
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Total
7 un-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 12h

On Friday the Free MLB Totals Play is on the Under in the Atlanta at New York Mets game. Rotation numbers 907/908 at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a nice 82% totals system we use in game one of a series that plays to the under home certain home teams with a total that is 8 or less and are coming off a road dog win and are taking on an opponent off abroad favored loss. The Mets are home off a nice 6-3 road trip and a road win in Arizona. The Braves were favored and lost on Thursday in Philly. Atlanta has played under in 7 of 9 on the road and 9 of the last 11 as a road favorite with a total of 8 or less if they lost as a road favorite in their last game. They have Harang making his 2nd start against the Mets and he has been solid allowing just 2 runs in his last 11 innings against them. Harang has been a pleasant early surprise with 0.96 era and has allowed just a pair of earned run sin 18 innings. The Mets counter with J. Niese who has done well allowing just 2 runs in 13 home innings vs the Braves. Look for this game to stay under tonight. On Friday we have a Huge MLB Game of the Month leading the card. this game has a 30-1 Pitching angle And an 11-0 Blowout system. There is also a 25-3 Dominator system and 100% MLB Totals system that averages 13 runs per game + 100% NBA Playoff Payoff System in the Early NBA Game. We even have a Historical system in Game 2 of the NHL playoffs. Thursday top plays go 3-0, NY.Rangers, Yankees and Pirates.  Jump on now and Roll your book like wholesale carpet tonight. RV

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