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NFL :   Saints vs. Bills

Nov 12, 2017
final SIDE O/U SCORE
Saints -2.5 Over
48.0
47
Bills 2.5 10
Back

Free Picks

Jack Jones

Game Details
Nov 12, 2017 started
NFL | Saints vs Bills
Play on: OVER 47 -115

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Saints/Bills OVER 47

One of the hidden gem trends out there is that the OVER in Bills games has been a great bet when playing in Buffalo.  The OVER is 14-3 in the Bills' last 17 home games.  The perception is that there's bad weather in Buffalo and everyone wants to bet the under because of it, but that's just not the reality.  I think there's value with the OVER 47 this week against the Saints.

The Saints boast one of the best offenses in the NFL.  They are putting up 27.6 points per game, 392 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play.  They have found a running game this season behind Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram that has taken the load off of Drew Brees' shoulders.  That balance has made them even more potent and tough to tame this season.

Brees and company should have their way with a Buffalo defense that is way overrated.  The Bills really struggle against the pass, and they are giving up 345 yards per game and 5.5 per play on the season.  Opposing quarterbacks are throwing for 250 yards per game and completing 63.9% of their passes against Buffalo.  This is a Bills defense that just gave up 34 points to the New York Jets last week, and they have allowed 300-plus passing yards in three of their last four games.

Buffalo's offense should get a big boost this week.  Tyrod Taylor is going to have two weapons he didn't have previously.  Charles Clay has been out with a knee injury, but he is expected to make his return and is Taylor's favorite target.  Also, Kelvin Benjamin will be making his Buffalo debut after sitting out last week against the Jets.  This is going to be a very good offense moving forward with these two back and healthy.

There's no question that New Orleans has an improved defense this year.  However, we are getting line value on the OVER because the Saints have gone under the total in three straight.  But those three unders came against Brett Hundley and the Packers, Mitch Trubisky and the Bears and an injured Jameis Winston and the Bucs.  The last time they faced a legitimate quarterback, they played in a 52-38 shootout against the Lions four weeks ago.

Buffalo is 11-1 OVER in all home games over the past two seasons.  The OVER is 9-0 in Buffalo's last nine home games with a total set between 42.5 and 49.  New Orleans is 45-26 OVER in its last 71 games off two or more consecutive unders.  The OVER is 27-12 in Saints last 39 games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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Pick Released on Nov 10 at 07:56 pm

Tony Karpinski

Game Details
Nov 12, 2017 started
NFL | Saints vs Bills
Play on: Saints -2 -110 at 5Dimes

The Saints defense and Drew Brees are the different makers in this game on Sunday. The Saints are hot and Buffalo hasn't looked great their past few games. Their defense is really good right now. The Bills are good, no denying that, but the Saints, have a better offense and can move the ball effectively.

 The Saints defense has been excellent for a change, and four of their last five totals have gone Under as a result. Look for both these teams to focus on running the ball, which will chew up clock, and the Saints score in the redzone and Brees is by far the better QB here.

The public and the squares are all on the Bills, but we are backing the Saints in this early kickoff on Sunday afternoon.

Pick Released on Nov 12 at 11:42 am

Scott Spreitzer

Game Details
Nov 12, 2017 started
NFL | Saints vs Bills
Play on: UNDER 48 -110

I'm recommending a play on the Under between the Saints & Bills on Sunday. The Bills normally win at home with Tyrod Taylor at QB.  In fact, they've won 18 of his last 25 home starts.  They don't pile-up passing yardage, but they can control the flow of the game with the ground attack.  While New Orleans plays well against the pass, they can be had on the ground.  Buffalo should be able to stick to their ground-first game plan, shortening the game.  The Saints tore through Tampa Bay last week for 6.9 yards per play, but they're 11-3 to the Under following a game where they averaged at least 6.5 yards per play. They're also 6-1 to the Under off a double digit win. We expect this one to stay below the posted total.  We're recommending a play on the Under between the Saints & Bills on Sunday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.  

Pick Released on Nov 11 at 11:15 am

Chip Chirimbes

Game Details
Nov 12, 2017 started
NFL | Saints vs Bills
Play on: Saints -2½ -120 at 5Dimes

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Chip's FREE NFL Winner

New Orleans at Buffalo 1:00 ET

Saints (-) over Bills- I saw the matchup and thought what a good spot to see New Orleans fall. Buffalo has been a big winner at home going 4-0 straight and undefeated against the points (3-0-1 ATS). Yet the Saints prayers must have been answered as they are favored on the road. This make the Bills so attractive it is sort of a 'double reverse' among betters. I smell a rat and expect the New Orleans defense to shutdown one dimensional quarterback Tyrod Taylor. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and make it five here. Take NEW ORLEANS!

Pick Released on Nov 11 at 06:58 pm

TJ Pemberton

Game Details
Nov 12, 2017 started
NFL | Saints vs Bills
Play on: Saints -3 +103 at betonline

Free NFL Pick: Saints -3

The New Orleans Saints have now won six straight games heading into Week 10 of action. The Saints will visit the Buffalo Bills on Sunday as a -2 point favorite. New Orleans is 6-2 on the season and are 1st in the NFC South. The Saints are 3-1 on the road this season. New Orleans beat the Bucs 30-10 last week at home. The Saints are led by QB Drew Brees who has 13 touchdowns on the season and 4 interceptions. The Saints ranks 2nd in the NFL in yards per game with an average of 392.5 yards per game. The Buffalo Bills are led by QB Tyrod Taylor who has thrown for 10 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Buffalo last played the Saints in 2013 and lost 35-17. Buffalo ranks 21st in the NFL in yards allowed per game. The Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record & are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings & the favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 
Pick Released on Nov 12 at 07:41 am

Art Aronson

Game Details
Nov 12, 2017 started
NFL | Saints vs Bills
Play on: UNDER 47 -115

1* Free Play UNDER Saints/Bills.

Will New Orleans have a letdown here after six straight victories? Maybe. But then again, maybe not. Drew Brees is having a decent season (by his incredibly high standards), but the Saints have been surprisingly good on the defensive side of the ball (after being a disaster for the last five years) and they are also getting big production from the run game from the duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. Buffalo came out of its bye week with two straight wins, but enters this one off a listless 34-21 loss at the Jets on Thursday night. With a couple extra days off this week Buffalo needs to take advantage of familiar surroundings before a tough two game road trip which sees it at the Chargers and Chiefs respectively. Note that the Saints have seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of their last 14 against clubs with winning records, while Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 21 as an underdog, including in three of four this year. Consider the UNDER in this matchup.

AAA Sports

Pick Released on Nov 06 at 09:54 am
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