This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Game of the Week. Green Bay is coming off a brutal two-game roadtrip where it lost to the Rams and Patriots to fall to 3-4-1 on the season but it is just a game and a half back in the NFC North. This is a must win for the Packers however as they have to venture out on the road in two more tough environments after this in Seattle and Minnesota. This game sets up similar to the one against the Bills as Green Bay was coming of a bad road loss against Washington and bounced back as expected. Miami is not as bad as the Bills many will argue but the Dolphins are not far off. They have been outgained in seven of their last eight games including two wins against the Jets where they won the yardage battle by 105 and 107 yards. Turnovers have been the difference that has kept them above water. Now Miami heads to Green Bay where temperatures will be in the 20s at gametime. Brock Osweiler will be making his fifth start for the Dolphins and while he is 2-2, the offense has gotten worse moving forward especially last week where the only touchdown came on an interception return. Miami is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games against teams allowing 350 or more ypg while going 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. Additionally, Miami is 1-15 ATS in its last 16 games after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. 10* (262) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Saints are coming off a monster win last week against the Rams making a case from them now being the team to beat in the NFC. A big win at home like that can certainly produce a letdown and on top of that, they head home after this to face the Eagles next week and then play the Falcons four days later on Thanksgiving night. Despite a 7-1 record, New Orleans has not been dominating as it has outgained opponents just by 14.2 ypg. But that is not going to stop the public from loading up on the Saints especially with a Cincinnati team that the public thinks it is in disarray. The Bengals blew a 21-point lead against Tampa Bay and needed a last second field goal to pull out the win. They will be without A.J. Green for a couple games while the defense is on pace to break NFL records for yardage allowed so there is no way Cincinnati can keep up right. That is why they play the game and this is a big game for the Bengals as they are now a game behind the Steelers and they have a pair of divisional games on deck. The Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Additionally, we play against road teams off a win as a home underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation s 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (256) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Thursday Game of the Month. The Steelers have won four straight games and are going to be a very popular public play at home on Thursday. This line was hit hard by Carolina money early and has come down but it is still above the key number for a team that is arguably better at this point. This could be considered a tough spot for the Steelers as they are coming off three straight divisional games. While the popular thinking is that the Steelers are a dominant team at home, they are just 2-7 over their last nine games at Heinz Field. Carolina has won three straight and five of its last six games with the lone loss coming at Washington in a game it should have won as it outgained the Redskins but lost the turnover battle 3-0. The Panthers are ranked No. 17 in total offense but a truer indication is that they are No. 5 in offensive efficiency which is a big factor in this matchup as the Steelers are ranked No. 21 in defensive efficiency. Taking both sides into account, Carolina is No. 3 in total efficiency while Pittsburgh is No. 11 and that is a very significant differential. Carolina is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better while going 6-0 ATS in its last six games after gaining 6.0 or more yppl in their previous game. The Panthers fall into a situation where we play against favorites that are averaging 370 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 335 to 370 ypg, after outgaining their opponent by 100 or more total yards in three consecutive games. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Night Enforcer. Both the AFC South and NFC East divisions are wide open so a win for either side would be huge. The Titans have lost three straight games but two of those could have been won as they were by a point apiece while the other was a shutout loss at home in horrendous weather. Tennessee is 1-3 away from home but those three losses have come by a combined nine points. Tennessee is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after one or more consecutive losses. The Cowboys are coming off a loss in Washington prior to its bye week and on the season, the home team is 7-0 in Dallas games which is a big reason this line is inflated. While the big news out of Dallas was the acquisition of wide receiver Amari Cooper, there was bigger news that nobody has talked about and that was it fired offensive line coach Paul Alexander and assistant offensive line coach Marc Colombo has been promoted to Alexander's position. The Cowboys also hired longtime NFL offensive line coach Hudson Houck as an advisor. this is not a good thing midway through the season. This offensive line has been pretty much below average all season and while Ezekiel Elliott is having a fine season, Dak Prescott has been sacked 23 times which is tied for 13th most in the league but that is through just seven games. The Cowboys 10.04 percent sack rate is fourth worst in the NFL. Here, we play on teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 58-26 ATS (69 percent) since 1983. 10* (473) Tennessee Titans

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC Game of the Year. Baltimore has bottomed out after a 3-1 start as it has lost three of its last four games to move to 4-4 and trails Pittsburgh by a game and a half in the AFC North. Three of the losses have come by a combined five points so the Ravens are better than the record shows and their poor game last week against the Panthers can be attributed to a possible lookahead to this week. Baltimore is 6-0 ATS under John Harbaugh after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game. The Steelers are trending the other way as they have won three straight after a 1-2-1 start. These recent runs on both sides are keeping this number lower than it should be as lines under three are available across the industry. Pittsburgh is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 road games after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. Additionally, the Steelers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win while the Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in four or five out of their last six games. This situation is 356-253 ATS (58.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (456) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are coming off a much needed bye week but this team is still a mess defensively. Injuries have played a big role and on the season, Atlanta is ranked second to last in the NFL in defensive efficiency and it is one of only three teams allowing 30 or more ppg on the season. While the Falcons have won two straight games, they were outgained in both of those and they have had the luxury of playing five of their last six games at home. Atlanta is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game. The Redskins are in first place in the NFC East by a game and a half over the Eagles and two games over the Cowboys. Unlike Atlanta, the defense is leading the way as Washington is ranked No. 5 in scoring defense and has allowed 17 points or less in four of its last five games. Washington is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. Here, we play on home favorites that are outrushing opponents by 40 or more ypg going up against a team that is +/- 30 in rushing ypg differential, after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. This situation is 103-57 AT (64.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (462) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. While there have been some solid Thursday matchups through the first half of the season, this is not one of those but we can take advantage of a soft line where San Francisco has significant advantages. The 49ers have lost six straight games but four of those came against quality opponents and while the other two were against Arizona, last week was just by three points and the other came despite winning the yardage battle by 227 total yards. The big issue for the 49ers is at quarterback as C.J. Beathard is questionable with a wrist injury which means Nick Mullens could be making his maiden NFL start but whoever starts, it should not matter. Headed into Week Nine, the San Francisco offense ranks 22nd in the NFL, and while that number does not really strike fear into the opponent, what the group can do on the ground should. The 49ers are led by running back Matt Breida who has 487 rushing yards and two touchdowns along with a 5.8 ypc average and overall, they are ranked sixth in rushing offense with 133.6 ypg. The Raiders defense is ranked deal last against the rush and it does not stop there as they have given up seven passing plays more than 40 yards, tied for the fourth-most in the league. This is partly due to amassing only seven sacks, fewest in the league. The 49ers fall into a phenomenal rushing situation as we play against road teams averaging between 70-95 rushing ypg going up against a team allowing between 95-125 rushing ypg, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in two straight games. This situation is 46-17 ATS (73 percent) since 1983 including a perfect 10-0 ATS the last five years. 10* (308) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Monday Night Enforcer. There is only one way to play this game as it is rare to get a home underdog at this number, especially in a divisional game but it is the Patriots and despite the pointspread, the public is all over them. New England has received 71 percent of the bets at offshore books which is tied for the most one-sided action in Week Eight with the Bengals and unfortunately, we all saw how that turned out. Over the last 10 years, there have been just 17 double-digit divisional home underdogs and those games have resulted with the home team taking the money in 13 of those games. This includes a 4-1 ATS mark on Monday nights with one of those wins coming last season as the Patriots were in a pretty similar spot as they were riding an eight-game winning streak and rolled into Miami as a double-digit favorite only to lose outright by a touchdown. The other two wins were the Rams in 2013 in a five-point loss to Seattle as 13-point underdogs and the Raiders in a four-point loss to San Diego as 10.5-point underdogs. New England has won four straight games after a 1-2 start and the offense has been on a roll, scoring 38 points three times and 43 points the other. Buffalo is down to its third quarterback this week as Derek Anderson will be making his second start but this will be his first one at home and his first one with more than three days to prepare so he should be better off than he was last week. In addition to the divisional home underdog situation, Buffalo falls into another where we play on underdogs of 10.5 or more points after a loss by 14 or more points going up against an opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Game of the Year. Green Bay heads west following its bye week as it prepares to take on the meat of its schedule. The Packers, namely Aaron Rodgers, will be playing the respect card on Sunday as this line is out of control even if it is against the best team in the NFL at this point. Rodgers has never been an underdog by this many points and in his career, he has been an underdog of six or more points four times and he is a perfect 4-0 ATS. He has a healthy receiving corps this week Geronimo Allison and Randall Cobb were back practicing after missing the last game while Davante Adams should be back to 10 percent. Green Bay has gone 10-4-1 ATS when coming off a bye under head coach Mike McCarthy. The Rams are coming off their seventh straight win to open the season including the last three all coming on the road. They snapped a three-game ATS skid with the rout over the 49ers last week, the same 49ers team that nearly pulled off the upset two weeks ago in Green Bay and that is playing into this line. The Los Angeles offense is humming but the defense will again have its hands full on the interior where Rodgers could have a field day in the middle of the field. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a completion percentage of 60 percent or better, after gaining 7.0 or more passing ypa in three straight games. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (271) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Bengals look to right the ship after suffering a pair of one-sided losses in their last two games. The lost to Pittsburgh by a touchdown but they were outgained by 206 yards and last week, they were torched by Kansas City by 35 points while getting outgained by 312 yards. A 4-1 start has been negated the last two weeks and this is a big game to get to 5-3 instead of 4-4 heading into their bye week. The Bengals can refocus on beating a handful of mediocre teams in the next month to rebuild their confidence especially on the defense where Cincinnati is on pace to allow 440 points, the most in 30 years. Tampa Bay is coming off an overtime win over Cleveland last week to improve to 3-3 and it hits the road where the defense has been atrocious as it has allowed an average of more than 40 ppg over the teams three 2018 road games. And they are banged up as the Buccaneers will be without two starting defensive linemen, tackle Gerald McCoy and end Vinny Curry, for a second straight game. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (264) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Here we have two teams heading in opposite directions as Houston, after a 0-3 start, has won four straight games to take over the lead in the AFC South while the Dolphins have dropped three of their last four games after a 2-0 start. This is a number larger than we normally prefer to lay but it has not gone south of a touchdown so there is no value loss and laying over a touchdown is validated in this situation. The Texans are where they were expected to be before the season started and even that 0-3 start is not that bad on paper as one loss came at New England by a touchdown while the other two losses were against the Titans and Giants by a combined eight points and they won the yardage battle in both games by a combined 202 total yards. Houston is ranked No. 14 in total defense but it is ranked No. 5 in the more important defensive efficiency category according to Football Outsiders and it has picked it up over the last three games, allowing just 12 ppg. The Texans have not been dominant at home as they have failed to cover their last five games at NRG Stadium, but they welcome the perfect opponent. Miami is a mess right now as not only is it without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill, two of the top three receivers were lost last week as Albert Wilson and Kenny Stills, who are tied for the lead in touchdowns with four apiece, both suffered injuries. Brock Osweiler has not looked bad over the last two games but he will be making his first road start and any talk of the revenge narrative because of Houston trading him can be tossed out the window. Going back, Miami is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games following a loss, losing those games by an average of 15.6 ppg. 10* (104) Houston Texans

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Night Game of the Month. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this Monday night game as they played last Thursday and were hammered by the Eagles by 21 points. That extra time means little as New York is going nowhere fast and has been stuck in neutral all season. It is three games behind the Redskins in the NFC East and this could very well be the last stand for Eli Manning, who is putting up decent numbers but they are not translating into wins. The Giants need to give Manning time to throw, and he might have it against Atlanta, which has not had much of a pass rush this season. Only four teams have fewer than the 10 sacks the Falcons have recorded this season. But New York can help add to that number as the Giants continue to make changes along what has been a porous offensive line for the past two seasons, benching disappointing right guard Patrick Omameh, in favor of backup interior lineman Spencer Pulley. While the Falcons sack numbers are low, the Giants have just seven and that is tied with the Raiders for fewest in the league. New York is ranked No. 27 in defensive efficiency and faces a potent offense where Matt Ryan has been on fire of late, throwing for 1,433 yards, 12 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last four games. This can be considered a must win for Atlanta heading into its bye week as a couple of late blown leads could come back to haunt them, but the Falcons are a couple plays from being 4-2 or even 5-1. And they have won two of three inside the NFC South, so they still control their own destiny. The Falcons have played a relatively tough schedule as they have faced only one team ranked outside the top 16 and that resulted in a win over Tampa Bay last week. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced no turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. If there was any question that the Dallas offense was struggling, last week should have answered that. Or at least many will think that but that is not the case as one week does not make a cure but that is what the public saw and now the line reflects that. The Cowboys improved to 3-3 with the victory but the venue has played a big part as they are 3-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. Dallas is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. Washington is coming off an impressive win over Carolina although it was outgained and took advantage of three Panthers turnovers. The defense is no joke as the Redskins are ranked No. 5 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is with that New Orleans debacle from a couple weeks ago. They should be out for some payback as Dallas has won the last four meetings in this series that has always been notoriously close. Going back, the Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Saints come in red hot having won four straight games following a season opening loss against Tampa Bay but they caught a momentum killer with a bye last week. The New Orleans offense is firing on all cylinders right now but it has yet to face a defense this strong, especially on the road where it has faced scoring defenses ranked No. 31 and No. 24. New Orleans is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games. The Ravens are coming off a 21-0 shutout over Tennessee in sloppy conditions but even with that, this is a very strong defense. Baltimore is ranked No. in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense as it has held all but one opponent to 14 or fewer points. The offense is not too shabby either as the Ravens are No. 9 in total offense and No. 12 in scoring offense and they face off against a Saints defense that is in the bottom third in both categories. The Ravens are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, in the first half of the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (470) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Arizona returns home following a two-game roadtrip where it split with San Francisco and Minnesota and looks to grab its first win at State Farm Stadium after starting the season 0-3. The Cardinals did look good in its last two home games, losing to Chicago and Seattle by a combined five points and Thursday presents a good opportunity to get the offense going. Arizona is dead last in the NFL in total offense and second to last in scoring offense but it has faced some strong defenses with four teams ranked at No. 11 or better in total defense and the other two coming in at No. 16 and No. 19. Denver will be the worst defense the Cardinals have faced and by a wide margin. The Broncos are near the bottom in numerous defensive categories and while they have faced the Rams and Chiefs, they have struggled against the rest of the schedule as well. In their last game against Minnesota, the Cardinals may have found something on offense they can use against the Broncos defense. The Cardinals used a hurry-up, no-huddle offense successfully, resulting in their one touchdown on offense in the fourth quarter and quarterback Josh Rosen looked comfortable which is no surprise since he has the on-huddle at UCLA. Their 302 offensive plays are the fewest by any team through that same time span since 2005 so the defense has been on the field for way too long. Despite that, he Arizona defense has not been horrible based on the schedule it has played and it will face a Broncos offense that has been inconsistent this season. The Cardinals are ranked No. 8 in defensive yppl at 5.4 despite being dead last in time of possession percentage and if they could keep that unit off the field, they could be even better. The Broncos are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is a big number to be laying down but the 49ers injury situation is not improving from earlier in the week. We already know Jimmy Garoppolo is out for the season but tonight, San Francisco will be without running back Matt Breida while three starting offensive linemen and a backup are all still listed as questionable. This is not ideal going up against a defense that has been underrated this season as the Packers are ranked No. 4 in total defense, allowing just 313.8 ypg while the scoring defense is also a top ten unit. C.J. Beathard gets the start and in just two games this season, he has thrown four interceptions giving him 10 career picks in only seven career starts. In the 28-18 loss to Arizona last week, Beathard completed 34 of 54 passes for 349 yards with two touchdowns and the 49ers rang up 447 yards of total offense. Of course, there were also five turnovers and that has plagued the 49ers offense all season. This is a big game for the Packers prior to their bye coming up next week as they are looking to bounce back from a loss to Detroit and they can move into first place with a victory. Following their bye, they have back-to-back games against the Rams and Patriots, both on the road, which puts more emphasis on this game. Many are down on this team but according to Pro Football Focus elite stats, the Packers enter Week Six as the 7th best team in the NFL with an 81.6 grade, while their offense ranks 6th with a 76.0 grade and their defense ranks 7th with a grade of 79.3. The Packers have outgained their last two opponents by 278 and 257 total yards so the offense continues to roll as well and while many are blaming the field goal kicking doing them in, the offense should not have put Mason Crosby in that position so many times by finishing 3-10 in third down. The Packers were unable to execute when needed but that should change at home against a mediocre San Francisco defense. 10* (278) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Night Game of the Year. The game of the season so far will take place Sunday night as Kansas City brings in a perfect 5-0 record and will try to win here for a second straight season. The Chiefs are coming off an impressive win over Jacksonville as the defense held the Jaguars to just 14 points and that was due to five turnover. The defense still allowed 502 total yards so it is still an issue and was masked by the final score. Kansas City has been outgained in four of five games and while the offense will still move the ball, this is the one matchup where they will not likely jump out to a big lead which they have done in three of their four games. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. This is the third straight home game for the Patriots which is a significant advantage, even more so when playing with an extra three days of rest. They should excel against the Chiefs defense as quarterback Tom Brady has been very good this season and has recently gained steam while the Chiefs defense has not. The goal is at least 400 yards as going back to 2013, they are 32-2 when hitting that number. The history of Belichick-coached teams facing rookie quarterbacks is timely to revisit this week, and it starts with this: The Patriots are 9-0 at home against rookie signal-callers. It gets even better. Since 2007, quarterback Tom Brady is 59-2 at home against AFC opponents. The first loss was in a meaningless Week 17 game against the Buffalo Bills in 2014, when the Patriots had already clinched home-field advantage and Brady was pulled at halftime. The second was last season in their season opener and more important, it came against the Kansas City Chiefs which only adds to the motivation this Sunday night. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, in the first half of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) New England Patriots

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We were on Miami last week and things were looking good with the Dolphins possessing a 17-0 lead late in the third quarter and then the wheels fell off. The Bengals tied the game early in the fourth quarter by way of a 22-yard interception return for a touchdown and took the lead late with a field goal. Miami was still alive with over two minutes remaining but quarterback Ryan Tannehill was strip sacked and the fumble was returned for a touchdown. The Dolphins are back home following a two-game roadtrip that saw them lose to the Patriots as well in a blowout. Chicago has won three straight games but the Bears have benefitted from playing the 27th ranked schedule in the NFL. They are coming off a bye week and the early bye is not good here as it killed momentum from the winning streak including the victory over Tampa Bay which was one of the most complete games on both sides in a while. The question here is are the Bears six points better than the Dolphins on a neutral field? The simple answer is no as this line is based on recency bias. Looking at the Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) provided by Football Outsiders for both teams, the Bears are 1st in defensive DVOA, while Miami checks in at 5th. The Bears are 17th offensively, with the Dolphins right behind them at 18 so these teams are more even that people think. The Chicago defense is a tough unit with the addition of Khalil Mack so the offensive line for the Dolphins has to step up which it did not do last Sunday. That was due to losing left tackle Laremy Tunsil with a concussion but he is projected to return this week as he is back at practice. Chicago is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards last game and is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after gaining 6.0 or more yppl last game. Additionally, we play against favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (256) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Philadelphia is off to a 2-3 post-Super Bowl Champion start which is not overly surprising considering most teams not named the Patriots tend to go through a Super Bowl hangover. The Eagles three losses all could have been wins however as the net yardage differential in those games is a total wash at 0.0. Only seven previous defending Super Bowl champions that started 2-3, and only one of the previous seven rebounded to make the postseason. Their season is far from over as they can buck history simply because they are located in the NFC East. Philadelphia is a half-game behind Washington, along with Dallas, and a game ahead of the Giants and this division is the only one with a team possessing first place that is not above .500. The Eagles simply have to win the close games they have been losing and they need to get the offense on track as their 20.6 ppg is ranked No. 25 in the league. Enter the Giants, which have allowed 33 points in each of their last two games including an excruciating last second loss against Carolina last week to drop them to 1-4. While they are not dead either because of the weakness of the division, they are a mess inside he locker room. The offense finally showed something against the Panthers but they will struggle against a strong Eagles defensive front as the offensive line has stunk it up. New York is No. 28 in rushing offense while Philadelphia is ranked No. 2 in rushing defense so any resemblance of balance on Thursday will be a tall order. The Giants are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win while the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and fall into a solid situation where we play on road favorites after two or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (103) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Saints are off to a 3-1 start to the season but they are overpriced as being a big, primetime public home team, the line has been inflated. They are coming off a pair of road wins but they were against teams that are a combined 2-8 so not much should be taken from that. The home edge is always a big one here and tonight it will be electric with Drew Brees likely to pass Peyton Manning as the All-Time Passing Leader but that is certainly no reason to bet on a team. Even more so knowing the Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six Monday night games. Washington is 2-1 coming off its bye week which is a good thing now but could catch up to the Redskins later with it being so early. They were able rest and recover some injuries as running back Adrian Peterson (ankle) is ready to go and cornerback Josh Norman (hamstring) and left tackle Trent Williams (knee surgery) had time to heal and ease their way into practice this week. Alex Smith has proven to be a good pickup from the Chiefs as he manages the offense just like he did in Kansas City. Washington has an assorted array of skill talent, as well a solid offensive line, for a balanced attack that can get to a Saints defense which is allowing 30.2 ppg despite playing four teams that are a combined 5-10-1 with none possessing a winning record. The scoring defense is ranked No. 30 in the NFL while the total defense is ranked in the bottom quarter of the league. Washington is tops in the league in total defense but that is against a small sample size however it has been successful at disrupting opposing quarterbacks this season, ranking top-10 in pressures and that is important against Brees. New Orleans is just 12-32 ATS in its last 44 home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Meanwhile the Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (477) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Rams are off and running to a 4-0 start and their +73 scoring differential leads the NFL. They lead the league in total offense, averaging 125 ypg on the ground and 343 ypg through the air and they have scored at least 33 points every game this season. The schedule has been in their favor with three home games and the lone road game coming in Oakland and it has now been well over month since they left the state of California. Despite laying over a touchdown on the road, the public is all over the Rams which does not come as much of a surprise as recreational bettors are reacting to recent results while sharps like getting a 2-2 team as a touchdown or more underdog at home. The Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. After losing its first two games by one possession, Seattle has bounced back with two straight wins including a last second victory over Arizona last week. The Seahawks have rediscovered their run game with consecutive 100-yard rushers and their defense has held three straight opponents to under 305 total yards of offense. Seattle is not without its problems and the one most talked about most is the offense line. But according to analysis based on new player tracking information, the much-maligned Seahawks offensive line might actually be decent at pass blocking, and it might not have been bad last season, either. The Seahawks have the fourth-best PBWR (pass block win rate) 2.5 seconds after the snap so they could have some success against the Rams defense. This is a big revenge game for Seattle and as much as the Seahawks would like to forget that day last December, a 42-7 loss to Los Angeles lingers. This is a situation the Seahawks have thrived in as they are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as home underdogs of two or more points while going 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs playing with revenge against a .500 or better opponent. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Cleveland comes into Week Five at 1-2-1 and it has played a lot better than that record shows. Two missed field goals and two bad referee calls last week has put the Browns in this spot and had those gone the other way, they could feasibly be 4-0 right now. While a lot of the hype is surrounding Baker Mayfield and the improved defense, and as it well should, the improvement overall can partly be attributed to not making mistakes. Prone to turnovers in past years, the Browns have the best turnover ratio in the NFL through the first quarter of the season. Mayfield is the type of quarterback that the Ravens have traditionally struggled against. He is mobile, he can beat you in unconventional ways and he has the arm talent to do damage. Cleveland finished No. 18 last season in rushing offense but it is currently No. 2 in that category, averaging 15.8 ypg. Baltimore is coming off a huge win in Pittsburgh last week to move to 3-1 on the season and that presents us with a great letdown opportunity. The last time Cleveland defeated Baltimore was back in October of 2015 and that situation is very similar to this week as the Ravens were coming off a win at Pittsburgh. Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco has traditionally had his best games against the Browns but this will be the best Browns team that has faced. The recency bias is in full effect here after last week with the Baltimore win over Pittsburgh coupled with the Brown allowing 45 points last week against the Raiders. Baltimore falls into a negative situation where we play against favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. This includes a 14-2 ATS record over the last five seasons. 10* (452) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC Thursday Game of the Year. Indianapolis enters Week Five with a 1-3 record and with a few bounces its way, it could be 3-1 or 4-0 as the three losses have been that close to going either way. In their last road game, the Colts lost at Philadelphia where they were getting 6.5 points and went down by just four. Now they are getting over a field goal more and at this point in the season, New England is not three points better than the Eagles so this is an inflated line based on who it is and not what it is. Andrew Luck is coming off his best game of the season as he threw for 464 yards and four touchdowns and on the season, he is completing over 67 percent of his passes which is by far the best of his career. The Patriots passing defense is ranked in the top ten in the league but they have not been overly tested yet with Matthew Stafford cutting them up pretty good and while DeShawn Watson is considered near the top, it was his first game back from injury. The Patriots put their most complete game together last week against Miami as they outgained the Dolphins by 277 total yards. They have looked dominant at home and not so much on the road but just because they blew out Miami last week, they should not be put on this high of a pedestal. There are issues all over the place that can be exploited. In making another line comparison, New England was favored by 6.5 points over Miami and we are here to say that Miami is not a over a field goal better than the Colts despite the 3-1 record compared to the 1-3 record. As a matter of fact, look at most power rankings and you will find the Colts ahead of Miami. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential.), after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The red hot Chiefs travel to Denver to take on their rival as they will be going for a sixth straight victory in this series. Kansas City is off to a 3-0 start thanks to an offense that has yet to be stopped. The problem is, the defense has yet to stop anyone and the fact the Chiefs have been outgained in all three games is concerning. The Chiefs defense has combined to miss 36 tackles so far this season, which is the most among NFL defenses and it will not be getting any better this week as it has now been 48 days since safety Eric Berry practiced or played and he is again listed as doubtful. The Chiefs come in as the road favorite, which is rare in this series as it has happened only twice in 30 years and it is because of their hot start which can offer us opportunities in a market that tends to overreact week-to-week. Denver is off to a 2-1 start as it looks to improve to 3-0 at home following a loss in Baltimore last week. It will be up to the defense to come through here and try and slow down Mahomes and company. The Broncos possess a solid pass rush that can get to the quarterback and in this case, they will be looking to rattle Mahomes who tends to hold the ball longer than he should. Arguably one of the best cornerbacks in the game, Chris Harris Jr. has continued to shut down opposing receivers and he will be tested for sure by Tyreek Hill but he will play a key role. On the other side, the Broncos offense is middle of the pack but the rushing offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 4 in the NFL at 144.7 ypg while their 5.2 ypc average is also good for No. 4 in the league. Here, we play against road favorites that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (278) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Bears are back home following a scare in Arizona as they rallied from a 14-0 deficit to win 16-14. The defense was the story once again as they allowed 221 total yards and are now ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense. The unit is second in the NFL in takeaways with eight and as we saw last Monday, Tampa Bay is prone to give it up and overall, the Buccaneers are ranked No. 25 in giveaways. The Buccaneers offense has been one of the big stories in the NFL but they have yet to face a defense like this and Chicago can take a script from Pittsburgh from last Monday night. In the first two games of the season, the Tampa Bay offense did not face a lot of pressure and it took advantage of that but last week, the Steelers applied a ton of pressure from their defensive front and some blitz packages. As great as Ryan Fitzpatrick has been, he looked flustered when he was under pressure and this Sunday will be even worse for him. This has been a horrible spot throughout his career as he has just one win in 18 tried coming off a loss when facing an above .500 team coming off a win. Chicago has a glaring weakness on offense and that is the passing game. Mitch Trubisky is ranked No. 26 in Total QBR but he gets a big break this week as he squares off against the worst passing defense in the NFL as Tampa Bay is allowing 363 ypg through the air. Facing Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger will do that but there are issues nonetheless and they are relying heavily on three rookies. This is the fourth game in the new system for the offense and we will continue to see improvements and this is the perfect week to get it jumpstarted. Head coach Matt Nagy said they will scale it back some but that does not mean it will be going vanilla. Going back, the Bears are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. 10* (264) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Colts are off to a 1-2 start following a loss in Philadelphia last week and come in as a slight favorite back home. While the Colts have looked like an improved team, especially on the defensive side of the ball, there are still concerns entering the Week Four matchup on Sunday. Andrew Luck has shown signs of his former self but he is still not 100 percent back and there are fears his shoulder is far from 100 percent after Jacoby Brissett was brought in last week to throw the ball for the 50-yard hail mary. Luck is ranked No. 13 in Total QBR. It does not help that the running game is non-existent as the Colts are averaging a mere 82.3 ypg which is No. 29 in the NFL. The Texans defense has not lived up to the hype yet this season as they are ranked No. 17 but J.J. Watt looks to be back into the groove and the rushing defense has been solid mainly because they have not allowed big plays. The passing defense has been solid as the Texans are ranked No. 12 and the Indianapolis offensive line is below average and it will be missing some pieces this week. According to Pro Football Focus, the Colts line is ranked No. 22 and the tackles have been the weakness, allowing 31 pressures through three games. The explosive Houston offense that appeared when Deshawn Watson entered the lineup last season has not been great but they are way above average and have the playmakers to compliment Watson. Houston is ranked No. 8 in total offense and Watson has thrown for 300 yards in back-to-back games, the first time a Houston quarterback has done that since 2012. That is hard to ignore as it the fact the Colts are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.2 percent of their passes. Here, we play on road teams averaging 265 passing ypg and allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in two straight games going up teams allowing 230-265 ypg passing. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Houston Texans

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Thursday Game of the Month. This is a huge game for the Vikings as they are 1-1-1 and while it is still early, not picking up a win in three straight games and having to travel to Philadelphia for their next game would put them in a tough spot. The Rams are off to a 3-0 start and they have the edge here based on the short week and travel and while the first three Thursday night games have been won and covered by the home team, we see that switching up this week, at least the cover part. This line is inflated due to recency bias and because the home team has dominated there nights. Taking nothing away from the Rams as this team is extremely talented but while they have outscored opponents 102-36, they have not exactly played a brutal schedule. Their opponents, Oakland, Arizona and the Los Angeles Chargers, are 1-8 overall. The Vikings will look to bounce back after the ugly 27-6 home loss to Buffalo. Minnesota, a 17-point favorite, fell behind 27-0 at halftime. While many consider the Rams to have the best roster in the NFL, Minnesota is not far behind from top to bottom. Last week was brutal and can be chalked up as an aberration. In the loss to Buffalo, Pro Football Focus reported that the Vikings offensive line surrendered 29 pressures (two sacks, three hits and 24 hurries), the highest total of any team in Week Three so it is pretty clear Minnesota came in complexly unfocused. While this is a tough travel spot for the Vikings, they have done a good job to accommodate. They left Tuesday evening following practice, a day earlier than they usually fly to road games, to try to better acclimate themselves to the two-hour time change. Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins ranks second in the NFL with 965 passing yards. In September games since the start of 2017, he has thrown for 1,749 yards, 12 touchdowns and three interceptions, totaling a 101.5 passer rating. 10* (101) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Coming into this game, many would have thought these records would have been reversed with Pittsburgh being undefeated and Tampa Bay being winless. Instead, the Steelers are winless and are in dire need of a victory before their Sunday night showdown against the Ravens and we feel they step it up big time on the road. Despite not picking up a victory, Pittsburgh has outgained both opponents and it can take advantage of a very soft defense tonight. One thing working in their favor is that the game will be played in prime time as the Steelers have won their past 10 prime time games, including their last five on the road. Line movement has been working in their favor as well as the Steelers got as high as three-point favorites in some spots, but they are now either an underdog or a pickem across the board. Those type of line movements are often a market overreaction to recent history and that is usually the case when they occur in primetime games. Tampa Bay is off to a surprising 2-0 start behind the arm of Ryan Fitzpatrick and an offense that leads the NFL in total yardage and scoring offense. The problem is the defense as Tampa Bay is No. 31 in yards allowed and No. 29 in yppl and making matters worse, the Buccaneers will be without Vita Vea and Beau Allen, which are two significant injuries along the defensive line. The Steelers defense got lit up last week as they tried to disguise things while trying to matchup against the Chiefs pre-snap motion but they will keep in less complicated this week. Pittsburgh gets cornerback Joe Haden back tonight which is a huge lift for the secondary. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or fewer rushing yards last game. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Game of the Month. We played against Carolina last week as it lost in Atlanta but we will be backing the Panthers as they head back home in a favorable contrarian matchup. Their first home game resulted in an eight-point win over the Cowboys as the defense dominated for three and a half quarters. Carolina had a streak of 21 consecutive games without allowing a 100-yard rusher snapped against the Falcons when Tevin Coleman ran for 107 yards, but the Panthers catch a break this week as Joe Mixon is out with a knee injury so Cincinnati has to turn to Giovani Bernard who has only three 100-yard rushing games in his career. Offensively for Carolina, the key will be not be Cam Newton but Christian McCaffrey. His strength goes against a Cincinnati weakness as while he is a talented rusher, what sets him apart is his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield and make people miss in space and the Bengals linebackers are not good in pass coverage. Cincinnati has been among the early-season surprises in the NFL, winning their first two games by identical 34-23 scores. The Bengals are ranked third in scoring but just No. 18 in total offense so that offense may not be as good as one may think. They have benefitted from a defensive touchdown and despite the 2-0 record, they have been outgained in both games. The defense is tied for No. 27 in total defense so of the seven 2-0 teams, this could be the biggest fraud. Carolina is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games over seven years after allowing 6.5 or more yppl in their previous game while going 5-0 ATS in its last five games after allowing more than 30 points in its previous game. 10* (464) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Taking nothing away from what the Chiefs have done to start the season but the overreactions are hitting hard and that brings value to the other side. More than 70 percent of bets are on Kansas City, which enters Week Three as the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. Quarterback Pat Mahomes looks like he could be the real thing and everybody is loving this team right now with their impressive wins the Chargers and Steelers. But there is more to it than that and not in a good way. Kansas City has been outgained in each of the first two games due to a defense that is ranked dead last and it is not even close as it is allowing 508 ypg. While it is only two games, to put that into perspective, Tampa Bay had the worst defense last season at 378.1 ypg. The 49ers were able to pick up their first win of the season last week at home against Detroit. They did have a chance to beat Minnesota as they lost by eight points no thanks to four turnovers, one that took place in the redzone and another that was returned for a touchdown. Kansas City is one of three teams to open the season with two straight road games, Houston and Seattle being the other two, and while the public thinks that this is a huge edge for the home team, that is hardly the case. Play against home teams in Week Three after opening the season with two straight road games. This situation is 26-9-2 ATS (74.3 percent) since 2003. Making this play even stronger is the fact the Chiefs are 2-0 ATS and San Francisco is 0-2 ATS and going the opposite way in this ATS matchup in Week Three has resulted in a 68 percent winning result. 10* (479) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland is a couple kicks away from being 2-0 on the season, instead it remains winless since December 24, 2016 as it has gone 19 games without a victory. This is one of the last big chances to grab a victory as the upcoming seven-game schedule is not easy as the Browns have three difficult road games and the four home games are against the Ravens, Chargers, Chiefs and Falcons. Cleveland was fortunate to tie with Pittsburgh as it was outgained by 145 yards but it won the yardage battle last week against New Orleans as this defense has come to play thus far in the early part of the season. The players know they are close and are in a good spot in a nationally televised game. The Jets shocked many on opening Monday night as they defeated the Lions thanks to a 31-point third quarter but despite winning by 31 points, they only outgained Detroit by 10 yards. They did a better job on the stat sheet last week against Miami as Sam Darnold threw for 334 yards but he threw two picks and was not nearly as efficient as in his first game. This is a very difficult spot for a rookie quarterback coming off a Sunday game and playing on the first short week of his career. Additionally, this is the third game in 11 days for New York and Darnold will have to deal with a hyper-aggressive defensive coordinator in Gregg Williams, who loves to call blitzes, especially against young quarterbacks. In the first two games, the Browns blitzed 40 times out of 84 dropbacks, a league-high 47.6 percentage, against two Hall of Fame quarterbacks and that number figures to climb against Darnold. 10* (302) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago blew a big chance last week as it blew a 20-0 lead against Green Bay but it did show that the Bears have turned a corner after four straight miserable seasons where they have gone 19-45. The Bears are back in Chicago for their home opener as head coach Matt Nagy looks for his first victory. It has not been a good start for first year head coaches as they have gone a combined 2-11 heading into tonight but Chicago has a good matchup edge. The Seattle defense is in rough shape for tonight. Linebacker Bobby Wagner became the third Pro Bowl veteran ruled out tonight as he will miss with a groin injury and this is a big deal. Second-year free-agent Austin Calitro will start for Wagner and since he cannot play weakside linebacker Mychal Kendricks to play weakside linebacker against the Bears after just two practices with the team. Both starting cornerbacks are hurt and rookie right cornerback Tre Flowers is doubtful to play while they cut their starting defensive tackle Tom Johnson for concern with depth behind banged-up strong safety Bradley McDougald. The offense struggled last week against Denver as it managed only 306 total yards. The goal heading into this season was to run the ball better and Seattle managed only 64 yards on 16 carries and it will not get any easier on Monday night. The offensive line allowed six sacks and although a couple of those were on quarterback Russell Wilson for not throwing the ball away, it was clear right tackle Germain Ifedi was outclassed by linebacker Von Miller. Now comes Khalil Mack. The Bears offense was vertical in the first half but they pulled back in the second half for no apparent reason. Of 21 passing attempts after halftime, nine did not even cross the line of scrimmage while five more were within 5 yards of the line. The Bears need to open it back up. 10* (290) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Jaguars went to New York and took care of the Giants behind their powerful defense as they allowed just 324 total yards and 68 of those came on one play, a touchdown run by Saquon Barkley. The challenge will be tougher this week however but Jacksonville should be up for that challenge as it has had this game circled for eight months. The Jaguars have a chance to erase the bad feelings that came from a tough loss in the AFC Championship and they are well aware of the magnitude of this game. Jacksonville was second in the NFL last season in takeaways with 33 but it only had one in the last meeting and that is the key to winning or losing against New England. When the Patriots have a positive turnover differential in the Belichick era, they are 143-15 and when they lose the turnover battle, they are 37-42. The Jaguars style offensively and defensively gives them a chance to win this statistic no matter the opponent. More good news is that Jacksonville pass rusher Dante Fowler, who sacked Brady on two occasions in the AFC Championship, will make his season debut after sitting out the opener due to suspension for violation of the NFL's personal conduct policy. The Patriots were firing on all cylinders last week against Houston as the offense put up 389 yards of offense but it will be tougher heading out on the road in what is expected to be a tough environment. The defense played well also and while the Jacksonville offense is not going to put a scare into anybody, it is efficient and limits its mistakes. Quarterback Blake Bortles can extend plays and hurt defenses with his legs, as seen on his 41-yard run against New York last weekend. Jacksonville has covered seven straight games as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win. 10* (284) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Game of the Week. One of the takeaways from Week One into Week Two is overreaction from the first game of the season. That is represented in several lines this week with this being one of those. The Colts are coming off a loss in the first game back for Andrew Luck as they were defeated by the Bengals by 11 points but it was misleading. Indianapolis was driving late in the fourth quarter down four points but tight end Jack Doyle fumbled the ball and Cincinnati returned it for a touchdown. The Colts outgained the Bengals by 50 yards but because of the loss and the big Washington win, the early line from last week of -3 went up to -5 at the true open and has gone up even more since then. While Luck may not be 100 percent in his comeback, he played well last week and this has been a great spot throughout his career as the Colts are 22-6 ATS when coming off a loss with Luck at quarterback. Washington was very impressive against Arizona in its opener as it outgained the Cardinals by 216 yards and held them to just six points which was a garbage touchdown with five minutes left with the score at 24-0. Again, an overreaction to one game and while the Redskins did dominate, doing it again seems unlikely even though they do head home. Most impressive was the fact they ran for 182 yards on 42 carries (4.3 ypg) which caused them to hold the ball for over 17 more minutes than the Cardinals. That being said, playing out west in the opener was a disadvantage because of travel to and from. The Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (261) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Public reaction after one week has the Ravens as one of the top teams in the NFL following their convincing 47-3 win on opening Sunday. Granted, this is a good team but we are not ready to put them at the top of the football hierarchy just yet. Baltimore has not made the playoffs since 2014 and there is no significant difference in its roster with the exception of upgrades at wide receiver. The win last week came against one of the worst rosters in football so getting carried away with it is a bit of an overreaction. Joe Flacco had a great game and is getting all of the accolades but the other side cannot be overlooked. The Bengals took care of the Colts last week thanks to a late turnover that stalled a possible winning drive and put the game out of reach. Andy Daulton is constantly being criticized but last week, he completed 21 of 28 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Indianapolis. Dalton has plenty of dangerous targets, from perennial Pro Bowl wide receiver A.J. Green to tight end Tyler Eifert to running back Joe Mixon. The running game could be a big difference as the Ravens do not have one. Ravens starting running back Alex Collins carried just seven times for 13 yards and lost a fumble while Mixon put together a solid opening game. With the exception of two Week 17 meetings, five of the last seven meetings has seen this line falls between 2.5 and 3.5 which is typical for a divisional game such as this so the value is on the home side anything under a field goal. Additionally, road teams that are coming off a win in their season opener where they scored 40 or more points are 10-21-2 in the last 33 instances. 10* (102) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Most of the talk about Oakland has been negative, centering on how new head coach Jon Gruden has not been on the sidelines for ten years and the poor handling of the linebacker Khalil Mack situation. Gruden made a lot of moves this offseason by bringing in so many veteran players as he turned over a roster that has done very little, in a very long time. There is concern over his old style and how he is going to adjust after not coaching for 10 years but that is offset by the fact he showed nothing during the preseason so the Rams have little to go off of. There is concern that the Raiders are the oldest team in the NFL but that is overblown completely especially when the average age is 27.4 years. As for the Rams, they upgraded their roster with a lot of high-profile moves but early season cohesiveness could be an issue. The Rams rested their offensive starters all preseason, only giving suspended guard Jamon Brown any work. The starting defense only played seven snaps in the third game against the Texans, but that was barely two series of action. As for that defense, while all of the talk is about the strength of the defensive line, there are issues at linebacker and that could be a big problem against the Raiders power running game. This is a great early season situation for the Raiders as going back to 1980, Monday Night home underdogs is season opener are 15-5 ATS. 10* (482) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Game of the Week. Houston and New England met last September and that was the Deshawn Watson breakout game. While he did throw two picks, he went 22-33 for 301 yards and two touchdowns and the Texans easily covered. He is healthy and Houston is in for a big season. The Patriots not favored by nearly as much this time around but this number is too high for a depleted New England team to be laying. Tom Brady is still one of the best quarterbacks in the league but we could see some struggles early in the season as he has no one to throw to. Additionally, he could struggle here staying upright as the Patriots lost left tackle Nate Solder to the Giants in free agency, and then proceeded to lose first-round pick Isaiah Wynn to a torn Achilles back in August. While New England has been a perennial strong starters, it is just 2-2 over the last four years, and the win gap for those two victories has only gotten smaller with an average of 4.5 ppg and it has failed to cover four of its last five season openers. The Texans defense was one of the worst last season but they should get back to form this year as defensive end J.J. Watt and linebacker Whitney Mercilus return and they added safely Tyrann Mathieu to help in the secondary. While Watson is the key to the offense, this is a big spot for Lamar Miller to put up a big game to keep the Patriots defense off balance. 10* (465) Houston Texans

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Season Opening Enforcer. Everyone has likely heard of the Super Bowl hangover but it does not pertain to the first week of the next season. Since the NFL began its current format for the Kickoff Opener with the winners of the previous Super Bowl playing host to the first game of the season, defending champions are 11-2 in those games (not counting Baltimore in 2013 since its game was moved to the road because of an Orioles scheduling conflict). The defending home team went 8-4-1 ATS. Going back further prior to the Thursday Kickoff Opener, defending Super Bowl Champions have gone 15-2 straight up and 11-5-1 ATS the last 17. One of those two losses was last season when Kansas City surprised the Patriots but it was definitely a fluke as the Chiefs scored three fourth quarter touchdowns thanks to the emergence of Kareem Hunt, who at that time was a relevant unknown. The Eagles look to keep their momentum going from their Super Bowl win over New England and they will go with Nick Foles at quarterback to give Carson Wentz another 10 days to be fully cleared. We know what Foles can do and we take advantage of this based on the line move that has gone under the key number of three. Atlanta will be playing with some revenge after coming two yards short of advancing to the NFC Championship. We are not an advocate of road revenge especially in a case like this with a short number against a team celebrating its first ever championship. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 6-0 ATS in its last six games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons. 10* (452) Philadelphia Eagles

By now you have heard that the Eagles are biggest underdog in the Super Bowl since 2009 and the dogs have ruled this game by going 11-4 over the last 16 Super Bowls (Super Bowl XLIX closed as a pickem). We were on the underdog last year, but overtime killed that, but we will be backing the underdog again this year based on Philadelphia possessing the better defense which has been a huge aspect in the outcome of this game. This is the eighth Super Bowl for Tom Brady and Bill Belichick and they have gone 5-2 in the previous seven editions. The average margin of victory in those seven games is 3.7 ppg with the biggest margin of victory being six points from last season in overtime. There have been many better Patriots teams than this one, yet they have not been able to dominate the big game and we expect the same here as the Eagles present a huge challenge. The Eagles were not expected to make any sort of run after Carson Wentz went down but Nick Foles has been sensational, yet no one gives him a chance. He is coming off two great postseason games against Atlanta and Minnesota defenses that came in ranked No. 9 and No. 1 respectively overall. Granted, those games were at home but even going to a neutral environment should not affect things much considering that New England is ranked No. 29 in total defense in the NFL. Ignore the talk about how much the Patriots defense has improved since Week Five because they have played the weakest schedule in the NFL over that stretch. The Patriots have allowed opposing quarterbacks to produce an 89.5 passer rating. Since 2001, only the 2008 team, which failed to qualify for the postseason, was worse (89.8). Foles does not need to have a similar game like last week for the Eagles to win as he has a defense behind him that can take the game over, just like the Jaguars did for three quarters. The Philadelphia defense is quick and athletic, and it is not so different in skill level or speed from the Jacksonville defense that should have put the AFC Championship away. 10* (101) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Eagles won for us last weekend and we are backing them again for a lot of the same reasons, namely the defense that is underrated. What was written last week goes for this week as well. The loss of Carson Wentz is huge for the Eagles as many are saying the Super Bowl is now out of reach and that is being shown in this line. While there is a downgrade at quarterback for Philadelphia, Nick Foles is more than adequate to carry the team with his 87.4 career passer rating to go along with 61 touchdowns and 29 interceptions. He was above average last week against the Falcons, going 23-30 for 246 yards. The one thing being overshadowed is the Eagles defense that is No. 4 in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense. That defense is even better at home where they are allowing just 13.4 ppg and 280.6 ypg and this is where the difference will lie once again. If not for a miracle, the Vikings would not be here but here they are and are laying points on the road as well. If this was the Saints and Drew Brees, who has plenty of playoff experience, the line would be the same and the Saints may have been the play. Minnesota does not have the same amount of experience and while it possesses the No. 1 defense, as mentioned, the Eagles stop unit is not too shabby either. Case Keenum has had a great season but take him off the turf with his speedy receivers and his numbers go down as he has a QB rating of 105.1 in nine games on turf indoors and just an 88.7 QB rating in six games on grass. 10* (314) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Game of the Month. Jacksonville won its second straight playoff game despite losing the yardage battle, but it was different this time around. The Jaguars were outgained by 167 yards against the Steelers and that can be looked at one of two ways. Jacksonville could have been dominated on the field and was fortunate to win the turnover battle or we can find out how the yardage differential was generated which can make a big difference. While the former was partly true with the turnover advantage, most of the Pittsburgh yards came late in the game when the Jaguars were ahead, so a lot of those Pittsburgh yards were garbage yards. The Jaguars ran 61 offensive plays, and the Steelers defense finished with no sacks, no takeaways, only one tackle for loss when defending the Jacksonville 35 running plays, and only four hits on quarterback Blake Bortles. That efficiency can work against the Patriots as well as winning the game will mean mistake-free play. The defense matches up so well with the Patriots offense as they have the pass rush to get to quarterback Tom Brady, they have the physical corners to that negate the New England wide receivers who do not have the breakaway speed to begin with and they have the inside strength that can take Rob Gronkowski out of the game. This line is telling us the Jaguars have a 20 percent chance of winning and their chances are better than that with this defense no matter where this game is being played. The Patriots are publicly inflated based on name and history, but they would have been better off seeing Pittsburgh instead of Jacksonville and we will see why on Sunday as this will be no cakewalk to the Super Bowl. 10* (311) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Game of the Week. We played against Jacksonville last week and it survived an ugly game at home against the Bills as the defense stepped up when needed but the offense was horrific with just 230 yards. While Blake Bortles managed the team during the season to get the Jaguars to this point, he is not the answer as he missed so many throws against Buffalo and the Steelers will make him pay this week unless he improved immensely in a week which is not likely. You can look at the first meeting where Jacksonville won 30-9 but the Jaguars were outgained by close to 60 yards, scored two defensive touchdowns, Ben Roethlisberger tossed five interceptions and Leonard Fournette ripped off a 90-yard touchdown run with less than two minutes left when the game was already decided. It was the worst game of the season for the Steelers by far and while finding motivation in the playoffs is never an issue, Pittsburgh should bring a little extra this week based on that performance. Pittsburgh was a suspect call against the Patriots from finishing the season 11-0 so it is playing at a high level and despite most of the players having two straight weeks off, that should give them a lot of extra energy and these veteran players do not have to worry about rust. The best possible news is the return of wide receiver Antonio Brown who misses two and a half games with a calf injury. The Steelers add to their 7-1 ATS run in home playoff games. 10* (306) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. The loss of Carson Wentz is huge for the Eagles as many are saying the Super Bowl is now out of reach and that is being shown in this line. While there is a downgrade at quarterback for Philadelphia, Nick Foles is more than adequate to carry the team with his 87.4 career passer rating to go along with 61 touchdowns and 29 interceptions. The one thing being overshadowed is the Eagles defense that is No. 4 in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense. That defense is even better at home where they are allowing just 13.4 ppg and 280.6 ypg and this is where the difference will lie. We won with Atlanta last weekend over the Rams as it got fortunate because of a pair of fumbles and it was outgained by 39 yards overall. The cover was never in jeopardy, but the public will see that win and give the Falcons too much credit. Despite a 6-3 record on the road, Atlanta is getting outscored on average as the defense has not played as good away from home which comes as no surprise. The playoff experience is important as mentioned last week but there is too much of an adjustment with this line as the Falcons go from +6.5 road underdogs to -3 road favorites and this is the first time since the NFL expanded the playoff field to 12 teams that a No. 1 seed is an underdog in the divisional round. 10* (302) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Bills snuck into the playoffs thanks to Baltimore losing at home against Cincinnati and while many will not be giving them a chance, they are the type of team that can keep their momentum going. The elation they showed after they made the playoffs shows how much this means to them and their fans, yet the number shows they have no chance. We figure the questionable status of LeSean McCoy is inflating this number somewhat, but he made it to the practice field on Thursday, so he could be able to give it a go. The offense will have struggles against the Jacksonville defense, but we are banking on the bills defense to hold its own as well in what we expect to be a lower scoring game, and the total is backing that up, which favors the underdog. Buffalo enters the playoffs with a -57 scoring differential, the fifth worst in the Super Bowl era but that can be attributed to two bad games against New England, a fluky bad effort at home against New Orleans and the Nathan Peterman experiment against the Chargers. Jacksonville went 6-2 at home this season, all six wins against non-playoff teams and the two losses against playoff teams. Conversely, Buffalo went 3-5 on the road but half of those games were against playoff teams and half of those resulted in wins over Atlanta and Kansas City. The Jaguars were one of the big surprises in the NFL this season but still remain one of the least trustable teams in the league. Limping in with losses in their final two games and playing the easiest schedule in the NFL make them very vulnerable. 10* (105) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. While many feel that it was a disappointing season for the Falcons, it was not all that bad. Sure, back-to-back losses at home against Buffalo and Miami with a bye week in-between were bad, everything else was fine. The other four losses came against higher seeded playoff teams and two of those were by three and five points. Atlanta avoided the Super Bowl loss hangover to make it back into the playoffs and it was the only team from the NFC playoff team from last year to make it back this season. The Falcons finished with the third best conference record at 9-3, one game worse than the Eagles and Vikings and they outgained opponents by 46.4 ypg. Additionally, the experience from last year is a big edge. They played the fourth toughest schedule in the league and are ranked higher in the power rankings yet are close to a touchdown underdog in most places. The Rams had a great year in the first season under head coach Sean McVay, but it could be considered a mirage. The offense finished No. 10 and the defense finished No. 19 and the main reason their scoring differential was so high was due to 28 takeaways and that cannot be counted on here, especially against an Atlanta team that gave it up just 18 times. They outgained opponents by 34.2 ppg (taking Week 17 out of the equation) against a schedule that was No. 17 in the NFL and their one win against the top 10 is the second fewest among all playoff teams (Tennessee had zero). Lack of playoff experience will be felt which makes the inflated line even more troublesome. 10* (103) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Rams have clinched the NFC West, clinched the No. 3 seed in the NFC and have no chance to move up in the playoff standings. Thus, they have decided to rest numerous players including Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, Cooper Kupp, numerous offensive linemen as well as Aaron Donald on defense. Clearly, this is a game they could care less about and staying healthy is the ultimate goal. On the other side, this is a big game for the 49ers to carry momentum into next season. They got off to a 0-9 start but have since won five of their last six games including four straight with all four of those led by quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. He has been solid with a 69 percent completion percentage while putting up a 98.9 passer rating, not bad for someone with six career starts. On the season, the 49ers are getting outgained by fewer than 17 ypg which is not bad for a team that is five games under .500. San Francisco has covered five of seven road games this season and while none have been as a favorite, this is a different situation with motivational edges totally on their side. 10* (331) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers playoff hopes are slim, but they are doable. First off, they must win their game against the Raiders and there are nine different scenarios that can get them the No. 6 seed in the AFC. Of those, all nine have to have Jacksonville upset Tennessee and that is more than possible considering the Jaguars have elected to not rest their starters despite having the No. 3 seed locked up. Since the games kick off at the same time, the Chargers will be playing throughout to win unless there is an early Tennessee blowout which we do not see happening. Los Angeles caught fire possibly a little too late but considering it started the season 0-4, the fact that it still has a chance in the playoffs shows the fight in this team, namely Philip Rivers who has been playing exceptional with the exception of the game in Kansas City two weeks ago. Running back Melvin Gordon is listed as questionable so hopefully he can make it work. The Raiders have been a huge disappointment this season and they have now lost three straight games to fall to 6-9 and there is little to no fight left in this team. They are just 2-5 on the road and do not be surprised to see them roll over this week. 10* (326) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Play. The win by the Vikings on Saturday and victories by the Saints and Rams Sunday put a little bit of pressure on the Eagles heading into Monday night. They could have coasted into the position of home field advantage for the playoffs but now they need to win tonight or next week against the Cowboys. That being said, this line has jumped up into double-digits and it is an overadjusted number based on public perception and what is at stake. The loss of quarterback Carson Wentz is huge and while Nick Foles did a good job filling in the Eagles win by five points, they were outgained by 163 total yards. The Raiders have officially been eliminated from playoff contention after losing to Dallas last week and Kansas City winning yesterday and there is nothing left to play for but pride and because this is a nationally televised game, there will be no quit with the Raiders. Defensively is where the game can be decided for the Raiders as the pass rush has improved since Ken Norton Jr. was dismissed as defensive coordinator after Week 11 and replaced by John Pagano because the pass rush has improved immensely. Oakland had 14 sacks through 10 games and has put up 14 sacks over its last 10 games. Additionally, the Raiders had just 68 total pressures from edge defenders under Norton, 25th in the NFL, to 46 pressures over the last four games which is tied for second, under Pagano. 10* (131) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Game of the Year. We had Atlanta in the first matchup two weeks ago and it was a fortunate victory as the Saints had a chance to win but Drew Brees tossed a late pick to secure the victory for the Falcons. The division is still on the line with the Saints, Falcons and Panthers all still alive for the NFC South and any three of those teams can clinch a playoff berth with a victory. The scenario is simple for the Saints as if they win out, they claim the division and they have the easiest road with this home game and them a game against Tampa Bay next week to close out the season. New Orleans is 6-1 at home with the only loss coming against New England in its home opener. Since that loss, the Saints are 10-2 with the two losses coming by a combined nine points and they have something to prove this week as they have now lost three straight games to the Falcons. Atlanta played Monday which is a disadvantage in this rematch and it did not look very good against Tampa Bay as it made the plays to get it done but was unable to pull away against what is considered an inferior team. The passing defense struggled and while the Saints are a more balanced team, Brees can still pick them apart if the running game gets going early. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. This is a spot the Saints have thrived in as they are 22-4 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (116) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Not sure of the rationale behind this number but certainly a lot has to do with the Rams rout last week at Seattle. Los Angeles now has a two-game lead over the Seahawks in the NFC West and are likely a lock for the playoffs and winning the division as it has a home game against San Francisco in its season finale, so a win here really is not a must. There is no doubt the Rams are for real and while they have been favored twice on the road in the second half of the season, those games were against the Cardinals and Giants, two teams not sniffing the playoffs. Despite a pair of losses on the road, Tennessee remains in the playoff hunt as it is 8-6 and currently locks down the No. 1 Wild Card spot in the AFC. With a home game against Jacksonville next week, the Titans can win the division if they win out and the Jaguars lose this week against the 49ers on the road which is more than possible. The best part is that the Titans game is early so winning will be at the forefront instead of scoreboard watching. The Rams have been great on the road at 6-1 but Tennessee brings in a 5-1 home record and with everything on the line, this is going to be a tough environment for the Rams. It can be argued that they were in a tough environment last week, but that game was over early, so it was pretty docile. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game including 0-2 straight up and ATS this season while the Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (110) Tennessee Titans

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Play. As expected, Carolina was a winner yesterday which puts Atlanta in a near must win situation tonight. Waiting it out again proves the right call as the linemakers are adjusting this line based on the importance for Atlanta which is a big example of why these games late in the season should not be bet early in the week. The Falcons are a game and a half behind the Panthers for the first Wild Card spot and just a half-game ahead of Detroit, Seattle and Dallas so this is in fact a big game. However, they are paying the price as this line has risen as much as two and a half points in some places as must win and actually winning are two different things entirely. It has been a disappointing season for the Buccaneers as they have lost three straight games to fall to 4-9 on the year and it has been a tough stretch with six of their last nine games taking place on the road. They are coming off a loss to Detroit at home in their last game as the Lions kicked the game-winning field goal with 20 seconds remaining to fall to 3-3 at home. Five of the nine losses have come by five points or less or in overtime, so things could be better record wise for Tampa Bay and while it is out of the playoff picture, playing spoiler is the goal and we will see an all-out effort because they are on national television. Going back, the Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (332) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Play. This game had a lot more appeal before the season started but there is still a lot on the line for both teams. Dallas and Oakland are both hanging by a thread as far as the playoffs go and the loser of this game will be eliminated from postseason consideration. The Raiders are a game under .500 following a loss in Kansas City last week but they are still just a game out of the AFC West lead and win here guarantees them to still be a game out with the Chiefs and Chargers squaring off Saturday. A loss will put them two games back and even if they win out, they will lose out because of tiebreakers. This is another game where we are grabbing a home underdog that has every chance of pulling out a victory which is key when backing home underdogs. The Cowboys are in a similar situation as they need to win to stay alive, albeit for a Wild Card spot. They are a game behind Atlanta for the final Wild Card spot in the NFC but do nor own the tiebreaker because of the head-to-head loss against the Falcons. Dallas has rebounded from three straight losses where the offense scored a total of 22 points as it has won its last two games but those were against the Redskins and Giants which are going in downhill quickly. The absence of Ezekiel Elliott was bigger than expected as it seems to have hurt Dak Prescott more than anything although he has looked better during the wins. The fact that the Cowboys were -4 in New York and are -3 here shows how the markets are affecting this line because the public is all in on the Cowboys. 10* (330) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Patriots lost in Miami on Monday night but in the big picture, it meant nothing as home field advantage in the AFC comes down to this game. Fearing the public was going to hammer New England after that loss, the linesmakers were forced to make the Patriots the favorites and we will take advantage of this line. If this game was in New England, the line is saying the Patriots would be a double-digit favorite and that is not reality. The record of New England coming off a loss under Tom Brady is impeccable, but this team is as vulnerable as we have seen in a while. The offense is strong as usual, but the defense remains an issue despite what some are saying about how it has improved over the course of the season. They will be going against a Steelers offense that is playing as good as ever with Roethlisberger, Bell and Brown. They are ranked No. 4 in total offense while New England remains No. 29 in total defense so this is a clear edge for Pittsburgh. On the other side, the Patriots possess the No. 2 ranked offense in the NFL and they will be facing the No. 6 ranked defense in the league. Ryan Shazier is a big loss no doubt but the fact the Steelers are ranked No. 4 in passing defense will be a big difference here. Pittsburgh is 5-1 at home with the one loss coming against Jacksonville which is a surprise, but the Steelers lost that game because of turnovers as they won the yardage battle by 58 yards. While New England has owned the Steelers of late, things are different this year and Pittsburgh will be jacked for payback after losing 36-17 in the AFC Championship last season. 10* (326) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Game of the Week. It is going to be a playoff atmosphere in Seattle this week and it needs to be as this is a playoff game for both sides. It is more important for the home team in this case as a loss by Seattle will in all likelihood kill any chance of winning the NFC West as it would fall two games behind the Rams with two games to play. It would also drop its record to 8-6 and severely hurt the Wild Card chances. A win would put the Seahawks into a tie with Los Angeles and they would own the divisional tiebreaker because of the season sweep so this is a huge swing game. They are coming off a loss at Jacksonville last week which snapped a two-game winning streak and dropped them to 4-3 on the road. Seattle is 4-2 at home which is not great for this team, but those losses were both by a field goal despite the Seahawks winning the yardage battle in both games. The Rams are coming off a loss last week against the Eagles even with Carson Wentz leaving the game with a torn ACL as they were outgained by 148 total yards. It was the third time in four games Los Angeles has been outgained and while it has played the Seahawks tough over the last few years, Seattle is favored by single digits at home for the first time since 2011 so we can see where the value lies. The Rams are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss while the Seahawks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. 10* (324) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. There are many surprising teams in the NFL this season, but the Jaguars take the cake as the most surprising. They are coming off a statement victory last week over Seattle to take over sole possession in the AFC South with a 9-4 record. They lost early in the season at home against Tennessee so the season finale game at the Titans is going to likely decide the division and this game spells letdown. This is an overrated team where the schedule has fallen their way as a lot of the teams they have faced have not been at full strength or have been in a horrible scheduling spot. That was certainly the case last week with Seattle which was coming off a huge win over Philadelphia the previous week. The Jaguars have a pair of losses against the Jets and Cardinals and supposed elite teams do not let that happen. Houston lost its third straight game last week despite winning the yardage battle in two of those and losing Tom Savage last week is probably not a bad thing. Houston is getting outgained by just 0.3 ypg on the season so the record is deceiving. Rarely will you see the Jaguars favored by double-digits against a quality team and while it has been a lost season for the Texans, they are still considered a quality team. They have only lost two games by more points than what they are getting this week and one of those was against Jacksonville at home so while road revenge is usually not an angle play, it will have the Texans giving a full effort. 10* (315) Houston Texans

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Play. Kansas City is coming off a win over Oakland last week but that is no reason to think its problems are over. The Chiefs had lost six of their previous seven games after a 5-0 start and there is a reason they are listed as home underdogs this week. They were able to get the offense going last week against Oakland, but the Raiders defense is among the bottom third of the league while the Chargers possess a top ten stop unit. Kansas City is getting outgained on the season because the offense has regressed of late while the defense has been poor all season as the Chiefs are ranked No. 28 in total defense. While they had a good offensive game last week, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Los Angeles had had the opposite type of season as it started 0-4 and was left for dead but has since won seven of its last nine games to move into a tie with the Chiefs atop the AFC West. A loss here likely eliminates the Chargers from playoff contention because they will have lost twice to the Chiefs, so a tie gives the division to Kansas City and cashing in the Wild Card would be a stretch. In that first meeting, Los Angeles won the yardage battle, but Philip Rivers tossed three interceptions which is nearly half of his seven total interceptions on the season. He has been on fire of late and that success should continue here. The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (305) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Play. Denver snapped an eight-game losing streak with a win over the Jets as New York was a mess with and without Josh McCown as it managed a mere 100 yards of total offense. The Broncos defense can take some of that credit, but the Jets offense is a bad unit to begin with, so it went both ways. Denver vaulted up to No. 1 in total defense with that effort but now they have to travel on a short week which puts them in a difficult spot and while they are the top unit, they allow 24.2 ppg which is No. 24 in the NFL. The defense is the reason they are favored here but and while the Colts offense has been inconsistent this season, they are a better unit at home. They have faced four straight teams with potent defenses and while this one will be the fifth straight, the advantage will be the short week and travel for Denver as mentioned as well as the Broncos defense being banged up. Denver goes from the role of home underdog to road favorite and that is a bad move in this case with the Jets and Colts not being different enough from each other. Indianapolis is 2-4 at home with three of those losses coming by four points or less, two of those coming against upcoming playoff teams. Going back to last season, the Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games while the Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. 10* (302) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Monday Primetime play. This is a sneaky tough spot for the Patriots which are coming off a divisional road win last week in Buffalo which basically locked up the division and they have a huge game at Pittsburgh next week that will go a long way in deciding home field advantage in the AFC. That will close a stretch of five of six games being played on the road so this has been a challenging part of the schedule. New England does not seem too phased by it considering it has won eight straight games and covered the last six which is a big reason they are overpriced here. Losing outright will likely be a small option but a letdown and lookahead effort leading to a non-cover is a strong option. The Dolphins are coming off one of their best games of the season as they defeated the Broncos 35-9 and while the playoffs are a minor miracle away from happening, they will be ready to play in the national spotlight against a hated rival. Miami will likely test the New England rush defense that has allowed 1,449 yards on the ground (26th in the NFL) and an NFL worst 5.1 ypc and it was Kenyan Drake who had a coming out party in his first game where he was the featured back. Defensively, the Dolphins will not have to worry about tight end Rob Gronkowski who is suspended after tearing Miami apart two weeks ago with a pair of touchdowns. The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a non-winning home record. 10* (134) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Rams moved to within a game of the Eagles and Vikings in the NFC with a win on the road in Arizona coupled with the Philadelphia loss in Seattle. It was the second straight win for Los Angeles, but it did get outgained last week against the Cardinals as it benefitted from three turnovers including an interception returned for a touchdown. The Rams are ranked No. 5 in the NFL in total offense after finishing dead last in the league last season, so the turnaround has been impressive. They will be facing a stout defense this week and they have struggled when going up against tough stop units. This will be the third top three defense they it has faced this season and Los Angeles managed only 254 yards against the Vikings and just 249 yards against the Jaguars. The Eagles and allowing 293.2 ypg which is currently third in the league and the offense is just as good as they are ranked No. in total offense. Despite losing last week, they outgained the Seahawks by 115 total yards which was the ninth straight game they have outgained their opponent. Last week, they lost the turnover battle 2-0 and were shutout in the redzone so the 348-yard game from Carson Wentz went for naught. A win here for the Eagles would give them some redemption and help them keep pace with Minnesota for the top seed in the NFC while a loss would drop them down to the No .3 seed based on head-to-head tiebreakers. This is the first meeting between the top two quarterbacks taken in the draft last year and while Jared Goff is having a great season as well, Wentz will be the one to get it done. 10* (127) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Game of the Week. While the Falcons and Saints both control their own destiny in the NFC South, that is not the case for Carolina. The Panthers have two games left within the division but neither of those are against New Orleans as they lost both meetings which means they will have to finish a game ahead of the Saints to claim the division. If they do in fact win out and the Falcons can defeat the Saints in two weeks, Carolina would be division champions, but it needs to take care of business here first. This is the first of three straight home games for Carolina where it is 3-2, losing to the Saints and Eagles. This is the time of year that the Panthers pick up their game and after having a four-game winning streak snapped last week, the Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. The Vikings continue to impress and because of the Eagles loss at Seattle last week, they are tied with Philadelphia for the top spot in the NFC. Minnesota has won eight straight games while covering the last seven of those and that is the top reason it comes in as a road favorite here. The Vikings are tied with the Rams for the best road record in the NFC at 5-1 but this spot is not ideal as it is their third straight road game and while they will not play any less hard, the fatigue factor is most important especially this late in the season. Minnesota has dropped five straight games in this situation of a third straight roadie and we can expect the winning streak to come to an end here. 10* (116) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We won with the Packers last week as they defeated Tampa Bay in overtime which came after a close three-point loss at Pittsburgh the previous week. The problem is while the scores look impressive, Green Bay was outgained by 155 yards against the Steelers and by 119 yards against the Buccaneers, so the results have been skewed. Quarterback Brett Hundley looked good against Pittsburgh, but he had a bad game against Tampa Bay despite the Buccaneers possessing a poor defense and that was his fourth quarterback rating of less than 50. The Packers have relied on the running game as they have outrushed five of their last six opponents, but Cleveland has a very underrated defense as it is ranked No. 9 overall including No. 6 against the run while its 3.3 ypc average allowed is the best in the NFL. The Browns problems have been on the offensive end as they are No. 24 overall but have been undone by mistakes as their 30 giveaways are the most in the league which has led to a league-low 14.7 ppg. The Packers defense is nothing special as they are ranked No. 23 in the league and over their last eight games, they have allowed an average of 25 ppg. Wide receiver Josh Gordon played his first game last week since 2014 and while there was rust, he was targeted 11 times and averaged 21.3 ypr on four catches and he could be in for a big game this week against a horrible Green Bay secondary. The Packers failed in their only other game as a road favorite this season and will do so again here. 10* (118) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Play. The Falcons are still on the outside looking in following a loss to the Vikings at home last Sunday and that loss could make them pay. The good news is that the final four games of the season are all divisional games including two against the Saints and seeing they trail New Orleans by two games, they control their own playoff destiny. This is the third of three straight home games so playing on a short week with no travel is big. While there is just a difference of two games between Atlanta and New Orleans, the Falcons should not be home underdogs in this spot as the Saints are a public favorite now. New Orleans had its eight-game winning streak snapped in Los Angels two weeks ago but bounced back last Sunday with a big home win over Carolina as they outgained the Panthers by 121 total yards. It was even worse than that as Carolina put on some garbage yards late in the fourth quarter. Injuries are starting to pile up for New Orleans which hurts when playing on a short week late in the season and it could be down as many as five starters this week. For the Falcons, cornerback Desmond Trufant has been cleared from his concussion symptoms and should play against the Saints which would be significant even though New Orleans is much more balanced this season. The Falcons are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* (102) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Primetime play. The Steelers roll into Cincinnati riding a six-game winning streak and they hold a 2.5-game lead over Baltimore and a four-game lead over the Bengals in the AFC North. Pittsburgh is hanging with New England for the top spot in the AFC as it trails the Patriots by a half-game, so this is clearly a big game. The problem has been playing on the road and while the Steelers are 5-1, four of those wins have come by six points or less including two by a field goal. Wide receiver Antonio Brown leads the NFL in catches (80), yards (1,195) and yards per game (108.6) but he is battling a toe injury and has been downgraded to questionable for tonight. The Bengals are keeping their slim playoff hopes alive as they have won two straight games to move to 5-6 and are currently a game and a half behind the Ravens for the second Wild Card spot in the AFC. While the offense has had its struggles, after starting the season with four picks in the opener against Baltimore, quarterback Andy Dalton has eighteen and just four interceptions since and no picks in his previous five games. Pittsburgh is going to miss cornerback Joe Haden who is out with a leg injury. The Bengals defense is an underrated unit that is ranked No. 14 overall, No. 10 in points allowed and No. 4 in passing defense. Aside from just beating the Steelers this week and losing no more than one game the rest of the season to get into the playoffs, it is the venue that the Bengals need to conquer. 10* (380) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Game of the Week. Philadelphia comes in at the top of some power rankings and behind the Patriots in others following nine straight wins and eight straight covers. What is not being taken into consideration is that the Eagles have defeated only one team with a winning record which came at Carolina in Week Six. Since then, they have been on the road only once and have had four home games as well as a bye so not only has the scheduled teams helped them, but logistics have as well. Seattle is 6-2 over its last eight games to keep pace in the NFL West as it trails the Rams by a game. The Seahawks are tied with Atlanta for the second Wild Card spot, but they do not hold the tiebreaker because of the head-to-head loss two weeks ago so each game is huge at this point. Their last three losses have come by a total of 12 points including a pair of losses by a field goal at home, so they will be out to snap a two-game home slide. You have to go all the way back to November 2008 to find the last time Seattle has lost three straight home games. The Eagles were favored by the same amount at Dallas in their last road game and we cannot Seattle which is No. 9 in the power rankings and Dallas which is No. 17. This is the time of year Seattle steps its game up as the Seahawks are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in December. 10* (378) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We are coming off a win with the Rams last week as they snapped the Saints eight-game winning streak and while there should not be a letdown this week based on everything to play for, we are going against this line which is overinflated. Los Angeles has been outgained by five of 11 opponents this season including four of their five road games and the only time they won the yardage battle on the highway was against the 2-9 Giants. The Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is still alive for a playoff berth as it is 5-6 including a 3-2 record at home after a win over Jacksonville last week and this will be the third straight home game where the Cardinals are getting at least six points. Overall, it has been a disappointing season for Arizona and the loss of quarterback Carson Palmer did not help matters but the Cardinals have held their own as they have outgained seven of 11 opponents and overall, they are getting outgained by just 3.2 ypg. Then there is the matter of revenge as Arizona will be out to avenge the 33-0 loss in London to the Rams which was the game Palmer was lost for the season. On top of that, head coach Bruce Arians had never been shut out prior to that game. 10* (374) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Green Bay put up a great effort in Pittsburgh last week, losing to the Steelers by just a field goal as time expired to fall to 5-6 on the season. The Packers are far from done in the playoff picture despite losing five of their last six games as they are two games behind Seattle for the final Wild Card spot in the NFC. Quarterback Brett Hundley is coming off his best game as a starter and he has been solid of late with ratings of 110.8 and 134.3 in two of his last three games. The Green Bay problem has been the defense more than anything as it is ranked No. 23 overall including No. 25 against the pass but that should not be a cause for concern here. Tampa Bay will be getting Jameis Winston back this week, but it is too little, too late for the Buccaneers which come in 4-7 following a loss in Atlanta last week. He has been very inconsistent this season which can be said for the entire offense that is averaging just 20.3 ppg which is No. 23 in the NFL. This was supposed to be a vastly improved defense, but it has gone the wrong way as Tampa Bay is ranked dead last in total defense and passing defense, so this is great news for the Packers and Hundley. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record while the Buccaneers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. 10* (366) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Primetime play. This is an elimination game as the loser is all but done for a playoff run while the winner stays in the hunt as a 6-6 record would put them a game and a half behind the second Wil Card spot in the NFC. The Cowboys are 0-3 since Ezekiel Elliott started serving his suspension but his absence has not been the reason they have been struggling. Dak Prescott has been playing poorly while the defense has not been able to pressure opposing quarterbacks. Both these factors should reverse themselves tonight. The Cowboys have only one sack over the last three games after registering 15 sacks over the previous four games. Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins has been sacked 31 times this season for minus-269 yards and his offensive line is in shambles as center Chase Roullier is out while four other offensive linemen are listed as questionable. In the past three games, Prescott has been intercepted five times, has been sacked 14 times and presided over the only offense in the history of the Cowboys to go three straight games without scoring at least 10 points. Que the Redskins defense. Washington is ranked No. 25 in scoring defense and No. 20 in total defense and it has allowed 33 or more points in four of its last six games. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (302) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime play. The Ravens enter this game with the No. 7 ranked overall defense and that will be the difference here. It has been an oddly inconsistent season for Baltimore as the defense has tossed three shutouts, but the offense has been a letdown although it is starting to get better because they are getting healthier, namely quarterback Joe Flacco. He has prospered in Monday night games throughout his career and Baltimore has covered five of its last six games in the Monday spotlight. Houston is coming off a home win over Arizona which snapped a three-game losing streak and kept the Texans within reach in the AFC South where they now trail Tennessee by 2.5 games. This will be the first start for Tom Savage on a Monday night and that is a real problem facing the Baltimore defense. His own defense has taken a step back this season as a few key players have been out, most notably J.J. Watt and Brian Cushing while Jadeveon Clowney is banged up as well. Houston is just 1-3 on the road with the lone victory coming against Cincinnati in a game it got outgained in at the Deshawn Watson coming out party. The Texans are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win and we are expecting Savage to struggle in a tough environment. 10* (276) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Rams are coming off a loss in Minnesota last week which snapped their four-game winning streak, but they are back home and looking for the offense to back to its high-level play. They did not lose any ground to the Seahawks however after Seattle lost to Atlanta on Monday night as Los Angeles still has a one-game lead in the NFC West. The Rams went from averaging 14 ppg in 2016 to averaging 30.3 ppg in 2017, second highest in the NFL. They could eventually join the 1965 San Francisco 49ers as the only teams to go from last to first in points from one season to the next. New Orleans has won eight straight game following its overtime win over the Redskins last week which snapped a seven-game cover streak as well. The Saints resurgent defense has made a huge difference, but they will be shorthanded today. Marshon Lattimore and Ken Crawley have both been ruled out after not practicing all week and they also must make do without starting defensive end Alex Okafor. Last week, after Lattimore was injured in the first quarter, the Saints went on to give up more than 300 yards and three touchdowns. The Rams will be out for some payback as well as they went to New Orleans last season and got destroyed 49-21 10* (268) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS four our NFL Game of the Week. Carolina is coming off its bye week and is playing like the team from two years ago when it went to the Super Bowl. The Panthers are now 7-3 on the season and trail the Saints by one game in the NFC South with a game in New Orleans next week so they need to keep pace as a lookahead to that game would be devastating. The Carolina defense has been the story this season as it is ranked No. 2 overall while allowing the fifth fewest points in the league at just 18 ppg. The Jets are 4-6 which is a surprise considering their Vegas over/under win total was right around three at most places. They have had some tough losses along the way as five have come by a touchdown or less including a five-point loss at Tampa Bay two weeks ago. They are getting outgained by 40 ypg which seems like a small margin, but they have been outgained by at least 100 ypg in four games so it is skewed. Carolina falls into a huge winning situation today and going back, it has covered six of its last seven road games while the Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games in November. 10* (261) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thanksgiving Day Enforcer. The Chargers have won four of their last six games after a 0-4 start to keep within reach of the Chiefs in the AFC West. They are coming off a rout last week against the Bills as their quarterback change backfired and now they head to Dallas as a road favorite for the first time this season. Los Angeles outgained Buffalo by just 36 yards as turnovers were the difference and it was outgained in its three previous games while getting outgained on the season overall. This is a good team that has suffered some close losses, but this line shift does not make a ton of sense considering that the Chargers are 5-16 in their last 21 road games the last three years. A big part of the line move is due to the Cowboys playing poor the last two games without Ezekiel Elliott as they were dominated by the Falcons and Eagles but those are two of the top teams in the NFC. Dallas is still 5-5 and just one game out of the second Wild Card spot so the season if far from lost. The absence of Elliott is huge, but Alfred Morris has been just fine as he has rushed for 144 yards on 28 carries (5.1 ypc) in the two games and his carries have been limited because Dallas was playing from behind. The Chargers have the worst rushing defense in the NFL as they are allowing 138.9 ypg and their 4.9 ypc allowed is second worst. This is going to take some pressure off Dak Prescott which he needs at this point. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing record while the Chargers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* (110) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thanksgiving Day Crusher. This is the second straight season Minnesota and Detroit has met on Thanksgiving Day with the Lions winning last season as slight favorites. Now they are home underdogs as they look to narrow the gap in the NFC North as they trail the Vikings by two games and can get the season sweep and move to within a game with five games remaining. Detroit has won three straight games to move to 6-4 with a schedule that has been difficult in that it has not had a chance to play back-to-back home games all season and will not do so the rest of the season, the only team in the NFL to not have consecutive home games. The Lions have had only one bad game this season which was against New Orleans as the other three losses came by a combined 12 points. Minnesota comes in as a favorite here because it has won six straight games while covering the last five. Case Keenum has done a spectacular job at quarterback in taking over for Sam Bradford but the Lions have had the edge in the passing game in each of their last five games. The Vikings have a top five defense, but repeating the effort they had last week against the Rams will be a challenge. Detroit used to be a pushover on Thanksgiving Day but it has won four straight after nine straight losses dating back to 2004. While the Vikings have covered five straight, they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six Thursday games. 10* (108) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Eagles are the hottest team in the NFL as they have won seven straight games, so their bye week came at a poor time. Philadelphia also has a six-game ATS winning streak which is inflating the number as the Eagles are road favorites for just the second time this season. Not only are they coming off their bye but prior to that, they had three straight home games, so they have not travelled since a Monday night game in Carolina on October 12. Philadelphia was a field goal underdog then and are now making a seven-point swing since that last road game. Philadelphia is the public darling right now as despite laying road chalk, it is the second biggest consensus on the NFL card. Going back, the Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Cowboys did not look good in their first game without Ezekiel Elliott at they lost 27-7 but it was a bad spot beyond that as they were playing a very desperate Atlanta team that desperately needed a victory. That was just the third game all season that Dallas has been outgained and while the offense is down without Elliott, the defense will be the story here as it needs to get pressure to Carson Wentz who is off to a solid start and he will pick the Cowboys apart without any pressure. If the Cowboys win Sunday, it's a bonus for a team that could use one, but if the Eagles lose, it could set them up for a second half collapse thanks to a rugged closing schedule. Philadelphia has played the second easiest schedule in the NFL but that changes starting this week. 10* (474) Dallas Cowboys

The Patriots have gotten their swagger back as they have won five straight games and have covered the last three. They are coming off a blowout win in Denver and actually remained in Colorado to practice getting used to the thin air of Mexico City. How much that really helps is yet to be determined but it should not a significant advantage. Despite the five-game winning streak, the Patriots were actually outgained by the Buccaneers and Jets and won the yardage battle in their last three games by just 60, 65 and 57 total yards so they have hardly been dominant. The offensive line will be shorthanded as right tackle Marcus Cannon is out with an injury and center David Andrews came down with and illness and will also be out. The Patriots starting offensive line is not great as it is, and with two starters out, it will be even less worse off. Add to that the fact that the Patriots statistically have the worst defense in the NFL, so the Raiders offense should have a big game too. Oakland is coming off its bye week following a win at Miami two weeks ago and if it wants to stay in the playoff hunt, this is must win game. Currently, the Raiders are two games behind Kansas City in the AFC West while sitting just a game out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. Defensively, they match up well with New England as they will be able to take away the short, quick passing game of Ton Brady and the Patriots offense. The Raiders have thrived in this spot as they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. 10* (472) Oakland Raiders

Cleveland let us down last week as it failed to cover against the Lions and lost by 14 points despite outgaining Detroit by 68 total yards. The Browns now head home where they last played on October 22 and are 0-4 on the season but they have been close as three of those four losses have come by three points including games against Tennessee and Pittsburgh. Cleveland had to wait until Week 17 to pick up its first win last season and while things are on the down side again, this is a much better team than the 0-9 record indicates. On the season, Cleveland is getting outgained by just 3.3 ypg which is a truer signal of how it is playing and catching more than a touchdown at home is exceptional value. The Jaguars are the biggest surprise in the AFC as they are now 6-3 following an overtime win over San Diego last week which was their third straight victory. They possess one of the top defenses in the NFL which is a big reason they are favored this much but this is a number that Jacksonville is not used to. The Jaguars have not been favored by a touchdown or more on the road since 2008 and while the defense can be trusted, Blake Bortles cannot. He has an 81.8 quarterback rating which is eighth lowest of all qualified quarterbacks. Cleveland is in the same boat with a below average quarterback but an above average defense that is ranked No. 10 overall and No. 4 against the run. the Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (464) Cleveland Browns

New Orleans has now won and covered seven straight games and is again being bet hard by the public this week to continue that run. The Saints ran all over Buffalo last week and there is not much bad to say about this team right now as the offense is clicking while the defense is playing at its highest level in years. What this does do it add value to the other side which is the case here when going up against a long winning streak. Wins over Carolina and Detroit were nice but the other five wins were against teams that likely will not be in the playoffs with the exception of Green Bay if Aaron Rodgers comes back. Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford, who passed for 281 yards in the Lions 52-38 loss in New Orleans, is the only quarterback since Week Two to pass for more than 156 yards against the Saints. That shows the type of signal callers the Saints have faced over this stretch. Kirk Cousins will get a chance to sling it around again and he looks to rebound from a loss against Minnesota last week. The key here is running the ball effectively. With starting running back Rob Kelley on injured reserve, Samaje Perine will be in the spotlight. While the Saints defense is vastly improved, it is just No. 16 against the run, suggesting that there is an opportunity for the Redskins to show more balance on offense. This should help in the redzone where Washington was just 2-4 last week against the Vikings. The Redskins have been a solid road team with wins over Seattle and Los Angeles and going back, they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games. 10* (465) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the PITTBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime play. If the season ended today, Tennessee would be in the playoffs by way of winning the AFC South, the worst division in football. The division is the only one in the NFL that does not have a team placed in the power rankings top 10 with the titans coming in at No. 20. Tennessee is 6-3 but it has played the easiest schedule in the league and despite that, it has been outscored on the season and it is outgaining opponent by just less than a yard per game. The running game has been outstanding, but the Titans now face the best defense they have seen this season. This is a team where the future is bright, but it is not there yet and playing on the national stage against a team that has been doing it for years will be a bit too much. The Steelers have quietly gone 7-2 thanks to four straight wins, three of which have come on the road. They have played two-third of their games on the highway, going 2-1 at home including an impressive win over Minnesota and the one loss came against Jacksonville despite outgaining the Jaguars as turnovers did them in. Pittsburgh is ranked No. 2 in the NFL in total defense and it has allowed more than 18 points in regulation only once which was that Jacksonville game and even then, 14 of the 30 points were scored by the Jaguars defense. The offense has been inconsistent in getting into the endzone, but the Steelers are ranked No. 10 in total offense and they will face a vulnerable Titans defense. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record while the Titans are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (312) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Monday Primetime Play. This is a big game for both teams for playoff purposes as Miami is sitting at .500 and is a half-game out of the second Wild Card spot in the AFC while Carolina is 6-3 and is a game ahead of four teams for the final Wild Card spot in the NFC. The Dolphins are coming off a tough loss against Oakland which followed an ugly loss against Baltimore in London and then a bye week, so it has been a while since Miami has tasted victory. It is well documented that the Dolphins offense is having a tough year, but their defense has kept them in the playoff hunt as they are ranked No. 10 in total defense. The Panthers possess the top ranked defense in the NFL so the stop units should dictate the game on both sides. The Carolina offense is nothing special as it is ranked No. 24 in the league and it is one of 12 teams averaging fewer than 20 ppg. Cam Newton's passer rating is a fair bit worse than Jay Cutler's (78.4 to 87.4) and the Panthers minus-8 on turnovers is fourth-worst in the NFL. For Miami, last season proved that even a disastrous start can be overcome and, at least for the offense, Dolphins coaches are optimistic that the close loss to Oakland was the turning point. While Carolina is 4-0 ATS this season as an underdog, it is just 1-4 ATS as a favorite including four straight losses. Going back further sees the Panthers just 5-14 in their last 19 games when laying points. The Panthers are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Dolphins are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (275) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Chargers are coming off their bye week so traveling to the east coast is not a disadvantage this time around. They have won three of their last four games and are sitting just 2.5 games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West, so they are still in the hunt after a 0-4 start. Three of their last four losses have come against the Chiefs, Eagles and Patriots and that is some pretty strong competition Additionally, four of their five losses have come by just one possession and they are catching a very favorable number this week. In comparison, in their last game at New England, they were getting 6.5 points against the Patriots and are getting just a field goal less against Jacksonville, which makes no sense from a comparable spread standpoint. Jacksonville has been a pleasant surprise this season with a 5-3 record and it has been especially good the last two weeks by outgaining the Colts and Bengals by 286 and 260 yards respectively, but the Colts and Bengals are not good. The defense is one of the best in the league and it is legit, so the Chargers will have a challenge on offense but at the same time, the Jaguars have been tested only once by a strong offense and they allowed 27 points to the Rams. The Chargers have the offense that can cause problems with their balance. The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record while the Jaguars are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while going 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 10* (257) Los Angeles Chargers

Washington won for us last week despite getting outplayed on the field as it defeated Seattle by a field goal despite getting outgained by 193 total yards. The Redskins head back home feeling good about themselves with a 4-4 record and right in the Wild Card mix. Three of their four losses have come against NFC East foes including two losses at home, but they are 2-0 against non-divisional opponents including their most impressive win of the season against Oakland. They are again catching points at home and it is interesting to note that they faced the Vikings here last season with a 4-4 record while Minnesota was 5-3 and they were favored. Three of the next four games for the Redskins are on the road so taking care of business at home is imperative. The Vikings are coming off their bye week after having won four straight games which is very similar to last season when they went into their bye week on a five-game winning streak and got thumped by Philadelphia. The recent winning streak has come against some weak opposition as they played the Bears in the first start for Mitch Trubisky, the Packers which were without Aaron Rodgers, the slumping Ravens and the winless Browns in London. Minnesota is 2-1 away from home, the two wins came against Chicago and Cleveland and Washington is clearly a step above both of those teams. The defense is one of the best in the NFL, but this is the first test in a long time and we are not sold that Minnesota should be favored in this spot. The Redskins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record while the Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week. Washington keeps the momentum going while slowing down Minnesota. 10* (252) Washington Redskins

The Bills are coming off a humbling effort last Thursday as they lost to the Jets in New York and the final score makes it look better than it was they scored two late garbage touchdowns. It was the worst loss of the season for Buffalo as its other two losses came by a combined 10 points. Both of those defeats were on the road as well and Buffalo came back to win its next game at home. Overall, the Bills are 4-0 at home despite getting outgained in three of those. This is the time of year where Buffalo has a big home field advantage as temperatures will be in the low 40s and it is especially advantageous when facing a warm weather team or a dome team. The Saints are the second hottest team in the NFL right now behind the Eagles as they have won six straight games following a 0-2 start. All of the victories have been rather easy as all have come by at least eight points, so it comes as no surprise that they have covered all of those games as well. The defense has been the biggest surprise as New Orleans has allowed 17 points less in five of those victories, so it has been a complete turnaround from the last few years and the first two games of the season. Of course, the offense cannot be overlooked as the Saints are ranked No. 2 overall and No. 6 in points scored so they are playing at a high level on both sides of the ball. The Bills have the No. 6 ranked scoring defense, so it will be a battle of strengths and we have to give the edge to the home team in this situation. Another edge that cannot be overlooked is Bills head coach Sean McDermott has seen the Saints numerous times with his time at Carolina. 10* (264) Buffalo Bills

Cleveland remains one of two winless teams in the NFL and are on a 1-24 run so backing the Browns may seem ludicrous but they are in an excellent spot this week based on the scheduling as well as past history in the NFL. They have covered only once in their last seven games but have been involved in some close games as four of their eight losses have come by a field goal and Cleveland has outgained four of eight opponents as well. The Browns lost their last game in London and are coming off their bye week which is a key factor here. Going back to 1980, teams that are 0-5 or worse are 18-3-1 ATS when coming off their bye week. Defensively, Cleveland has been surprisingly good as it is ranked No. 9 overall and No. 4 against the rush and Detroit has a less than average rushing attack. The Lions snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over the Packers on Monday night and the scheduling could not be worse. They are coming off two straight nationally televised primetime games including that divisional game against the Packers and have two divisional games on deck including a showdown with Minnesota on Thanksgiving. While Detroit has won the yardage battle in its last two games, it was outgained in its previous five games and even though this is Cleveland they are facing, they are overpriced and have never been good as big favorites by going 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games when favored by more than a touchdown. Additionally, the Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. This is a tricky spot for Detroit as looking past the Browns could result in an outright loss which would derail a chance of winning the NFC North. 10* (265) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Play. With the loss to the Redskins last Sunday, the Seahawks fell a game behind the Rams in the NFC West and can ill afford another loss here with the Rams double-digit favorites at home on Sunday over Houston. Seattle opened the season 0-2 on the road but has won its last two roadies including a win over the Giants the only time it was favored on the highway. The Seahawks managed only 14 points against the Redskins, but they did put up 437 yards of offense and they are now No. 4 in total offense in the NFL. They have an Arizona defense that is ranked No. 23 overall and No. 27 in scoring after last season finishing No. 2 and No. 14 in those categories respectively. The Cardinals won against San Francisco on the road last week, but it was not a great effort as they won the yardage battle by only 39 yards. They got a big game from Adrian Peterson but take away his 159 yards rushing, and Arizona had a mere 209 yards of offense from the rest of the team. Drew Stanton made his first start in place of Carson Palmer and he was average at best and now he faces a real defensive test. Seattle has been up and down on defense, but it is still ranked No. 6 in scoring defense and Stanton has had his troubles. In two games against Seattle, he is 22-44 for 233 yards, no touchdowns, three interceptions for a 37.4 quarterback rating. Arizona has held its own in this series, but this is a different Arizona team than we have seen in the past. Going back, the Seahawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven Thursday games while the Cardinals are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* (111) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Primetime play. The Packers have dropped two straight games, one with Brett Hundley taking over for Arron Rodgers and the other with Hundley starting for Rodgers. Green Bay now hopes to remain over .500 and keep pace with the Vikings in the NFC North and are once again catching points at home. We played on the Packers two weeks ago when they faced the Saints and a late touchdown by New Orleans prevented the cover. They are in a good spot this week as they are coming off their bye week and while that means not a ton more practice time for Hundley, any additional amount is important as is the added preparation time. Detroit is on a similar run as it has lost three straight games including a home loss to Pittsburgh last Sunday night. Now the Lions go from the rare situation of being a home underdog to a road favorite which is an aggressive move. This is not a good role they are in as going back to 2013 and not counting Week 17 when starters have rested, Detroit is 0-6 ATS as road favorites, losing five of those games outright. Green Bay has been favored by six points or more in every home series meeting since 2012 so the linesmakers have adjusted the number by eight points with the Rodgers absence and that is too big of a move even what his presence means to the team. Going back, the Lions are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while the Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (474) Green Bay Packers

This line has been fluctuating all week and it is now finally settling in as the Ezekiel Elliott news has become official that he will be able to suit up this weekend as his suspension has been delayed yet again. Dallas has won two straight games on the road and it will be out to snap a two-game losing streak at home where it lost to Green Bay by four points and Los Angeles by five points. The Cowboys won the yardage battle in all four of these games, so they are playing at a high level as they try to keep pace with the Eagles in the NFC East. The offense is firing on all cylinders as they have averaged 33.5 ppg over this four-game stretch and they can keep that going this week in facing the No. 30 ranked defense in the NFL. Overall, Dallas is ranked No. 8 in offense and No. 5 in scoring offense. Kansas City rebounded from a two-game slide with a win over Denver last Monday and while it sounds like a broken record, they were outgained once again, making it three straight games they have been outyarded. On the season, Kansas City is getting outgained by 15 ypg which is not much but a 6-2 team that is getting outgained is a concern which includes three wins where they were outyarded. Dallas meanwhile is outgaining opponents by 45 ypg and it has won the yardage battle in all three home games. Coming off a pair of divisional games and with a bye on deck puts the Chiefs in a tough spot. Additionally, it is a short week for the Chiefs and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. The Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* (470) Dallas Cowboys

The Cardinals are playing their first game with Drew Stanton as the starting quarterback after Carson Palmer was lost for the season in a 33-0 loss to the Rams in London. Arizona did have an advantage of having its bye week to get Stanton working with the first team but because of the new CBA, it did not amount to much more practice time. The Cardinals are now 3-4 on the season and they trail the Seahawks and Rams by two games, so things are looking bleak at this point. Last season, the Cardinals were one of only two teams in the NFL, New England being the other, that finished in the top 10 in both total offense and total defense. This season, they are ranked No. 16 and No. 24 in total offense and defense respectively showing how much they have fallen. The 49ers have fallen as well as after a 2-14 season last year, they are off to the first 0-8 start in franchise history which says a lot as there have been some lean years in San Francisco. They have played better than the record shows as they have five losses by three points or less and coming off a pair of blowout losses against two elite teams puts them in a great spot returning home. San Francisco will also be out for some payback following an overtime loss in Arizona last month as they took a lead with a field goal but allowed a Palmer touchdown pass with just 32 second left in the extra session. That was the fifth straight win for Arizona in this series, but this is the most watered-down Cardinals team over this stretch. The Cardinals are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the 49ers have covered six straight divisional games. 10* (466) San Francisco 49ers

The Seahawks were involved in an epic game last week against Houston as they pulled out a 41-38 win with a touchdown pass with just 21 seconds remaining. That was just their third lead in the game and they were outrushed for the fourth time in seven games. Seattle is tied with Los Angeles atop the NFC West thanks to four straight wins and while it is 3-0 at home, two of those victories were by three points and the only blowout win came against 2-6 Indianapolis which was not decided until the fourth quarter. The typically stingy defense has been exposed on occasion this season and it comes in ranked No. 17 in the NFL while now facing another offense that can take advantage. Additionally, Seattle is almost certain to be without Safety Earl Thomas. Washington has dropped two straight games to fall to 3-4 and it cannot afford many more slipups as it is a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot with six other teams battling for the final spot. The Redskins have failed to cover their last four games which has inflated this line that has gone over a touchdown in some places. This game will add to the difficult schedule the Redskins have endured thus far which is currently No. 5 in the league compared to the Seahawks which have played the No. 29 schedule in the NFL. While the Seattle defense has been underachieving, the Washington defense has been a solid unit as it is ranked No. 12 in the league overall and it has good balance, being ranked No. 13 both against the rush and the pass. The Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (467) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Eagles have won six straight games and have a one game lead over Minnesota for the best record in the NFC. They have covered five straight games as well, but they are in a difficult scheduling spot here with this being their third straight home game. Some people may seem that as an advantage, but it is not especially coming off consecutive wins in the first two as the third game can make a team lethargic as well as inflate lines. We expect the former to happen and the latter has happened with this number tipping over a touchdown. Not to mention the fact that Philadelphia has a bye next week which is another sign of a possible letdown. Denver meanwhile has lost three straight games, the last two coming on the road making this its third straight road game which is a good thing here. The Broncos will have a sense of urgency after losing to the Chargers and Chiefs on the road and because of the three straight losses, people are writing them off as being a fraud. Denver is making a change at quarterback and while it is Brock Osweiler, a change can only be a good thing at this point as the Broncos have scored only 29 points during their losing streak. The defense continues to hold its own however and gives the team a chance to win and that is proven by the fact Denver has outgained every opponent this season, the only team in the NFL that can say that. The Broncos are outgaining opponents by over 80 ypg compared to 44.7 ypg for the Eagles and Denver has played the harder schedule, No. 10 versus No. 26 for Philadelphia. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record while the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. 10* (451) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Play. Buffalo is the talk of the NFL right now as it is 5-2 which is tied for its best start since 1999 and the playoffs are looking realistic in what has turned into a weak AFC. The Bills bolstered their offense right at the trade deadline with the acquisition of Kelvin Benjamin from Carolina which shows that they are taking this good start for real. They are road favorites this week because of the perceived opponent and not because they have succeeded much on the road as they are 1-2 with the win being over Atlanta. On paper, that looks like a great victory, but the Falcons are struggling right now. Overall, the Bills have been outgained in their last six games, so they have been fortunate along the way. The Jets have been playing well despite three straight losses as those have come by an average of five ppg which came after a surprising three-game winning streak. New York lost the first meeting in Buffalo by nine points as it was outgained 408-214 so while the game itself was not close, it was the first game of the season and the revamped roster has not played together but those players are now in sync which has resulted in a run of competitive games. Part of the reason for success by Buffalo is that it leads the NFL in turnover margin at +14 with its 3 giveaways the fewest and 17 takeaways tied for the most. This cannot last, and it has skewed its numbers as it is No. in scoring defense but just No. 17 in total defense while sitting only No. 25 in total offense. The public will be on the Bills, but we will take the live home dog. 10* (308) New York Jets

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Primetime play. The Chiefs and Broncos are both riding two-game losing streaks and Kansas City can take a 2.5-game lead in the division at the halfway point with a victory. That being said, this is a bigger game for the Broncos as pulling to within a half game would keep them around as a loss could potentially send them packing. The offense is the obvious concern as Denver was shutout last week for the first time 25 years and it has managed only one touchdown in the last 11 quarters. The Broncos must get their running game going which was one of the best through four games but has taken a step back over the last two contests. The good news is that only four teams give up more yards per carry than the 4.7 surrendered by the Chiefs and Jamaal Charles should have a little extra in the tank in his return to Kansas City. In 50 possessions over their last four games, the Broncos have scored just three touchdowns and made seven field goals. They have also missed three field goal attempts, lost three fumbles, turned the ball over on downs five times and thrown five interceptions to go with 20 punts and five instances where time ran out on them. Inconsistent to say the least but facing a weak defense will help. The Denver defense will get a boost with the return of outside linebacker Shane Ray who has missed the first six games of the season after wrist surgery. The Broncos give up just 71.8 ypg on the ground which is the best in the league and their 3.0 ypc allowed is also tops in the NFL. Additionally, they have yet to give up a rushing touchdown. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up loss. 10* (273) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Play. With the loss of Aaron Rodgers for the Packers, the NFC North is more wide open and Detroit has an excellent shot to win the division. The Lions are 3-3 and sit a game and a half behind Minnesota following a pair of losses in their last two games but they are coming off their bye week, so they are in good position to regain that winning form. A three-point loss against Carolina and a four-point loss against Atlanta were tough defeats, especially the latter as the Lions were inches away from a victory. Detroit will not have it easy this week against the Pittsburgh defense but playing at home and in a rare primetime national television game is a big bonus. Teams coming off blowout losses followed by a bye week are typically in very good spots if they are at least considered a good team which the Lions are at this point and they have thrived themselves as they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. After suffering a bad loss at home against Jacksonville, the Steelers were left for dead by some, but they responded with two big wins against Kansas City as underdogs two weeks ago and a blowout victory over Cincinnati last week. They are now a game and a half ahead of Baltimore in the AFC North, so they are again feeling good about themselves which often puts teams like that in difficult spots, especially when taking to the road. The Steelers are playing well on the road this season as they are 3-1 but with the exception of the win over the Chiefs, the victories over Cleveland and Baltimore are not impressive and the loss to the Bears was even worse. 10* (272) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Month. Last week, NFL underdogs were 3-10-1 ATS as the sharps were killed and the books took a huge hit with all but one public favorite hitting. The 49ers will be first anti-public play this week as they are one of two winless teams in the NFL, but they are not playing like it. Last week was the exception when they got hammered by Dallas but prior to that, their last five losses were by a combined 13 points including a pair coming in overtime on the road. This is now their fourth road game in their last five and while the matchup seems like a mismatch, the line is taking that into consideration. We lost with the Eagles on Monday night as they won by 10 points despite outgaining the Redskins by just 27 total yards and at 6-1, they are moving into the top spot in several power rankings which is a bit aggressive at this point. The Eagles have covered four straight games which is the number to start looking when fading these streaks. Carson Wentz is being talked about as the MVP and while he is having a great season, all this talk does nothing but hurt them value wise. Philadelphia is outgaining opponents by 41.5 ypg which is just No. 10 in the league so it has not been running away in that regard. Coming off two straight primetime nationally televised games, the Eagles are surely in for a letdown and with the Broncos on deck, staying focused for this game will be next to impossible. Additionally, the Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game while the 49ers have covered four of their last five road games. 10* (259) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Patriots are coming off their best and most complete win on the season as they defeated Atlanta at home last Sunday night 23-7 while outgaining the Falcons by 60 total yards. We say best and most complete because of the opponent as they took care of a team that was hungry for a revenge win from the past Super Bowl and New England did not allow it as the defense rose to the occasion, holding Atlanta to a late fourth quarter touchdown despite giving up 353 total yards. The big thing was that the Patriots allowed just one red zone score in four Atlanta trips inside the 20-yard line. This defense is not that good to be consistent like that and the Chargers should have a better time of driving and putting up points. After a 0-4 start, the Chargers are riding a three-game winning streak and while getting back into the AFC West hunt may seem unlikely, Los Angeles is only two games out with the Chiefs and Broncos having each dropped two straight games. On the season, the Chargers are +4.4 ypg in yardage differential which is small but positive nonetheless while New England is -16 ypg in the same category so these teams are more equal than what the records show and what the line is telling us. The Chargers 23 sacks are tied for fourth most in the NFL so applying pressure to Tom Brady, who has been sacked 18 times, should be no issue. Los Angeles is No. 17 in the league on offense which is not great but even with the effort last week, the Patriots are dead last in the NFL in total defense. Going back, the Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (265) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Flacons have dropped three straight games, all against AFC East teams and Sunday they will try to avoid going winless against a division they should have gone 3-1 against at a minimum. Atlanta won the yardage battle against both Buffalo and Miami, so it should not have dropped both of those games but now it can take its frustrations out on the lowly Jets. The Falcons are outgaining opponents by 45 ypg and their 6.2 yards per play average is second best in the NFL so while the offense looks like it is struggling, it is only struggling to put points on the board. Atlanta is now a game behind New Orleans in the NFC South with a game at Carolina looming, so this is a must win. The Jets are coming off another tough loss as they blew a 14-point lead against Miami and lost by three points. That is a tough loss to come back from and after a close loss to the Patriots prior to that, getting up for this one seems impossible. New York has exceeded expectations already with three wins but none of those were quality victories although a win over Jacksonville is looking a little better. The Jets continue to make mistakes as they are -2 in turnover margin which is not horrible, but they are the only team in the NFL that has at least one turnover in every game. That is a perfect recipe for the Falcons that have just three takeaways on the season which is the fewest in the league. New York is sixth worst in the league in yardage margin despite playing several close games and if ever there is a time for another blowout, this is the one. Atlanta has covered five of its last six games against losing teams. 10* (255) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS Baltimore opened the season 2-0 but it has been a struggle since then as the Ravens have gone 1-4 over their last five games as the offense has really struggled over this recent stretch. The Ravens are coming off a loss at Minnesota this past Sunday and while they only lost by eight points, it was a garbage touchdown with no time left that made it look respectable. They managed only 64 rushing yards and 144 passing yards and while it is hard to defend this type of output, the Vikings are No. 4 in total defense, the fourth top seven defense they have faced over this 1-4 stretch. Miami has a strong defense of its own, but it just allowed 28 pints against the Jets and Baltimore has to just look back to last season when it hung 38 points on the Dolphins. Miami is the worst above .500 team in football as its -46.4 ypg differential is the lowest of any team above .500 so the 4-2 start is an illusion. The offense got a spark last week when Jay Cutler got hurt and Matt Moore came into the game and led the Dolphins to the 14-point comeback against the Jets, but they are still ranked dead last in the league in total offense and No. 31 in scoring offense. Baltimore is two games behind Pittsburgh in the AFC North and already has one head-to-head loss against the Steelers, so this is a big game to keep pace in the division. Going back, the Dolphins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (102) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our Monday Primetime play. Philadelphia enters Monday night riding a four-game winning streak and has become the toast of the NFL with a 5-1 record. The Eagles are the favorites to win the NFC at +425 but these lofty expectations have now taken value away as they are overpriced in this divisional game. Typically, we plan for a three-point number in a divisional game when teams are not too far off from each other and that is the case here. Philadelphia is 2-0 at home but it nearly lost to the Giants while getting outgained by 61 yards and took care of Arizona as it scored 21 first quarter points. The Eagles won the first meeting back on opening day by 13 points, but the game was closer than that throughout as they scored on a fumble recovery in the final two minutes to seal it. Washington is 3-2 and this is a game it needs to win to keep pace in the NFC East. A loss would put the Redskins 2.5 games behind Philadelphia and it would essentially be 3.5 games because of the head-to-head sweep. The Washington offense has been consistent which was a concern coming in with a new receiving corps as the Redskins are ranked No. 7 overall. Their worst game was the opener, but they can be given a mulligan for that based on it being the first game. Washington finished No. 28 in total defense in 2015 and 2016 and is up to No. 12 this season which is a significant turnaround. Washington has been a solid team away from home as going back to last season, it has covered 10 of its last 13 road games including a 4-1 ATS record against winning home teams. 10* (477) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Primetime play. We often talk about revenge and how it can come into play in certain spots. Typically, it is a situation that is secondary to another positive situation but in this case, it is the main ingredient. No need to go into details about the revenge but the Falcons have had this one on their calendars since the schedule came out in April. Shying away from road revenge is usually recommended but not here as Atlanta will go all out and it certainly has what it takes to win this one. The Falcons are coming off a pair of home losses against Buffalo and Miami and those are two games they no doubt should have won as they won the yardage battle in both games but were -3 in net turnovers. Overall, it has been a lethargic start to the season as games against the Bears and Lions could have resulted in losses as well but if there is a game to jumpstart the season, this is it. The Patriots are not looking good right now. We thought they may have turned a corner and backed them last week, but they failed to cover and were close to losing to the Jets and this team is not right. Whether it is age on offense or lack of chemistry on defense, this team is vulnerable to anyone right now as they have been outgained in four straight games. The Falcons can carve up this defense which makes this a game that can go either way, so a field goal finish gets the win if you can get the hook on the three. New England has failed to cover all three games at home this season while the Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. 10* (475) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Broncos are coming off an ugly loss last Sunday night as they fell by 13 points as a 13.5-point favorite and it was an ugly game not because they played poor football but because they lost too many intangibles. Denver lost the turnover battle 3-0, missed a pair of field goals and were bad in the redzone. The Broncos outgained the Giants 412-266 so they clearly dominated but these things can happen in football and the good thing for us is that the reaction is to the score and not what happened so we get line value which is the case here. Denver has outgained all five opponents as the loss at Buffalo was another game it could have won if not for losing the intangibles. After a 0-4 start, the Chargers have won two straight games and five of their six games overall have been decided by five points or less. That seems to point toward another close game here, considering the Broncos won the first meeting at home by just three points, but looking at the complete body of work, the Broncos are the superior team on both sides of the ball. As is the case with Chargers home games, the Denver fans will dominate the stadium as this Los Angeles team has the worst home field edge in the NFL. This is a revenge game for the Chargers but Denver has won seven of the last eight meetings so there has been a lot of revenge in the past that the Chargers could not take care of. The Broncos have covered five of their last seven games following a loss while the Chargers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. 10* (473) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We played against the Packers last Sunday and the win was made a lot easier because of the unfortunate injury to Aaron Rodgers. Now with Rodgers out, everybody is calling the Packers done but that is hardly the case. They are not Super Bowl contenders without Rodgers but playing in the NFC North makes them a legitimate division contender because it is so weak. Brett Hundley will be making the start in place of Rodgers and people will point to his poor effort last week. Coming into a game against a strong defense after not having practiced with the first string is a lot different than having a full week of practice to prepare. Plus, Hundley has been in this system for three years so he will be just fine, especially against the Saints defense. New Orleans is coming off a win at home against Detroit and while the score looks lopsided, the Lions lost the game on their own as they committed five turnovers that led to short fields and points for the Saints. New Orleans has won three straight games following a 0-2 start but we are not overly impressive as one win came against the Panthers before Cam Newton turned his season around while the other one came against Miami in London, part of a brutal Dolphins travel log. While this road game looks like a cakewalk to some, that is simply not the case. Not only do we back a Green Bay team that is still very talented but we are getting incredible line value as the Rodgers injury has created an eight-point swing and it is hard to justify an adjustment like that based on one player no matter how good or how important he is to the team. 10* (466) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Sportsbooks were taking bets before the season started on whether the Jets would go winless this season and after a 2-0 start, it was looking like it could still happen. New York then went on to win three straight games and then played the Patriots very tough last week so there has been an impressive turnaround. Coming off that close call last week however puts the Jets in a horrible spot on Sunday as that can cause a true letdown the following week. The venue has played a big part in the success of New York as it has outgained opponents by 101.3 ypg in three home games but has been outgained by 180 ypg in three road games. The Jets won in Cleveland despite being outgained by 207 yards as they took advantage of three Browns turnovers and the Dolphins will have to avoid that similar outcome. Miami has won two in a row over Tennessee and Atlanta including coming back from 17 points down against the Falcons last week. It has not been a very good season for Miami despite being 3-2 as the start to the season was incredibly tough as the Dolphins went six straight weeks of being on the road dating back to the preseason. The defense is flying under the radar as Miami is No. 3 in scoring and No. 11 overall and that can carry them again here. Additionally, Miami will be out to avenge a 20-6 loss in New York last month as it failed to score until the final play of the game. Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record while the Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. 10* (460) Miami Dolphins