080518

Play on:  10* (929/930) Houston/Los Angeles UNDER the total

In the final game of the series the Astros bring RHP Cole (10-3, 2.35) to the mound, while the home standing Dodgers will rely on RHP Buehler (4-4, 3.65).   On the road this season Cole has put together a solid 6-2 mark with a 2.57 ERA.  At home, Buehler shows 2-3 with a 2.70 ERA thus far.  No matter each has been effective in their current roles reducing the offensive output of the opposition.  Overall the series has shot UNDER 5-of-6 in LA and 9-2-1 UNDER overall.  Houston is 12-2 UNDER with Interleague games and 6-0 UNDER in road IL games vs. RHP.  The Dodgers play with a solid 5-0 UNDER record when playing on the road in IL games.  Also, they show 7-1 UNDER during IL games with ALW units.  The Dodgers come in 6-1 UNDER with Buehler at home.  Closing, LA with umpire Hollbrooks calling a IL game show 4-0 UNDER.  Good Luck.

4* Cincinnati/Washington OVER the total

Not fooled by the recent outings of these two hurlers.  Overall each has struggled with control this season.  In addition, the Reds off a downer from the hitting standpoint should experience a solid bounce back in the hitters box.  Despite recent under trend in series, believe you will see a high scoring game even with Harper banged up for the Nationals.  GO HIGH!  Good Luck.

4* Miami/Philly UNDER the total

The recent series has been trending down with the total UNDER at a 5-1 clip.  Both hurlers Richards of Miami and Velasquez of Philadelphia have thrown well the last three times out.  Richards of Miami has allowed just one run in 18-2/3 innings of work, while Velasquez has gone 18 innings surrendering just two runs.  Considering this is game #2 of the series, and they expect an overcast setting with some showers, go UNDER.  Good Luck.

5* (963/964) San Francisco/Arizona UNDER 7-1/2

First off, would like to have tested Bumgarner (3-4, 3.06) in this spot, since the D'backs are 8-2 on the road versus Arizona. However, Grienke (12-5, 2.96) is 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA at home this season.  So, instead we'll take a ticket with the total angle.  Remember Grienke/Arizona shows 6-0 UNDER at home versus >.500 clubs, while SF is 12-2-2 UNDER off a win.   The Giants are 4-0 UNDER with Bumgarner vs. 'Zona and 6-1 UNDER at Arizona.  The D'Backs are a solid 6-1-1 UNDER when Greinke throws against San Francisco.   Go low tonight.  Good Luck. 

5* LA/MILWAUKEE UNDER 71/2...

First off the bad news, umpire Knight is 13-5 OVER the total L18 when calling balls and strikes.  He is also 13-6-1 OVER with Milwaukee.  However, there are numerous current reality angles to consider, the first being hurlers Chacin (Milwaukee) and Kershaw (LA) have been on fire the last three times to the mound.  Chacin is 2-0 coming off 18 innings of work (1.50 ERA) with a small WHIP of 0.44.  Star Kershaw is 1-1 in 20 innings (2.21 ERA) with a 1.13 WHIP.  Also, Chacin over the last 22-1/3 IP versus the Dodgers has allowed only 4 earned runs.  Kershaw has surrendered 8 earned runs vs. the Brewers last 29-1/3 innings of work.  Overall the series has shot UNDER with Kershaw 6-0-1 L7.  At Los Angeles the numbers bring in the Dodgers 6-1 UNDER L7 overall and 7-of-10 UNDER in meetings with Milwaukee.  Go low tonight in what should be a classic one-run encounter.  Good Luck.

072618

5* (913/914) Chicago/Los Angeles UNDER

The Angels crushed the Sox last night 11-3 and now look to complete the series with another win behind righty Tropeano (3-5, 4.58).  The hurler is off a solid 5 innings of work against Houston allowing just 1 run.  He is opposed by young Covey (4-5, 4.95) who just threw a super solid 8-1/3 innings versus Seattle not allowing an earned run.  Overall the series has gone UNDER 11-5-1 L17 meetings.  In addition, the Angels show 6-1 UNDER after scoring double-digits.  And, LA is 7-1-1 UNDER versus a unit with

072018

5* (927/928) Miami/Tampa Bay OVER the total

Despite the pitching brethren (Straily/Eovaldi) on the hill down in Tampa Bay, we look for a HIGH result from the runs standpoint.  Over the last ten games both Miami and Tampa Bay each have been productive at the plate with the Marlins scoring on average 5.3 runs per game, the Rays come in with 6.7 runs per outing.  From the batting average side of the equation Tampa Bay is ranked #8 with a 2.56 mark, Miami #15 hitting 2.46 on the season.  Each are well ahead of some quality units.  Visiting Miami is 7-0 OVER against RHP and 6-0 OVER on the road when facing interleague teams with over a .500 record.  Game #1 of a series RHP Straily is 6-1 OVER L7.  Home standing Rays bring a 7-5 OVER mark in game #1 when at home, 4-2 OVER L6 times out.  Also, Tampa Bay has changed character of late, going 2-0 OVER after a loss.  The Rays are 26-17 at home with Miami 18-29 on the road which is good indicator on how the run production will go this evening.  Good Luck.

10* WASHINGTON/PITTSBURGH OVER the total

Gonzo has a recent history of showing up UNDER the total both at home and away.  The only is he did not look good against Miami with 5 innings of work, allowing 8 hits and 2 runs. Over his last three starts he projects out with a 9.00 ERA.  Williams of the Pirates was rocked in his recent outing against the Phillies for 5 runs in just 2-1/2 innings of work.  Over the last starts Williams has fostered an 8.31 ERA. He is 4-4 with a 4.44 ERA this season.   The Bucs have gone UNDER in 6 straight but, I can't see that continuing here.   Williams and Pittsburgh show a perfect 7-0 in game #3 of a series.  Whereas, Gonzo shows some solid long-term OVER results vs. the NLC (15-5-2).  In closing, the SERIES has shot OVER at a 7-0-1 clip at Pittsburgh.  Good Luck.

10* Cincinnati/Atlanta OVER the total

There is conflicting edges inside the math this afternoon but, we see a strict adherence to the facts outlined.  First off the improved Braves come into action off a loss.  In that role Atlanta is 7-1 OVER, while lefty Newcomb 5-0 OVER off a quality start.  Cincinnati is 10-1-2 OVER vs. LHP, 5-1 L6 OVER in game #3 of a series. Go high today and cash again if you must win.  Good Luck.

Play on: 4* Boston/Seattle UNDER 8-1/2

Yesterday the Mariners canned the Sox up in Fenway 7-2.  Boston did not score until the 9th when the offense chipped in two runs.  To begin, they be without Bettis who is questionable for Sunday.  Forward, last time out lefty Sale of Boston went 7 innings, allowing just 2 runs and 3 hits, while striking out 11 hitters.  Inside Sale’s recent three appearances he has been super throwing 21 innings, surrendering just 11 hits and 4 runs!  His average ERA in those starts…2.77!  Seattle uses rejuvenated hurler Marco Gonzalez (7-4, 3.80) who in his most recent start (06/19) lost in New York to the Yankees (7-2).  The New York success was dictated by four home runs, all right-side swingers.  So, critical for Gonzalez is his effectiveness versus Rameriz, Moreland (Martinez not in lineup) and Bogaerts. Recently Gonzo went through a tough patch but, responded winning three straight games allowing only 5 runs.  He should be in bounce back mode this afternoon.  Technically the Mariners are 4-0 UNDER with Gonzalez in road tests and 4-0 UNDER after scoring 5 or more runs.   They are 7-1 UNDER L8 games.  The Sox looking to crack back come 5-2 UNDER after a “L.”  More importantly, Boston is 20-6 UNDER L26 and 7-1 UNDER at home.  They are 5-0 UNDER after surrendering 5 runs or more. The Series has shot UNDER at a 6-1 clip.  In closing, with umpire Dreckman calling balls and strikes the home unit 21-6-1 UNDER.  Good Luck.

After blow out night from Philadelphia look for their bats to cool off against the #1 prospect (Fedde) of the Nationals.  Fedde's last two outings were against the Yankees so, you might expect some damage but, we look for the youngster to be almost perfect today with most likely 6-7 innings of work.  The Phillies go RHP Nola (8-2, 2.55) who has been red hot this season.  So, in this situation we go LOW with a TOP PLAY forecast.  Good Luck.

4* Miami/Baltimore Under 8-1/2 or 9

Inter-league encounter with Miami visiting Baltimore, URENA (1-8, 4.59) vs. GAUSMAN (3-5, 4.58).  In the last seven outings Urena has allowed 3.1 runs per game, Gausman 3.4 runs per game.  The Orioles are 6-0 UNDER L6 IL games.  Over the last 10 games Miami has averaged 4.6 runs, while the Orioles on real downer 2.4 runs.  Remember these clubs have not faced each other in quite some time so, we expect an early feeling out process.  Stay UNDER tonight with the inflated total currently on the board.

10:10 Eastern

(915/916) 4* LAA/Seattle (H) UNDER the total

LA shows off a loss to Minnesota on the road, while the Mariners come in sky high after winning yesterday over Tampa Bay.  In this situation, we believe you will see a lackluster outing by Seattle after the road trip. The Mariners have played well at home but, they always seem to have issues against the Angels.  LAA is a monster 20-11 on the road this season.  The Angles are on a 6-1 streak, and that’s without the “O” man in the lineup.  With lefty Heaney (1-1, 1.93) on the hill for the Angels look for a lower scoring game. In fact, LAA is 4-0 UNDER with Heaney having 5 days rest and 7-0-1 UNDER against a .500+ unit.  Leblanc hits the rubber for the Mariners who have ten straight home outings with the hurler. The total bar in the series shows recent over numbers, however, Seattle is UNDER 4 straight at home and 4-1 UNDER vs. LHP.  Also, they bring a 4-0 UNDER card with LeBlanc at home and 6-2 UNDER Monday editions. Good Luck.

4* Baltimore/Baltimore UNDER the total @ 7:05 Eastern

Birds come in off a 13-3 beating up in Canada against Toronto.  Boston leaves home after dropping a 5-2 decision to the White Sox.  RHP Wright (2-0, 1.57) gets the call for the Red Sox down in Baltimore.  The hurler has gone through difficult times against the O’s but, can’t forecast a Birds Break Out considering recent form. The Orioles use RHP Bundy (4-7, 4.04) has been pitching well recently throwing a minimum of six innings of work and surrendering just 3 or fewer runs L4. The series has shot UNDER 6-1-2 with Bundy and 3-1-1 UNDER L5.  Baltimore is 8-0 UNDER game #1 and the Sox 6-1 UNDER game #1 of a series.  Remember too, Boston has gone UNDER in 6 straight games. Good Luck.

(903/904) 3* Milwaukee/Philadelphia UNDER the total

MLB TOTAL…BDS

The Phillies to peel off from their first start losing again yesterday 12-2 to the visiting Brewers. They use ace RH Jake Arrieta who has been consistent this season illustrating a 3-0 record at home supporting a 0.84 ERA.  Lifetime versus Milwaukee the savvy hurler has gone 8-4 with a 2.74 ERA.  The Brewers come of a huge offensive showing last night but, we doubt they’ll productive here.  Lefty Brent Sutter takes the hill, and after an inconsistent start this season the hurler has settled down into a nice pattern giving the Brewers a chance to win.  He has been tagged for three or less runs inside the last four starting assignments.  Milwaukee shows 12-2 UNDER L14 against .600+ units, while the Phillies are 5-1 UNDER at home when facing lefties.  Remember too, Philadelphia has gone UNDER 4 straight games.  Good Luck.

LATE MONEY MOVE ON THE TOTAL BOARD...GL.

CHECK BACK THROUGHOUT THE DAY FOR UPDATES. GL.

CHECK BACK THROUGHOUT THE DAY FOR UPDATES.  GL.

4* (915/916) NEW YORK/Baltimore OVER the total

Held back on this move yesterday because of our contacts in Grab Town estimating the game would be PPD.  As of this morning both Cashner and Gray will start for the Orioles and Yankees.  Each hurler has issued inconsistent sets the first-half of the season.  Although Baltimore is averaging just 3.73 rpg., and rated #29....they are far too forgiving on the mound as a team surrendering 4.89 rpg (#29).  The Yankees are #1 in runs scored (5.69) and #29 in runs allowed 3.73 per game.  The series has shot OVER 23-of-26 with 5 straight games HIGH down in Baltimore.  Good Luck.

1:10 Eastern

(951/952) 4* Washington/Miami UNDER the total

The Nationals won yesterday 4-1 in this building behind hurler Roark. The two games in the series have split out on the total board.  Washington (28-22) faces the Marlins (19-32) who have struggled this season. The Nats use veteran right-hander Strasburg (5-4, 3.36) who has overall performed well this season, considering his pitch count has increased the last few games. Miami brings young flashy bulldog Hernandez (2.08) to the hill and he has been effective in the early starts.  The Marlins 6-1 UNDER off a loss and 4-1 UNDER L5.  In addition, Miami chases down a solid 4-1 UNDER record vs. the NLE. Washington counters with a 37-18-6 UNDER mark on the road, 5-1 UNDER vs. the NLE.  Also, the Nationals have a 4-1 UNDER stat sheet L5 vs.