2-1 Tuesday made it EIGHT consecutive winning days for Larry. He's now 30-11, +$16,235 with all MLB the L17 days. 3-game Wednesday card highlighted by 10* Game of the Week (14-3 MLB 10* run!). See ALL promos.
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My 10* Game of the Week is on the Cle Guardians at 7:10 ET.
The Twins went just 73-89 in 2021 (20 games behind the division-winning White Sox), after winning the AL Central in 2019 and 2020. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021. The AL Central rivals opened last week with a three-game series in Minnesota (Guardians took two of three) and are playing a FIVE-game series over the first four days of this week in Cleveland (single games Monday, Wednesday and Thursday, with a doubleheader on Tuesday. The Twins won 11-1 on Monday but then the teams split Tuesday's doubleheader, as Cleveland won 3-2 in Game 1 and Minnesota won 6-0 in the nightcap.
The series continues Wednesday night with 43-34 Minnesota atop the AL Central by three games over 37-34 Cleveland (Guardians have lost SIX of their last seven games). Dylan Bundy (4-4, 4.80 ERA) takes the mound for Minnesota, while Cleveland counters with Cal Quantrill (4-4, 3.76 ERA). This is Bunday's eighth season but first with Minnesota. He pitched poorly for the Angels in 2021 (2-9 with a 6.06 ERA) but opened the current season 3-0 with an 0.59 ERA. However, over his last nine starts, he's 1-4 with a 6.65 ERA (Twins are 1-8). This is Quantrill's 4th MLB season, and he was 8-3 with a 2.89 ERA in 2021 (40 appearances, including 22 starts). Cleveland lost SIX of Quantrill's first eight starts in 2022 but has won three of his last five.
Quantrill is nothing but a "back of the rotation" starter but I find it easy to 'sell' the idea that the Cleveland bats will 'wake up' against Bunday and his 6.65 ERA over his last 10 starts.
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Sea Mariners at 4:10 ET.
The Baltimore Orioles have missed the postseason in each of the last FIVE years, losing 100-plus games in THREE of the four full seasons, including tying Arizona for MLB's worst record in 2021 at 52-110. Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. After splitting the first two contests of this three-game series (Orioles won 9-2 on Monday, with Seattle winning 2-0 on Tuesday), it's the rubber match of the series set for Wednesday afternoon. Both teams own identical 35-41 records, with Baltimore almost guaranteed to sit out the playoffs for a sixth straight season, while Seattle seems highly likely to make it 21 consecutive non-playoff seasons
Taking the mound for Wednesday's final are Austin Voth (0-0, 7.81 ERA) for Baltimore and Chris Flexen (3-8, 4.31 ERA) for Seattle. Voth was designated for assignment on May 31. He had started 22 of 92 games and had a 9–8 record with a 5.70 ERA in parts of five seasons with the Nationals. He was claimed off waivers by the Baltimore Orioles seven days later on June 7. He's made five appearances since arriving in Baltimore (3.00 ERA) and this marks his THIRD straight start. The Orioles have won his first two but Voth has only pitched a combined total of only 5.2 innings in those starts. Chris Flexen was 14-6 (3.61 ERA and 1.25 WHIP) in 2021 and with the Mariners going 22-9 in his starts, owned MLB's best moneyline mark at +$1,597. The 2022 season has NOT gone as smoothly, as he owns just THREE wins in 14 starts. Flexen got off to a brutal start, going 1-6 over his first eight starts (Seattle was 1-7) with a 4.98 ERA. However, he's been steady over his last six outings (he's 2-2 and Seattle 3-3), posting a 3.44 ERA.
My "gut" tells me Flexen has figured things out and will be a 'money-maker' the rest of the way. Meanwhile, Voth has shown VERY little in his career and will likely NOT pitch more than four innings
My 9* Getaway Day Game of the Week is on the KC Royals at 2:10 ET.
The Rangers appeared in back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011 (lost both) but continued to be competitive, making the playoffs in THREE of the next five seasons. However, it's been FIVE consecutive losing seasons for Texas since 2017. The Rangers were just 60-102 (.370) in 2021 but have played better this season, sitting 36-37 (.493) as of Wednesday morning. The KC Royals began the current season having missed the postseason in each of the previous SIX years, after making back-to-back World Series in 2014 (lost) and 2015 (won). Unlike Texas, KC is NOT playing better in 2022, as the Royals are tied for the second worst record (with the Reds) in all of MLB. The Rangers opened a nine-game trip on Monday night in Kansas City and have won the first two contests. Texas now goes for a three-game sweep, looking to get back to .500 on the season. As for the Royals, their 2022 season is effectively 'over!'
The starters for this afternoon's series finale are Dane Dunning (1-5, 4.17 ERA) for Texas and Zack Greinke (1-4, 4.68 ERA) for Kansas City. Dunning was just 5-10 with a 4.51 ERA and 1.44 WHIP as a rookie last season in 25 starts (team was 9-16). He opened the season 1-1 (Texas was 3-2) in his first five starts of 2022, posting a 3.81 ERA. However, he owns just ONE win over his last 10 starts, with Texas losing ALL nine of his other starts in that stretch! Greinke won the AL Cy Young award for KC back in 2019 (16-8, 2.16 ERA). He then won 129 games over a seven-year span (that's 18.4 per season) pitching for the Brewers, Dodgers, D'backs and Astros. He returned to KC for the 2022 season, signing a one-year, $13 million contract on March 16, 2022. He was the Royals' Opening Day starter this season, allowing just one ER over 5.2 innings in a 3-1 KC win (he settled for a no-decision). He then made another nine starts since Opening Day but remained winless, with the Royals going 3-6 in those starts. Greinke had been out since May 30 with a right flexor strain and it was clear that something was bothering him before he went on the IL. In his first six starts, he allowed three runs or less and pitched at least five innings, posting an ERA of 2.67. However, in his next four starts, he had an ERA of 9.50!
Greinke was activated on Friday after a four-week absence, and he allowed one run on three hits in six innings against the Oakland Athletics en route to a 3-1 win that night. "He looked great," Kansas City manager Mike Matheny said. "But he's looked great in so many outings this year when he didn't get the results. It was good to see the results match the execution. I expect another solid effort from Greinke here, as he helps KC avoid a home sweep at the hands of the Rangers. Texas has lost the last seven times Dunning has started. Make that EIGHT in a row after today's game!
Age: 67 (turns 68 in November).
Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 38th year as a professional handicapper in September of 2021.
Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.
A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.
Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."
Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.
Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET).
38-Club Play: It represents Larry's 38 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.
LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).
Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s).
Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s).
Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports).
PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price).
Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price).
Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!".
Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).
Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."