Big Al McMordie

At 1:50 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over High Point.  The Panthers were the 3rd-highest scoring team this season, with an offensive ppg of 89.9.  And that offensive average was 6.97 ppg better than the Badgers.  Unfortunately, double-digit dogs with offensive averages that rate 6.75+ points better than their foe have cashed just 28% over the last 28 years in the tourney.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points with Wisconsin.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Idaho.  The Cougars fell by five points in the Big 12 Title game to Arizona, while the Vandals are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak.  We'll take Houston to rebound off that loss, as the Cougars are 47-22-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, if Houston was not off 2+ ATS wins.  And Kelvin Sampson's men are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the tourney's opening round.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:25 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Penn.  The Illini have been installed as a big favorite vs. the Ivy League champs.  We'll lay the points as #3-seeded teams have gone 60-39-1 ATS in the first round off a loss in their previous game.  And the Illini are 74-52-1 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS conference loss.  Take Illinois.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over St. Mary's.  The Gaels have excelled in their West Coast Conference, going 110-30 SU and 77-61-2 ATS their last 140 conference games.  But they've struggled over the years in the Big Dance, with just a 7-11 SU record, and a 6-12 ATS mark.  And they're 0-4 ATS their last four.  The Aggies are 19-11 ATS their last 30 vs. non-conference foes, and they're 7-1 ATS their last eight as an underdog vs. non-conference foes.  Grab the points with A&M.

At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the BYU/Texas game.  In the post-season, games with O/U lines of 151+ points have gone UNDER 56.2%, and that's the way we'll look this evening in this Cougars/Longhorns match-up.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a system of mine which has cashed 69%.  Take the UNDER.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Howard.  The Wolves have been installed as a huge favorite vs. Howard, and we'll lay the points this evening.  Michigan is 16-9 ATS with coach Dusty May in non-conference games, including 8-2 ATS when laying 18+ points.  Take the Wolverines.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Miami comes into this game off a blowout loss at the hands of the Hornets, 136-106, which was Miami's 2nd straight loss.  Meanwhile, the Lakers have won 7 straight games after upsetting Houston last night, 124-116.  We'll roll with the Heat tonight, as they're 77-47-4 ATS off back to back losses, when playing a foe off a SU win.  And the Lakers are a wallet-busting 176-251 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses, when the Lakers were not off 2+ losses.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams + the points over North Carolina.  The ACC Conference has no doubt been the best basketball conference over the years.  But it has burned money in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.  And especially when its teams have been favored, as they've gone just 67-88-1 ATS since 1990.  North Carolina also falls into a negative 28.3% ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with Virginia Commonwealth.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:50 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers and High Point Panthers to go UNDER the total.  The oddsmakers have installed a relatively-high over/under number for this first round match-up.  We'll take the UNDER, as Wisconsin has gone 56.4% UNDER in the post-season.  And games with O/U lines in the 160s have gone 62.2% UNDER the total in the NCAA Tourney the last 11 seasons.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Troy.  The Cornhuskers have won 22 straight non-conference games.  And when not favored by more than 24 points, Nebraska is 16-3 ATS its last 19 non-conference games.  The Trojans were the #1 seed in the Sun Belt Tournament, but because of upsets in the Tournament's early rounds, were fortunate to not have to face a team with a winning conference record.  Troy defeated Southern Miss (the #8 seed) in the semi-finals, and Georgia Southern (the #10) seed in the title game.  Teams seeded #13 to #15 are a poor 43.2% ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take Nebraska.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls come into this game with the 8th-best scoring average, at 87.7 points per game.  Unfortunately, high-scoring teams that average 87.7 (or more) points per game have been bad bets in the Tourney.  Since 1990, they've cashed just 25%.  Take Louisville.

At 3:15 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over McNeese St.  The Commodores were upset by Arkansas in the SEC Conference final.  We'll lay the points with Vandy, as teams off upset losses in their conference title game have cashed 55.4% since 1990 vs. foes that won their conference tourney.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:15 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes come into this game on an 8-1 ATS run, while TCU is 7-2-1 ATS its last 10.  Certainly, both teams are playing well.  But we will fade the Buckeyes as a favorite, as it's 11-18-1 ATS its last 30 games when laying points, while TCU is 8-3 ATS its last 11 as an underdog.  And Ohio State also falls into a negative 23-58 ATS system of mine which goes against certain favorites.  Take TCU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.