Free Sports Picks of the Day

  Army works on ball control via a ground heavy attack. The Cadets average 364.7 ypd  via the rush this season. Meanwhile, the Green Wave despite of knowing what to expect are just  6-49 SU in their L/55 games when they allow 200 or more yards rushing including a recent loss to Navy 23-21. 

With that said, I'm betting on Army piling up at least 200 yards plus, and for Tulane to fail here in a letdown spot after playing Oklahoma last week while allowing the Sooners to score 42 straight points in a lopsided 56-14 home loss. 
 
TULANE is 6-17 ATS L/23  in home games after a loss by 28 or more points. 
 
CFB Home favorites like Tulane - quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after a loss by 17 or more points are just 25-58 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.  

Play on Army to cover

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -136)

We cashed in on the Cubs Friday and once again they knocked off the Brewers in extra innings. I'm going to keep riding Chicago, who has now 9 of their last 10 to take a commanding 5.5-game lead in the NL Central and reduced their magic number down to 4. I don't see this team relaxing until the job is done and their spot in the postseason is secured. Love the price with the Cubs here with Kyle Hendricks on the mound. Hendricks has really been throwing the ball well and has quietly put together another strong season with a 3.22 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 22 starts. He's not allowed more than 3 runs in a single start since returning from the DL on July 24th, a span of 11 straight starts. He's owned the Brewers with a 2.87 ERA in 14 career starts against them. That includes a strong outing earlier this month, where he limited Milwaukee to just 3 runs in 6 innings, only giving up 4 hits and striking out 7. Give me the Cubs -136! 

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#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Cleveland Browns won just one game all of last season and they're heading into Week 3 of the current season still eyeing their first win. The Indianapolis Colts are in the same spot after back-to-back losses to the Rams and the Cardinals, but I think the Browns will be the team to come out of this contest with the W.  

The Colts failed to hold onto a 13-3 fourth quarter lead in a tough 16-13 overtime home loss to the Cardinals last weekend. They'll once again be without QB Andrew Luck and his replacement Jacoby Brissett completed just 20-of-37 passes for 216 yards with no touchdowns and one interception against Arizona. They couldn't get their running game going either as the team amassed just a total of 76 yards on 29 carries Here they'll face a Cleveland D that has held two tough opponents in Pittsburgh and Baltimore to an average of 313.5 yards per game on the season.

The Browns actually outgained the Ravens 386-337 in last week's 24-10 defeat but gave away the ball way to easy and five turnovers ruined any chance of winning the game. Starting QB DeShone Kizer threw three picks before leaving the game with migraine, but I expect the rookie to be healthy for this game do much better. 

Cleveland has not been favored on the road since giving five points at Jacksonville back in 2014. The books have made the Browns a favorite here for a reason, and I'm backing the Browns to win outright. 

My free pick is on the Cleveland Browns.

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Washington State -28

This game is a complete mismatch. 

Washington State has one of the most unique and most threatening offenses in the nation. It's no secret what they'll look to do here against Nevada. Deep passes and quick pace should have this Wolfpack defense flustered as they've struggled all season long. 

Nevada enters Saturday giving up over 32 points per game and they've been torched by the pass game. 

On top of all that, Washington State's defense has actually stepped up some here through 3 games. They're only conceding 22 points per game, which is a rare sight for a Washington State team in the recent seasons. 

Some trends to note. Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. Cougars are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

The Cougars are not a team you want to mess with right now. 

Back Washington State.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB Free Pick Saturday Game #382: Tulane Green Wave (-) vs Army Black Knights @ Noon ET - Tulane head coach Willie Fritz has a history of doing well in the 2nd year of his stints throughout his coaching career. He already has the Green Wave looking improved early this season. Of course Tulane got rolled by Oklahoma last week as that was expected. What was impressive is that, in their prior game, the Green Wave did a great job against Navy's option attack and lost by just 2 points. Now Tulane faces an Army option attack that is not quite at the level of the Midshipmen. That said, look for the Green Wave to enjoy even more success here and improve to 2-0 at home on the year (beat Grambling in their season opener). Army is 2-1 this season but they barely outgained Buffalo even though they were favored by more than two TDs in that game. Also, Tulane has a scheduling edge with their bye week on deck. Even though this game could be viewed as a revenge game (Army lost at home by 3 to Tulane 2 years ago), the Green Wave actually had a huge lead in that game and the Black Knights were fortunate they even got back into that game. They won't be so fortunate here as they're on the road and the Green Wave should have QB Jonathan Banks back in the lineup. Army is 1-6 ATS as a dog of less than 5 points. Free Pick on Tulane minus the short number in very early action Saturday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

The SMU Mustangs have played better than anticipated early on and are in a very good situation on Saturday. Play On home team after they gained 6.25 or more yards a play in games two consecutive games, in a contest between two teams with five or less defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. In the past 24 years, teams like SMU are 24-4 ATS, 85.7%!

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1* play on the Cleveland Browns. The Colts let the Cardinals linger last week, eventually costing themselves the game in overtime 16-13. Cleveland will be able to establish the run, meaning Crowell should carry this game, the Browns defense should have no issues limiting the Colts.

Boilermakers +10

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Purdue Boilermakers have been one of the biggest surprises in football, and with the line moving to +10 I like the value in this game.

The Boilermakers come into this game with a 2-1 record, and their only loss came against the Louisville Cardinals, and that was only by seven points.

The Wolverines offense is no where near as good as the Cardinals, and if the Boilermakers could hold them 35 points, I think they will really be able to slow down the Wolverines in this game. 

Some trends to note. Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Back the Boilermakers +10

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NCAAF FREE WINNER: Michigan State.

Game 362.

5;00 pm pst.

Michigan State had a week off to rest and prepare as HC, Mark Dantonio has his defense playing stellar football, not allowing and offensive TD and leading FBS schools in 3rd down defense (10.7% conversion rate). In LY's, 36-28 win over the Irish, the Spartans held the ball for 37:57 and ran for 262 yards on the ground. Notre Dame faces a stout run defense and has a QB in Lewerke who is completing just 51.1% of his passes. The Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS their L4 games played vs. Big Ten teams and 0-8 ATS their L8 games played following an ATS win. The Spartans are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played at home and 4-1 ATS their L5 games played overall. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

I'm recommending a play on Arkansas State plus the points on Saturday afternoon. SMU put 36 points on the board against TCU last time out, but allowed 56.  The Mustangs have allowed TCU and North Texas to complete 56 of 77, 73% of their passes, for 789 yards, with 7 TDs and just 2 INTs.  The porous pass defense plays right into Arkansas State's strength, the passing game led by QB Justice Hansen.  The ASU signal caller has completed 71% of his passes on the season, averaging over 385 yards per game with 8 TDs and only 2 INTs. And while Arkansas State was cruising to an easy 45-point win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff, SMU was suffering the tough emotional and physical loss to TCU. SMU's defense ranks 117th against the pass and 104th in total yards allowed per game.  We had Arkansas State and cashed when they covered at Nebraska in their season opener.  We'll recommend them again this week.  Arkansas State plus the points.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Doc’s Sports NCAA Football Free Play. #409 Take UCLA Bruins over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN) Jim Mora is a very overrated coach but taking him aside UCLA may have better talent than that of the Cardinal. Stanford is coming off back-to-back losses including last Saturday night at San Diego State, a team from a Group of Five conference. I just do not believe they will be able to run a desperate Bruin team out of the building. Stanford is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. 68% of the money is coming in on the Bruins as the spread in this game continues to drop. Doc’s Sports nailed both of their top plays in football last week including a BLOWOUT Nonconference Game of the Year winner behind Wisconsin destroying BYU. Jump on board our top plays this week and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Bulldogs vs Bulldogs Free Pick September 23, 2017.

The Georgia Bulldogs are asked to cover seven points at home versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs this week. It could be hard for Georgia to cover here with a backup quarterback and only one of their top two running backs healthy. Sony Michel didn't play last week, and his status for this game is unclear. What is clear is that Mississippi State shut down the high powered rushing attack of LSU last week, and if they can slow Georgia's running game, this should be close. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday is on the Colorado Buffalos

Washington has dominated the series of late but Colorado played the Huskies tough in last year's Pac-12 championship game. In fact, it was 14-7 at the half with the Buffs getting the kickoffs before two second-half picks opened the floodgates. Both 3-0s are meaningless as each team opened the year with cupcakes but the Buffalo run defense is especially tough and new QB Montez does not make mistakes or turn the ball over like his predecessor Lifau. Colorado is 6-3 L9 as a home dog and the program as a whole is still on the upswing. Grab the points.

World Champion Jeff Allen was the No.2 football handicapper on this network in 2016, and the No.2 NFLX handicapper on the network this year. Allen is off a monster week 5-1 week in the NFL and his NFL totals dating back to August 9th are now on a 14-2 run after winner on the Lions/Giants Under last night. Allen is a 30+ year industry icon and you just don't last that long unless you win. 

DMack's Free Play for Saturday, September 23, 2017, is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 

Wake has been almost perfect in its first three wins that came but an aggregate score of 141-27. They've dominated their three opponents by better than 188 ypg. Going into last week, App State had been on a 28-6 straight up run with three of the losses coming to Georgia, Miami, and Tennessee. Last week we saw the big reason for concern as the Mounties (-22.5) were outgained by the lowly Texas State and had to stop the Bobcats on the final play of the game to preserve a 23-13 win. Wake is 7-1 ATS with suitcase last eight while App State is just 1-9 ATS in its L10. These schools are separated by just 92 miles so there should be a pretty good contingent of Deac fans on hand to support these white hot Deacons. Lay it.

After going 85-57 in college football last year, No.3 on the network and 164-106 in all football No.1, the Mack Attack is 16-10 No.9 this year and is on a current 12-5 run in college football. This is going to be a monster week where I will be playing 20-25 plays between Thursday and Monday. We're going to make a ton, BET ON IT!

Take the Jacksonville Jaguars (#462)

Teddy nailed his Big Ticket winner last Saturday.  On Sunday, he cashed a SU underdog winner on with his Big Ticket Report. On Monday, Teddy delivered another 'right side' winner on the Lions; doing what he's done so consistently -- making $$ for himself and his clients in the NFL!  Don’t miss a single top rated winner all weekend long!

Joe Flacco missed all of preseason; one of many injured veterans for the Ravens in August.  Baltimore lost nearly a dozen guys to IR in training camp, losing key bodies on both sides of the football.  Flacco has looked rusty, with only 338 passing yards through two games.  And he hasn’t been tested – the ravens have not yet trailed this season.  The Ravens, as a team, have only one explosive play on offense through two games. They’ve rushed for under four yards per carry.  And now the key to their offensive line, six time pro bowler Marshall Yanda, has been placed on injured reserve after breaking his ankle last week.

Yanda’s injury cannot be overstated.  With him gone, this team is now without three of their five OL starters from last year, as well as their top two backups from a season ago.  This would be a problem for any offense.  It matters even more with a QB and skill position talent that don’t have much familiarity with one another after the barrage of August injuries. 

And for all the success the Ravens have had with their 2-0 SU and ATS start, let’s not forget two things.  First, Baltimore has generated 10 turnovers.  No other team has more than five.  Every team looks good and covers spreads when they are +7 in turnovers over a two game span.

Secondly, John Harbaugh is not a ‘let’s lay points with him’ kind of coach, especially on the highway.  The Ravens have been feisty underdogs for years under Harbaugh.  However, they’ve got a grand total of one pointspread cover in their last eight tries as favorites away from home dating back to 2014; failing repeatedly in this role.  I’ve got Harbaugh as 3-10 ATS in his last 13 tries laying more than a field goal on any field, and all three of those covers have come against the same team – Cleveland.

The defense Baltimore is facing this week is no joke.  Say what you want about Blake Bortles (yes, I know Bortles sucks, but I think the Jags can cover in spite of him), Jacksonville’s stop unit is the best one the Ravens have seen this year.  Offseason acquisition Calais Campbell has been a pass rushing force, who’s veteran leadership has been “off the charts” according to head coach Doug Marrone.  Free agent signee AJ Bouye gives them a stud cornerback duo with last year’s #1 pick Jalen Ramsey, on the other side.  This defense finished #4 in the NFL in yards per play allowed last year.  They dominated the game at Houston in Week 1.  And they kept the Titans out of the end zone until the second half last week before finally wearing down late. 

The Jags play in London every year.  They won their London game in 2015.  They won their London game last year, developing a following in the UK and at least some semblance of a home field edge at Wembley.  This is the first ever game that the Ravens have played outside the continental US.  Put it all together and the Jags catching more than a field goal are a clear choice for this bettor.  Take the Jaguars.

I watched all of the Rice Houston game and was thoroughly unimpressed with the Owls. Their offense was stale and their defense got gashed. The team will be without their starting QB and one of their better weapons Sam Stewart. The team's one win came at UTEP which says more about the Miners then it does about Rice. FIU has had extra time to prepare for this one after their 17-10 win over Alcorn State. Let's be honest, they aren't that great either, but they are healthier and feature a little more talent. 

Georgia -4.5 1.1% Free Play (63% career ATS backing Georgia) - 15-3-1 ATS RUN on Free Picks! 

I’ll give the play at the top of the podcast and it’s on Georgia -4.5 between the hedges for our free play of the week.  This is the most interesting match up of the week and I’m going to fade the hype of Miss State who just last week shocked LSU in their own building 37-7.  I’m not overreacting.  That was a massive coaching advantage for Miss State with Dan Mullen over Ed Orgeron as sad as it is to say.

In this game Kirby Smart has his best Georgia team and the last time he faced off against a good Miss State offense he did so as the DC at Alabama.  They went on the road and held Dak Prescott, another mobile QB to just 89 yards rushing and 6 total points.  This time a rested Georgia team hosts Miss State who just played a tough SEC game and is in a hang over spot, but let’s look at the match up a little more anyway.

For Miss State to win they must run the ball.  Last year in their losses they averaged 2.31 ypc less compared to their wins.  Nick Fitzgerald is getting some help this year from Aeris Williams who is averaging over 7 yards per carry, but this team had a very misleading victory at Louisiana Tech the week before and I expect some struggles getting that running game going this week.

Georgia defensively returns 10 starters this was a team that held Notre Dame and a mobile QB in Winbush to just 55 yards running and they did that on the road!  Notre Dame’s offense has been great against everyone else and just ran for 515 yards last week against a usual stout Boston College defense.  I believe that Miss State will have to win with the arm of Nick Fitzgerald and I don’t like his chances on the road where doesn’t have nearly as good of numbers particularly in the SEC road games where he only eclipsed a 101 QB rating once and it came against a bad pass defense in Ole Miss.  How bad is a 101 QB Rating? Illinois, last year ranked 124th in college football for the season with a 101.4 QB rating.  Fitzgerald on the road has a 107 QB rating.  Vanderbilt ranked 116th in the nation a year ago with 107 QB rating.

Georgia’s offense is not lighting it up and that may be where most of you feel comfortable with 4.5 points if you are leaning towards Miss State’s side.  A few things to look at here.  Much like Miss State Georgia must run the ball to win behind their senior RB’s Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who are both having great years so far as this offense is averaging 230 yards rushing per game.  Just so you know since 2008, Georgia is 38-4 when rushing for over 200 yards.  Miss State’s defense allowed 5.16 ypc in SEC play a year ago and allowed 200+ in 3 of their 4 road games.  Now they held LSU in check, but LSU ran it just 29 times and both of their RB’s averaged over 5 yards per carry.  I also think Jake Fromm is flying under the radar he seems to be a major upgrade over Eason.  He makes quick decisions and it has benefited the running game.

At the end of the day both teams have impressive wins against premier programs Notre Dame and LSU while also defeating some very good group of 5 teams Louisiana Tech & Appalachian State.  It should be a fun game, but I see Georgia winning this one by 7-10 points at least.

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Cleveland Browns -1.5

The Cleveland Browns are clearly improved this season despite their 0-2 start.  They were competitive against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Ravens.  They were only outgained by four total yards in those two games combined, so statistically they hung right with them.

The problem with the Browns thus far has been turnovers and special teams mistakes.  They committed five turnovers against the Ravens, yet still had numbers chances to cover the spread as 8-point dogs in a 14-point loss.  They only lost by 3 to the Steelers, and the difference in that game was a punt block that was returned for a TD by the Steelers.

Now the Browns will be motivated for a rare victory here against arguably the worst team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are 0-2 and haven't even been competitive despite playing weaker competition.  They were outgained by 148 yards in their 9-46 loss to the Rams.  Then they were outgained by a depleted Cardinals team by 123 yards last week in a game they did not deserve to go to overtime against.  That games was a bigger blowout than the final score. The Rams and Cardinals aren't as good as the Steelers and Ravens, which is a key points here.

The Browns have the better defense, and it's not really even close.  They are giving up just 313 yards per game and 5.3 per play thus far, while the Colts are allowing 381 yards per game and 6.1 per play.  The Browns are averaging 311 yards per game and 5.3 per play on offense, so they have moved the ball fine.  The Colts are only averaging 245 yards per game and 4.4 per play.  So the Browns are basically dead even in yards per game and yards per play on the season, while the Colts are getting outgained by 136 yards per game and 1.7 yards per play.

Indianapolis is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games.  Plays on road teams (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 51-24 (68%) ATS since 1983.  The Browns are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Bet the Browns Sunday.

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Free Pick on Army/Tulane UNDER

It's common knowledge that Army runs the triple-option offense, but some people might not be as familiar with the option attack at Tulane, which was installed last year under new head coach Willie Fritz. Any time you have two option teams facing each other, chances are it's going to be a low scoring game. 

One of the reasons it is so effective against other teams, is they just don't practice that much for it. For these two teams, they see it all the time in practice. They know the gap responsibilities and assignments that other teams struggle with. That should lead to a lot of long clock-eating drives that really shorten the game and make it difficult to score a lot of points. 

Neither of these teams will be abandoning the run here. Tulane ranks 126th in passing at just 103.3 ypg and Army is way back at 130th averaging just 12.0 ypg. 

Note that Tulane played a good Navy option offense earlier this season and that won finished with 44 points. That was with a rare 79-yard TD pass from Navy, a non-offensive TD by both teams and a safety. The actual offenses in that game were responsible for a mere 27-points. If we can avoid a bunch of fluke scores with defensive returns TDs, this total should stay well below the mark set by the books. Take UNDER! 

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This line here is solely based on performance alone.  There is no doubt Baylor will be up for this game even though they are 0-3.  Sooners come in as a very public team no doubt about it this week as they have covered every game and have the biggest win of the football season so far beating Ohio St.

The GOY line that Vegas releases in the summer had Oklahoma has 8 point favorites.  Now, in just 3 weeks they have adjusted their line 20 points.  The value is just too big to pass up here.  With this big of line even if the Sooners are blowing them out, it still leaves for a great back door chance.  I think Baylor will give great effort here and cover this large number.

Write up coming soon

Play - NC State (Game 321).

Edges - Wolfpack 6-1 ATS in Game Four; and 5-1 ATS away following consecutive home games… Seminoles: 1-4 ATS Game Two… With college football teams just 2-7 SUATS in Game Two when facing a foe in its 4th game of the season, including g0-3 SUATS as a favorite, we recommend a 1* play on NC State.  Thank you and good luck as always.

> If you enjoyed Marc’s Saturday Night Special Top Of The Ticket play with Oklahoma over Ohio State last week, and Mississippi State over LSU last Saturday, you’ll love this Saturday Night Special 10* Top Of The Ticket Play this week.  It’s backed with an amazing winning angle inside the game that has NEVER LOST the money. Hurry, get it now, you’ll be glad you did!

Chip's Top-3 NCAA Best Bets

Chip Chirimbes, 'the Big Game Player,' Las Vegas Hilton Champion and 7-time College Handicapping Champion is off Saturday's 5-2 ATS winners including his 'Highest-Rated' A-Play Game of the Month winner Memphis (+3) 44-41 OUTRIGHT over UCLA. Receive his Top-3 including his 'Highest-Rated' A-Play 'Money Game' winner between Central Florida and Maryland, Chip's Vegas Hotline Best Bet between San Diego State and Air Force and his Power Play winner between Penn State and Iowa. Get it ALL NOW! Chip's Top-3 Best Bet winners for only $99.

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Texas Christian at Oklahoma State 3:30 ET

Horned Frogs (+) over Cowboys- Let me start by saying last season Oklahoma State took down TCU 31-6 and the Frogs crocked early. Now, both teams are 3-0 but you could never confuse the two as the Cowboys with their high flying offense who scored on their first seven possessions against Pittsburgh last week are waiting for TCU's defense orientated clubs led by coach Gary Peterson. As an underdog in double digits he is 10-2 ATS and he will have to find a way to stop Mason Rudolph who averages 378 yards in three quarters. Conference opener...tough football. Take TCU! 

*3 Star Free Pick* The Georgia Bulldogs host the Mississippi Bulldogs on Saturday night in a big SEC showdown. Mississippi State is coming off a massive 37-7 shellacking of LSU. That was a game that got everyone's attention. 

There's a couple reasons why I think that game makes Mississippi State's road to a potential cover more difficult here. First, they are obviously feeling really good about themselves right now. Mississippi State celebrated for a couple days after that win, and it would be hard to not have some kind of letdown. Second, Mississippi State isn't going to sneak up on anyone after that kind of performance. They'll get the other teams best effort.

The public is buying into Mississippi State in a big way. 65% of bets are on Mississippi State here and that has driven this number down. 

Georgia has a very strong defense, and the Bulldogs running game is elite. Mississippi State relies a lot on one player (Fitzgerald). 

Maybe Mississippi State is just a lot better than I think, but this is a terrible spot for them. They have to prove it to me.

Take Georgia and lay the short number.

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My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over UMass at 12 noon et on Saturday.

The Vols suffered a heartbreaking loss on the final play of the game in Gainesville last week but I see this as an excellent ‘get right’ matchup against a UMass squad we’ve kept a close eye on so far this season.

After successfully fading the Minutemen with Old Dominion two weeks ago we switched gears and backed them last week on the road against Temple. It’s time to zig-zag again this week as they take a big step up in class against Tennessee.

I expected the UMass offense to bust out against Temple last week but that never really happened. Meanwhile, the Minutemen defense was pedestrian at best and obviously won’t find the going any easier this Saturday.

We’re being asked to lay a steep price with the Vols, but it’s warranted in my opinion. Take Tennessee (10*).

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Oregon -14.5

Here's a stat for ya.  Oregon has scored exactly 42 points in the first half of each of their first three games against Southern Utah, Nebraska and Wyoming.  It's safe to say their offense is back under Willie Taggart.  They have looked as good as almost anyone in the country up to this point.  Holding potential #1 draft pick Josh Allen and Wyoming to just 13 points and 183 total yards last week shows that their defense is much improved under new coordinator Jim Leavitt.  Arizona State hasn't looked good any any of its three games.  It only won by 6 against New Mexico State as 26-point favorites.  The Sun Devils then lost at home to San Diego State by 10 as favorites, and lost by 7 at Texas Tech.  The Sun Devils have been outgained by nearly 100 yards per game.  Their defense has been shredded for 37.7 points and 505 yards per game thus far, and it won't get any easier against this high-powered Ducks attack this week.

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With a strong offense and a good, solid O-Line, that, in support of a great defense, makes Oklahoma State very tough to handle. The Cowboys will come out victorious in this big matchup between 2 ranked teams. Oklahoma State has attacked opponents front 7 with tenacity and vigor. Justice Hill has a team high 250 rushing YDs - which is going to be very hard to overcome for TCU when trying to stop them from running the ball. Oklahoma State just has far too much talent in their backfield for TCU to stop all game long.

The offense of TCU is in great shape, but, I'd argue they have not faced a defense like OSU is bringing to the table. At the top end of the NCAA, and 49.0 /game - those are numbers tat have me a little concerned for the Cowboys D, but still not enough. In fact QB, Kenny Hill has put up one special game vs Southern Methodist - but otherwise, nothing to be really too concerned about for the Cowboys. What makes this game even tougher, is how the Cowboys LBs pick up backs in the slot - and offensively, the Cowboys are a nightmare with their backfield options.

Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and most of their starters haven't even played in the 4th Q of any of their games.  Look for a BLOWOUT here in this one.

No comment

The Tigers are off an impressive nationally televised win at Louisville. Prior to that, they'd beaten Auburn. Now 3-0 SU/ATS, they're being asked to lay a ton of points. Off those back-to-back "big" wins and with another "high profile" game at V-Tech on deck, I believe that the Tigers may be ripe for a minor emotional letdown here. Not enough to cost them the game, just enough to prevent them from covering the inflated number. Off a blowout loss against ND and having been hammered by the Tigers last season, the Eagles are going to be doing everything they can to avoid a repeat performance. Consider grabbing the generous points with Boston College. 

Free Play on Texas A&M -2½ -115

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Tulsa -11.5

The Key: The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have made big strides under head coach Philip Montgomery.  Their loss at Oklahoma State in the opener doesn't look so bad now.  They went on to beat UL Lafayette by 24 in Week 2, a UL Lafayette team that led Texas A&M 21-14 on the road at halftime last week.  And then Tulsa only lost 51-54 on the road at Toledo as 7-point dogs.  Most have picked Toledo to win the MAC this season.  New Mexico had one of the best seasons in program history last year.  But they were clearly going to take a step back this year with only 10 starters back, including 3 on defense.  And they've opened 1-2 with their only win over Abilene Christian.  They were upset 28-30 at home by New Mexico State in Week 2, then they were fortunate to cover as 17-point dogs in a 14-28 loss at Boise State last week.  They scored a TD in garbage time in the closing minutes.  That's a Boise team that was just blasted at home 24-43 by Virginia last night.  The key handicap here is that New Mexico is down to 3rd-string QB Coltin Gerhart due to injuries to their top 2 starters.  Well, Gerhart is not a runner, so that completely destroys the Lobos' option attack.  They'll have to get out of their comfort zone and throw the ball more this week.  Take Tulsa.

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Free Play on TCU +14 -115

This game features the 2-0 Broncos and the 1-1 Bills. I love fading teams from the west coast playing at 1pm and will do so today. The Bills are off a tough road loss and the Broncos have a huge division clash with the Raiders on deck. I expect the Broncos to come out slow and this to be a tough game that comes down to a FG either way love the points here. Bills are 8-2 80% ATS when getting less then 250 years in their previous game. 82% of the public have bet the road Broncos making me love the Bills even more. Bills win outrite but take the points for a 15* winner. ***BE SURE TO CHECK OUT CHASE'S HUGE 20* PLAYS SUNDAY HE IS 20-8 68% ON NFL SIDE PLAYS SINCE 12/26/16***