Free Sports Picks of the Day
Browse all available free picks, predictions and matchup analysis for current in-season sports below.
The selections here are complimentary plays posted daily from sports betting and handicapping experts.
These picks are a secondary addition to a handicapper’s stronger releases and best bets of the day.
Saturday, December 5, 2020
Recommended Bet: Eintracht Frankfurt +300
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Rutgers +11.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise in the Big Ten now that Greg Schiano is back where he started. He actually had a lot of experience and talent to work with coming in and he is getting the most out of it in his first year back. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-4 SU but 4-2 ATS and have been competitive in every game. They covered against Ohio State, lost by 16 to Indiana, lost by 3 to Illinois and lost in triple overtime to Michigan. They also upset Michigan State on the road as 9-point dogs and upset Purdue on the road as 13-point dogs. And now they will give Penn State a run for its money Saturday. The Nittany Lions are in a lost season after their 0-5 start this year. They were able to get up for Michigan last week and finally get their first win, and I think they will relax after that victory. The Scarlet Knights will be the hungrier team here wanting to prove that they are no longer the little brother to Penn State. And this is their best chance to get it done. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off an ATS win. The Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Penn State is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after playing its last game on the road. Take Rutgers.
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1* CFB - BYU/C Carolina *FREE PICK* on BYU -10
It's been an amazing run for Coastal Carolina in 2020. The Chanticleers have come out of nowhere to start the season 9-0 and ranked inside the Top 20 at No. 18. They also have a lot of fun doing it, as Coastal has some epic postgame celebrations.
I just think the party stops on Saturday against BYU. The Cougars also come in at 9-0, but are a pissed off bunch being ranked just No. 13. This team wants to be in the playoff talk. I don't think they can do enough to get in, but you can bet they are going to try. BYU isn't just going into this game to win, they want to embarrass the Chanticleers.
I got a feeling they are going to do just that. What makes Coastal Carolina so good is their ability to control the clock with their run game. They also have a very unique offense that I think is built to exploit some of the lessor teams they face. I don't think much is going to work against BYU. The Cougars got an outstanding defensive line that should have their way. On the flip side of this, BYU has too much fire-power on offense for the Chanticleers to contain. BET BYU -10!
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #389 Fresno State Bulldogs over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 FS1) Nevada has never been a strong team as a big favorite evident by their straight-up loss to Hawaii last week on the Island. Now they must make a long trip back to Reno and face a rested Fresno State team that has not played a game since November 14. The metrics do not line up with Nevada’s 5-1 record, as they have yet to face a strong offense this entire season. We will grab the points in this game that will likely go down to the wire. Fresno State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Nevada. The road team is also 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. Get in on the football and basketball winners now and let 49 years of handicapping experience work for you.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Colorado -7
The Colorado Buffaloes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this season against three quality opponents in UCLA, Stanford and San Diego State. There has been nothing fluky about this start either as the Buffaloes are outgaining those three teams by 66.4 yards per game. Their defense has been really solid in yielding only 343.3 yards per game. And now they face the 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS Arizona Wildcats. The struggles for the Wildcats extend back to last year too as they are now 0-10 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. And things just got worse when starting QB Grant Gunnell went out with a shoulder injury against UCLA last week. It was all over from there as backup QB Will Plumber looked like a deer in headlights. He completed only 17 of 35 passes for 151 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Gunnell has an injury to his throwing shoulder and is unlikely to play this week. The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Give me Colorado.
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PICK - Miami/Duke OVER 60
I'm confident we are going to see more than enough scoring in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Miami to push this game well past the total of 60. The Blue Devils defense is broken. In their last two games they have given up 56 to UNC and 56 to Georgia Tech.
Both games Duke gave up well over 300 yards rushing. The Tar Heels racked up 338 on the ground and the Yellow Jackets went off for 377. There's been 3 games in ACC play were Miami has rushed for 160 or more yards and in those 3 games they scored no fewer than 44 points. It just opens up the offense when they can pick up big plays on the ground. I see no reason not to expect at least 40 from Miami in this one.
That means all we need is for Duke to score 20 points. Something they have done in each of their last 6 games. Miami's defense is solid, but far from dominant, especially on the road. Hurricanes are giving up just 24.8 ppg on the season, despite allowing 35.3 ppg on the road. They also go from giving up 390 ypg to allowing 460 ypg.
OVER has cashed in 11 of Miami's last 15 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more. OVER has also hit in 11 of Duke's last 16 at home and 11 of their last 15 off a loss by 20 or more. Give me the OVER 60!
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: BYU -10
The BYU Cougars (9-0) came out in the 13th position in the playoff rankings this week. But now they have a chance to make a statement against unbeaten Coastal Carolina (9-0) and move up even further. I expect them to take full advantage of this opportunity after Liberty had to back out of their game with the Chanticleers due to Covid-19 reasons.
The Cougars are just better everywhere here and should roll to victory. They are 4th in the country in scoring (47.6 PPG) and total offense (538.3 YPG) this season. They are led by Heisman hopeful Zach Wilson at quarterback. He is completing 74.3% of his passes for 2,724 yards with a 26-to-2 TD/INT ratio. He has also rushed for eight scores on the ground.
This BYU defense is also legit. The Cougars rank 4th in the country in scoring defense (13.9 PPG) and 6th in total defense (292.7 YPG). They will be the bigger, more physical team on both sides of the line of scrimmage, which will allow them to control the game.
Coastal Carolina has been a great story this season and will be going to the Sun Belt Championship Game with the work they have done thus far. But they are in over their heads here. They would have been way better off facing Liberty and were favored to improve to 10-0. But this is a much tougher challenge here against a BYU team hungry to make their case for the four-team playoff. The Chanticleers were preparing to face Liberty all week, and now they only have a couple days to get ready for BYU. That’s a very tall task.
The Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. BYU is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games overall. The Chanticleers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs. The Cougars come in rested having last played on November 21st and they’ll be ready to roll. Bet BYU Saturday.
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Saturday card has our 7* 2020 College Football Game of the year headlining a big College card that also has a TIER 1 Going early and Top Level NCAAB and Soccer. Comp play below.
The College Football comp play is on Coast Carolina at 5:30 eastern. Coastal fits a nice 15-4 system here for late season home dogs that are undefeated. Coastal to their credit is playing an also undefeated BYU team after their big game with Liberty was canceled. Coastal is 6-1 ats off a win of 20 or more and 9-1 ats after allowing 20 or less. BYU just 1-5 ats in December games. Coastal Carolina will be more motivated as a 10 point dog in this game than they would have been as a 10 point favorite over Liberty. The Chanticleers have the defense and offense to stay with BYU Here. Take the points. On Saturday we have our 2020 7* College Football game of the Year and an executive Level TIER 1 along with NCAAB and Soccer. For the Comp play. Take the points with Coastal Carolina. Rob V- GC Sports.
Dec 05, 2020Saturday142020CSTCBYUhome10.061.5
Play - Houston Texans (Game 456).
Edges - Texans: QB Deshaun Watson 11-1 ATS as dog versus sub .750 opponents; and 5-1 ATS after playing on Thursday … Colts: 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS away versus sub .500 foes … We recommend a 1* play on Houston. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Texas.
9:00 am pst.
Every “square” or I should say, the general public are taking Kansas State this week to upend Texas. No doubt, one of this year’s early seasons pleasant surprises was the success of the Kansas State Wildcats. They began the campaign losing outright to Arkansas State as a 15.5-point favorite. Well folks, as the general public does, they judged a team from their previous week’s performance and the whole world bet against them the next several weeks as they face Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and TCU. All teams better on paper and on the field. Well, guess what? Kansas State easily handled all three foes and then put the cherry on top decimating Kansas by 41 points. Well we the watched as the general public unloaded on the Wildcats over the next month as they split out ATS, going 2-2. However, they slid to 0-4 SU.
Now everyone feels they are going to cover this week. Why? After a three-game SU win streak, Texas just lost a squeaker to the conference’s top team, Iowa State.
Yes, these two teams have played close games the last few years but Sam Ehlinger and the 30th ranked Longhorns passing attack will shred the 99th ranked pass defense of the Wildcats. Look for the improved Texas “D” to slow down the K State, which has been erratic over the last month. Lay the TD with the hotter Texas here folks. Take Texas. Thank you.
Denver is 4-7 overall and 1-3 over its last four.
Kansas City is 10-1 and while the Chiefs have a tricky game in Miami next weekend, a 15-1 regular-season record is now very possible, with a game at New Orleans after that, followed by home games against Atlanta and the Chargers to finish off.
Denver had to have practice squad wide receiver Kendall Hinton take over at quarterback in last week's 31-3 home loss to , because starter Drew Lock, backup Brett Rypien and practice squad player Blake Bortles were designated as close-contact risks after third-string quarterback Jeff Driskel tested positive for COVID-19.
Royce Freeman had 50 yards on eight carries for the Broncos in the loss. Noah Fant caught the only pass for 13 yards.
Now, I do expect Denver to have a much better offensive game today with one of their starters back under center, but how could they not? It was an overall disappointment last week that the NFL even allowed that Denver game to be played, but now with little hope at making the playoffs, I think the Broncos will simply go through the motions today.
The Chiefs are 10-1 and they're clearly the "better" team in every respect. I don't foresee a letdown here, rather I look for Kansas City to go up early and then to control the clock after that, limit mistakes and injuries and get ready for next week's road contest.
Situationally I think this one definitely sets up as a lower-scoring affair.
But also note Ali that Denver has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 18 on the road.
And finally, note that the under has hit in four of these team's last five in the series overall as well.
Consider the under in this one!
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Bowling Green plus the points over Akron at 2 pm et on Saturday.
I'm not sure that Akron has any business laying points, regardless the opponent. We actually cashed a ticket with Bowling Green against Buffalo earlier this season. The Falcons are certainly mired in a tough MAC campaign but I believe their defense has enough upside to rise to the occasion against a bad Zips squad on Saturday afternoon. Note that Akron QB Zach Gibson has thrown five interceptions and been sacked a whopping 18 times through four games this season. RB Teon Dollard went off for 200+ yards rushing and four touchdowns against Kent State two weeks ago but then disappeared completely against Miami-Ohio last Saturday. Bowling Green QB Matt McDonald was banged up in his last game but is probable to start against the Zips. As I noted in my analysis of the Falcons against Buffalo earlier this season, McDonald does have familiarity with the offense from his days with coach Scot Loeffler at Boston College. In what should be an ugly Saturday affair, I'll grab the points with BGSU. Take Bowling Green (8*).
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