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Free Sports Picks of the Day

Below is a list of free picks, predictions and game analysis for today and this week (in all sports) released by top handicapping experts. These free plays just missed qualifying for the best possible selection of premium sports picks.

Saturday, December 16, 2017

Brandon Lee

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 4:05 PM in 1d
NFL | Rams vs Seahawks
Play on: Rams +2½ -109 at betonline
Game Analysis

10* FREE NFL PICK (Rams +2.5)

I would have to lean towards taking Los Angeles and the points in this one. As much respect as I have for Seattle and how well they play at home, especially this time of year, I think they are battling too many injuries right now. Prior to last week’s game at Jacksonville, they were already down three big time defensive players in Richard Sherman (CB), Kam Chancellor (S) and Cliff Avril (DE).

Against the Jags, Bobby Wagner (LB) had to leave with a hamstring injury and K.J. Wright (LB) was forced out with a concussion. I have a hard time seeing Wagner play and if he does he won’t be 100%. As for Wright, he's listed as doubtful. 

As loud and as crazy as the home crowd will be, I don’t think it will be enough to help this defense slow down this high-powered Rams offensive attack. Keep in mind Seattle had their fair share of troubles against this Rams offense in the first meeting and at that point only Avril had been lost on defense.

The other big key here for me is I don’t like how the Seahawks offensive line matches up with this Rams talented defensive front. Seattle’s inability to keep LA’s defensive linemen out of their backfield is why they have struggled so much against this team. In the last 4 meetings against the Rams, the Seahawks are averaging just 15 ppg. Keep in mind Seattle went up against a similarly strong defensive front last week and Wilson had three interceptions and was sacked twice. Wilson only threw for 198 yards in the first meeting with LA.

Seahawks home field edge also hasn’t all that great against good teams, as they are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Rams +2.5!

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 04:40 pm

Andre Ramirez

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 8:25 PM in 20h
NFL | Chargers vs Chiefs
Play on: OVER 46 -110
Game Analysis

NFL 100 DIME TOTALS GOM

46 OVER

The Chargers just bumped their winning streak to four in a row last week with a 30-13 victory over Washington. Los Angeles jumped out to a 13-0 first-quarter lead, let the Redskins get within 13-6 then scored the next 17 points of the game, on its way toward an easy cover of a six-point spread.

On the day, the Chargers outgained Washington 488-201, made 24 first downs, compared to nine for the Redskins, won the ground battle 174-65 and ground out a 35-25 time of possession advantage.

So Los Angeles has now outgained each of its last four opponents, three of them by 130 yards and more. The Chargers are also 7-2 both SU and ATS over their last nine games.

At 7-6 overall, Los Angeles is tied for the lead in the AFC West with the Chiefs but does not own the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Chargers also trail 7-6 Buffalo by a tiebreaker in the battle for the second AFC wild-card spot. So this game is crucial for Los Angeles.

This game will be shootout, but I like the Chargers to pull the victory here. Chargers 34-23. Lay the money on the over.

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 08:30 pm

Doug Upstone

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Bengals vs Vikings
Play on: UNDER 42 -110
Game Analysis

After an all-out effort on Monday night against Pittsburgh and still coming up short, Cincinnati fans probably wanted a refund after the Bengals were a no-show in ugly home whipping by Chicago. With no playoffs and Marvin Lewis probably done as the Cincinnati head coach, the Bengals are not likely to find many points against the NFL's No.3 scoring defense. Plus, Minnesota is even better at home, ranked first and conceding just 13.8 PPG. Coming off a loss to Carolina and having Green Bay on deck, I am not sure we will see Minnesota's A-Game. With Cincy 13-3 UNDER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, let's back the lower score. 

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Pick Released on Dec 15 at 08:10 pm

Chip Chirimbes

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 2:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Western Kentucky
Play on: Georgia State +7 -130 at GTBets
Game Analysis

Chip's Top-3 Bowl Best Bets

Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion Chip Chirimbes 7-time College Football Handicapping Champion has been labeled a 'Bowl-Wizard' by the media and is 7-1 86% with his last eight NCAA releases including his Megabucks winner with Army (+3) 14-13 OUTRIGHT over Navy. Chip and is now a documented 24-7-1 76% with his 'last 32 NCAA releases in 2017.This Saturday, receive Chip's 'Highest-Rated' Las Vegas Bowl winner between Oregon and Boise State, his New Mexico Bowl winner between Marshall and Colorado State and the New Orleans Bowl winner between North Texas and Troy. Get it ALL NOW! Chip's Top-3 Best Bet Bowl winners for only $99.

Chip's FREE Bowl winner

Cure Bowl Sat. 2:30 ET

Western Kentucky vs Georgia State

Panthers (+) over Hilltoppers- Neither of these clubs made a profit this season as Georgia State was just 4-7 ATS and WKY was even worse going 3-9 ATS and 1-5 ATS on the road. The Panthers enter off two losses and return to the Cure Bowl after a year absence. Take GEORGIA STATE!

Chip's Saturday NFL Megabucks (SD/KC)

Chip Chirimbes, Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion and 'Big Game Player' was 2-1 67% with his NFL Best on Sunday including his 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks winner with Jacksonville (-2) 30-24 over Seattle. Saturday, Chip is posting his 'Top-Rated' Megabucks Best Bet winner between San Diego and Kansas City. Receive this Winner only $49!

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 05:20 pm

Jack Jones

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 4:30 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Marshall vs Colorado State
Play on: Colorado State -3½ -105 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Colorado State -3.5 

The Colorado State Rams were expected to compete for a Mountain West title this season with all they had returning.  But they failed to live up to expectations.  They went just 7-5 in the regular season for a third consecutive year, and now Mike Bobo’s job is perhaps on the line. 

There’s no question the Rams will be motivated.  They have lost three straight bowl games overall, including the last two in the favorite role.  They lost as 15-point favorites to Idaho last year as they failed to show up.  This senior-laden team will want to get their first taste of a bowl victory in this one. 

I also think Colorado State is undervalued after losing three of its final four games to close out the season. But one of those losses was a 52-59 (OT) loss to Boise State in which they blew a 24-point lead.  That 52-point effort just shows the kind of firepower this offense has against a very good Boise State defense. 

Senior QB Nick Stevens wants to try to impress NFL scouts one last time.  He leads a potent Colorado State offense that will be the best unit on the field Saturday.  The Rams average 501 yards per game and 6.7 per play.  They have a balanced attack with 211 rushing yards per game and 5.2 per carry, as well as 290 passing yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.  I believe they simply outscore Marshall here. 

I also like the fact that Colorado State is familiar with the field for the New Mexico Bowl.  The Rams beat the Lobos 27-24 in New Mexico earlier this season.  They are used to the altitude, while Marshall is not.  They will also have a lot more fans there as it’s a much shorter trip for Colorado State fans than Marshall fans. 

Marshall feasted on an easy early schedule to get off to a 6-1 start.  But the Thundering Herd came back down to earth down the stretch against some better competition.  They went just 1-4 in their final five games.  Now they have a laundry list of injuries and possible suspensions, most notably on the offensive and defensive lines. 

The Thundering Herd have a poor offense and won’t be able to keep up.  They average just 370 yards per game and 5.3 yards per play.  They do have a good defense, but they haven’t seen many offenses as potent as Colorado State this season. 

The Rams are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Colorado State is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 non-conference games.  We are getting the better team here in the Rams at just over a field goal, and they’ll be highly motivated while also playing in familiar surroundings.  Bet Colorado State Saturday.

Jack Jones has put together THREE TOP-8 College Football Finishes L5 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 837-704 Football Run long-term! That includes a 161-107 Run on his last 268 football plays, including a HOT 107-68 Run on the gridiron over the last 13 weeks!

No. 9 Ranked College Football Capper in 2017! Jack is riding a 441-343 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in OVER $70,000! He has posted a 61-45 CFB Record this season alone!

Hop on board for Jack's 2017-18 College Football Bowl Pass for $299.95! This package will earn you all of his CFB releases from today through the National Championship Game in January!

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 08:32 pm

Stephen Nover

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: OVER 40 -112
Game Analysis

Can you name the team that has scored the most points during the last two weeks in the NFL? You might be surprised to know it's the Ravens. They are averaging 41 points in their last two games and 30.8 points a game in their past six games.  Joe Flacco is coming off his two best games of the season and Alex Collins has emerged as a good runner ranking third in the league with a 5.1 yards per carry average. The Browns rank 29th in scoring defense allowing 25.8 points per game. They are down several key defenders due to injury and trade.  Baltimore's defense was just torched by Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 506 yards in a 39-38 win against the Ravens last Sunday night. Some of that was due to the Ravens missing their top cornerback, Jimmy Smith. He's out for the season.  DeShone Kizer is no Roethlisberger. But Kizer is improving each week, has a big arm and excellent mobility. The Browns have stocked up on their weapons. Kizer has two dangerous wide receiving targets now with Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman. So the Browns are fully capable of helping this total go Over, too.  Weather shouldn't be a problem with only a slight wind and temperatures in the 30s. The condidtions were much worse in Cleveland last week yet both the Packers, with backup quarterback Brett Hundley, and the Browns were able to move the ball with a combined 48 points being scored.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is recognized as one of the top NFL 'cappers in North America with the record to prove it. Stephen is zooming in on his 22nd winning NFL season in 24 years cashing nearly 60 percent of his premium/free plays during the past eight weeks. Fresh off a Thursday winner with the Broncos, Stephen has one of his strongest packages of the season going Sunday headed by his NFL Chalk Game of the Month.) 

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 07:08 am

Doc's Sports

Game Details
Dec 19 '17, 7:00 PM in 3d
NCAA-F | Akron vs Florida Atlantic
Play on: Akron +23 -115 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #211 Take Akron Zips over Florida Atlantic Owls (Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday, 12/19 7 pm ESPN) What a season Lane Kiffin had at Florida Atlanta this season. He won 10 games to go along with a Conference USA Championship. But unfortunately Florida Atlantic may be the end of the line for him, as he was not considered for a coaching promotion due to the bridges he has burned in the past. I just do not see them running over an Akron team that is thrilled to be in this bowl game. Toledo is a very similar team to Florida Atlantic and I expect a similar result in this game, a 15-18 point victory for FAU. Akron is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. FAU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring bowl and pro games. 11-2 run on NFL Top Plays so sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Pick Released on Dec 11 at 06:47 pm

Art Aronson

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Eagles vs Giants
Play on: Giants +8 -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

1* Free Play on the New York Giants.

Eli Manning and the Giants are playing for pride the rest of the way. Last week New York fell 30-10 to Dallas. Injuries and other issues led to the Giants miserable season, but they won’t be going down without a fight. They also play with revenge after falling to the Eagles 27-24 earlier in the year. Philadelphia comes in off a 43-35 win at the Rams, but the victory came at a major cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz has now been lost for the remainder of the season to injury. Note that Philadelphia is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 played on “turf,” while New York is 2-1 ATS this year off a division game, 2-1 ATS after a loss to a division rival and 4-3 ATS after two or more consecutive losses. Consider the GIANTS in this one.

AAA Sports

Pick Released on Dec 12 at 07:00 am

Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: OVER 40 -110
Game Analysis

Free pick on Browns OVER

I just don't think the mark here is high enough for Sunday's AFC North clash between the Ravens and Browns. I'm not expecting a 38-31 shootout or anything like that, but I don't think it's asking a lot for these two to eclipse 40 points. 

Cleveland's offense has shown some flashes since they added in Josh Gordon. He's caught 7 passes for 154 yards and score in two starts since returning from his suspension. I think he's starting to find his rhythm with DeShone Kizer and could be in store for a big day. Keep in mind the Ravens recently lost their best corner in Jimmy Smith and without him in their last game, Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown had 11 catches for 213 yards. Roethlisberger also connected 10 times with Jesse James and 9 times with Le'Veon Bell, as he threw for 506 yards. 

As for the Ravens offense, I think they were so bad early on that people are overlooking their strong showings of late. Baltimore's 38 points were definitely aided by the Steelers missing star linebacker Ryan Shazier, but they also had 44 the week before against Detroit and are averaging 31.3 ppg over their last 6. Cleveland's defense is better than it gets credit for, but it's also allowed 27 or more in 4 of their last 6 games. 

It's also worth noting that Baltimore has trended towards playing in high-scoring games than expected when coming off a heartbreaking division loss. The OVER is 16-6 in their last 22 games when they are coming off a loss by 3-points or less to a division rival. OVER is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in December. Take the OVER! 

Pick Released on Dec 14 at 07:35 am

Dennis Macklin

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: Ravens -7 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

DMack's Free NFL Play for Sunday, December 17, 2017, is on the Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland just keeps finding ways to lose and are running out of time to avoid a 0-16 bagel. That said, despite losing their last two home game in overtime, they may want to leave it all on the field in Chicago next week. The Ravens are 17-2 over the L9 in the series and easily dispatched Cleveland 24-10 in Week Two as the Browns turned the ball over five times. Baltimore is still in the thick of the wildcard race and needs a win here so they won't overlook the brownies here. Flacco has the offense humming now producing 82 points the last two games and rolling to nine touchdowns in the teams L22 drives. Cleveland has a penchant for giving it up late, outscored 90-37 in the second half of their L6 games and that seals the deal for us.

Pick Released on Dec 14 at 09:10 pm

Larry Ness

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 8:00 PM in 19h
NCAA-F | Middle Tennessee State vs Arkansas State
Play on: Arkansas State -3½ -110 at GTBets
Game Analysis

This is a 1* Free Play on Arkansas State (8:00 EST).

The 6-6 MTSU Blue Raiders get ready to battle 7-4 Arkansas State in the Camellia Bowl this weekend and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Red Wolves.

MTSU comes in having won three of its last four, while Arkansas State will be eager to get back with one more victory here after falling to Troy in its regular season finale.

The Blue Raiders have a balanced rushing and passing offense. QB Brent Stockskill took over half way through the year and sports a 14/5 TD/INT. This team is used to outscoring its competition, so its defense is the weak point.

Arkansas State is another team with an explosive offense. QB Justice Hansen averages 330 passing yards, to go along with 35 rushing yards per game. In the end Hansen posted a total of 34 TD’s combined through the air and on the ground this season. Like their counterpart today, the Red Wolves weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but the unit is a step up, having forced 10 fumbles and 11 INT’s this year. 

I’ll point out as well that MTSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four bowl games, while Arkansas State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite. 

Hansen has only been sacked 27 times this year and the Blue Raiders don’t have much of a pass rush. Simply put, I think the Red Wolves have a distinct advantage in at least two of the three phases and because of that, I’ll indeed recommend a second look at Arkansas State in the Camellia Bowl this year.

Good luck…Larry

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 08:16 am

Mark Franco

Game Details
Dec 19 '17, 7:00 PM in 3d
NCAA-F | Akron vs Florida Atlantic
Play on: Florida Atlantic -22½ -110 at GTBets
Game Analysis

Florida ATL

Florida Atlantic won't have to travel far for its bowl game; in fact, the team won't have to travel at all. The Owls will be home for their postseason appearance on Dec. 19, when they face Akron in the Boca Raton Bowl.

The Owls played a competitive non-conference schedule and absorbed three losses before going 8-0 in Conference USA action. They defeated North Texas 41-17 on Nov. 30 to win the league title and possess one of the nation's top running backs in league MVP Devin Singletary, not to mention an efficient passing game led by Jason Driskel. Florida Atlantic, which is playing in its first bowl game since 2008, finished 3-9 in each of the previous three seasons before turning things around under Kiffin, the former coach at Tennessee and USC, as well as of the NFL's Oakland Raiders.

Akron fell to Toledo 45-28 in the Mid-American Conference championship game - a contest that wasn't as close as the final score indicated - but still was selected for a bowl game for the second time in three years. The Zips lost to Penn State and Iowa State by a combined 93-14 margin early this season.

The Zips do not have an impressive rushing attack, as they average 3.3 yards per carry and didn't have a single player gain 400 during the season.

Zips are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 01:17 pm

Teddy Covers

Game Details
Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Bengals vs Vikings
Play on: Vikings -10½ -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Take Minnesota (#312)

Cincinnati hasn’t been a double digit underdog in any game since 2008; a testament to the strength of Marvin Lewis’s tenure with the team.  Of course it is probably worth noting that Cinci went 0-3 ATS in their final three tries as double digit dogs nearly a decade ago; non-competitive in defeat.

The Bengals were non-competitive in defeat again last week, walloped 33-7 at home by a Bears team that came into the game with a 3-9 record.  The quotes coming out of Cinci’s locker room after the defeat weren’t particularly positive, to put it mildly.  Andy Dalton: “We didn’t have a lot of energy.” George Iloka: “We came out flat.” Brandon LaFell: “We laid an egg.”  So what changes this week?  Not much!

Cinci is an injured riddled mess right now.  Their entire starting linebacking corps has been unable to practice this week.  Don’t expect LB’s Vontaze Burfict, Kevin Minter or Nick Vigil to suit up on Sunday.  CB Dre Kilpatrick is still in concussion protocol, unlikely to see action.  CB Darqueze Dennard was limited on Thursday, as was safety Shawn Williams.  RB’s Joe Mixon and Giovani Bernard are both banged up, as is TE Tyler Kroft, DE Carlos Dunlap and offensive tackle Eric Winston. 

It’s looking more and more like Marvin Lewis’s extended tenure as the Bengals head coach is coming to a close.  Veteran teams at the tail end of disappointing seasons with a lame duck head coach are not generally ‘bet-on’ squads on the highway against elite defensive foes.  And when that elite defensive foe is coming off a loss, like the Vikings are, it’s a particularly bad spot for the road underdog.

While Cinci’s injury list continues to grow, the Vikings should get starting CB Xavier Rhodes back in the lineup this week, and they could have LT Reilly Reiff and TE Kyle Rudolph healthy as well.   Right tackle Mike Remmers and center Pat Elflein are both expected back in the starting lineup this week after missing the game against Carolina last Sunday.

And the Vikings have proven they can beat teams by margin. Eight of their ten wins have come by eight points or more; not a squad giving up late backdoor touchdowns to kill their pointspread backers.  This is NOT too much of a price to lay backing a legit Super Bowl contender at home against a team that showed nothing but ‘quit’ last week.  Take the Vikings.

Teddy enters the weekend riding a 24-9 (73%) All Sports Run since the beginning of December.  He's on a major college hoops heater, 17-3 (85%) w' his last 20!  Teddy's NFL has been rock solid too, 60% for the year & 71% this month!  Plus, he's hit 67% in bowl season over the last two years and he's nailed three straight Big Ticket Reports!  Cash in w' Teddy all weekend long!

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 02:21 pm

ASA

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Detroit vs Michigan
Play on: Detroit +19½ -115 at betonline
Game Analysis

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ASA PLAY ON Detroit +19.5 over Michigan, Saturday at 12 PM ET

After a brutal slate of 5 straight games vs top notch competition, we expect Michigan to exhale so to speak and have a letdown here.  The Wolverines have played North Carolina, Indiana, Ohio State, UCLA, and Texas leading into this one.  They are coming off a huge upset win @ Texas and we just don’t see them being at their peak physically or mentally in this game.  There is a good chance Michigan will be without top scorer and rebounder Mo Wagner in this one after he injured his ankle @ Texas.  Head coach John Beilein said Wagner is not anywhere near 100% and they will make a decision at game time.  Don’t be surprised if he sits with much bigger games on the horizon.  This game is at the Little Caesars Center, the brand new home of the Detroit Pistons.  The Detroit players have been looking forward to this game since the season tipped over a month ago.  Four of the five Titan starters are from Michigan and many had aspirations of playing for the Wolverines.  The only non-Michigan bred starter is Kameron Chatman who transferred to Detroit after playing 2 years at Michigan.  On top of that, Detroit’s head coach, Bacari Alexander, was an assistant at Michigan under Beilein from 2010 – 2016.  He knows Michigan’s intricate offensive system as well as anyone giving Detroit an inside advantage here.  It will be tough for Michigan to cover this huge number because Detroit can score.  They average almost 90 PPG and have 5 guys averaging at least 10 PPG.  This sets up as a very dangerous game for the Wolves facing an opponent who is viewing this as their “game of the year”.  Too many points here in a game we feel will be much tighter than the number. 

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 11:12 pm

Scott Spreitzer

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 4:30 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Marshall vs Colorado State
Play on: Marshall +4 -110 at Bovada
Game Analysis

I'm recommending a play on Marshall plus the points in Saturday's New Mexico Bowl.  Marshall HC Doc Holliday knows a thing or two about preparing his team for postseason play, winning four straight bowl games.  The seniors have added motivation, knowing if they beat Colorado State, they'll have completed a perfect 4-0 bowl sweep during their college careers.  Things have not gone so well for the Rams under HC Mike Bobo, going 0-2 SU as bowl chalk the last two seasons.  Bobo also faces changes to his coaching staff with his OC already heading to Tennessee and his DC retiring after this game.  Then there's the motivation or possible lack thereof with CSU returning to Albuquerque...again!  Between bowl games and conference play against New Mexico, this will be the 5th time they've played here in five seasons.  We'll back Marshall plus the points in opening day bowl action.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

NOTE: Scott cashed 73% of his CFB bowl releases last year and his first of this postseason goes today...on Saturday! Grab it now!

Pick Released on Dec 15 at 11:36 pm

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