Free Sports Picks of the Day

Free Play on Dolphins -3½ -104

1* Free Pick on Broncos/Ravens  UNDER 43.5 

Look for a defensive battle Sunday when the Ravens host the Broncos and for the game to finish well below the posted total of 43.5. These two teams have flashed some offense early on, but Baltimore 47-point outburst in Week 1 came against the Bills and Denver hasn't exactly played a great defense with their first two against the Seahawks and Raiders. 

Both of these teams are built on their defenses and both can get pressure on the quarterback. I just don't see either of these offenses being able to consistently sustain drives and I think both will struggle in the red zone. 

UNDER is 9-2 in the Ravens last 11 off a division road loss and 9-2 in their last 11 after 2 straight games where 50+ total points were scored. 

We also find a great system in play. The UNDER is 26-6 (81%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a team off a division road loss (Ravens) against a team off a win over a division opponent (Broncos). Take the UNDER! 

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Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Baltimore Ravens -5 

The Baltimore Ravens are in a good spot here.  They have extra rest after playing last Thursday in a 23-34 loss to the Bengals.  It was a tough scheduling spot there and they fell behind 21-0 quickly, but rallied and made a game out of it.  They actually outgained the Bengals by 52 yards in that contest a week after outgaining the Bills by 216 yards in a dominant 47-3 home win. 

I really like this Ravens team as I believe they are one of the better teams in the AFC.  And I think Denver is a bit overvalued here off its 2-0 start.  That 2-0 start has come at home against both the Seahawks and Raiders by a combined 4 points.  They could easily be 0-2 as they trailed in the fourth quarter in both of those games.   

And keep in mind playing in Denver is tough for any road team early in the season with the altitude.  Now the Broncos will be hitting the road for the first time this season.  They’ll be facing a hungry Ravens team here.  And home-field advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 10-3 SU in the last 13 meetings.  The Ravens are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with the Broncos. 

Denver’s pass defense has been exposed against two weak offenses in Oakland and Seattle.  Russell Wilson threw for 298 yards and 3 touchdowns against them in Week 1.  Then Derek Carr went 29-of-32 passing for 288 yards and a touchdown against them in Week 2.  Joe Flacco should do more of the same here.  He is completing 64% of his passes for 612 yards with five touchdowns and two picks through two games.  He finally has some weapons outside with the additions of John Brown, Michael Crabtree and Willie Snead, who are their three leading receivers to this point. 

Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Baltimore) - a good team from last season that outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points per game, after playing a game where 50 or more total points were scored are 35-12 (74.5%) ATS since 1983.  The Broncos are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Ravens Sunday.

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Free Pick on Eagles

On Sunday in the NFL, Play On teams like ARIZONA after scoring 9 points or less in two straight games. They are 37-10 ATS the last nine years, including 14-3 ATS in the past four. 

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Free Play on 49ers vs Chiefs under 56 -110

T.M. Selection: Washington Redskins (FREE PLAY)

Green Bay is 1-0-1 after two weeks, while Washington is 1-1. Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers played with a heavy brace on his leg against the Vikings and Mike McCarthy has said that his star pivot is “sore.” It’s a favorable schedule for the Packers, who I think won’t be able to help themselves “looking ahead” to their much more “winnable” game at home next week against the lowly Bills (followed with a game at Detroit, a game at home against the 49ers and then their bye-week.) Washington on the other hand would have had this particular game circled on the calendar before the season even started. This one means a lot more to the Redskins. Consider the points in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Redskins.

Dave’s Sunday Free Play: 

1* on Washington Redskins +3 

The Key: The Green Bay Packers will be hitting the road for the first time this week.  They were fortunate to beat the Bears at home in Week 1, and they were also fortunate to tie the Vikings at home in Week 2 due to all of Minnesota’s kicking woes.  The Packers were outgained by 129 yards by the Vikings last week.  And road teams off a tie have been terrible.  In fact, in the last 13 instances, road teams off a tie are 0-13 SU & 2-11 ATS.  The Redskins are better than they are getting credit for here.  They won 24-6 in Arizona in Week 1 and their 6-17 loss to the Colts at home last week was misleading.  They outgained the Colts by 53 yards a week after outgaining the Cardinals by 216 yards.  The home team is 6-2 SU & 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series.  The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss.  Take Washington.

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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Dallas at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.

I’ll lay the short number with the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon.

Seattle is off to an abysmal 0-2 start but it’s important to keep things in perspective. The Seahawks opened the season with two tough road games in Denver and Chicago and now return home, where they own one of the strongest edges in the NFL.

There’s also good news as the banged-up Seahawks are expected to have Bobby Wagner back on defense, which is a huge gain as they prepare to face a rather limited Dallas offense.

The Cowboys evened their record at 1-1 with a key division win over the Giants last Sunday night but that had more to do with New York’s struggles than anything else. While I do like the Cowboys defense in this matchup, I’m not sure they’ll be able to score enough to hold off what will be a desperate Seahawks squad. Take Seattle (10*).

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This is a 1* Free Play on the Dallas Cowboys.

The Hawks are staring 0-3 in the face this Sunday and we think it’ll become a reality. Dallas finally found its footing in the second half of its 20-13 win over the Giants last Sunday night and we look for it to grind out a win here as well. Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott was 16 of 25 for 160 yards last week, along with another 45 yards rushing. The Dallas defense had six sacks of Eli Manning and now that aggressive unit faces the Seahawks suspect offensive line which has already given up 12 sacks this year (the most in the NFL.) Note that Dallas is 10-6 ATS its last 16 on the road, while Seattle is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home. Consider the COWBOYS Sunday afternoon.

AAA Sports

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New England Patriots -6.5 

The Patriots are coming off an ugly loss to the Jaguars.  Jacksonville simply wanted that game more after losing to New England in the AFC Championship Game last year.  It’s a forgivable loss because the Jaguars are one of the best teams in the AFC again.  But now the Patriots are off a loss, and they are dangerous off a defeat.  Bill Belichick is 21-6 ATS off a double-digit loss as the coach of the Patriots.  Belichick is also 14-3 ATS off a double-digit loss as a favorite as the coach of New England.  Tom Brady should score at will against a Lions defense that has allowed 78 combined points through the first two weeks of the season.  I don’t think the Lions will be able to keep up.  Give me the Patriots.

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DMack's Free Play for Sunday, September 23, 2018 is on the New England Patriots

The Hoodie has had a history of beating up new coaches from his coaching tree and this would appear to be an excellent spot for the Pats regardless. New England embarrassed after being dominated and allowing 400 passing yards to Blake Bortles in last week's loss to the Jags. The Lions have seemed confused in two losses, will be missing their shut down corner in concussion protocol, and be coming hot after Stafford so as not to get lit up twice in two weeks. Not a service play only because this is a road game, like the Pats by 17-20.

Play - Denver Broncos (Game 469).

Edges - Broncos: 11-4 SU and 9-4-2 ATS versus AFC North opponents, including 3-0 ATS as dogs … Ravens: 1-3 ATS last four games in this series ... With that we recommend a 1* play on Denver.  Thank you and good lucks as always.

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This Sunday, we will CRUSH THE BOOKS together as I have 2 BIG WINNERS for you. I have my NFL GAME OF THE MONTH which were a perfect, 5-0 last season and I also have my NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK. I release  so few Totals, but when I do, you get paid.

Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: Jacksonville Jaguars.

Game 466.

10:00 am pst.

With only 2 games into the season, the Jaguars have catapulted themselves as the team to beat and certainly one of the AFC elite. Jacksonville came out last week and dominated New England in their 31-20 win and cover, avenging last years, AFC title game loss. Normally, this could be a spot for a "letdown", but not this time. The Jaguars are motivated here, as the Titans took both meetings a season ago. And outside of the loss Conference championship loss, these pair of losses is are stung the most. Somehow, a banged-up, Tennessee team eked by Houston last Sunday. However, going on the road to TIAA Bank Field and facing the AFC's top team, will be a nightmare. The Titans are 9-22 ATS the L31 games as a visitor and 16-40-4 ATS the L60 games vs. AFC opponents. The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS the L5 games at home and 9-3 ATS the L12 games vs. AFC foes. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Houston Texans took a 20-17 loss to the Titans last Sunday, and I think they're well overrated in this Week 3 matchup with the New York Giants. 

The Giants are still looking for their first win of the season, but they've held both Dallas and Jacksonville to just 20 points. They limited the Cowboys to only 298 total yards last week. The Texans rank 26th in the league in scoring at 18.5 points and it will be tough to cover this spread in what's likely to be a low-scoring game. 

Additionally we can note that Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record, Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record and  0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Free pick on New York Giants +6.5. 

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Dallas at Seattle 4:25 ET

Seahawks over Cowboys- The Seahawks are on the worst dive ever experienced by Pete Carroll as they have lost seven straight and are 1-9 SU in their last 10 with their last SU and ATS victory a 21-12 win over the Cowboys in Dallas. America's team hasn't been much better losing five straight against the points until Sunday night's win over the Giants. Dallas has scored 12, 6, 21 (a loss), 12, 3, 6, and 8 in their last seven games before last weeks 'explosion' of 20 points (scored a TD on the first play of the game). The Seahawks are a different team then what we have become accustomed to seeing but Dallas isn't mush better. The 'Birds' finally get their win. Take SEATTLE!

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Giants/Texans 1:00: Texans shouldn't be laying this kind of wood with a 26th ranked scoring offense. QB Watson still not in rhythm as he attempts to regain that great form he had prior to his ACL injury at midpoint last season. Giants' defense is respectable and MLB Ogletree making an impact. At the same time, disappointed in the Texans' defense which forever underachieves early in the season. Giants have immense offensive skill talent (Beckham, Barkley, Manning) waiting to ignite but still fizzling out under puzzling hire Pat Shurmur. Nevertheless, we'll grab the points with the dog here. Giants are 5-2 ATS on the road against a team with a losing home record. And the Giants have a much better early season winning ATS record than the Texans. Giants the call.

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Not only could this game turn into a multiple inning relief pitching matchup for the Yankees, but New York may not have its full concentration. You can't blame the Yankees for this because they just clinched a wild-card spot with a 3-2 victory against Baltimore on Saturday.  J.A. Happ is slated to get the start for New York. He's pitched well for the Yankees. But this is a rare action play for me - not listed pitchers - as I want to fade the Yankees in this letdown spot. If Happ goes, he probably won't pitch deep into the game as the Yankees need him for the postseason.  The Orioles are going with Alex Cobb, who is making his first appearance in 12 days because of a blister. Cobb had been pitching his best ball of the season going 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in his last eight starts. Cobb has a strong history against the Yankees, too, going 7-4 with a 2.90 ERA in 16 career starts.   Baltimore is the worst team in baseball. But the Orioles have been competitive lately. They have lost only once by more than two runs during their last nine games. The Orioles probably should have defeated the Yankees on Saturday stranding 12 runners in the one-run loss.  (Editor's note: Sizzling Stephen Nover is coming off a 5-1 Saturday on his premium/free plays and has won 70 percent of his baseball plays during the 12 days.) 

1* Free Sharp Play on Giants vs Texans under 43½ -109