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Free College Football Picks

Below is a list of free college football picks for the 2019 season. View the best free college football plays against the spread with game analysis from expert NCAAF handicappers.

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Stephen Nover

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 2:30 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | TCU vs Kansas State
Play on: TCU -3½ +100 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

I admit that I would think twice about laying road points against Kansas State if Bill Snyder still were coaching the Wildcats. But he isn't. Chris Klieman is. It's his first season as head coach of the Wildcats. The jury remains out on Klieman, but we do know this: Kansas State has played two Big 12 games this season. The Wildcats are 0-2 losing, 26-13, to Oklahoma State as four-point road 'dogs and falling, 31-12, to Baylor as a one-point home 'dog.  Both TCU and Kansas State were idle last week. I'll side with TCU's Gary Patterson. It's not just a coaching edge why I endorse the Horned Frogs.  TCU has the stronger defense and far more explosive skill position players.  Max Duggan has thrown nine TD passes without an interception. Darius Anderson is the second-leading rusher in the Big 12 and Jalen Reagor is one of the fastest and most talented wide receivers in the country. He is widely considered to be a top-five wide receiving pro prospect.  Kansas State doesn't come close to matching that. The Wildcats run a slow-down, dink-and-dunk type offense. Their offensive line isn't good and QB Skylar Thompson is more runner than thrower with only five TD passes. The Wildcats lack speed at the skill position spots.   Patterson traditionally has strong defensive teams. That's the case again this year. The Horned Frogs have the 17th-best run defense and 20th-top pass defense. Only 14 teams surrender fewer yards per game than TCU.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the hottest college football handicappers in North America going 96-52-3 on his premium/free plays the past two years through Thursday. Stephen has five CFB plays going Saturday in addition to this free selection headed by his Big 12 Game of the Year.) 

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 04:07 pm

Sal Michaels

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 3:30 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Navy
Play on: Navy -14 -109 at GTBets
Game Analysis

Free Play on Navy -14 -109

Pick Released on Oct 17 at 11:12 am

Rob Vinciletti

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Missouri vs Vanderbilt
Play on: Missouri -21 -107 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

The College Football comp play for Saturday is on Missouri at 4;00 eastern. Missouri has a top 20 offense and a top 5 defense. They have covered 4 straight after allowing 200+ yards rushing and 9 of 12 vs losing teams. They should have no trouble with a Vanderbilt team that lost here to an inept UNLV Squad  by 24 as a 16 point favorite. That loss sets up a 32-10 play against system that pertains to game 4 or later home dogs with a win percentage of .666 or less off a -3.5 or higher home favored loss by 12 or more. With Missouri coach Odom covering 7 of 9 as a favorite of 13 or more  we will make it Missouri today.   For the College football free play. Take the Missouri Tigers- RV- GC Sports Saturday card has an exclusive Executive Level TIER 1 Play in College Football as well as the American Athletic Conf. Game of the Year a 14-0 BIG 12 System that dates to 1977 and 2 more best bets. $$ #1 RANKED OVERALL ALL SPORTS LAST 30+ DAYS $$

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 04:59 pm

Doc's Sports

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 10:15 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Utah State
Play on: Nevada +21½ -109 at GTBets
Game Analysis

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #353 Nevada Wolf Pack over Utah State Aggies (10:15p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPNU) The Wolf Pack are one of the worst 4-2 teams in the country with a huge point differential having been blown out big in both of their losses this season. But I believe this is about 5 points to much facing a Utah State team that is not super explosive to cover these types of numbers. Nevada is a better team that Colorado State and Utah State only beat them by 10 points I Logan earlier this season. The Aggies have a new coach this year and Nevada got some life by starting Malik Henry (Last Chance U). He did not play all that well against San Jose State last week but should play better in his second start. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 straight games between Nevada and Utah State. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card! Monster run in both college and NFL football and now is the time to sign-up with a long term package from a handicapper that has 48 years of experience.

Pick Released on Oct 14 at 12:42 pm

Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 12:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Florida vs South Carolina
Play on: South Carolina +5½ -110 at Bovada
Game Analysis

1* NCAAF - Free Pick on South Carolina +5½ -110

The public will look at this game and feel like this is a great line to back FLorida off a loss against a Georgia team that will certainly have a letdown after that huge upset win at Georgia. 

Believe it or not, teams off a massive upset have been money-making machines when they are a dog in their next game. In fact, the last 14 teams that have won outright as an underdog of 20 or more points are an eye-popping 11-3 ATS. 

I don't think that was no fluke win by South Carolina either. I think they are going to thrive as a home dog here. Florida is the team that I think is poised for a letdown. The Gators put everything they had into beating LSU last week and got an even bigger game against Georgia on deck. 

Gamecocks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS last 6 conference games and 4-1 ATS last 5 at home. Gators are 2-7 ATS last 9 off a SU loss. Take South Carolina! 

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 04:00 pm

Freddy Wills

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 12:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Wisconsin vs Illinois
Play on: Wisconsin -30½ -112 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Wisconsin -31 1.1% Free Play

Not many will be brave enough to lay this many points on the road, but I think Wisconsin won’t be satisfied to just get up big in this game.  The coaches will be pointing to Michigan’s 28-0 early lead that slipped away making it a 28-25 game in the third quarter. I don’t see that with Wisconsin if anything they add to their lead.  I’m not worried about the look ahead with Wisconsin to Ohio State. They were undefeated in 2017 with Ohio State on deck and won at Minnesota 31-0.

 

Illinois has gotten by and have hung in games because they have been able to win the turnover battle.  They have been fortunate with a 70% fumble recovery rate, and they do have havoc on their defensive line with 18.9% havoc rate, but they haven’t faced many offensive lines like Wisconsin who rank among the nation’s best, 12th in power success rate, just 8.69% havoc rate allowed and that’s against a very tough opponent average rank of 16.87%.

Wisconsin should get some big running plays in this one as Illinois ranks 113th in 20+ rushes allowed, 117th in 10+ rushes allowed, and 81st in ypc, and that’s against an average offensive ranking of 96th.  Wisconsin ranks 14th, against some good defenses. Illinois has allowed each of its last 3 opponents to go over 300 yards. I wonder what they might have expended against a physical Michigan team making that come back.  I see Wisconsin continuing on their path of shutting teams out as they cover this game.

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 01:35 am

Steve Janus

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 3:00 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | New Mexico vs Wyoming
Play on: UNDER 49½ -110
Game Analysis

1* Free Sharp Play on New Mexico vs Wyoming under 49½ -110

My money is on the UNDER 49.5, as I don't see these two MWC rivals getting to 50 points. Both of these teams are really limited offensively and like to run the football. I just don't see a lot of points being scored by either side. I think they will be lucky to get to 43. BET THE UNDER 49.5! 

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 06:02 am

Mark Wilson

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Charlotte vs Western Kentucky
Play on: Charlotte +10½ -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Free Play on Charlotte +10½ -110

Login shortly to view the writeup on the game.

Pick Released on Oct 13 at 06:06 pm

Alex Smart

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 6:00 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs Utah
Play on: Utah -13½ -104 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

The  Arizona State Sun Devils  upset the Utah Utes, 38-20, as 7-point dogs last season, and now Utah has revenge on board. It must be noted that HC Whittingham when seeking revenge and simultaneously  getting a win, is 14-0 ATS L/14 opportunities. Meanwhile, Arizona State 5-1 on the season is off a back and forth underdog win vs Washington State last time out winning on their final drive of the game, and now will be in an emotional letdown situation vs an explosive opponent with a vendetta to achieve. Utah has out yarded their opposition by 194 Ypg and have held five teams to season low yards. More of the same over powering one way action is on tap here according to my projections. 

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UTAH) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 39-12 ATS L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Utes to cover 

Pick Released on Oct 16 at 11:48 am

Cole Faxon

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 12:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Purdue vs Iowa
Play on: Purdue +18 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

FREE PLAY on Purdue +18 -110

Pick Released on Oct 17 at 10:25 am

Joseph D'Amico

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 7:00 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Memphis
Play on: Tulane +4 -109 at GTBets
Game Analysis

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Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Tulane

Game 407.

4:00 pm pst.

 

Tulane is 5-1, both SU and ATS. Their only blemish was a 24-6 loss to 11th ranked Auburn. Memphis, which is also 5-1 SU, got shredded last year in this matchup, 40-24 as Tulane ran for 318 yards. Well, the Tigers 92nd ranked run defense just allowed the Owls of Temple to rack up 193 yards on the ground in last week's, 30-28 loss as a 3.5-point 'dog. The Green Wave own the nation's No. 4 rushing unit and will once again decimate the Tigers defense. On the other side of the ball, Tulane will contain the Memphis "O" with their very talented "D" (26th, 19.2 PPG allowed). Take the Green Wave. Thank you.

Pick Released on Oct 17 at 02:48 pm

Jack Jones

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 3:30 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech
Play on: Southern Miss PK -110 at Mirage
Game Analysis

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Southern Miss PK 

Southern Miss was my pick to win their side of Conference USA, which is also the same side that Louisiana Tech resides in.  And thus this could end up being the de facto division title game.  And from what I’ve seen from both teams thus far, Southern Miss is the better team and should win this game Saturday afternoon. 

Southern Miss is a veteran team that returned 16 starters this year.  They have gone 4-2 against a tough schedule that ranks 104th in the country.  You’d think it would rank higher than that considering they are 4-2 with their only losses coming on the road to Alabama and Mississippi State from the SEC West.  They also won at Troy, and they have handled their business at home with three blowout victories. 

Louisiana Tech is 5-1, but it has played the 153rd-ranked schedule in the country.  The Bulldogs are way overvalued due to the ease of their schedule.  They lost 14-45 to Texas is the opener, and they have won five straight against cupcakes since in Grambling, Bowling Green, FIU, Rice and UMass.  And they even struggled to beat two of those teams, beating Grambling just 20-14 as 30-point home favorites, and topping Rice 23-20 as 8-point road favorites. 

Southern Miss is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Louisiana Tech.  I love Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham, who is completing 71.7% of his passes for 1,936 yards with a 12-to-4 TD/INT ratio on the season.  He has also rushed for three touchdowns and is averaging 10.8 yards per attempt.  He is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. 

Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Southern Miss) - off a home win by 17 points or more, with 4-plus more starters returning than their opponent are 35-11 (76.1%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.  The Golden Eagles are the much more veteran team in this matchup and should have no problem winning their fifth straight in this series over Louisiana Tech.  Bet Southern Miss Saturday.

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Pick Released on Oct 17 at 07:19 pm

Bobby Conn

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Missouri vs Vanderbilt
Play on: OVER 55 -110
Game Analysis

1* Free Play on Missouri/Vanderbilt over55 -110

The records of the #22 Missouri Tigers (5-1) and Vanderbilt Commodores (1-5) are perfect opposites through six games of the season. When these two squads face off on Saturday, the over/under will be set at 55 points.

Since a 37-31 loss to Wyoming to start the season, Missouri is a perfect 5-0 with wins over West Virginia, Ole Miss, and South Carolina. The Tigers have scored at least 31 in every game, and have reached a high of 50 points.

On average, the Tigers are scoring 39 points per game on 474 yards of offense while allowing 16 points per game on 262 yards.

With five pass catchers over 200 receiving yards, quarterback Kelly Bryant leads one of the better passing attacks in the nation. Completing 65% of his passes, Bryant has thrown for 1,575 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions.

Apart from a 24-18 win over Northern Illinois, Vanderbilt has gotten torched all season long. On average, Vanderbilt is scoring 18 points per game on 338 yards of offense while allowing 37 points per game on 482 yards.

Mizzou’s offense will be chomping at the bit to go up against a Vandy defense that’s given up 42 to Purdue, 66 to LSU, and 34 to UNLV.

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 09:00 am

John Martin

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 3:30 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Cincinnati
Play on: Tulsa +17½ -109 at GTBets
Game Analysis

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tulsa +17.5 

I think it’s a good time to fade Cincinnati now that they have moved into the Top 25.  They were fortunate to win each of their last two games against UCF and Houston, and I think they are feeling overconfident right about now.  And they are laying a big number here to a feisty Tulsa team that has been impressive despite the 2-4 record.  They played Michigan State to a 21-point game, Oklahoma State to a 19-point game and lost in overtime to SMU by 6 after blowing a 21-point lead on the road.  Those three results alone against three teams that are better than Cincinnati show that Tulsa is capable of staying within this 17.5-point spread.  Cincinnati was outgained by 82 yards in their 27-24 win over UCF at home.  They were also outgained by 30 yards by a bad Houston team that was without two of their best players at QB and WR and fortunate to win that game last week.  Houston turned the ball over 5 times, allowing the Bearcats to win 38-23 only after they tacked on a late touchdown.  Philip Montgomery is 9-1 ATS in road games against a team with a winning record as the coach of the Golden Hurricane.  Tulsa is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 road games.  Give me Tulsa.

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 10:07 am

Mike Lundin

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 12:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Florida vs South Carolina
Play on: Florida -4½ -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

MIKE LUNDIN'S FLORIDA @ SOUTH CAROLINA FREE PÌCK OCTOBER 19

I think South Carolina Gamecocks are an easy fade following a heroic effort last week when they took down No. 10 Georgia in overtime as a three-touchdown underdog. 

They celebrated like they just won the National Championship and might just feel a bit too good about themselves right now. "We've got a really good Florida team coming in here, and how are we going to respond?" Gamecocks head coach Will Muschamp told reporters. "We haven't been in this position as a program for 10 years. So, how are we going to respond to this? That's the big challenge for us this week."

Keep in mind that the Bulldogs outgained the Gamecocks by 171 yards and crushed them 36-24 minutes in time of possession, but three costly interceptions and a fumble vs. no turnovers from South Carolina made all the difference. 

Here they'll face a Florida team that will be looking to bounce back from its first loss of the season, but it still covered the spread as a two-touchdown dog at LSU. Florida's normally solid defense was torched for 511 yards, but keep in mind that the team is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in its previous game.

Free pick on Florida Gators. 

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 10:43 am

Dave Price

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 2:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Ball State
Play on: Ball State -1 -110 at Mirage
Game Analysis

Dave’s Saturday Free Play: 

1* on Ball State -1 

The Key: The Ball State Cardinals are flying under the radar as one of the best teams in the MAC this year.  They are only 3-3, but their 3 losses were all impressive.  They only lost by 10 at Indiana as 17.5-point dogs, by 11 at NC State as 19-point dogs, and lost 31-41 to FAU at home as 2.5-point dogs.  They beat Fordham 57-29, upset Northern Illinois 27-20 as 4-point road dogs, and upset Eastern Michigan 29-23 as 1.5-point road dogs.  So they’ve actually done a good job of getting to 3-3 because they have been a dog in 5 games.  They opened as dogs against Toledo, but rightly so they have been bet to the favorite now.  Toledo is coming off a 7-20 road loss at Bowling Green as 27-point favorites.  The Rockets are one of the most overrated teams in the MAC, and that result clearly showed it because Bowling Green had been horrible previously.  The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.  Take Ball State.

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 10:59 am

Ray Monohan

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 7:30 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -8½ -112 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Penn State -8.5

On Saturday at 7:30 p.m. the (5-1) Michigan Wolverines will take the field against Penn State Nittany Lions (6-0) at Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania. The line has the Nittany Lions as -9 favorites at home with a total of 47. 

The Michigan Wolverines are now 5-1 after a 42-25 win on the road against Illinois last Saturday. Michigan was able to pick up 489 total yards in the game, 194 on 11 of 22 passing attempts. They ran the ball for 295 yards, picking up an average of 6.1 yards per rush. The Wolverines have been scoring an average of 30.3 points per game this season. They are picking up an average of 387.3 total yards, 231.2 passing, and 156.2 rushing. On the defensive side of the ball, Michigan is holding opponents to 17.5 points per week. They are giving up 283.3 total yards, 160.5 against the pass and 122.8 against the run. 

The Nittany Lions are now 6-0 after winning 17-12 against the Iowa Hawkeyes last week. Penn State was good for a total of 294 yards in the game, 117 passing and 177 on the ground. On the season, Penn State has been able to light up the scoreboard for 42 points per game. They have been able to accumulate 465.3 total yards per week, 274.2 through the air and 191.2 on the ground. Defensively, the Nittany Lions have been stingy, holding their opponents to just 8.2 points per game. They hold the opposition to just 259.7 yards, 205.8 passing and just 53.8 on the ground. 

I’m really liking Penn State’s defense at home against the Wolverines. A big part of the Wolverines offense is the running game with an average of 156.2 yards per game. Penn State has been lights out against the run, only allowing 53.8.  Shea Patterson hasn’t done well under pressure this year and with the running game being limited, I think this translates into a game with a few turnovers.

Some trends to consider. Michigan are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on the road. Penn State are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games. 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home. Head to head the favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. 

The Wolverines hammered Penn State 42-7 last year, and this was the 3rd straight matchup to be decided by 35 or more points. NOT so fast this week my friends, I see Penn State getting the win at home in this one by 14. 

Back the Nittany Lions.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 02:04 pm

Brandon Lee

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 7:30 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -8½ -112 at BMaker
Game Analysis

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Penn State -8.5) 

I know the Wolverines have righted the ship with 3 straight wins since that ugly 35-14 loss at Wisconsin, but two of those were against the two Big 10 bottom feeders in Rutgers and Illinois. The other was a 10-3 win at home against Iowa in a game they probably lose if the Hawkeyes take better care of the ball. 

We have seen Michigan go up against two really good defenses in Wisconsin and Iowa and do next to nothing. I just don’t see them scoring enough to keep this within the number. Michigan ranks 84th in the country in total offense at just 387.4 ypg. Penn State ranks 4th in the country in total defense, giving up just 259.6 ypg. 

Wolverines have not shown they can pass the ball against against good teams and that’s a problem cause the Nittany Lions defensive line is the real deal. They are 3rd in the country against the run, giving up just 53.8 yards/game.

This is a night game and will be Penn State’s white out game, which they have really thrived in, especially against the number. Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 and have covered 3 straight. Give me the Nittany Lions -8.5! 

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 04:10 pm

Chip Chirimbes

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Baylor vs Oklahoma State
Play on: Baylor +4 -105 at Bovada
Game Analysis

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Baylor at Oklahoma State 4:00 ET

Bears (+) over Cowboys- The No. 18 Baylor Bears (6-0, 3-0) are back and the Big-12 has been put on notice. The Bears were 1-11 two years ago the improved 7-6 in 2018 and enter this fray undefeated. There is a major hurdle for Baylor here as they travel to Stillwater where the Cowboys have been very hostile going 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings where the home team overall is 7-2 in the last nine meetings. Be careful and these 'numbers' can lead you down a dead end. Both teams move the ball as Baylor scores 38 pts per and the OK State 39 pts per game but the difference comes in the defenses. The Cowboys ride high gaining 528 yards per game but surrender 415 yards on defense whereas the Bears who average 476 yards allow just 340. Take BAYLOR!

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 09:14 pm

Brad Diamond

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 12:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | NC State vs Boston College
Play on: Boston College +3 +100 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Boston College over NC  State

NC State coming off a home win over Syracuse 16-10 and now show 4-2 SU on the season.  The Eagles dropped a rough 41-39 battle at Louisville, but have garnered a week of rest in preparation for the Pack at home.  LY State ripped up Boston College 28-23 gaining over 500 yards of total offense.  Despite the QB change with Brown out for BC, they seemingly show in an ideal spot on Saturday with revenge.  The Eagles are a perfect 8-0 ATS during October and 10-1 ATS in week #5 through week #9.  With the Pack a horrid 2-10 ATS as a RF of -3 or less, we're on the points with Boston College.  Good Luck.

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Pick Released on Oct 18 at 09:43 pm

Andre Ramirez

Game Details
Oct 19 '19, 7:00 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | Army vs Georgia State
Play on: Georgia State +5 -110 at sportsbook
Game Analysis

CFB 100 DIME GAME 

GEORGIA ST +5

Georgia State's defense is not the best, but they have a really good run game, and they have looking strong in the last 2 games.

Army defense has looked unbalanced and they have struggled in stopping the run. Expect both teams to utilize the run, and put up some major points. 

I like the air attack of Georgia St, and they have a big advantage of hitting side out receivers. 

Georgia St. is 12-3 ATS in October, and I like Georgia St. to pull the upset here.

Pick Released on Oct 19 at 12:57 am

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