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Free NFL Picks of the Week

Below is a list of free NFL picks for the 2017-18 football season. View top quality NFL plays against the spread with game analysis from expert football handicappers here at Sportscapper Island.

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Mike Lundin

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Browns vs Colts
Play on: Browns -125 at Bovada
Game Analysis

#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Cleveland Browns won just one game all of last season and they're heading into Week 3 of the current season still eyeing their first win. The Indianapolis Colts are in the same spot after back-to-back losses to the Rams and the Cardinals, but I think the Browns will be the team to come out of this contest with the W.  

The Colts failed to hold onto a 13-3 fourth quarter lead in a tough 16-13 overtime home loss to the Cardinals last weekend. They'll once again be without QB Andrew Luck and his replacement Jacoby Brissett completed just 20-of-37 passes for 216 yards with no touchdowns and one interception against Arizona. They couldn't get their running game going either as the team amassed just a total of 76 yards on 29 carries Here they'll face a Cleveland D that has held two tough opponents in Pittsburgh and Baltimore to an average of 313.5 yards per game on the season.

The Browns actually outgained the Ravens 386-337 in last week's 24-10 defeat but gave away the ball way to easy and five turnovers ruined any chance of winning the game. Starting QB DeShone Kizer threw three picks before leaving the game with migraine, but I expect the rookie to be healthy for this game do much better. 

Cleveland has not been favored on the road since giving five points at Jacksonville back in 2014. The books have made the Browns a favorite here for a reason, and I'm backing the Browns to win outright. 

My free pick is on the Cleveland Browns.

Mike Lundin is entering Sunday on a PERFECT 5-0 NFL RUN that he's putting to the test with THREE PREMIUM PICK WINNERS. The action starts early with Ravens/Jaguars at London, England and Mike's NFL GAME OF THE WEEK features the Sunday night game Oakland Raiders vs. Washington Redskins. Get on board with an all sports subscription now to ensure you don't miss a single winner. 

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 10:52 am

Chase Diamond

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Broncos vs Bills
Play on: Bills +3½ -110 at Bovada
Game Analysis

This game features the 2-0 Broncos and the 1-1 Bills. I love fading teams from the west coast playing at 1pm and will do so today. The Bills are off a tough road loss and the Broncos have a huge division clash with the Raiders on deck. I expect the Broncos to come out slow and this to be a tough game that comes down to a FG either way love the points here. Bills are 8-2 80% ATS when getting less then 250 years in their previous game. 82% of the public have bet the road Broncos making me love the Bills even more. Bills win outrite but take the points for a 15* winner. ***BE SURE TO CHECK OUT CHASE'S HUGE 20* PLAYS SUNDAY HE IS 20-8 68% ON NFL SIDE PLAYS SINCE 12/26/16***

Pick Released on Sep 23 at 09:36 am

Jack Jones

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Browns vs Colts
Play on: Browns -1½ -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Cleveland Browns -1.5

The Cleveland Browns are clearly improved this season despite their 0-2 start.  They were competitive against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Ravens.  They were only outgained by four total yards in those two games combined, so statistically they hung right with them.

The problem with the Browns thus far has been turnovers and special teams mistakes.  They committed five turnovers against the Ravens, yet still had numbers chances to cover the spread as 8-point dogs in a 14-point loss.  They only lost by 3 to the Steelers, and the difference in that game was a punt block that was returned for a TD by the Steelers.

Now the Browns will be motivated for a rare victory here against arguably the worst team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are 0-2 and haven't even been competitive despite playing weaker competition.  They were outgained by 148 yards in their 9-46 loss to the Rams.  Then they were outgained by a depleted Cardinals team by 123 yards last week in a game they did not deserve to go to overtime against.  That games was a bigger blowout than the final score. The Rams and Cardinals aren't as good as the Steelers and Ravens, which is a key points here.

The Browns have the better defense, and it's not really even close.  They are giving up just 313 yards per game and 5.3 per play thus far, while the Colts are allowing 381 yards per game and 6.1 per play.  The Browns are averaging 311 yards per game and 5.3 per play on offense, so they have moved the ball fine.  The Colts are only averaging 245 yards per game and 4.4 per play.  So the Browns are basically dead even in yards per game and yards per play on the season, while the Colts are getting outgained by 136 yards per game and 1.7 yards per play.

Indianapolis is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games.  Plays on road teams (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 51-24 (68%) ATS since 1983.  The Browns are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Bet the Browns Sunday.

Jack Jones is riding a MASSIVE 750-646 Football Run long-term! That includes a 74-49 Run on the gridiron over his last 122 releases dating back to last season, and a 19-10 Run over the last two weeks in football!  He is also on a 32-21 NFL Run!

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You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 01:31 am

Teddy Covers

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 9:30 AM in 22h
NFL | Ravens vs Jaguars
Play on: Jaguars +4 -110 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Take the Jacksonville Jaguars (#462)

Teddy nailed his Big Ticket winner last Saturday.  On Sunday, he cashed a SU underdog winner on with his Big Ticket Report. On Monday, Teddy delivered another 'right side' winner on the Lions; doing what he's done so consistently -- making $$ for himself and his clients in the NFL!  Don’t miss a single top rated winner all weekend long!

Joe Flacco missed all of preseason; one of many injured veterans for the Ravens in August.  Baltimore lost nearly a dozen guys to IR in training camp, losing key bodies on both sides of the football.  Flacco has looked rusty, with only 338 passing yards through two games.  And he hasn’t been tested – the ravens have not yet trailed this season.  The Ravens, as a team, have only one explosive play on offense through two games. They’ve rushed for under four yards per carry.  And now the key to their offensive line, six time pro bowler Marshall Yanda, has been placed on injured reserve after breaking his ankle last week.

Yanda’s injury cannot be overstated.  With him gone, this team is now without three of their five OL starters from last year, as well as their top two backups from a season ago.  This would be a problem for any offense.  It matters even more with a QB and skill position talent that don’t have much familiarity with one another after the barrage of August injuries. 

And for all the success the Ravens have had with their 2-0 SU and ATS start, let’s not forget two things.  First, Baltimore has generated 10 turnovers.  No other team has more than five.  Every team looks good and covers spreads when they are +7 in turnovers over a two game span.

Secondly, John Harbaugh is not a ‘let’s lay points with him’ kind of coach, especially on the highway.  The Ravens have been feisty underdogs for years under Harbaugh.  However, they’ve got a grand total of one pointspread cover in their last eight tries as favorites away from home dating back to 2014; failing repeatedly in this role.  I’ve got Harbaugh as 3-10 ATS in his last 13 tries laying more than a field goal on any field, and all three of those covers have come against the same team – Cleveland.

The defense Baltimore is facing this week is no joke.  Say what you want about Blake Bortles (yes, I know Bortles sucks, but I think the Jags can cover in spite of him), Jacksonville’s stop unit is the best one the Ravens have seen this year.  Offseason acquisition Calais Campbell has been a pass rushing force, who’s veteran leadership has been “off the charts” according to head coach Doug Marrone.  Free agent signee AJ Bouye gives them a stud cornerback duo with last year’s #1 pick Jalen Ramsey, on the other side.  This defense finished #4 in the NFL in yards per play allowed last year.  They dominated the game at Houston in Week 1.  And they kept the Titans out of the end zone until the second half last week before finally wearing down late. 

The Jags play in London every year.  They won their London game in 2015.  They won their London game last year, developing a following in the UK and at least some semblance of a home field edge at Wembley.  This is the first ever game that the Ravens have played outside the continental US.  Put it all together and the Jags catching more than a field goal are a clear choice for this bettor.  Take the Jaguars.

 

Pick Released on Sep 21 at 02:40 pm

Dennis Macklin

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Saints vs Panthers
Play on: Saints +6 -115 at Bovada
Game Analysis

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, September 24, 2017, is on the New Orleans Saints

The Saints are watching their season circle the drain after their 0-2 start and the urgency will be amplified here with a trip to face the Dolphins in London on deck. Its same ole, same ole for the Whodats who was supposed to be much improved on defense but have already allowed 65 points, 52 FDs, and 1075 yards in the first two games. That said, Cam is far from 100% and unable to play with the reckless abandon that made him so effective two years ago. The Panther defense is yet to give up a touchdown but this is Drew Brees, not Brian Hoyer. New Orleans is a perfect 9-0 L9 as a division dog and has covered the last four in the series. 

After going 85-57 in college football last year, No.3 on the network and 164-106 in all football No.1, the Mack Attack is 16-10 No.9 this year and is on a current 12-5 run in college football. This is going to be a monster week where I will be playing 20-25 plays between Thursday and Monday. We're going to make a ton, BET ON IT!

Pick Released on Sep 19 at 04:45 pm

Darryl Tucholski

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Browns vs Colts
Play on: Browns PK -130 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

1* play on the Cleveland Browns. The Colts let the Cardinals linger last week, eventually costing themselves the game in overtime 16-13. Cleveland will be able to establish the run, meaning Crowell should carry this game, the Browns defense should have no issues limiting the Colts.

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 07:54 pm

Cappers Club

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Falcons vs Lions
Play on: OVER 50½ -115
Game Analysis

Falcons vs. Lions Over 50.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Falcons and the Lions face off on Sunday and with two explosive offenses, this game is going to be a shootout.

Both of these teams average over 28 points per game on this young season, and with two explosive quarterbacks this might be a race to the first team to 40 points. 

Both of these defenses have looked decent so far this year, but the Lions especially haven't played a quarterback like Matt Ryan.

I think he will have no issues picking apart their defense. There will be very little defense played in this game.

Some trends to note. Over is 13-2-1 in Falcons last 16 vs. NFC. Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Back the Over.

5* Cappers Club FREE Play.

Good Luck, Cappers Club.

Pick Released on Sep 23 at 12:14 am

Ray Monohan

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Browns vs Colts
Play on: Browns -1½ -110 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Cleveland Browns -1.5

It's extremely rare for the Browns to be a road favorite. However, in this spot, they are worth a move. 

Cleveland has looked much better through the first two games than they have in previous seasons. The defense is actually playing with some passion and drive as they've been able to keep Cleveland close in both games. Allowing just 22.5 points through the first two, this defense will see a Colts offense without Andrew Luck, a huge plus.

The Colts offense is averaging just 11.0 points and they haven't had any sort of consistency or success when it comes to throwing or running the ball. That is a huge red flag entering here, especially given how swarming this Cleveland defense has been.

Some trends to note. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

While it's quite a different feeling to lay points with this Browns team, the Colts are simply bad without Luck in the backfield.

Back Cleveland.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Pick Released on Sep 21 at 11:55 pm

Larry Wallace

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 4:05 PM in 1d
NFL | Seahawks vs Titans
Play on: Seahawks +3 -120 at betonline
Game Analysis

Write up coming soon

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 01:11 pm

Marc Lawrence

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Texans vs Patriots
Play on: Texans +14½ -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Play - Houston Texans (Game 471).

Edges - Texans: 4-0 ATS away versus a foe off an away game… Patriots: 2-13-2 ATS as home favorites with a .500 or less record following a previous home loss under Bill Belichick. With the Texans owning 195 YPG the better defense and playing with double revenge from a pair of losses suffered to New England, including a playoff loss, we recommend a 1* play on the Texans.  Thank you and good luck as always.

> Look: Marc nailed all four of hisTop Rated 10* NFL Game Of The Month plays last season. His Top Rated 10* NFL Game Of The Month Sunday involves both coaches and both quarterbacks in career situations in which they have all each NEVER LOST the money.  If you’re serious about winning then you know exactly what to do!  

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 02:29 pm

John Martin

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Dolphins vs Jets
Play on: Jets +6½ -115 at Bovada
Game Analysis

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets +6.5

Just plug your nose and back the New York Jets and thank your bankroll after.  It's not going to be the popular side, but I think it is the right side Sunday.  Nobody wants to touch the Jets after their 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS start.  But keep in mind they have played both games on the road at Buffalo and at Oakland.  Now they have their first home game and will be fired up for it.  The Miami Dolphins are a bottom half of the league team, but since they beat the Chargers last week, they are getting some respect.  They shouldn't be because the Chargers basically handed them the game.  And this is an awful traveling spot for the Dolphins.  They spent last week out in California, then they traveled back to Miami this week.  Now they'll have to travel up to New York.  That's a lot of time spent on an airplane.  I don't think we see the Dolphins' best game here because of it.  The Jets are a live dog this week.

*#4 Ranked Overall Capper in 2016!* I am riding an 839-747 Overall Run that has my $1,000/game bettors up $56,950! That includes a 50-38 NFL Run dating back to last season! Crush your book in Week 3 with my Sunday All-Inclusive NFL 5-Pack for $49.99! This card features TWO 5 Unit BEST BETS in the Texans/Patriots & Falcons/Lions games today! You are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Monday's NFL plays for FREE!

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 08:35 pm

Scott Spreitzer

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 9:30 AM in 22h
NFL | Ravens vs Jaguars
Play on: Jaguars +3½ -105 at Bovada
Game Analysis

I'm taking the points with the Jaguars on Sunday (9:30 AM ET kick).  The UK has adopted the Jaguars as their unofficial team and Jacksonville has responded the last two years winning and covering both games (2-2 overall).  They beat the Bills 34-31 two years ago as a 3 1/2 point underdog and beat Indy last season 30-27 as a 1 point underdog.  While there are some new faces, the Jags understand what it takes to prep for this trip.  Neither team gets next week off, which is tough scheduling, but while the Jags have the Jets up next, you can forgive the Ravens if their minds are looking ahead just a bit to a divisional rivalry clash with hated Pittsburgh.  Baltimore is off to a 2-0 start, but against weak opposition. They haven't had to test deep waters, ranked 31st in yards passing per game, but we expect the Ravens to have to put the ball in the air more this week. Jacksonville has been strong against the run thus far, and they have run the ball well on offense, ranked 9th in the league on the ground.  While it's a short sample size the Jags have covered four of their last five since last season and they have covered four straight in this series.  Jacksonville lost 19-17 but covered a 3 point spread last season after winning 22-20 as a 5 point dog in 2015. We'll grab the points again with Jacksonville in Sunday's early contest in London. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Pick Released on Sep 22 at 09:33 pm

Joseph D'Amico

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 4:05 PM in 1d
NFL | Seahawks vs Titans
Play on: Seahawks +3 -125 at Bovada
Game Analysis

I am 3-1 my L4 NFL releases and a perfect 3-0 in NFL Totals. This Sunday I have my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH, 23-4-1 HIGH ROLLER, and my AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH. Grab an umbrella cause it's going to rain money this Sunday.

SUNDAY'S NFL FREE WINNER: Seattle Seahawks.

Game 481.

1:05 pm pst.

The Seattle OL has been read the riot act by HC, Pete Carroll. So look for a much-improved performance this week. Quick-footed, Russell Wilson has a solid ball-carrier in RB, Chris Carson to keep the Tennessee defense honest as he will get the passing game going and take advantage of a Titans secondary without Safety, Jonathan Cyprien. Tennessee's Derrick Henry and DeMarco Murray have to deal with a ferocious, front-7 of Seattle and a defense that is yielding just 13.0 PPG. The 'dog in this series is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS the L7 games played in Week 3 while the Titans are 7-22-2 ATS their L31 games played at home. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Pick Released on Sep 23 at 01:43 am

Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Sep 24 '17, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Saints vs Panthers
Play on: Saints +6 -115 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Free Pick on Saints +

Analysis will be posted shortly   

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Pick Released on Sep 23 at 04:39 am

For a list of overall free plays with analysis in all current sports for Saturday and this week, visit the free picks page.

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