Free MLB Baseball Picks

1* Free Sharp Play on Indians +140

My money is on the Indians to cash in a win and nice little payout at New York. Cleveland has lost the first 2 in the series and will be extra motivated to avoid the sweep. Indians starter Aaron Civale has made 4 starts in 2019 and has posted a 1.50 ERA and 0.958 WHIP. Cleveland is 13-4 in their last 17 during Game 3 of a series and 35-17 in their last 52 after losing the first two games in a series. Bet the Indians +140! 

Asher Wojciechowski(2-6, 4.78 ERA, 56 SO)may not inspire bettors as he has lost three consecutive decisions since his very strong two-start stretch last month. He hasn't won lately but he is highly under rated as he leads Orioles starters with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Note: The last time his team won, when he was on the mound was vs Verlander and Houston as the Os got the victory via a 8-7 score. So small miracles are possible. 

I know Yarbrough the Rays starter has been impressive since the all star break, and is on a 6-0 run, but all good and bad things must come to an end. That is what Im betting on here tonight on a value line with a Baltimore team that has won 2 straight and playing with momentum. 

TAMPA BAY have lost 15 of their L/22 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - team with a lower tier  OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are just 25-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Baltimore Os to win on the ML

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Mets -125 

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts and has a 2.05 ERA during this span.  Look for him to shut down the Indians and for the Mets to continue their success at home.  The Mets are 12-1 in their last 13 home games and fans are really starting to get into it now that they are closing in on a wild card spot.  The Indians are 18-45 in their last 63 interleague road games against a team with a winning record.  The Mets are 8-0 in their last eight interleague games against a right-handed starter.  New York is 21-6 in their last 27 games overall.  New York is 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Give me the Mets.

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1* Free MLB Pick on Oakland A's +102

The A's are hot right now. Oakland has really dominated New York in each of the first two games of the series and are 15-6 in their last 21 thanks to a 6-1 mark over their last 7. A's aren't exactly racking up a ton of hits, but they have scored 6 or more in 5 of their last 7, including 6 a piece in each game against the Yankees. 

I like them to stay hot at the plate here against NY's Masahiro Tanaka. Tanaka is one of those guys with ridiculous home/away splits. Hes' 7-2 with a 3.26 ERA in 14 home starts, yet is a mere 2-4 with a 6.48 ERA in 11 road starts. He's also been much worse in night games compared to day games. He has a 5.86 ERA in 13 night starts and a 3.20 ERA in 12 day starts. Needless to say this is the spot to fade Tanaka. 

A's are a rock-solid 11-2 in their last 13 during Game 3 of a series. They have also won 21 of 28 at home against a right-handed starter and 35-16 at the Coliseum overall. Take Oakland! 

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Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: New York Yankees -109 

The New York Yankees should be highly motivated for a win tonight.  They have lost three straight overall, including the first two games of this series to the Oakland A’s.  They certainly want to avoid the sweep and take Game 3 tonight. 

Masahiro Tanaka is 9-6 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in his last two starts while allowing just 2 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings.  Tanaka is 3-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in five career starts against the A’s as well. 

Tanner Roark is 7-8 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.391 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 2-6 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Roark lost his only career start against the Yankees last season giving up 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 3-0 defeat. 

The Yankees are 32-13 with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  New York is 42-18 in its last 60 games overall.  The Yankees are 11-1 in Tanaka’s last 12 starts.  New York is 84-40 in its last 124 games following a loss.  Bet the Yankees Thursday.

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Play - NY Yankees w/Tanaka (Game 965). 

Edges - Yankees: Tanaka 11-1 last twelve overall starts … Athletics: Roark 5.30 ERA with 1.65 WHIP last seven overall starts … We recommend a 1* play on the Yankees.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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The MLB Comp play for Thursday is to play the Over in the Tampa Bay at Baltimore game at 7:10 eastern. This game should post over 9.5 runs as 14 of the last 20 in the series have gone over and we note from the database that Road favorites of 200 or higher have gone over the total the last 10 times if both teams scored 5+ runs at home last out. Tampa has gone over in 5 of 6 on the road vs a righty and 8 of the last 8 Divisional games. Balty has flown over 9 of 11 on Thursday and 17 of 24 as a home dog of 175 or more. Wojciehowski for the Orioles has a 6.28 Era over his last 3 starts and Yarbrough has lost his last 3. The Birds are 20 of the last 30 over vs a winning team. Play this one over the total.  and cash out. RV- GC Sports

Thursday card has TOP NFL Preseason Power pack with Week 3 specific systems, 2 of the games are rated 5*. In bases we have the American League Game of the Month headlining. MLB Comp play below.

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My free play is on the Oak A's 9:37 ET. The Oakland A's took three of four from AL West rival Houston this past weekend and with last night's 6-4 win over the Yankees, have clinched their second straight series win over a division leader on their current nine-game homestand. Khris Davis, Marcus Semien and Stephen Piscotty all homered in Wednesday's 6-4 victory, Oakland's SEVENTH in its last nine games. The 73-53 A's (.579) are in a virtual tie with the 74-54 Rays (.578) for the AL's second wild card and sit just a half-game back of the Indians for the top wild card berth. The Yankees have now lost three straight for the first time since July 25-27 at Boston and while they still own a 'healthy' NINE-game lead over Tampa Bay in the AL East, the 83-45 Yanks have fallen behind the 84-44 LA Dodgers for MLB's best record. The A's go for a sweep Thursday night, as New York's Masahiro Tanaka (9-6, 4.56 ERA) squares off against  Oakland's Tanner Roark (7-8, 4.01 ERA).  Tanaka's won his last two starts, allowing just two ERs over 14.1 innings in wins at Toronto and home against Cleveland. He has made five career starts versus Oakland, going 3-2 with a 2.53 ERA. Roark has pitched well for Oakland in his three starts since being acquired from Cincinnati, allowing two ERs or less in each one while going 1-1 (team is 2-1) with a 2.53 ERA. Roark made his lone career start against the Yankees back on June 12, 2018, when he permitted three runs over six innings in a loss at New York while with Washington. The AL East-leading Yankees take the field tonight having lost 20 of their last 27 games in Oakland and Tanaka can hardly be trusted on the road. Yes, he beat Toronto 1-0 on Aug 11 with eight scoreless innings, but in his previous four road starts he had allowed 27 ERs over just 15.2 innings (that's a 15.51 ERA, giving him a 6.48 road ERA in 11 starts in 2019). A's get the home sweep. Good luck...Larry

Dave’s Thursday Free Play: 

1* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120) 

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers are a ridiculous 50-16 at home this year.  They are winning their home games by 2.4 RPG on average.  And they should win by multiple runs tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays thanks to their advantage on the rubber.  Kenta Maeda is 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 11 home starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Jacob Waguespack, who is 3-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 6 starts this year.  But Waguespack has faced the Mariners, Tigers, Royals and Rays (twice) with his only good lineup faced being the Red Sox.  He yielded 4 runs and 9 base runners in 4 2/3 innings to Boston.  Now he faced a potent Dodgers lineup tonight.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

Free Play on Indians -170

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