Brandon Lee

Friday's Free NBA Pick: Golden State Warriors -7

I'll take my chances with Golden State as a 7-point home favorite against Chicago. The Warriors are a different team when they play at the Chase Center. Golden State is 9-1 SU at home this season. Warriors also seem to be inching closer to looking like the team that won it all last year. I look for them to be motivated coming off a 3-pt loss at Dallas. Warriors haven't dropped back-to-back games in nearly a month (lost 5 straight from Oct. 29 to Nov. 4). This is also not an ideal spot for Chicago. Bulls have to be running on fumes right now. Chicago is playing their 5th game of a 6-game road trip that started last Wednesday. They just lost 113-132 at Phoenix and I think we could see a similar type of score in this one. Give me the Warriors -7! 

Brandon Lee is working on a Red-Hot 57% (64-48) All-Sports Run dating back to the beginning of November! 

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9* NCAAB Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER: Maryland Terrapins -1.5

I'll take my chances with Maryland as a small 1.5-point home favorite against Illinois. It's been an impressive start for the Terps under first year head coach Kevin Willard. Maryland is 7-0 and can really define their season with a 4-game stretch that has them facing Illinois, Wisconsin, Tennessee and UCLA. I just feel like they are right there with the top teams in this conference and with how much home court means in the Big Ten, you got to give the edge here to Maryland. This is also a bit of a tricky spot for Illinois, coming off a 73-44 blowout win over Syracuse and having a showdown with Texas at Madison Square Garden on deck next Tuesday. Give me the Terps -1.5! 

9* NBA - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Miami Heat +8.5

I'll take my chances with the Heat as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. This will be a rematch from Wednesday. Boston won and covered as a 10-point favorite in a 134-121 win. It's been quite a run for the Celtics, who are now 14-1 over their last 15 with a 10-2 ATS record in their last 12. Not saying they will lose the rematch, but I do like Miami to put up more of a fight. Not as easy for Boston getting motivated to play the same team, especially after beating them the previous time out. Celtics could also be looking ahead to a 6-game road trip against the likes of the Nets, Raptors, Suns, Warriors, Clippers and Lakers. Give me the Heat +8.5! 

10* NCAAF Utah/USC Pac-12 PLAY OF THE MONTH: USC Trojans -2.5 

I'll take my chances with USC as a 2.5-point favorite against Utah in the Pac-12 Championship Game in Las Vegas (Allegiant Stadium). I like the Trojans to get their revenge on Utah, as the Utes handed them their only loss of the season so far. The first meeting came back on Oct. 15. Utah won that game 43-42. The Utes scored a TD with 48 seconds to play and instead of kicking an extra point to send it to OT, they went for 2 and got it. 

It's pretty amazing what Lincoln Riley has done in his first year at USC and when you look at how far Oklahoma has fallen without him, it's pretty safe he's a big part of it. So is, quarterback Caleb Williams. Thing is, isn't an elite Heisman producing QB what Riley has had with his teams at Oklahoma that made the playoffs. 

He's certainly going to have his team ready to play in this game. Riley made 4 Big 12 title games in his tenure with the Sooners and Oklahoma won all 4. Their smallest margin of victory was 6 points with 3 of the 4 coming by a touchdown or more. 

I don't think facing Williams a second time is going to make any easier on this Utah defense either. He's going to make plays. On the flip side, I think having seen this Utah offense will benefit the Trojans. At the end of the day, I just don't see the Utes scoring enough to win this one. Give me USC -2.5!