Brandon Lee Sports Picks

50* BREWERS/REDS MLB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Reds -123)

I got no problem laying a short number here with the Reds at home. Cincinnati has gone 7-1 over their last 8 and now have a legit shot at playoff berth. I know the Brewers are also playing well, but not only are the Reds at home, they have a slight edge on the mound. 

Cincinnati will turn to Luis Castillo, who has a strong 3.19 ERA in 10 starts. He's got a 2.25 ERA in 4 home starts and a sensational 1.23 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Nothing fluky about his numbers either, as he owns a 2.61 FIP and 2.84 xFIP. 

Brandon Woodruff will start for Milwaukee and he's got a 3.45 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in 10 starts. Solid numbers, but nothing special. Advanced numbers are pretty similar with a 3.46 FIP and 3.53 xFIP. Woodruff also owns a not so great 4.97 ERA in 5 career starts against the Reds. Give me Cincinnati -123! 

PICK - Cubs/Pirates UNDER 8.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 912

I like the value here with the UNDER 8.5 between the Cubs and Pirates. These two offenses are simply not swinging the bat well right now. Chicago scored a whopping 2 runs over their 3-game series with the Twins. Cubs are hitting .216 as a team over their last 7 games. 

As bad as that looks, the Pirates offense has been even worse of late. Pittsburgh is scoring just 2.6 runs/game and hitting a mere .168 as a team over their last 7. Which isn't far off from their season averages of 3.6 and .216. 

Jon Lester will start for the Cubs, while Pittsburgh sends out J.J. Brubaker. Both have had their struggles in 2020, but both are coming in off a strong start. Lester has allowed just 2 runs over his last 2 starts. Brubaker gave up just 1 run in 5 1/3 innings at Cincinnati in his last start. He also recently held the Cubs to just 1 earned run in 5 innings. Play the UNDER 8.5! 

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40* SAINTS/RAIDERS MNF VEGAS INSIDER (Raiders +6) 

I'm going to put my trust in Jon Gruden and the Raiders as a near touchdown dog at home on Monday Night Football. I just feel there's too much value with Las Vegas to pass up. 

I know the Saints pulled away from Tom Brady and the Bucs in their 34-23 Week 1 win and cover, but I wasn't all that impressed with New Orleans. At least not to the extent of others. Drew Brees was only 18 of 30 for 160 yards (5.3 per attempt). New Orleans as a team only had 271 total yards. They still don't have Mike Thomas and he's such a huge part of what they do offensively. 

Raiders snuck out a 34-30 on the road in Week 1 at Carolina. Plenty Las Vegas has to work on, but I thought they ran the ball really well with Jacobs and Booker. Derek Carr also played well. I think they can play ball control and keep the possessions down. If they do that, they might win this game outright. Give me the Raiders +6!