Dan Kaiser

The San Francisco 49ers visit the Seattle Seahawks in an NFC playoff game. San Francisco ended the regular season with a 12-5 record and won 23-19 over Philadelphia in an NFC wildcard game. Seattle finished at 14-3, finishing first in the NFC West and receiving a bye into the divisional round. The 49ers have won four of the last five games, while the Seahawks have won seven in a row. Christian McCaffrey is the key part of the offense. McCaffrey rushed for 1,202 yards, and he also led the 49ers in receiving yards with 924. Seattle Seahawks Sam Darnold finished the regular season with 4,048 passing yards, with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Kenneth Walker III leads the ground game with 1,027 rushing yards on 221 carries. Zach Charbonnet added 730 rushing yards with 12 rushing touchdowns. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who had 1,793 receiving yards on 119 catches with 10 touchdowns. San Fran has scored just 20 points in two combined games against Seattle. The 49ers are dealing with injuries to some key players and will be without George Kittle. As long as Sam Donald stays within himself and doesn’t turn the ball over, Seattle will roll the 49’ers once again.

Play on Seattle. This is a 3% play.

The Buffalo Bills finished the season at 12-5 overall and 8-9 ATS. The Denver Broncos were 14-3 this season and were 7-9-1 ATS. Buffalo went 5-1 in its last six games of the season. Buffalo is 6-3 on the road this season. Josh Allen has recorded 3668 passing yards and a 25:10 TD to INT ratio. James Cook has 1621 rushing yards on the season. Dalton Kincaid sustained a foot injury against the Jaguars and is questionable for this game. The Bills' pass defense is ranked first in the NFL, while their rush defense ranks 28th. Buffalo is averaging 28.3 points and is giving up 21.5 points. Denver finished the seasonon a two-game winning streak. Denver stands at 8-1 at home this season. Bo Nix has passed for 3931 passing yards, with a 25:11 TD to INT ratio. J.K. Dobbins is dealing with an injury and is not ready for this game. The Broncos' defense ranks in the top five in many categories. The pass defense is seventh, while the rush defense is  2nd. Denver is scoring an average of 23.6 points on the season and allowing 18.3 points, which is 3rd in the NFL. As good as Allen and Cook have been, their wide receivers have been bad and could be worse if Kincaid can’t go. The Bills were not very good against man-to-man defense, and nobody played more man-to-man the Dneve. This will allow them to concentrate on stopping Cook and putting pressure on Allen. 

Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play.

Duke is out west to play Stanford in an ACC matchup. Duke is 16-1 this season. The Blue Devils are putting up 85.8 points per game on 50% shooting. On the defensive end, they aregiving up 65.9 points oer game. Stanford comes in at 14-4. The Cardinal are putting up 77.9 points per game on 43% shooting from the field. They are giving up 71.7 pointsper game on the defensive end. Duke is the far better team in terms of scoring, defending, and shooting. That offensive efficiency will be what carries Duke to the win and cover. 

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BYU is 16-1 on the season and is putting up 87.5 points per game on 49% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 68.8 points per game. Texas Tech is 13-4 this season. They are putting up 83.4 points per game on 47% shooting. They are giving up 73.2, a game on the defensive end. BYU has the better offense, defense, and shoots better. They also have the best player on the floor. TT will need to control the boards and play more physically. Give me the points with the better team.

Play on BYU. This is a 3% play.

The Michigan State Spartans travel west to face the Washington Huskies in a Big Ten matchup. Michigan State is 15-2 overall and 5-1 in conference play. Washington is 10-7 overall and 2-4 in Big Ten play. Michigan State is putting up 79.0 points per game while allowing just 64.2 points.  Michigan State has won four of its last five. Washington is putting up 81.1 points per game, but is giving up 73.6 points per game. Michigan State should be able to control the pace with the edge in rebounding and its defense. Washington has struggled to get defensive stops consistently in conference play. Take MSU to win and cover easily.

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The Alabama Crimson Tide will be on the road Saturday afternoon against the Oklahoma Sooners. Alabama is ranked 18th with a 12 -5 record. They have won three of their last five games. The Oklahoma Sooners are 11-6 this season and have lost three in a row. Alabama is putting up 93.7 points a game on 46% shooting from the floor. On the defensive end, they are giving up 82.6 points per game. Oklahoma is putting up 84.1 points per game on 47% shooting from the field. During their losing streak, that number has dropped to 69.3 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 74.2 points per game, with that number rising to 83.6 points per game during their three-game losing streak. Alabama is the better team, and they are playing the better basketball. Alabama has an elite offense that will overpower Oklahoma’s defense. 

Play on Alabama. This is a 3% game.

The Buffalo Bills finished the season 12-5 overall and 8-9 ATS. The Denver Broncos were 14-3 this season and 7-9-1 ATS. Buffalo went 5-1 in its last six games. The Bills are 6-3 on the road this season. Josh Allen has recorded 3668 passing yards and a 25:10 TD-to-INT ratio. James Cook has 1621 rushing yards this season. Dalton Kincaid sustained a foot injury against the Jaguars and is questionable for this game. The Bills' pass defense is rated 1st in the NFL, while the rush defense ranks 28th. Buffalo is averaging 28.3 points and giving up 21.5 points. Denver finished the season on a two-game winning streak. Denver stands at 8-1 at home this season. Bo Nix has passed for 3931 yards, with a 25:11 TD-to-INT ratio. J.K. Dobbins is dealing with an injury and is not ready for this game. The Broncos' defense ranks in the top five in many categories. The pass defense is seventh, while the rush defense is 2nd. Denver is scoring an average of 23.6 points this season and allowing 18.3 points, which is 3rd in the NFL. As good as Allen and Cook have been, their wide receivers have been bad and could be worse if Kincaid can’t go. The Bills were not very good against man-to-man defense, and nobody played more man-to-man than Denver. This will allow them to concentrate on stopping Cook and putting pressure on Allen. Take the Broncos at home.

Play on Denver on the money line This is a 3% play.