Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Giants/Red Sox UNDER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants have one of the worst offenses in baseball in their current state after trading away Arraez, coupled with all their injuries.  They have scored 2 runs or fewer in five of their last seven games overall.  The Red Sox have been riding their pitching to get back into playoff contention.  They have scored 4 runs or fewer in eight of their last 12 games.

Sonny Gray should shut down the Giants.  He is 15-3 with a 2.65 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 6-1 with a 2.40 ERA in 11 home starts.  Gray is 6-0 with a 1.70 ERA in seven starts against the National League this season.  He is 4-1 with a 3.16 ERA in nine career starts against the Giants as well.

Ace Logan Webb should keep the Red Sox in check, too.  Webb is 8-7 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 22 starts for the Giants this season.  He is in the midst of his best stretch of the season, allowing just 2 earned runs in 20 innings for a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts.  

The UNDER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the Red Sox and Giants with 7 or fewer combined runs in six of those nine meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

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No. 1 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has SIX Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 650-524 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $67,960! That includes a 377-294 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record three seasons ago and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result! He followed it up with an 87-66 NFL Record two seasons ago to finish as the No. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25 as well!

Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230!

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15* NFLX PLAY OF THE DAY on Denver Broncos -6

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/Padres OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins are a dead nuts OVER team going 71-55-2 OVER in all games.  They are scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 5.0 runs per game.  They are as healthy as they've been all season offensively and it is showing.  They have scored at least 4 runs in four straight coming in.

The Padres are also going through their best offensive stretch of the season to help get them back in playoff contention.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 12 of their last 15 games.  Look for both offenses to have their way with these two suspect starting pitchers tonight.

The Padres have been crushing left-handed pitching all season.  They should light up lefty Connor Prielipp, who is 3-6 with a 5.34 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.15 ERA in seven road starts.  He has allowed 14 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He is backed by a terrible Minnesota bullpen with a 4.71 ERA this season.

Randy Vasquez is a weak link in this San Diego rotation.  He is 8-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 19 starts and five relief appearances with just 71 K's in 111 innings.  He has allowed 12 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings in his last four starts.

The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven straight meetings, and 9 or more combined runs in five straight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Orioles OVER 7.5

This total of 7.5 is too short between the Rays and Orioles tonight.  The Rays and Orioles have combined for at least 7 runs in eight consecutive meetings, and 8 or more runs in six of them.

Freddy Peralta has been a dumpster fire this season.  He is 5-10 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 25 starts, including 2-5 with a 6.83 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Peralta just faced the Rays in his last start allowing 2 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 10-2 victory.  Getting to see him again just five days later is a huge advantage for Baltimore hitters.

Trevor Rogers is 8-8 with a 4.15 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 4-5 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 home starts.  Rogers also faced the Rays on August 16th opposite Peralta.  Getting to see him again in 5 days in advantage for Tampa Bay hitters, too.  Rogers has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Phillies OVER 8

The Phillies have been an offensive juggernaut since trading for Luis Arraez.  The Phillies have scored 4 runs or more in 18 of their last 20 games overall, including 6 runs or more in five of their last six.  The Cardinals have been much more potent offensively since calling up Joshau Baez.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 13 games.

The Phillies should stay hot against Hunter Dobbins and this taxed St. Louis bullpen.  Dobbins is 3-3 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in seven starts and three relief appearances this season.  He just faced the Phillies on August 10th, allowing 3 runs and 7 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-5 loss.  Getting to see him so quickly again is an advantage to these Philadelphia hitters.

Jesus Luzardo has big home/road splits this season and has been much worse in Philadelphia.  He is 4-5 with a 4.75 ERA in 12 home starts this season.  Both bullpens leave a lot to be desired with Philadelphia having a 4.31 ERA and St. Louis a 4.27 ERA this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.