Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Detroit Tigers -113

The Detroit Tigers are one of the hottest teams in baseball going 8-1 in their last nine games overall with all eight wins coming by 3 runs or more.  They are getting back into the AL Central race and will be motivated to finish strong in their final series before the All-Star Break against the Philadelphia Phillies.

I give the Tigers a big advantage on the mound tonight with how well Jack Flaherty is pitching of late.  He is 2-1 with a 1.90 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 5 earned runs and zero homers in 23 2/3 innings with 28 K's.  Flaherty is 1-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in three career starts against Philadelphia.

Aaron Nola is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 3-6 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  Nola has allowed 60 earned runs and 19 homers in 92 innings.  He has allowed at least two homers in four of his last five starts.  Bet the Tigers Friday.

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Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230! He has delivered a 288-240 MLB Run since last season!

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20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays -107

The Tampa Bay Rays have a big advantage on the mound over the Seattle Mariners in Game 1 of this series tonight and should be much bigger favorites as a result.  They also have the much better lineup scoring 4.5 runs per game compared to 4.1 runs per game for the Mariners.  They are the better team playing the better baseball.

Nick Martinez is 7-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 17 starts for the Rays this season.  He'll be opposed by Luis Castillo, who is 3-7 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 14 starts and three relief appearances this season.  Castillo is 1-2 with 5.32 ERA in his last four starts against the Rays, and 1-2 with a 5.28 ERA in three career road starts at Tampa Bay.  Bet the Rays Friday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rockies/Giants OVER 8

The Rockies and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 12 of their last 15 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in nine of those 15 games so they are swinging the bats very well.

The Giants are 7-1-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall going for 9 or more combined runs in all 10 games.  They have scored 6 runs or more in five of their last eight games overall and are swinging the bats well also.  This total of 8 is too short tonight.

That's especially the case when you consider both hot lineups get to see the same two starting pitchers for the 3rd time in just over a month.  Tanner Gordon allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 innings in his two starts against the Giants on May 31st and July 5th.  Opposite Gordon was Robbie Ray for one of those starts, and Ray allowed 6 runs, 4 earned, and 15 base runners in 10 innings in his two starts against the Rockies over that same time frame.

Gordon is 0-2 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.59 WHIP this season while allowing 35 earned runs and 11 homers in 45 1/3 innings.  Ray is 8-6 with a 3.45 ERA in 17 starts this season.  But Ray is 7-6 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 24 career starts against the Rockies.  

The Rockies and Giants have combined for at least 10 runs in seven consecutive meetings, making for a 7-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Nationals OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Yankees and Nationals in Game 1 of this series tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's for the entire game so it will be hot and humid and the ball should be flying out.

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 54-36-4 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.3 runs per game.  The Yankees are scoring 4.8 runs per game, and they finally are getting healthier and swinging the bats well again.  They just had 11 and 14 hits in two of their last three games against the Rays.

The Yankees will stay hot against the Nationals today.  Opener Carson Palmquist is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA this season.  He'll be followed by Zack Littell, who is 7-6 with a 5.02 ERA while allowing 48 earned runs and 22 homers in 86 innings.  The Nationals also have one of the worst bullpens in baseball with a 5.02 ERA this season.

But the Nationals will also crush Ryan Weathers, who is 3-7 with a 4.29 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 4.64 ERA in six road starts.  Weathers has allowed at least 4 earned runs in five of his last nine starts.  He has posted a 6.20 ERA in four career starts against the Nationals, allowing 14 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.