Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Monday: New Orleans Pelicans +9.5

This looks like a good time to 'sell high' on the Golden State Warriors.  They have won seven consecutive games coming into this game including a 126-119 (OT) win over the short-handed Magic at home on Saturday.  They have a big stretch coming up with road games at Houston and San Antonio next that they could be looking ahead to.

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Pelicans after a 139-123 upset loss at the Clippers last night.  So the Pelicans will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, and I think this number has been adjusted up too much for it.  Nobody played more than 31 minutes for the Pelicans last night, and they have some of the best depth in the NBA to handle these back-to-backs better than most.

While New Orleans is just 4-6 this season, four of those six losses have come by 6 points or less.  The Pelicans rarely get blown out.  Asking the Warriors to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  Bet the Pelicans Monday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 8-plus years! He is riding a 7309-6374 Run L3346 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $332,310! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $195,320 since January 1st, 2022!

No. 2 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has SIX Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 691-555 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $74,850! That includes a 418-325 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record three seasons ago and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result! He followed it up with an 87-66 NFL Record two seasons ago to finish as the No. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25 as well!

Jack has delivered a 732-607 Run on all premium plays since February 11th! That includes a 105-57 Run on all top plays rated 20* or higher and a 25-12 Run L4 Days on all premium plays after a big weekend! Jack is the KING of Monday Night Football with a 116-72 MNF Run over his last 188 releases! 

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Monday 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a pair of top play winners in his 20* Bills/Vikings ESPN No-Brainer on the pro gridiron alone with his 20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on the pro hardwood! You'll receive 1 NFL, 2 NBA & 2 CBB plays in all upon purchase tonight folks!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Tuesday's entire card is ON JACK!

15* CBB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Illinois State +15.5

Purdue is in worse shape heading into the 2026-27 season than I have seen in a long time from this program.  The Boilermakers lost their four best players in Braden Smith (14.3 PPG, 8.8 APG), Trey Kaurman-Renn (14.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG), Fletcher Loyer (14.1 PPG, 112 3-pointers) and Oscar Cluff (10.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG).  The only starter they brought back was CJ Cox (8.5 PPG).

Omer Meyer (5.5 PPG) and Daniel Jacobsen (5.5 PPG) are both going to be asked to fill the massive shoes left by those four players.  They are also relying on Princeton transfer Caden Pierce and Gicari Harris (4.6 PPG) to join Meyer, Jacobsen and Cox as the starters.  It's easy to see why Purdue was picked to finish 6th in the Big Ten this season, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Boilers drop further.

That has played out thus far losing 78-72 to Gonzaga as 5.5-point dogs on a neutral, and then getting upset 83-80 (OT) at home by Valparaiso as 19.5-point favorites.  Only Jacobsen and Cox are averaging double figures scoring for the Boilermakers, who are clearly down several notches this season.  And I don't think it's being factored into the line against Illinois State enough tonight, either.

Illinois State is among the favorites to win the Missouri Valley this season and it's easy to see why. The Redbirds brought back three starters from a team that went 23-13 last season.  CHase Walker (13.7 PPG, 5.5 RPG) and Johnny Kinzinger (11.5 PPG) are the leaders who are back.  Kinzinger (23.0 PPG) is off to a blistering start, and Walker (9.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG) has been solid too.  Xavier transfer Malik Messina-Moore (17.0 PPG) has been solid as well.

Illinois State went on the road in its opener and gave St. Mary's everything it could handle in a 90-85 (OT) loss as 7.5-point dogs.  St. Mary's is one of the toughest places to play in the country.  The Redbirds got back in the win column with an easy 100-55 win over Central State and are primed to give the Boilermakers a run for their money tonight.  Bet Illinois State Monday.

15* CBB Monday Night Line Mistake on Minnesota +7

I like former Colorado State head coach Niko Medved and believe he will turn this Minnesota program around.  He went 15-18 in his first season, but not he has three starters back in what should be one of the most improved teams in the Big Ten.

The Gophers bring back G Asuma (10.9 PPG, 3.7 APG), F Durkin (10.2 PPG, 80 3-pointers) and F Crocker-Johnson (13.4 PPG, 6.8 RPG) as one of the rare teams in the country that brings back three or more starters.  They beat North Dakota 85-50 in their opener and took care of a pesky St. Thomas team 76-62 last time out.  Asuma (16.5 PPG), Crocker-Johnson (15.5 PPG) and Durkin (10.5 PPG) are doing a good job of leading this team again this season.

I'll gladly fade Cincinnati, a team in a rebuilding year under first-year head coach Jerrod Calhoun.  All five starters and eight players who averaged at least 5.7 points per game are gone from last year's team.  It has been a shaky start with a 79-53 win over American and a 81-64 win over Green Bay.  There's not a lot to like about this team outside Utah State transfer MJ Collins and Wake Forest transfer Myles Colvin, the only two Bearcats averaging in double figures scoring thus far.  Bet Minnesota Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Lakers/Hawks OVER 236

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Atlanta Hawks.  The Lakers have gone 7-3 OVER in tehir last 10 games overall finishing with 237 or more combined points in seven of those 10 games.  The Hawks have gone 2-0 OVER in their last two games overall finishing with 271 and 245 combined points.

The Hawks rank 2nd in pace and 11th in offensive rating this season which makes them an OVER team.  The Lakers are an OVER team as long as Luka Doncic is playing, which he will be tonight.  The Lakers rank 1st in the NBA in offensive rating this season largely due to Luka, who would likely be the MVP if the season were to end today.  But he plays no defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks ML -119

The Lakers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 121-116 win in Detroit last night.  That followed up their 124-118 win over the Blazers in the NBA Cup on Friday.  They will now be playing their 9th game in 14 days and are likely the most tired team in the NBA right now playing their 3rd back-to-back during this stretch with no more than one day off in between any game.

Austin Reaves has been ruled out for the Lakers, but they will get Luka Doncic back tonight.  They aren't nearly as potent when they don't have both on the court at the same time.  The Hawks are fully healthy and ready to go for this one.  They have won four consecutive games coming in and will be looking forward to the opportunity to take down the visiting Lakers.  Bet the Hawks Monday.

20* Bills/Vikings ESPN No-Brainer on Buffalo -3

The Buffalo Bills are one of the best teams in the NFL and deserve their 6-1 record.  The Minnesota Vikings are nowhere near as good as their 6-1 record would indicate.  That's why I'm laying the -3 with the Bills here against the Vikings in a game where that sentiment will come to fruition.

The Bills have arguably the best offense in the NFL scoring 33.3 points per game, averaging 393.1 yards per game and 6.5 yards per play.  This despite not having DJ Moore for a big chunk of the season, and you can tell how much better the offense is with him on the field as it opens everything up for everyone else, including TE Kincaid.

The Vikings have one of the worst offenses in the NFL.  They are scoring 20.0 points per game, averaging 279.4 yards per game and 5.0 yards per play.  Carson Wentz will get the start tonight and the Vikings haven't been any better with him at QB than Kyler Murray, so it's not an upgrade.  If anything I believe Murray is better because he is at least mobile.  Wentz is a statue who will make throws downfield, but he will also make more mistakes than Murray does.

The Bills are as healthy as they have been all season defensively.  They came out of their bye with their best defensive performance of the season, shutting down the Ravens in a 36-10 victory.  They held the Ravens to just 144 total yards and 3.2 yards per play.  No question it was aided by QB injuries to the Ravens, but those numbers are impressive nonetheless.  They will have no problem shutting down this weak Minnesota offense, either.

The Vikings finally faced a real offense last week and lost 19-15 to the Lions.  They were outgained by 118 yards by the Lions and allowed 384 yards and 6.0 yards per play to Detroit.  The only other real offense they faced this season was the Packers, and they allowed 387 passing yards to Jordan Love.  This Minnesota defense can be had, and Josh Allen and the Bills will make them look average.

Allen owns Brian Flores.  He is 6-0 in his career against Minnesota's defensive coordinator and the Bills are scoring a whopping 36 points per game in those six meetings.  Allen has a 16-to-2 TD/INT ratio in those six games as well.  Allen is 10-2-1 ATS as a road favorite of -3 or less in his career.  Allen is 12-5 SU & 12-4-1 ATS in road games against good defenses that allow 20 or fewer points per game.  The Vikings are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games after facing the Lions, failing to cover by 9 points per game.  Carson Wentz is 0-8 SU in his last eight starts as a home underdog.  Bet the Bills Monday.