Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Tigers/Rangers OVER 7.5

The Detroit Tigers have come to life offensively and lived up to their potential here heading into the All-Star Break.  The Tigers have scored 4 runs or more in seven consecutive games, including 6 runs or more five times.  They have gone for 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and this total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving the Tigers right now.

The Rangers are also quietly swinging the bats well scoring 4 runs or more in 12 of their last 14 games.  They have gone 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in six of those.  The Tigers and Rangers combined for 14 runs and 28 hits in Game 1 yesterday, and it should be more of the same today with a big step down in starting pitcher quality.

Jack Flaherty is 1-8 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  He is 1-5 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.908 WHIP in eight road starts.  Flaherty has allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Kumar Rocker is 1-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings to the Twins in his last home start.  Rocker also allowed 5 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against the Tigers this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

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15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Marlins/A's OVER 11

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11 ticket between the Marlins and A's tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park.  It was a similar forecast last night when these teams combined for 17 runs in Game 1, and it should be more of the same in Game 2 tonight.

The Marlins are red hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in eight of their last 10 games overall, including 10 runs or more in three of their last five during a 4-1 OVER run.  The A's have gone for 12 or more combined runs in five of their last eight games during their 5-3 OVER run.

Sandy Alcantara has posted a 5.27 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in nine road starts this season allowing 33 earned runs and 9 homers in 56 1/3 innings.  Alcantara allowed 5 earned runs in 7 innings in his lone career start against the A's, which came at home.

Aaron Civale is 2-3 with a 6.83 ERA and 1.99 WHIP in six home starts this season.  He has allowed 21 earned runs, 6 homers and 55 base runners in 27 2/3 innings at home.  He has posted a 10.29 ERA in his last five starts overall allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 21 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Rockies OVER 12

The Rockies are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games overall going for 13 or more combined runs in seven of those nine games.  That includes 5-1 OVER in their six home games during this stretch with 14 or more combined runs in five of those.  The Giants have gone 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 12 ticket between the Giants and Rockies again tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center.  These teams combined for 18 runs yesterday, and the OVER is now 3-0-1 in four meetings in Colorado this season with 18, 25, 11 and 14 combined runs.

Robbie Ray is 2-5 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in eight road starts for the Giants this season.  Ray is 6-6 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 23 career starts against the Rockies.  The OVER is 3-0 in his last three starts at Colorado.

Sean Sullivan is 0-2 with a 8.64 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in four starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 31 base runners in 16 2/3 innings.  The Rockies have a 5.11 ERA as a bullpen and a 5.83 ERA at home.  The Giants have a 4.52 ERA as a bullpen and a 4.74 ERA on the road.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cardinals/Cubs OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs are a dead nuts OVER team right now.  They have gone 11-3 OVER in their last 14 games overall going for 8 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games, 10 or more in 10 of them, and 13 or more in nine of them.  They have scored 8 runs or more eight times.

After combining for 16 runs with the Braves on Thursday, the Cardinals came back for 18 combined runs with the Cubs on Friday.  They did the heavy lifting in both games scoring 11 runs against the Braves and 17 runs against the Cubs.  They will stay hot at the plate tonight as well.

Shota Imanaga is 1-3 with a 6.75 ERA in his last eight starts while allowing a whopping 33 earned runs and 15 homers in 44 innings.  Imanaga allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-5 loss to the Cardinals in his lone start against them this season.

Kyle Leahy has been awful on the road this season going 3-1 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in seven road starts.  He has allowed 21 earned runs, 9 homers and 57 base runners in 35 1/3 innings on the highway this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.