Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Detroit Tigers -103

The Detroit Tigers will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series with the Cleveland Guardians.  They are now 0-6 against the Guardians this season with each of their last five losses coming by two runs or fewer, including three by a single run.

The Guardians just lost their heart and soul in Jose Ramirez to a hamate bone fracture for at least a month.  Their already stagnant offense just got a lot worse.  The Tigers had been raking heading into this series going 7-2 in their previous nine games while scoring 4 runs or more in eight of those nine games.

Casey Mize is 2-3 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in nine starts for the Tigers this season while allowing just 12 earned runs and 2 homers in 47 2/3 innings.  Mize has posted a 2.93 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in six career starts against Cleveland.

Gavin Williams is 9-3 with a 3.32 ERA in 14 starts for the Guardians this season.  But he has had the propensity to give up the long ball allowing 13 homers in those 14 starts.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the Tigers Sunday.

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15* MLB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Dodgers/White Sox OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the White Sox and Dodgers today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Chicago.  Runs should be plentiful as a result.

Emmet Sheehan is 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA in 12 starts for the Dodgers this season, including 1-2 with a 5.61 ERA in five road starts.  Erick Fedde is 1-5 with a 4.69 ERA in eight starts and five relief appearances this season.  These two gas cans are in line to get rocked given today's forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Angels OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.  The Rays are capable of covering this total on their own.

Grayson Rodriquez has been an absolute dumpster fire for the Angels.  He is 2-2 with a 8.49 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in five starts this season.  That includes 1-2 with a 10.31 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in four home starts, allowing 21 earned runs, 4 homers and 39 base runners in 18 1/3 innings.  He is backed by a poor Angels bullpen with a 4.62 ERA this season.

The Rays will be making this a bullpen game starting with Casey Legumina.  Their bullpen has been a weakness this season with a 4.71 ERA on the season and a 5.01 ERA on the road.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Tampa Bay Rays -115

The Rays will be highly motivated for a victory today to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Los Angeles Angels.  I like their chances considering the starting pitcher for the Angels today.

Grayson Rodriquez has been an absolute dumpster fire for the Angels.  He is 2-2 with a 8.49 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in five starts this season.  That includes 1-2 with a 10.31 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in four home starts, allowing 21 earned runs, 4 homers and 39 base runners in 18 1/3 innings.  He is backed by a poor Angels bullpen with a 4.62 ERA this season.  Bet the Rays Sunday.

20* Rangers/Red Sox MLB Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and Red Sox tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.  This shapes up to be an absolute slug fest between two offenses that are a lot healthier right now than they have been all season.

Nathan Eovaldi is 5-7 with a 4.26 ERA in 13 starts this season while allowing 15 homers already.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts.  He has posted a 4.78 ERA in 11 career starts against Boston, including a 4.97 ERA in six career starts at Fenway Park.

Connelly Early is a big regression candidate for the Red Sox.  He has also had a problem giving up the long ball allowing 12 homers in his 13 starts this season.  He has allowed 7 homers in his last five starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Cardinals/Twins Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Cardinals and Twins today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Minnesota.  It was a similar forecast the last two days when these teams combined for 17 runs in Game 1 and 15 runs in Game 2.  It will be more of the same in Game 3 today.

The Twins are 46-25-1 OVER in all games this season scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  Minnesota is 14-3-1 OVER in its last 18 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of their last 15 games.  The Cardinals are 6-2-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Orioles OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Padres and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Baltimore.  It has been similar forecasts the last two days with 10 and 12 combined runs, but this forecast is even better for runs.

Walker Buehler is 2-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in road starts for the Padres this season.  Trevor Rogers is 3-6 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 12 starts for the Orioles this season.  These two gas cans are in line to get rocked today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mariners/Nationals OVER 10

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 43-25-3 OVER in all games this season scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.3 runs per game.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket today with temps in the 90's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The Mariners are 8-2-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall going for 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games.  They have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last eight games.  They will stay hot against one of the worst starters in baseball in Miles Mikolas, who is 1-5 with a 5.90 ERA in 61 innings this season.

The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Mariners and Nationals with 9 or more combined runs in all six games and 10 or more in five of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.