Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Cardinals/Dodgers OVER 7.5

The St. Louis Cardinals are going through their best offensive stretch of the season while going 11-1-1 OVER in their last 13 games overall.  They have gone for 8 or more combined runs in 12 of those 13 games, so this total of 7.5 is pretty short for a game involving the Cardinals right now.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of those 13 games.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 6 runs or more in three consecutive games and I expect them to do the heavy lifting in this game to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket.  They should crush rookie Quinn Matthews, who is 1-2 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in four starts this season.  Matthews is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 10 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 innings.

Tarik Skubal commands respect from the books which is why this total is so low.  But the Cardinals got to Yamamoto last night, and they can do enough damage off Skubal to contribute to this total.  He has a 3.53 ERA in 11 home starts this season.

Both bullpens are pretty taxed right now after these teams combined for 21 runs in Game 1 with a combined 9 relievers used, and then 14 runs in extra innings in Game 2 with another 10 combined relievers used.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 8-plus years! He is riding a 7117-6223 Run L3279 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $304,490! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $167,500 since January 1st, 2022!

No. 3 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered SEVEN Top-7 CFB Finishes L14 Years (#1 2024, #2 2012, #3 2018, #3 2014, #5 2016, #6 2020, #7 2017) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 1211-1017 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $97,320! He finished as the No. 1 Ranked CFB Capper in 2024-25!

Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230!

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15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Mariners OVER 7

Seattle's bats have finally come to life scoring 8 runs or more in three consecutive games.  The Mariners have gone 11-4 OVER in their last 15 games overall with 7 or more combined runs in 13 of those 15 games.  This total of 7 is too short for a game involving the Mariners right now.

The same can be said for the A's, who have gone 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all four.  In fact, the A's and their opponents have combined for at least 7 runs in 29 of their last 32 games overall.  This total of 7 is too short for a game involving the A's as well.

That's especially the case when you consider both the A's and Mariners are starting rookie pitchers tonight.  And neither has been very good.  Jack Perkins is 3-10 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 12 starts and 20 relief appearances for the A's this season.  He has allowed 68 earned runs and 18 homers in 95 1/3 innings.  Kade Anderson is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts for the Mariners, allowing 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings.

The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the A's and Mariners with 7 or more combined runs in six of those seven games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Brewers/Cubs NL Central No-Brainer on OVER 8

Two of the best offenses in the National League square off again tonight.  The Cubs are scoring 5.4 runs per game while the Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field again tonight.

It has been a similar forecast for the Cubs in their last six home games where they combined for 18, 22 and 12 runs with the Reds, and then 20 runs in Game 1, 13 runs in Game 2 and 14 runs in Game 3 of this series with the Brewers.  The books have failed to set the number high enough for it being hot and the wind blowing out, and they have failed to do so again tonight with this total of 8 in Game 4 Thursday.

The Cubs got to Jacob Misiorowski last night, and they will get to Logan Henderson tonight.  I stated Miz was due some regression yesterday, and I think the same is in store for Henderson after a fantastic start to his season.  He has had a propensity to give up the long ball with 9 homers allowed in his last 8 starts.  The Cubs just hit 62 homers in the month of August alone.  They have scored 56 runs in their last six games for an average of 9.3 runs per game.

The Brewers have scored 9 runs or in consecutive games and 8 runs or more in four of their last eight games.  They will stay hot against Kevin Gausman, who is 8-11 with a 4.58 ERA in 28 starts this season and in the midst of one of the worst seasons of his career.  Gausman allowed 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 9-7 win over the Brewers in his last start against them on April 14th. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* UAB/Illinois CFB Thursday Night BAILOUT on OVER 54.5

Illinois opened last season going 5-1 OVER this 54.5-point total in its first six games with 55 or more combined points in five of those six games.  The only game they didn't reach this number was against a Western Michigan team with one of the worst offenses in the country, and one with a very good defense.

UAB is a dead nuts OVER team that went 10-2 OVER this 54.5-point total in all games last season with 55 or more combined points in 10 of those 12 games.  The Blazers will remain a dead nuts OVER team after hiring their offensive coordinator from last season in Alex Mortensen.  He was their interim coach after Trent Dilfer was fired and now gets the full-time gig.

Both teams are in much better shape offensively than they are defensively heading into Week 1.  That's especially the case for UAB, which must replace all 11 starters on defense.  The Blazers allowed 38.3 points per game last season and won't be any better defensively this season.  Illinois can name its number on this UAB defense.

The Blazers bring back QB Ryder Burton who made two starts last season and threw for 708 yards and 7 TD while completing 63.3%.  Mortensen was able to recruit some nice pieces on offense including former Georgia RB Rod Robinson and RB Bam McReynolds, who rushed for 637 yards at ULM last year.  WR Kaleb Brown is back, and they added seven talented WR transfers.  Two starters return on the offensive line and Mortensen is confident in this group.

Illinois must replace all seven starters along its front seven defensively this season.  That leaves major question marks, as does the fact that they have a new defensive coordinator in Bobby Hauck.  But the Fighting Illini return four starters on offense and add in four more starters from the FBS level.  Their offense shouldn't miss a beat this season.

That's especially the case since they nabbed East Carolina transfer Katin Houser at QB.  He threw for 5,306 yards and 37 TD the last two seasons at ECU.  Each of their top three rushers return, and two of their top three receivers are back.  Bret Bielema always has a solid offensive line and I trust he will again even with four new starters.

Temps will be in the 80's with no wind and no rain Thursday night in Champaign. It will be perfect scoring conditions, and I expect both offenses to have their way with these two defenses as this game sails OVER this 54.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.