Jack Jones

15* Padres/Brewers NLDS ANNIHILATOR on San Diego +180

The San Diego Padres were one of the best teams in baseball over the final four months of the season.  They are on a 19-3 run in their last 22 games overall.  Their offense came to life scoring at least 4 runs in 18 of their last 20 games, including 7 runs or more in 12 of their last 19 contests.  The outscored the Cubs 12-1 in sweeping the Wild Card series.

If I'm going to fade arguably the best starter in baseball in Jacob Misiorowski, I want to do so with a hot lineup like the Padres.  They have a ton of confidence coming into this series and I could see them getting to Misiorowski.  But I expect this game to be close throughout, and the Padres have the best bullpen in baseball for my money to get over the hump in the final innings at a big underdog price.

Robbie Ray is having another solid season going 13-8 with a 3.59 ERA in 30 starts and one relief appearance.  He is good enough to keep the Padres in this game in the early going and get it to their elite bullpen.  Rust may be a factor for the Brewers as well after being off for the last week.  They haven't had a meaningful game since clinching the best record in the NL in the final few days.  That rust will show up offensively.  Bet the Padres in Game 1 Saturday.

15* White Sox/Guardians ALDS Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +135

The Chicago White Sox have a big advantage on offense over the Cleveland Guardians.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game compared to 4.2 runs per game for the Guardians.  Cleveland was fortunate in close games this season, and its luck will run out in the playoffs, starting with Game 1 of this series with the White Sox.  Cleveland may be rusty too after not playing a meaningful game in a week.

Chicago outscored Houston 13-6 while sweeping the ALWC series.  They didn't look intimidated at all and looked like they belong.  Now they have their sights set on revenge on the Guardians, who stole the division from them.  This will be the ultimate revenge to knock them out of the playoffs.

The White Sox opened Game 1 against Houston with reliever Hagen Smith.  He went 3 shutout innings to get the White Sox off to a great start in that series and looked ready for the moment.  He is one of the top prospects for the White Sox and a future star in their rotation.  Smith has posted a 1.16 ERA and 0.94 WHIP this season, allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 31 innings with 42 K's.

No question Parker Messick is the ace of the Guardians at 12-9 with a 2.56 ERA in 32 starts this season, including 5-4 with a 2.90 ERA in 16 home starts.  But the White Sox are very familiar with him.  In fact, this will be his 5th start against the White Sox this season alone.  That is to Chicago's advantage having seen him this many times, and they have hit 3 homers off him in his last two starts.  Bet the White Sox in Game 1 Saturday.

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Cincinnati +7

The Cincinnati Bearcats are flying under the radar this season after losing QB Sorsby to Texas Tech.  Scott Satterfield is fighting for his job and the Bearcats are responding thus far with an impressive 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS start this season.

After beating Boston College 34-15 as 7-point favorites and Western Carolina 62-10 as 36.5-point favorites, the Bearcats suffered a bit of a letdown leading into Big 12 play.  They only beat Miami Ohio 35-31 as 15.5-point favorites on a neutral.  That's also a sneaky rivalry game that Miami gets up for every year.

The Bearcats proved they were for real with a 31-26 upset win as 6-point home dogs against Kansas State in their Big 12 opener last week.  There was nothing fluky about that win as the Bearcats put up 8.5 yards per play and rushed for 271 yards on the Wildcats.  They held K-State to 5.6 yards per play, outgaining them by 2.9 yards per play.  That's a K-State team that beat Washington State 34-7.

Arizona just played Washington State last week and was life and death in a 34-24 road victory as 10.5-point favorites.  The Wildcats fell to 0-4 ATS as they have been one of the most overrated teams in the country.  They failed to cover against Northern Arizona and Northern Illinois, and they lost 28-17 at BYU as 6.5-point dogs.

The Wildcats have been without their best WR in Gio Richardson since the BYU game and he is questionable to return this week.  They have cluster injuries at TE and will be without Cole Rusk.  They also have cluster injuries at LB and safety defensively.  

That will make it difficult to contain this impressive Cincinnati rushing attack, which has produced 270 rushing yards per game and 6.5 per carry.  QB JC French is completing 74.5% of his passes with a 6-to-0 TD/INT ratio while averaging 8.5 yards per pass attempt.  He is also proving to be a dual-threat with 164 rushing yards and 4 TD on the ground.

This line should be much closer to 3 than 7, so getting a full TD with the Bearcats is great value this week.  Bet Cincinnati Saturday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 8-plus years! He is riding a 7202-6277 Run L3309 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $330,920! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $193,930 since January 1st, 2022!

No. 3 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered SEVEN Top-7 CFB Finishes L14 Years (#1 2024, #2 2012, #3 2018, #3 2014, #5 2016, #6 2020, #7 2017) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 1243-1037 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $107,300! He finished as the No. 1 Ranked CFB Capper in 2024-25!

Jack is off to a 32-21 CFB Start this season to add to his 64-39 CFB Run since last season! He has delivered a HOT 70-40 Run L23 Days to add to his 625-509 Run on all premium plays since February 11th! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Saturday College Football 9-Pack for $69.95! Leading the charge are FOUR 20* Top Plays along with 5 totals in all as he adds to his 413-316 Run on Football Totals!

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15* Ohio State/Iowa Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Iowa +14.5

Iowa is one team that you can't use advanced stats on or common stats to handicap its games.  The Hawkeyes do the little things well, which is special teams, field position and turnovers that often get overlooked in the betting market.  They have a way of playing to their level of competition, which is why they can beat anyone and lose to anyone, but overall it's a winning strategy that has worked wonders for Kirk Ferentz for years.

The Hawkeyes are a sleeper to win the Big Ten this season.  They finally have a legit offense which was evidenced by putting up 507 yards on Northern Illinois in a 40-0 victory.  They led 33-0 by halftime before calling off the dogs and still put up 507 yards.

They also beat Northern Iowa 55-0 behind 640 total yards.  I know it's an FCS team, but Iowa's offense is improved and wouldn't have put up that many points and yards on NIU and Northern Iowa in the past.  I think their 16-13 win over Iowa State has them undervalued.  That rivalry game is always close, and Iowa State is better than most anticipated.

I backed Iowa +5.5 last week with success against Michigan.  They had the cover in the bag, but went 90 yards on the final drive and won on a walk off dime from Hank Brown in his best throw of the season in a 20-19 win in Ann Arbor.  That's the type of play and throw that will give Brown a ton of confidence moving forward in this Big 12 season.  He actually has legit weapons in WR Diaz and TE Vonnahme, who have NFL futures.

This Iowa rushing attack is as good as it has been in a long time with a deep stable of RB's and one of the best offensive lines in the country.  The Hawkeyes are rushing for 215.5 yards per game and 6.5 per carry.  They have the usual elite Phil Parker defense, holding opponents to 8.0 points per game, 239.8 yards per game and 4.1 yards per play this season.

This Ohio State defense is not as good as most years with 6 draft picks lost.  The Buckeyes are especially sub-par along the defensive line, and I give Iowa's offensive line the advantage here.  Ohio State allowed a big 2H comeback by Texas in a 24-23 loss.  But most concerning was allowing 462 yards and 6.5 per play to Illinois last week.  They allowed 199 rushing yards and 6.0 per carry to the Fighting Illini, so Iowa will have plenty of success on the ground with a better rushing attack than Illinois and Texas.

Iowa's defense is vulnerable to dual-threat QB's like Bryce Underwood of Michigan, who had one of the best games of his career against Iowa in a losing effort.  The Hawkeyes are much better against pocket QB's like Julian Sayin of Ohio State.  He has just 7 rushing yards on the season.  That's one less thing this Iowa defense has to worry about.  Their sole focus will be stopping WR Jeremiah Smith, who is having a Heisman-caliber seasons.  But there's a big drop off from him to their No. 2 receiver.  He has 20 more receptions and 452 more receiving yards than Devin McCuin.

Kinnick Stadium provides one of the biggest home-field advantages in the country for the Hawkeyes.  Just last year, Iowa only lost 20-15 as 9-point dogs to eventual national champion Indiana at home.  Also last year, Iowa lost 18-16 as 6-point home dogs to Oregon, one of the best teams in the country.  Now the Hawkeyes will give Ohio State a run for its money as 14.5-point home dogs, a much bigger number than those two big home games last year.  Bet Iowa Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Temple +6.5

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on Temple and 'sell high' spot on South Florida this week.  The Owls are much better than their 1-3 record indicates when you look at the box scores, and the Bulls are much worse than their 4-0 record indicates when you dive into the numbers as well.

Temple is 1-3 SU but 3-1 ATS this season.  After beating Rhode Island 38-14 as 14.5-point favorites in the opener, the Owls lost 27-9 as 24.5-point dogs to Penn State in a game effort back when Penn State was rolling offensively with a healthy Howard at WR.  The 49-48 (OT) loss to Toledo was brutal blowing a 14-point lead in the final minutes.  The 21-17 loss to Army as 3.5-point dogs last week was nearly as bad as they outgained Army by 144 yards and should have won.

South Florida opened with a 19-9 win over FIU as 14.5-point favorites.  The Bulls were outgained by FIU by a whopping 173 yards in a very misleading final.  They trailed that same Army team by 10 points late in the 4th quarter but escaped with a 28-24 win as 3.5-point dogs.  They beat Delaware State 59-17 before only beating Bowling Green 14-6 as 18.5-point favorites last week.  They were actually scoreless going into the 4th quarter against a Bowling Green defense that gave up 56 points to Nebraska and 55 to Iowa State in its previous two games.  Bowling Green may be the worst FBS team in the country, and it took USF to the wire.

Temple has an extra day of rest after losing to Army last Friday.  That extra time to recover and refocus for another conference game here is big.  USF is 'fat and happy' after a 4-0 start and ripe for the upset.  The Bulls also have a big game on deck against UTSA on Thursday on a short week.  After managing just 214 total yards and 4.0 per play against Bowling Green and 208 total yards and 3.7 per play against FIU, this USF offense isn't good enough to be asked to win by a TD or more to beat us this week.  I strongly feel Temple is the better team and we likely won't need the 6.5 points this week, but we'll take them for some insurance.  Bet Temple Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Kentucky/South Carolina OVER 53

Kentucky now has an offensive-minded head coach in former Oregon offensive coordinator Will Stein.  This Kentucky offense has improved rapidly this season scoring 34.5 points per game while averaging 6.8 yards per play despite a tough schedule that has featured Alabama and Texas A&M.  I love QB Kenny Minchey, who is completing 68.3% of his passes with a 8-to-1 TD/INT ratio.

South Carolina boasts a more up-tempo offense this season.  The Gamecocks are scoring 38.5 points per game while averaging 499.3 yards per game and 6.9 yards per play.  Veteran QB LaNorris Sellers has thrown for 833 yards and 6 TD, while also rushing for 244 yards and a score on 6.8 per carry.  This South Carolina rushing attack has been elite rushing for 262 yards per game and 6.6 per carry.  The Gamecocks will get whatever they want on the ground against Kentucky.

Both defenses are clearly down this season, and South Carolina just suspended its best defender for this game in DE Dylan Stewart after he threw a punch last week.  The Gamecocks lost 5 NFL draft picks on defense from last season as all five were drafted in the first four rounds.  They just allowed 49 points, 489 yards and 8.6 yards per play to Alabama last week.  Kentucky allowed 45 points to Alabama, and it just allowed 21 points in the 1H alone to South Alabama and a backup QB last week.

The Wildcats are 3-1 OVER in all games this season finishing with 52 or more combined points in all four games.  The Gamecocks are 3-1 OVER in all games this season finishing with 54 or more combined points in all four games.  This total of 53 is too short today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida/Missouri OVER 56.5

Florida is a dead nuts OVER team with one of the best offenses in the country behind coordinator Buster Faulkner.  The Gators are 3-1 OVER in all games this season going over the total by an average of 26 points per game.  They went for 87 combined points with FAU, 83 with Auburn and 80 with Ole Miss.  This total of 56.5 is too low for a game involving the Gators, who are going to get their points against everyone.

Florida is averaging 53.5 points per game, 532.8 yards per game and 7.6 yards per play.  RB Jadan Baugh has 600 rushing yards and 11 TD already while averaging 7.2 per carry.  His backup Duke Clark has rushed for 259 yards and 3 scores at 8.1 per carry.  QB Aaron Philo followed Faulkner from Georgia Tech.  He is completing 72.4% of his passes with a 7-to-2 TD/INT ratio, while also rushing for three scores.

I like Missouri QB Austin Simmons, who beat out Trinidad Chambliss at Ole Miss last year before getting hurt.  He is one of the most talented QB's the Tigers have had in a long time.  Simmons has a 11-to-0 TD/INT ratio this season and is stretching the field with a lot of deep passes outside the numbers.  Cayden Lee and Donovan Olugbode has combined for 46 receptions, 708 receiving yards and 9 TD from Simmons as a proven duo.

Missouri went for 68 combined points with Pine Bluff and 59 points with Kansas in its first two games before playing a grinder against a Troy team with a good defense but a limited offense that also plays slow.  Last week's 31-24 loss to Ole Miss finished with 55 combined points but should have finished with more considering the teams combined for 913 yards of total offense.  That game staying under the 58.5-point total is providing us value to back the OVER at 56.5 against Florida this week, a team with a better offense than Mississippi State.

Both defenses have looked vulnerable in SEC play.  Florida allowed 39 points to Auburn, which is an Auburn offense that has been underwhelming against everyone else.  They allowed 7.0 yards per play to Ole Miss last week.  Missouri allowed 499 yards and 6.4 per play against Mississippi State last week.  That was really the only offense they played with a pulse thus far.  Florida will get what it wants offensively against this Missouri defense that lost a lot of talent to the NFL and brought back just two starters this season.

The forecast looks perfect for a shootout Saturday with temps in the 70's, no wind and no precipitation in Columbia.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on West Virginia +3.5

The Iowa State Cyclones took a ton of money again this week.  They opened around +1 and were bet up to -3.5-point favorites as of the time I submitted this pick.  This comes after opening around +12.5 and being bet down to +7.5 last week against Utah.  That money was dead wrong.  This money will be dead wrong, too.

I think Iowa State is getting too much respect for blowout wins over FCS SE Missouri State and Bowling Green, which is one of the worst teams in all of FBS.  They also played Iowa close, but that's a rivalry game that is played close almost every year.  They had it handed to them by Utah last week.

Utah beat Iowa State 31-17 in Ames.  The Utes jumped out to a 21-0 lead and never looked back.  They averaged 6.8 yards per play on offense compared to 4.3 yards per play for Iowa State offensively.  Most concerning were the 28 missed tackles by Iowa State defensively in that game that allowed the Utes to rush for 205 yards and 6.2 per carry.

Those missed tackles will be a problem again this week against a run-heavy, fast-paced West Virginia offense that will keep coming and test the depth of this Iowa State defense, which isn't very good.  The Mountaineers are averaging 294.8 rushing yards per game and 5.1 per carry this season despite a tough schedule.  That includes 247 rushing yards in their 38-27 win over Virginia and 335 rushing yards in their 41-24 loss to Oklahoma State last week.

And that 41-24 loss to the Cowboys is what has the Mountaineers underred.  Keep in mind Oklahoma State beat Oregon too and had better numbers against Oregon.  The weakness of this WVU defense is its pass defense, and Oklahoma State lit it up for 389 passing yards.  Well, Iowa State has one of the worst passing offenses in the Big 12.

The Cyclones are only averaging 164.8 passing yards per game this season.  Jaylen Raynor is only completing 54.3% of his passes despite a ton of dump offs to running backs.  He's just not a very accurate passer, and the Cyclones don't have the talent at receiver to exploit this WVU pass defense.  Their leading receiver has 156 yards through four games.  Bet West Virginia Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Alabama/Mississippi State OVER 59.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams with elite offenses square off in Starkville Saturday in what should be an absolute shootout.  Alabama is 4-0 OVER in all games this season with 67 or more combined points in three of its four games.  Kalen DeBoer has this offense humming.

The Crimson Tide are averaging 48.0 points per game and 7.1 yards per play this season.  They finally have a running game this season averaging 188.3 rushing yards per game.  It helps having a dual-threat QB in sophomore Keelon Russell.  He is competing 70.9% of his passes for 1,129 yards and 8 TD, while also rushing for 168 yards and 3 TD.

Jeff Lebby has this Mississippi State offense humming per usual.  The Bulldogs rank 6th in tempo snapping the ball every 23 seconds.  He has possibly the best QB in program history in Kamario Taylor, who is completing 69.2% of his passes for 1,192 yards with a 14-to-2 TD/INT ratio.  Taylor has also rushed for 185 yards and a score.  He leads a Mississippi State offense scoring 43.0 points per game, averaging 533.3 yards per game and 7.5 per play.

Alabama has scored at least 45 points in all four games this season despite playing Kentucky, FSU and South Carolina already.  The Crimson Tide will get their points in this one, too.  Mississippi State has scored at least 31 points in all four games despite facing Minnesota, South Carolina and Missouri already.  I expect both teams to get 30-plus in this one as this sails OVER the 59.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah State +20.5

The Boise State Broncos are overvalued off a 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS start to the season.  Now they are being asked to win by three touchdowns to beat us, which is asking too much.  They are still getting a lot of credit for their 7-point loss to Oregon, but they were outgained by 223 yards by Oregon and should have lost by more.

They went on to beat Memphis 38-20, but they allowed 519 yards and 10.0 yards per play to Memphis in another misleading final.  Their 38-24 win over South Dakota as 28.5-point home favorites was unimpressive.  Their 32-7 win at Western Michigan as 7.5-point road favorites last week is what really has them overvalued.  That was a big game for both teams with Group of 6 playoff implications, and after that win this is a bit of a letdown spot for the Broncos.

Utah State is undervalued after a 1-3 SU & 2-2 ATS start this season against a brutal schedule.  The 29-17 loss to Idaho State in the opener was very misleading.  They outgained Idaho State by 166 yards but were -4 in turnovers to give the game away.  Idaho State is a Top 5 FCS team to boot.  I always like backing teams after a loss to a FCS opponent because it's the type of loss that lingers in bettors' minds.  Had they been dominated in the stats too I would be concerned, but they weren't.

Utah State came back with a near upset of Washington in a 16-14 road loss as 28.5-point dogs.  They were only outgained by 75 yards by the Huskies.  They went on to lose 33-0 at Utah, but Utah looks like the best team in the Big 12 to this point.  They finally got their first win last week in a 21-10 home win over Troy as 3-point favorites.  That's a Troy team that nearly upset Missouri on the road the previous week.  They outgained Troy 7.0 to 4.9 yards per play, or by 2.1 yards per play in a dominant effort.

Despite playing similar strength of schedules, Utah State clearly has the better defense.  The Aggies are only allowing 5.1 yards per play this season, while the Broncos are allowing a whopping 7.0 yards per play.  Their glaring weakness on defense makes me really question their chances as a playoff team.  Their leaky defense will be a problem all year.

Utah State wants revenge from a 25-24 home loss to Boise State last season.  The Aggies have the goods this season to hang with the Broncos, just like they hung with Washington on the road in a 2-point loss in one of the toughest environments in college football.  Bet Utah State Saturday.

20* MWC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Wyoming/North Dakota State UNDER 46

Both North Dakota State and Wyoming are mirror images of one another, NDSU just does it better.  Both features run-heavy, slow-paced offenses and rely on defense to win games.  NDSU ranks 129th in tempo snapping the ball every 30.5 seconds, while Wyoming ranks 115th at 29.1 seconds.  There will be very few possessions in this game and fewer opportunities for points as a result.

North Dakota State is 3-1 UNDER in all games this season.  They beat Jacksonville State 33-7 for 40 combined points, Fordham 38-0 for 38 combined points, and Sacramento State 31-10 for 41 combined points.  The lone over was an aberration as both NDSU and Air Force finished with fewer than 400 yards of offense each and it went for 70 combined points.

NDSU is averaging 40 rush attempts compared to 24 pass attempts per game.  They aren't even running it that well averaging 4.0 yards per carry.  But this NDSU defense is elite, allowing 12.3 points per game, 254.8 yards per game and 4.3 yards per play.  I wouldn't be surprised if they come close to shutting out Wyoming in this one.

This Wyoming offense is horrid.  The Cowboys average 17.8 points per game, 326.5 yards per game and 5.6 yards per play.  And they have faced a very soft schedule of Colorado State, Northern Colorado, Central Michigan and Hawaii.  They only managed 13 points against Colorado State, which just gave up 59 points to UTSA and 41 points to BYU the last two weeks.  The Cowboys also only scored 21 points against FCS Northern Colorado and 10 points against Central Michigan.

Wyoming does have a solid defense that will hold North Dakota State in check enough for us to cash this UNDER 46 ticket.  The Cowboys allow just 20.5 points per game this season.  They held Hawaii to 10 points last week at home.  It will be windy with 10-15 MPH winds for this one, which will affect passing and kicking games and slow down both offenses.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big Ten TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Purdue/Illinois OVER 61.5

Purdue is a dead nuts OVER team going 4-0 OVER in all games this season.  They went for 63 combined points with Indiana State, 74 with Wake Forest, 90 with UCLA and 59 with Notre Dame, which has the best defense in the country for my money.  This total of 61.5 is actually too short for a game involving Purdue right now.

Illinois is also a dead nuts OVER team.  The Fighting Illini are 4-0 OVER this season, going for 63 combined points with UAB, 58 with Duke, 58 with Southern Illinois and 61 with Ohio State.  Both teams have great offenses but terrible defenses, and this should be a shootout as a result.

Illinois is scoring 34.0 points per game and averaging 7.0 yards per play on offense.  ECU transfer Katin Houser has been great, completing 68.6% of his passes for 1,021 yards with a 9-to-2 TD/INT ratio.  Collin Dixon has 30 receptions for 430 yards and 7 TD and is the next great Illinois receiver.  The Fighting Illini are averaging 5.5 yards per carry on the ground despite a tough schedule.  What was most impressive was putting up 462 yards and 6.5 yards per play against Ohio State's elite defense last week.

The Fighting Illini switched to a 3-3-5 scheme this season but didn't have the personnel for it.  Illinois just this week mutually parted ways with defensive coordinator Bobby Hauck.  They have been lost defensively and will continue to be lost this week after allowing 518 yards and 7.6 per play to Ohio State.  They also allowed 413 yards to lowly UAB, and 6.6 yards per play to Duke.

Ryan Browne is one of the better QB's in the country that nobody knows about.  He is completing 71.3% of his passes for 1,135 yards with a 7-to-1 TD/INT ratio while averaging 8.8 per attempt despite the tough schedule.  He has led this Purdue offense to 32.0 points per game and 6.0 yards per play.

Purdue's defensive coordinator needs fired with this performance through four games.  The Boilermakers are allowing 39.5 points per game, 446 yards per game and 7.1 yards per play.  They just don't have much talent on defense.  The Boilermakers play fast on offense ranking 39th in tempo snapping the ball every 24.9 seconds, which puts a lot of pressure on that tired defense that allowed 49 points to Notre Dame's suspect offense last week.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Illinois and Ohio State.  They combined for 70 points in 2025, 99 points in 2024 and 63 points in 2023.  It should be more of the same in 2026.  The forecast looks great for a shootout with temps in the 60's, single-digit winds and no precipitation in Champaign for this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.