Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Miami Marlins +100 

The Miami Marlins just swept the Mets at home over the weekend and allowed a total of six runs in the process.  I think the great pitching continues today against the light-hitting Tigers, who have lost six straight coming in. 

Caleb Smith has been the biggest bright spot for the Marlins this season.  He is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in eight starts this year with a whopping 64 K’s in 48 innings. 

Spencer Turnbull has also put up somlikd numbers for the Tigers, but he is getting too much respect from the books here.  He is 2-3 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.253 WHIP in nine starts this season. 

The Marlins are 5-0 in Smith’s last five starts vs. a team with a losing record, including 4-0 in his last four road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Tigers are 0-7 in their last seven home games.  Bet the Marlins Tuesday.

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20* Bucks/Raptors TNT No-Brainer on Milwaukee -3 

The Milwaukee Bucks played about as poorly as they could have in Game 3.  Yet, they still forced double-overtime despite shooting just 37.3% from the field.  It was a must-win game for the Raptors in that spot, and they were fortunate to escape with a victory. 

They won’t be so fortunate in Game 4 tonight.  The Bucks aren’t going to shoot that poorly again as this has been one of the best offensive teams in the NBA this season at 117.9 points per game on 47.3% shooting.  They are loaded with great 3-point shooting to surround the unstoppable Greek Freak. 

Milwaukee is a ridiculous 22-1 SU & 19-4 ATS following a loss this season.  It is coming back to win by 15.0 points per game in this spot.  The Bucks are 12-2 ATS off a road loss this season.  They have been the most resilient team in the NBA this season.  Milwaukee is 20-7-1 ATS in its last 28 road games.  The Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  Bet the Bucks Tuesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota Twins +107 

The Minnesota Twins are one of the most underrated teams in baseball this season.  They sit at 31-16 on the year after going 6-1 in their last seven games overall.  And now we’re getting them as underdogs here again tonight. 

Michael Pineda and Trevor Cahill have both struggled, but Pineda has been better at 3-3 with a 5.55 ERA in nine starts, including 2-1 with a 4.84 ERA in four road starts.  Cahill is 2-4 with a 6.96 ERA in nine starts, including 1-2 with a 9.22 ERA in his last three. 

The Twins have a big advantage here having just faced Cahill on May 15th, rocking him for 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings.  Pineda hasn’t faced the Angels since 2017.  And Pineda likely won’t have to face Los Angeles’ No. 3 and No. 4 hitters in Ohtani (hand) and Simmons (ankle), who were both hurt last night. 

Minnesota is 11-1 in road games vs. an AL team that hits .255 or worse this season.  The Twins are 14-2 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Angels are 17-36 in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Roll with the Twins Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Texas Rangers -124 

The Texas Rangers have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall and now have a shot to get back to .500 on the season with another win Tuesday.  They are red hot at the plate right now scoring a combined 46 runs during this six-game stretch. 

The Seattle Mariners got off to a blistering 13-2 start, but they are just 10-25 since to fall to 23-27 on the season.  Tom Milone will be making his first start of the season for Seattle.  He is 3-4 with a 4.53 ERA in 10 career starts against Texas. 

Lance Lynn is 5-3 with a 4.94 ERA in nine starts for the Texas this season.  He has given up just 4 earned runs in 14 innings in his last two starts as he continues to get better.  And Lynn is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in two career starts against Seattle. 

The Mariners are 1-14 vs. a starter who strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.  Seattle is 2-12 in its last 14 road games.  The Rangers are 5-1 in their last six home games.  Take the Rangers Tuesday.