Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110)

The St. Louis Cardinals are rolling right now in winning seven consecutive games, including a three-game sweep of the New York Yankees last series.  They have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall.

The Cardinals will stay hot at the plate tonight against the Colorado Rockies.  Ryan Feltner is 1-3 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Rockies while allowing 26 earned runs in 37 1/3 innings and averaging just 4.7 innings per start.

St. Louis has the advantage on the mound behind the underrated Miles Mikolas.  He has gone 8-8 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 22 starts this season and is having the best campaign of his career.  Look for him to shut down a Rockies lineup that is scoring just 4.0 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.  They have scored 5 runs or fewer in 11 of their last 12 games overall.

St. Louis is 10-1 following seven or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Cardinals are 29-11 in their last 40 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  St. Louis is 48-22 in the last 70 meetings.  The Rockies are 2-7 in their last nine games overall.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday.

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Jack Jones has FOUR Top-10 MLB Finishes (#5 2019, #6 2014, #5 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He is riding a 231-176 MLB Run dating back to last season that has $1,000/game players up $46,320! He has delivered a 513-400 Run L254 Days on all premium plays that has $1,000/game players up $77,140 to continue crushing the books!

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15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +166

The Texas Rangers should not be nearly this big of underdogs to the Houston Astros with Martin Perez on the mound. The Astros have gone 3-4 in their last seven games overall while scoring a total of 4 runs in those four losses.

Perez is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is 9-2 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.153 WHIP in 10 road starts.

Amazingly, Perez is 9-5 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 16 career starts against Houston. He has faced the Astros twice this year while allowing just one earned run and 11 base runners in 16 innings. 

The Rangers are a perfect 10-0 in Perez's 10 road starts this season and improve to 11-0 tonight. Roll with the Rangers Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -150

Alek Manoah has been one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball over the past two seasons as he continues to deliver.  Manoah is 12-5 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in 21 starts this season to back up his incredible rookie campaign last year.

Manoah has never lost to the Orioles, going 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.672 WHIP in four career starts against them.  In his last three starts against the Orioles, he has allowed just one earned run and 10 base runners in 19 innings with 23 K's to boot.

Kyle Bradish is 1-4 with a 6.55 ERA and 1.651 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Orioles.  One of those starts came against Toronto on June 13th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings opposite Monoah in a 11-1 victory by the Blue Jays.  It will be more of the same today.

Baltimore is 3-17 in its last 20 home games following an upset win as an underdog over a division opponent.  Toronto is 6-1 in its last seven games following a loss.  The Blue Jays are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings, including 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the Blue Jays Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-135)

The New York Mets are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 12 wins by two runs or more. Add another today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds, who are 44-64 on the season and have a ton of injuries on offense right now.

The Mets have a big advantage on the mound today with Carlos Carrasco. He has really turned it on of late in going 4-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last six starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 36 innings. Carrasco has never lost to the Reds, going 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

He'll be opposed by Mike Minor, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. Minor is 1-8 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 11 starts this season whiel allowing 16 homers in 56 2/3 innings. He has posted a 4.56 ERA in 13 career starts against New York.

Minor's teams are 2-15 in his last 17 starts in the second half of the season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. Carrasco's teams are 11-0 in his last 11 starts vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot. Take the Mets on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Yankees/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7

This will be the 5th meeting between the Yankees and Mariners in the month of August already. The OVER is 3-0-1 in the first four with combined scores of 9 runs or more in all four. This 7-run total has been set too low tonight folks.

Gerrit Cole has really struggled of late in going 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 innings. One of those starts came against the Mariners last time out as he allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings.

Luis Castillo is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here. He allowed 3 earned runs and one homer in 6 2/3 innings opposite Cole in that start on August 3rd. The Yankees will feast on him getting to see him twice within a week.

The OVER is 21-7-1 in Yankees last 29 games overall.  The OVER is 15-2-1 in Yankees last 18 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 5-1-2 in Mariners last eight games overall. The OVER is 1907 in Mariners last 26 games with a total set of 7 runs or fewer. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.