Jack Jones

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Charlotte Hornets +9.5

The Charlotte Hornets are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season.  They are off to a 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS start this season.  They have a nice core of Ball, Bridges, Hayward and Washington.  They added Oubre Jr. in the offseason, which was a great move.

The Brooklyn Nets are going to be consistently overvalued this season because they are one of the favorites to win the NBA title.  But they don't have Kyrie Irving because of personal choices he has made.  And they don't have a lot of help outside Kevin Durant and James Harden.  They lost by 23 to the Bucks in their opener before coming back to beat the 76ers by 5.  Bet the Hornets Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +12

I like the spot for the Orlando Magic today.  This is a home-and-home situation.  The Knicks lost 121-96 at home to the Knicks as 8-point underdogs on Friday.  Now they come back as 12-point underdogs in New York in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment.

The Magic will be the more motivated team in the rematch.  The Knicks will feel like they just have to show up to win.  And they have a huge game on deck against the 76ers that they could be looking ahead to.

Plays against favorites (New York) - after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games against an opponent that scored 43 points or less in the first half last game are 42-15 (73.7%) ATS since 1996.  Take the Magic Sunday.

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: New York Jets +7

I like the spot for the New York Jets this weekend.  They are coming off their bye week following a loss to Atlanta in London two weeks ago.  They will be fresh, and they will be out for revenge from a 25-6 home loss to the New England Patriots in their first meeting this season.

But that game was much closer than the final score would indicate.  The Jets gave the game away by being -4 in turnovers.  They actually outgained the Patriots by 76 yards in that contest.  They had 336 yards on offense and only gave up 260 yards on defense.  Some improvement in turnovers will have them covering this game, and Rookie QB Zach Wilson will definitely benefit from the knowledge gained over these two weeks.

This is a terrible spot for the Patriots.  They are coming off three straight one-score games and haven't had their bye week yet.  They went to overtime against the Cowboys last week, which will add to their fatigue.  They are also banged up with 32 players on the injury report.  They are missing several key players on the offensive line and on defense.

Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY Jets) - a bad team that is getting outscored by 7 or more points per game after scoring 7 points or less in the first half of two straight games are 123-67 (64.7%) ATS since 1983.  The Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites.  Bet the Jets Sunday.

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Jack has FOUR Top 10 NFL Finishes (#3 in 2009-10, #4 in 2017-18, #10 2019-20, #10 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 270-218 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $28,020!

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15* NFL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Carolina Panthers -3

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Carolina Panthers.  They are coming off three straight one-score losses against some pretty good competition in the Cowboys, Eagles and Vikings.  Now they are only 3-point favorites against the lowly New York Giants.

The Giants are off to yet another 1-5 start this season.  The last two losses weren't even close as they lost by 24 to the Cowboys and 27 to the Rams.  No team has been hit harder by injuries than the Giants.  They have 22 players on the injury report with 17 out and five questionable.  They are missing a ton of weapons on offense, and Daniel Jones isn't right, either.

The Panthers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Giants are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.  The Giants are an easy team to figure out.  They consistently get too much respect at home and not enough on the road.  They have almost zero home-field advantage with the way the fans feel about this team right now.  Take the Panthers Sunday.

15* NFL Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Texans +18

It's time to 'sell high' on the Arizona Cardinals.  They're the only remaining unbeaten team in the NFL at 6-0.  They are coming off three straight huge wins over the Rams, 49ers and Browns.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for them with the perceived worst team in the NFL in the Houston Texans coming to town.

Plus, the Cardinals have another huge game with the Green Bay Packers on deck Thursday.  They will be looking ahead to that game.  They will also be playing this game just to get a win and get out of the game healthy for that Packers game.  They won't be looking to run up the score.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Texans after five consecutive losses.  I actually like what I have seen from this Houston offense the last two weeks despite the scoreboard results.  They had 360 yards and outgained the Patriots by 8 yards two weeks ago in their 22-25 loss.  They had 353 yards against the Colts last week, but just 3 points, which should be impossible.  That misleading 31-3 loss where they were only outgained by 35 yards has this number inflated with an 18-point spread this week.

Arizona is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games.  They got to play against two banged-up offenses the last two weeks in the 49ers and Browns.  The Cardinals are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as home favorites.  Roll with the Texans Sunday.

15* CFB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico State +18

The New Mexico State Aggies have been covering machines.  They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and still somehow flying under the radar.  Their only non-cover came in a 21-41 home loss to this same Hawaii team as 16.5-point dogs.

Now the Aggies are catching 18 points in the rematch and will be out for revenge.  There's reason to believe they can keep this close and possibly pull off the upset.  The Aggies actually gained 401 yards in that 21-41 loss and were only outgained by 91 yards.  They have been outgained by 91 or fewer yards in five of their last six games overall despite playing some tough competition like Nevada, Hawaii, SJSU and San Diego State, which they actually outgained.

Hawaii is 3-4 this season with its three wins coming against New Mexico State by 20, Portland State by 14 and Fresno State by 3.  The Rainbow Warriors lost by 34 to UCLA, by 18 to Oregon State, by 7 to SJSU and by 17 to Nevada.

The Aggies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss.  New Mexico State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. Mountain West opponents.  The Rainbow Warriors are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games as home favorites.  Hawaii is 16-37 ATS in its last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Rainbow Warriors are 14-30-1 ATS in their last 45 home games.  Roll with New Mexico State Saturday.

20* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Eagles +3

I think most the country was shocked to see the Raiders win 34-24 at Denver as 5-point underdogs last week.  With all the John Gruden turmoil surrounding the team it was hard to know what to expect, so I stayed away from that game.

But teams always seem to have a big effort in that first game with a new head coach.  The Raiders rallied around each other.  They also got some help with four turnovers from the Broncos.  It was an injury-ravaged Broncos team that still managed 421 yards against their soft defense.

I think it's time to fade the Raiders this week in their 2nd game back without Gruden.  They won't be nearly as motivated as they were last week.  The motivated team will be the Eagles, who have lost four of their last five and are playing for their season.  But you won't find a harder 5-game stretch all season than the one Philadelphia just faced.

The five games came against the 49ers, Cowboys, Chiefs, Panthers and Bucs.  They gave the Bucs all they wanted last Thursday in a 22-28 home loss.  And now the Eagles have had an extra three days to get ready for this game.  They come in as healthy as they have been all season.  Jalen Hurts and all that speed on offense should shred this terrible Raiders defense that is giving up 24 PPG.

The Raiders are 20-42-1 ATS in their last 63 games as favorites.  Bet the Eagles Sunday.