Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Los Angeles Angels -133

The Los Angeles Angels have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall and have now scored 5 runs or more in five straight games. They take on an Arizona Diamondbacks team that has lost seven straight and is just 5-30 in their last 35 games overall.

The Angels should be bigger favorites because of these records, but also because of their advantage on the mound. Shohei Ohtani is an MVP candidate not only for his work at the plate, but also his impressive numbers as a starter. He is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in eight starts this season.

He'll be opposed by Merrill Kelly, who is 2-6 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Diamondbacks. Bet the Angels Friday.

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15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -155

The Chicago White Sox improved to 30-4 vs. left-handed starters over the last two seasons with their 5-2 victory over the Blue Jays Thursday. They are winning by 3.8 runs per game against left-handed starters over the last two seasons.

Now the White Sox take on left-handed Tarik Skubal and the Detroit Tigers. Skubal is 3-6 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in 10 starts for the Tigers this season. He is 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in two career starts against the White Sox as well.

Lucas Giolito has returned to ace form in recent weeks. He has allowed one run or fewer in five of his last seven starts. Giolito should be more than a -155 favorite against Skubal and the Tigers today. Roll with the White Sox Friday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -116

The Atlanta Braves will be highly motivated for a victory today after blowing late leads to the Phillies each of the last two days in walk off fashion. Now they take on the lowly Miami Marlins in Game 1 of this series Friday.

The Braves have the advantage on the mound behind Charlie Morton, who is better than his season long stats suggest. Morton is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.072 WHIP in four road starts this season. He is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last four starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 23 innings.

Sandy Alcantara is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers today due to his 3.30 ERA in 13 starts this season. But Alcantara is 5.84 ERA in his last two starts against the Braves, allowing 8 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings.

The Braves are 38-15 in the last 53 meetings. Atlanta is 59-28 in its last 87 meetings in Miami. Take the Braves Friday.

20* Suns/Nuggets ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 223.5

I cashed in the UNDER 223 in Game 2 by the narrowest of margins. But that was a dead nuts UNDER until the backups got in in the 4th quarter.

It was 52-42 Phoenix at halftime for 94 combined points. Then they went off for 127 points in the 2nd half, including 68 in the 4th quarter when the backups were in and there was no defense being played.

Game 3 is expected to be close with the Nuggets currently 1.5-point favorites. The defensive intensity should be high for four quarters, thus giving us an easy winner on the UNDER. 

The Suns are an elite defensive team and the Nuggets are struggling to find offense outside Nikola Jokic. And after two huge offensive performances by the Suns, I have to think the Nuggets will improve defensively in Game 3 with their season on the line at home.

Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Phoenix) after four or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 51-19 (72.9%) over the last five seasons.

Plays on the UNDER on road teams where the total is 220 or higher (Phoenix) - a well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 37-12 (75.5%) over the last five seasons. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.