Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Houston Astros -102

The Houston Astros are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored 8 runs or more in four straight games.  They rank 1st in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 2nd in OPS in all of baseball this season.

Ace Zack Greinke will likely shut down the San Francisco Giants today. He is 10-3 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including a perfect 5-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.850 WHIP in nine road starts.

Greinke owns the Giants, going 14-3 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.027 WHIP in 21 career starts against them. He'll be opposed by Alex Wood, who has posted a 3.65 ERA in 17 starts this season and will have a hard time containing this potent Houston lineup.

The Astros are 37-16 in their last 53 games overall. Houston is 14-5 in its last 19 road games. The Astros are 8-1 in the last nine meetings, including 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Francisco. Bet the Astros Saturday.

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15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers -101

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 41-32 in their last 73 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 10-5 in their last 15 games overall while outscoring the opposition 94-63 in the process.

The Tigers should stay hot at the plate tonight against John Means, who is 0-2 with an 8.02 ERA in his last three starts overall while allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 1/3 innings.

Matt Manning has been at his best at home this season for the Tigers. He is 2-0 with a 3.14 ERA in his three home starts this season. Means is 0-1 with a 4.63 ERA in two career starts against Detroit.

The Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games. The Orioles are 21-50 in their last 71 games overall. Baltimore is 8-23 in its last 31 games as a road favorite. Wrong team favored here. Roll with the Tigers Saturday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays have just the type of offense that I'm willing to back them on the Run Line.  They rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS in all of baseball this season.

The Blue Jays should feast on Kansas City's Mike Minor tonight.  Minor is 8-8 with a 5.32 ERA in 21 starts this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss to Toronto in his lone start against them in 2021.

Alek Manoah makes his return from injury here and looks to pick up right where he left off.  Manoah has gone 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in eight starts this season with 52 K's in 40 1/3 innings.  He has been at his best at home, going 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in three home starts.

Kansas City is 22-55 in its last 77 games with a total of 10 or higher.  The Royals are 20-47 in their last 67 games as road underdogs.  Kansas City is 18-38 in its last 56 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Toronto is 36-16 in its last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Blue Jays are 42-17 in their last 59 home meetings with the Royals.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line.

20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston Red Sox +101

The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a win Saturday after dropping two straight coming in, including Game 1 of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays.  They should not be underdogs here with the big advantage they have on the mound.

Nathan Eovaldi is Boston's ace at 9-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Eovaldi has allowed just 2 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.  He beat them 9-2 while allowing just one earned run in 7 innings in his lone start against them in 2021.

Ryan Yarbrough is one of the weak links in Tampa Bay's staff.  He is 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 5.31 ERA in seven home starts.  Yarbrough is 1-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in six career starts against Boston as well.  He allowed 9 runs, 6 earned, in 5 innings of a 2-9 loss opposite Eovaldi in his lone start against Boston in 2021.

Boston is 29-13 in its last 42 vs. AL East opponents.  The Red Sox are 44-22 in night games this season.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.