Jim Feist
Jim Feist
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
I'll be looking at the Phoneix Suns to win and cover the small number in the early NBA game this Saturday against the Orlando Magic. The Suns are a small home-favorite spot (around Suns -2 or -2.5), so they do not need to win by a big margin to cash. The biggest edge is Orlando’s availability, with Franz Wagner out, which removes a major scorer and playmaker and lowers the Magic’s offensive ceiling on the road. If Jalen Suggs is limited or unable to go, that puts even more pressure on Orlando’s backcourt and hurts their perimeter defense. Even with Phoenix dealing with its own injuries, the market is still pricing the Suns as the favorite at home, which suggests there is enough respect for their remaining scoring and matchup edge. In a game like this, home court, urgency, and late-game shot-making usually matter, and if Orlando has one of its usual scoring droughts without a full lineup, Phoenix is in a good position to win by enough to cover a short number. Phoenix’s urgency is high in a tight West race, and recent coverage notes they are trying to stabilize after roster/injury disruption, which can lead to a strong bounce-back effort at home. Take the Suns here on Saturday.
Jim's Play: 540. Suns
Syracuse has value as an upset pick today because SU plays well at home and UNC has not played well on the road this season. North Carolina is just 3-5 away from Chapel Hill. Syracuse is 12-4 at the JMA Wireless Dome and home court matters in games that are as close to pick’ems as UNC -1.5 to -2.5 (effectively a one possession spread).
First and foremost, UNC is missing key pieces in its frontcourt. Multiple outlets are listing Caleb Wilson as out (broken hand) and Henri Veesaar as questionable. Those two combined for most of Carolina’s points against the Orange in an 87-77 UNC victory last month. This version of UNC likely doesn’t have the offense to overcome SU’s bench should Syracuse play well.
Speaking of SU’s bench, Syracuse has the obvious motivation to win this game after losing by 10 points in Chapel Hill. Donnie Freeman went off for 23 points against UNC but he cannot do it by himself. Moreover, draft odd has shown Syracuse can play with and beat UNC at home. The Orange have had extended hot stretches at home this season highlighted by some quality wins. Defensively, Syracuse simply plays with more energy in the Dome. If the Orange force Carolina into a half court game and don’t allow the easy UNC transition buckets, Syracuse has the offensive firepower to make shots down the stretch.
Jim's Play: Take: 626. Syracuse
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Jim Feist is the recognized leader in the sports information and sports gaming industry. For more than 30 years his acclaim has become unparalleled, with numerous wins in prestigious handicapping contests. His other endeavors include websites that provide sports information worldwide. Feist is the principal panelist on PRO LINE, America's premier handicapping television show on the USA Cable Network. Year in, year out, Jim sets the standard for all other handicappers to gauge their own success. Experience, knowledge, and a limitless number of contacts and sources throughout the country make Jim the undisputed champion in sports handicapping. For sports information there's only one person to turn to: Jim Feist.
