Jimmy Boyd
Jimmy Boyd
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
All Sports Sides (+24420) 4775-4310 L9085 53%
MLB Money Lines (+15067) 1039-926 L1965 53%
Picks (+5306) 306-249 L555 55%
WNBA Picks (+4260) 256-196 L452 57%
Football Sides (+3182) 804-710 L1514 53%
NCAA-B Sides (+2627) 1219-1092 L2311 53%
Top NCAA-F Sides (+2435) 214-175 L389 55%
NFL Sides (+2256) 182-145 L327 56%
CFL Sides (+2174) 49-26 L75 65%
NBA Totals (+1907) 543-484 L1027 53%
Soccer Picks (+1594) 56-43 L99 57%
NFLX Picks (+1243) 66-49 L115 57%
Fighting Picks (+962) 40-29 L69 58%
Top Basketball Totals (+902) 248-220 L468 53%
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The WNBA playoffs are one of the softest betting markets out there — but most bettors either ignore it or get crushed chasing headlines and star names. The books know the public isn’t paying attention, and that’s exactly where the biggest edges can be found.
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**4x Top 10 CFB handicapper!**
College football is one of the most exciting sports to bet, but it’s also one of the hardest to win long-term. With 100+ teams in action every week, crazy line moves, and unpredictable upsets, most bettors burn through their bankroll by midseason.
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The truth is most NBA bettors lose. The lines are sharp, the schedule is long, and bad beats stack up fast. If you’ve tried going it alone, you’ve probably seen your bankroll shrink instead of grow.
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The MLB regular season is a grind, and the playoffs are a whole different beast. Every pitch matters, every bullpen move is magnified, and the lines are tighter than ever. Casual bettors get eaten alive this time of year by chasing momentum, overreacting to headlines, and watching their bankrolls crumble.
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Football is king — and it’s also the hardest sport to beat. The lines are sharp, the markets are efficient, and casual bettors get buried chasing favorites and falling for public traps. Most bankrolls don’t survive the grind from September to February.
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The NFL is the toughest sport to beat. The lines are razor sharp, the public money is massive, and every Sunday the books tighten the screws even more. Most bettors get buried by bad lines, inflated favorites, and emotional decisions that kill their bankroll.
That’s where I separate myself. I’ve produced four documented Top-10 finishes in NFL handicapping on this site, proving year after year that my system delivers profits in the most competitive betting market in the world.
Here’s what you get with a full NFL season pass:
Every NFL pick I release from Week 1 through the Super Bowl — sides, totals, and top-rated best bets.
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Higher win rate over volume: more accurate plays, more consistent profits, and more growth for your bankroll.
Premium value: this isn’t about tossing out guesses. It’s about disciplined, data-driven plays that stack long-term profits.
*This subscription currently includes 2 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Free picks
1* Free Pick on 49ers/Seahawks: over 45½
These two offenses are combining for almost 57 points a game and the total sits at 45.5.
That gap is the whole bet.
The 49ers are 4-0 and scoring 30.5 a game.
Brock Purdy leads the league with 11 touchdown passes and hasn't taken a sack through four games.
When the quarterback is clean and protected, points follow.
The weapons are rolling too.
George Kittle has at least 70 receiving yards in three straight games.
Christian McCaffrey has 4 rushing touchdowns and 340 total yards.
Mike Evans is active after clearing the injury report.
Seattle is scoring 26.25 a game and has hit 30 or more in three of four, including 30 on the Chargers last week.
Sam Darnold's offense isn't the run-heavy grinder people remember.
Now the real driver: San Francisco's defense is stripped down.
Nick Bosa is out.
DT James Thompson Jr. misses a third straight game.
Safety Marques Sigle is out.
Slot corner Upton Stout is questionable with an AC joint sprain and unlikely to go after one limited practice.
That's the pass rush and the secondary both compromised on the road.
Recent results back the number too.
The 49ers' game with the Cardinals two weeks ago landed on 66.
Seattle's trip to Washington produced 64.
Both offenses keep finding themselves in games that clear this total with room.
Two healthy, efficient offenses.
One banged-up defense.
A total priced below what both teams have been producing all season.
I like the Over
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
3* HEAVY HITTER on Virginia -8½
Virginia at home has been a different animal this season.
The Cavaliers opened with a 34-8 win over NC State, blanked Norfolk State 59-3, and handled Delaware 42-3.
The one home blemish was a 38-27 loss to West Virginia.
That's 4 home games, 162 points scored, 52 allowed.
Last week's 38-7 loss at Florida State is the reason this number isn't double digits.
Good teams respond after getting embarrassed on the road, and Virginia gets to do it in front of its own crowd Saturday night.
The season numbers back the price.
Virginia is averaging 33.8 points a game while giving up just 18 through 5 games.
Syracuse is putting up 34.75 a game, but look at who did the scoring.
A 66-3 win over New Hampshire inflates that average.
Against real competition, the Orange have struggled.
They lost 27-13 at Pittsburgh and dropped a home game to Cal 21-18.
Last week they needed every point to escape UConn 42-41, surrendering 41 to a team Virginia would handle comfortably.
That UConn game is the tell.
Syracuse's defense is giving up 23 a game this season, and that's with the New Hampshire cupcake baked in.
This is also a program coming off a 3-5 stretch last season where it allowed 31.25 points a game over those 8 games.
Syracuse hasn't beaten anyone that looks like this Virginia team at home.
Lay the points with the angry home favorite.
I like Virginia
3* HEAVY HITTER on Northern Illinois +7½
This play is about the price, not the team.
Air Force is 3-1 this season, but look at how those games have actually gone.
The Falcons beat Nevada 36-33 on the road.
They beat Navy 14-9 at home.
They lost 38-32 at home to North Dakota State, an FCS program.
The only comfortable win was 34-0 over Duquesne, another FCS team.
So against FBS competition this year, Air Force's margins are 3 points and 5 points.
That's it.
Now the books want you to lay 7.5 with them on the road in DeKalb.
The resume doesn't support the number.
Air Force is averaging 29 points a game while allowing 20 this season.
Solid, but not the profile of a team that blows people out.
The option offense grinds clock and shortens games.
Fewer possessions means fewer chances to pull away, and that structure keeps bad teams inside a touchdown all the time.
Northern Illinois has been ugly, no argument.
The Huskies are 0-4 and averaging just 13.75 points a game.
But the schedule explains a lot of that: road trips to Iowa, Arizona, and Georgia State.
This is their first home FBS game of the year, off a bye since September 26, with two weeks to prepare for the option.
Extra prep time against Air Force's offense matters more than it does against anyone else on the schedule.
I'm not asking NIU to win.
I'm asking a one-score team to stay within one score, which is exactly what Air Force's own results say happens against FBS opponents.
I like Northern Illinois
3* HEAVY HITTER on North Dakota State/UNLV: under 49½
North Dakota State's defense is the story here.
The Bison are 5-0 and giving up just 9.8 points a game through five games this season.
That number isn't built on cupcakes alone.
Last week they shut out Wyoming 28-0.
That's an FBS program held to nothing.
They also blanked Fordham 38-0 and held Jacksonville State to 7.
Four of NDSU's five games have landed under this total.
The lone exception was the 38-32 shootout at Air Force, and that's the outlier in the profile, not the norm.
UNLV's offense is the other half of this.
The Rebels are averaging 25 points a game, but the week-to-week swings are the real tell.
They scored 6 at North Texas, 21 against Memphis, and 21 at Hawai'i.
Three of their five games this season produced single-score or near-single-score outputs.
Now they draw the best defense they've seen all year.
UNLV just put up 39 on California, but that Cal defense is nothing like what the Bison bring to town.
NDSU travels well, plays physical, and controls tempo on the ground, which shortens games and kills possessions.
UNLV's defense is allowing 23.6 a game, so the Rebels can get stops when the offense sputters.
If this turns into a field-position grind, and NDSU's style points that way, 50 combined points is a reach.
The market is pricing UNLV's home scoring pop and the FBS vs FCS label.
The tape says the FCS team has the better defense on the field Saturday.
I like the Under
5* CFB TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Georgia/Alabama: under 53
Georgia is 5-0 and averaging 51.4 points a game, but look at who built those numbers.
Tennessee State got beat 63-3.
Western Kentucky gave up 70.
Arkansas lost 45-17.
Alabama is the same story at 49.6 a game.
East Carolina, Kentucky, and a Mississippi State team that allowed 56 last week padded that average.
Neither offense has faced a defense remotely close to what's across the field here.
Georgia's defense is the real headline.
The Bulldogs rank 1st in SP+ defense and are allowing 13.4 points a game.
Oklahoma managed 13 in Athens.
Vanderbilt got 14 last week.
Alabama checks in 13th in SP+ defense.
That's a sharp jump in class from anything Georgia's offense has handled through 5 games.
There's an injury angle working for the under too.
Kirby Smart on receiver Thomas Blackshear: "He has an upper body injury." Blackshear is Georgia's second receiver to go down, and Smart gave nothing else.
A thinner passing game on the road usually means more runs and a shorter clock.
Then there's the nature of the spot.
Top-10 SEC matchups in Tuscaloosa tighten up.
Both staffs lean on field position, possessions shrink, and the chunk plays that fattened these scoring averages dry up against real talent.
53 is a number set off two misleading box scores.
When the schedule finally bites back, I'm siding with the defenses.
I like the Under
SERVICE BIO
Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.
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