Jimmy Boyd
Jimmy Boyd
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
All Sports Sides (+24533) 4674-4208 L8882 53%
MLB Money Lines (+15807) 999-877 L1876 53%
PGA Picks (+5306) 306-249 L555 55%
WNBA Picks (+4874) 232-168 L400 58%
Football Sides (+2677) 778-690 L1468 53%
NCAA-B Sides (+2627) 1219-1092 L2311 53%
Top NCAA-F Sides (+2545) 207-167 L374 55%
NBA Totals (+1907) 543-484 L1027 53%
CFL Picks (+1859) 40-20 L60 67%
NFL Sides (+1616) 169-139 L308 55%
Soccer Picks (+1594) 56-43 L99 57%
NFLX Picks (+1242) 61-44 L105 58%
Fighting Picks (+962) 40-29 L69 58%
Top Basketball Totals (+902) 248-220 L468 53%
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**5x Top 10 WNBA handicapper!**
The WNBA playoffs are one of the softest betting markets out there — but most bettors either ignore it or get crushed chasing headlines and star names. The books know the public isn’t paying attention, and that’s exactly where the biggest edges can be found.
I’ve proven time and again that I know how to capitalize. With five documented Top-10 finishes in WNBA handicapping on this site, I’ve built a long-term track record of beating the books in a market where few handicappers can win consistently.
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College basketball is a grind. Hundreds of teams, daily action, and unpredictable upsets make it nearly impossible for casual bettors to win long term. The books thrive on that chaos — and most players end up watching their bankroll slowly disappear.
That’s where I deliver. With six documented Top-10 finishes in CBB handicapping on this very site, I’ve proven season after season that I can cut through the noise and find consistent edges. My clients don’t just survive the college hoops season — they build their bankrolls while everyone else struggles.
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**#1 RATED BASKETBALL HANDICAPPER (TWICE)**!
College hoops and the NBA are two of the most profitable markets — if you know what you’re doing. The problem is, most bettors get buried by the volume of games, constant line moves, and emotional swings. They spread themselves too thin, and their bankroll doesn’t survive until March.
That’s where I deliver. I’ve landed six documented Top-10 finishes in CBB and six in the NBA on this site — a proven track record of beating the books in both sports year after year. Very few handicappers can match that level of consistency across the board.
Here’s what you get with this combo pass:
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The truth is most NBA bettors lose. The lines are sharp, the schedule is long, and bad beats stack up fast. If you’ve tried going it alone, you’ve probably seen your bankroll shrink instead of grow.
That’s why you need to ride with someone who has done it year after year. I’m not just another handicapper throwing darts — I’ve landed six Top-10 finishes in NBA handicapping on this very site. That’s a documented track record of producing more profits than almost anyone else in the industry.
Here’s what you get with my full NBA season pass:
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**6x Top 10 MLB handicapper!**
The MLB regular season is a grind, and the playoffs are a whole different beast. Every pitch matters, every bullpen move is magnified, and the lines are tighter than ever. Casual bettors get eaten alive this time of year by chasing momentum, overreacting to headlines, and watching their bankrolls crumble.
That’s where I thrive. My edge gets even sharper in the postseason because I know how to read matchups, rotations, and pressure situations that the sportsbooks can’t fully account for. When the public is betting with emotion, I’m betting with data, and that’s why my clients make money when it matters most.
Here’s what you’ll get with this subscription:
Every MLB pick I release — sides, totals, and premium-rated best bets.
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Free picks
1* Free Pick on Yankees -160
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
3* HEAVY HITTER on Fever -6½
Indiana is the better team and the healthier team in this spot.
The Fever are 7-3 over their last 10 with a +5.3 net rating.
Toronto is 5-5 at -4.
The injury gap is the story.
Tempo guard Kiki Rice (12.7 PPG) and forward Nyara Sabally (12.4 PPG) are both out, which strips 25 points of production from the rotation.
That leaves Brittney Sykes and Marina Mabrey to carry the entire offense against the best defense they'll see this stretch.
Indiana's defensive rating sits at 100.6 over the last 10.
Toronto's defense is at 111.8.
That's an 11-point gap per 100 possessions, in a game projected to run at roughly 98 pace.
The math gets ugly for the visitors fast.
The Fever also have the rest edge, 3 days to Toronto's 2, and they're at home where they've been rolling.
The opposition case is real: Indiana coughs the ball up at a 21% clip versus Toronto's 16%, and Sykes (20.7 PPG) plus Mabrey (17.9 PPG) can hang points in a hurry.
That's the path to a backdoor cover.
But turnover-prone offenses still win comfortably when the defensive gap is this wide, and Toronto doesn't have the secondary scoring to exploit extra possessions without Rice and Sabally.
Caitlin Clark is day-to-day with the back, but Kelsey Mitchell (20.3 PPG) and Aliyah Boston (17 PPG) are more than enough firepower against this shorthanded Tempo group.
The number should be closer to 8.
I like the Fever
4* VEGAS INSIDER on Cardinals -107
St.
Louis is 39-31 and getting Padres righty Michael King at a price that doesn't reflect what's under the hood.
King's 3.46 ERA looks the part.
His 4.48 xERA tells a different story.
That's more than a full run of regression sitting in his profile, and his .213 BAA jumps to a .245 xBA when you strip the luck out.
His xwOBA of .330 against an actual .297 says the same thing from a different angle.
The recent starts back it up.
King has gone four straight without a decision, and three of those five outings featured 3-plus earned runs.
The 7-inning shutout of the Dodgers is the outlier, not the baseline.
Meanwhile Cardinals righty Andre Pallante has quietly been the steadier arm.
He's allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five, including 6 innings of 2-run ball against the Mets and 5.2 of 1-run ball against Texas.
His 3.80 xERA actually matches his 3.88 ERA.
No regression hiding there.
I hear the opposition argument: King has the better surface stats and the bigger name in the lineup behind him.
Fair.
But the Padres are running out a lineup missing Cronenworth, Campusano, Fermin, and Andujar, with Samad Taylor and Jase Bowen filling holes.
That's not a +160 offense anymore.
That's a banged-up group facing a pitcher who's actually been better than his ERA, not worse.
At -107 on the better real pitcher and the healthier lineup, I'll take the home dog price all day.
I like the Cardinals
4* VEGAS INSIDER on Mets/Reds: over 9
Great American Ball Park is one of the friendliest hitter venues in the league, and both arms toeing the rubber tonight have profiles that bleed runs.
Mets starter Kodai Senga carries a 9.00 ERA across his five 2026 starts, and even the regression-friendly read isn't pretty: a 4.76 xERA.247 xBA, and .417 wOBA against.
He's failed to reach the 4th inning in three of five starts and has walked at least 2 hitters in every appearance.
This is also his first MLB start since April 26, returning from a lumbar and ulnar nerve issue.
Rust plus shaky command plus a quick hook equals early bullpen work in a small park.
Reds starter Brady Singer is the other side of the same coin.
A 5.61 ERA backed by a 5.80 xERA and a .512 xSLG allowed.
Hitters are slashing .311 against him on the season.
The opposition's best point is that Senga's xERA hints at positive regression and that Singer has allowed just 3 earned over his last 10 innings.
Fair, but those last two Singer starts came in San Diego and St.
Louis, two of the more pitcher-friendly parks in the league.
Great American is a different animal, and the underlying .285 xBA and .369 xwOBA he's allowing all year haven't budged.
The Mets are down Lindor and Polanco, but Juan Soto, Bo Bichette, and Marcus Semien against a 5.80 xERA arm in this park still plays.
The market moved the total to 9.5 at some books for a reason.
I like the Over
5* NO BRAINER on Twins +130
Getting +130 on the Twins against a Kumar Rocker line that's masking real trouble is the kind of price I'll take all day.
Start with the pitching.
Rangers starter Kumar Rocker has a shiny 3.56 ERA, but his xERA is 4.70 and his xSLG is .421 against a .356 actual SLG.
That's a pitcher living on results his contact profile doesn't support.
The regression candle is lit.
Twins starter Zebby Matthews is the opposite story.
His ERA is 5.20, but his xERA is 3.77 and his xwOBA is .305 against a .334 actual wOBA.
The underlying stuff is nearly a full run better than Rocker's.
I'll address the obvious pushback.
Yes, Matthews got tagged for 7 earned runs on 9 hits at Detroit on June 11.
That was his second blow-up in a month, and it's the reason this price exists.
But in his other four recent starts he's gone 6, 7, 6, and 6 innings with 2 or 3 earned runs allowed in each.
One bad line in a sample doesn't override 150 plate appearances of Statcast data telling me he's a sub-4 ERA arm.
The Rangers lineup is also not the version the market remembers.
Corey Seager is on the 7-day IL with a concussion, Evan Carter is out, and Danny Jansen is out.
Joc Pederson leading off against a righty is fine.
It's not the lineup the closing number is priced against.
Underdog with the better expected pitcher and a banged-up opposing lineup.
That's the bet.
I like the Twins
SERVICE BIO
Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.
No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays.
Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle.
Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board.
Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner.
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