Jimmy Boyd
Jimmy Boyd
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
All Sports Sides (+23534) 4739-4281 L9020 53%
MLB Money Lines (+15157) 1029-913 L1942 53%
Picks (+5306) 306-249 L555 55%
WNBA Picks (+4586) 252-189 L441 57%
Top Football Sides (+2681) 285-237 L522 55%
NCAA-B Sides (+2627) 1219-1092 L2311 53%
Top NCAA-F Sides (+2483) 209-170 L379 55%
CFL Sides (+2174) 49-26 L75 65%
NBA Totals (+1907) 543-484 L1027 53%
NFL Sides (+1806) 172-140 L312 55%
Soccer Picks (+1594) 56-43 L99 57%
NFLX Picks (+1243) 66-49 L115 57%
Fighting Picks (+962) 40-29 L69 58%
Top Basketball Totals (+902) 248-220 L468 53%
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**5x Top 10 WNBA handicapper!**
The WNBA playoffs are one of the softest betting markets out there — but most bettors either ignore it or get crushed chasing headlines and star names. The books know the public isn’t paying attention, and that’s exactly where the biggest edges can be found.
I’ve proven time and again that I know how to capitalize. With five documented Top-10 finishes in WNBA handicapping on this site, I’ve built a long-term track record of beating the books in a market where few handicappers can win consistently.
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**4x Top 10 CFB handicapper!**
College football is one of the most exciting sports to bet, but it’s also one of the hardest to win long-term. With 100+ teams in action every week, crazy line moves, and unpredictable upsets, most bettors burn through their bankroll by midseason.
That’s where I step in. I’ve earned four documented Top-10 finishes in CFB handicapping on this site, proving that I can consistently beat the books in one of the toughest betting markets out there.
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**6x Top 10 MLB handicapper!**
The MLB regular season is a grind, and the playoffs are a whole different beast. Every pitch matters, every bullpen move is magnified, and the lines are tighter than ever. Casual bettors get eaten alive this time of year by chasing momentum, overreacting to headlines, and watching their bankrolls crumble.
That’s where I thrive. My edge gets even sharper in the postseason because I know how to read matchups, rotations, and pressure situations that the sportsbooks can’t fully account for. When the public is betting with emotion, I’m betting with data, and that’s why my clients make money when it matters most.
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Football is king — and it’s also the hardest sport to beat. The lines are sharp, the markets are efficient, and casual bettors get buried chasing favorites and falling for public traps. Most bankrolls don’t survive the grind from September to February.
That’s where I deliver. With multiple documented Top-10 finishes in both the NFL (4) and college football, I’ve proven year after year that I can consistently beat the books in the toughest markets. Very few handicappers can show that kind of track record across both sports.
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Every NFL and CFB pick I release all season long — from Week 0 of college through the Super Bowl.
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*This subscription currently includes 3 picks (2 NCAA-F, 1 NFL) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
**4x Top 10 NFL handicapper!**
The NFL is the toughest sport to beat. The lines are razor sharp, the public money is massive, and every Sunday the books tighten the screws even more. Most bettors get buried by bad lines, inflated favorites, and emotional decisions that kill their bankroll.
That’s where I separate myself. I’ve produced four documented Top-10 finishes in NFL handicapping on this site, proving year after year that my system delivers profits in the most competitive betting market in the world.
Here’s what you get with a full NFL season pass:
Every NFL pick I release from Week 1 through the Super Bowl — sides, totals, and top-rated best bets.
Proven track record: four Top-10 finishes show I consistently beat the books where most bettors fail.
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Premium value: this isn’t about tossing out guesses. It’s about disciplined, data-driven plays that stack long-term profits.
*This subscription currently includes 1 NFL pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Free picks
1* Free Pick on Raiders +7
The Chargers opened as double-digit home favorites against Arizona last week and lost 26-14.
Now the market is asking them to win by more than a touchdown against a better opponent.
That's a price I'll take.
Both teams have played 1 game this season, so this is about the matchup and the number, not streaks.
And the Week 1 tape favors Vegas.
The Raiders posted 5 sacks against Miami, tied for the NFL lead, with Kwity Paye getting 2 and Maxx Crosby adding 1.5.
Justin Herbert was sacked 3 times by Arizona and threw a pick.
That pass rush against that protection is the core of this play.
Herbert's weapons are thinning out too.
Ladd McConkey is questionable with a rib injury, and KeAndre Lambert-Smith landed on injured reserve.
If McConkey sits or plays limited, this offense runs through Quentin Johnston, who caught 2 of 6 targets last week.
On the other side, Ashton Jeanty went 23 for 102 on the ground and added 6 catches for 45 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He controls tempo and keeps this game short.
The fair knock on Vegas is Kirk Cousins.
Two interceptions and 160 passing yards in Week 1 is real, and he'll give one away here too.
But I don't need Cousins to win the game.
I need Jeanty and that front seven to keep it inside a touchdown, and the Raiders held Miami to 13 points and 259 total yards doing exactly that.
Getting the full 7 covers the most common margin in football.
That's line value.
I like the Raiders
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
4* VEGAS INSIDER on Mystics/Sky: under 166
This total is built on numbers that no longer match the rosters taking the floor.
Start with Chicago.
The Sky are without Rickea Jackson (18 PPG) for the season and Skylar Diggins (14.2 PPG) has been shut down.
That's their two best perimeter scorers gone.
What's left is an offense posting a 99.4 offensive rating over the last 10 games.
They're shooting 43% from the floor and 31% from three.
Natasha Cloud is day-to-day on top of it, and with Chicago out of playoff contention there's no incentive to push her.
Washington isn't whole either.
Sonia Citron is out, and she's the leading scorer at 16.8 points in 33.2 minutes a night.
Georgia Amoore is questionable behind her.
The Mystics' 86.5 PPG over the last 10 was built with Citron on the floor.
The pace argument is the best case for the over.
Chicago has played at a 99.48 pace, and more possessions usually means more points.
But possessions only inflate a total when teams convert them.
A 31% three-point shooting team running fast just produces more empty trips, and Washington turns it over on 19% of possessions, which kills transition rhythm anyway.
Both clubs are also coming off roughly three weeks without a game, 20 days rest for Washington and 19 for Chicago.
Long layoffs tend to show up first in shooting touch and offensive timing.
Depleted scoring on both sides, a bad shooting team at home, and rust off the break.
The number is too high.
I like the Under
5* NO BRAINER on Tigers +116
This pick starts with the pitcher Detroit gets to face.
White Sox starter Erick Fedde carries a 3.97 ERA, but the underlying numbers say he's been fortunate.
His xERA sits at 4.67 with a .442 xSLG and .331 xwOBA over 572 plate appearances.
That's a pitcher giving up real damage on contact.
Fedde also can't work deep.
He hasn't finished the 6th inning in any of his last five starts, going 5, 5, 5, 4.1 and 4 innings.
That means the Chicago bullpen gets exposed early every time he takes the ball.
Tigers starter Framber Valdez is the other side of that coin.
He's thrown 13 straight scoreless innings, blanking Cleveland over 7 on September 5 and Colorado over 6 on September 11.
He's gone at least 6 innings in four of his last five starts.
The fair pushback: Valdez has his own regression flag with a 4.42 xERA against a 4.01 ERA.
I don't dismiss it.
But his gap is smaller than Fedde's, and his .390 xSLG allowed shows he's suppressing hard contact far better than the guy in the other dugout.
If both pitchers regress to their expected numbers, Detroit still holds the edge.
Yes, the Tigers are banged up, with Kerry Carpenter on the 10-day IL and several outfielders out long term.
That's real, and it's exactly why this line is +116 instead of a coin flip.
A 77-75 White Sox team laying juice behind a five-inning starter with a 4.67 xERA is the wrong side.
Take the plus money and the stamina edge.
I like the Tigers
5* NO BRAINER on Syracuse +10
Ten points is a lot of cushion when the favorite just scored 12 in a 12-7 win over UCF.
That's the whole angle here.
You don't lay double digits with an offense that can stall out like that, especially on a short Thursday turnaround.
Let me address the obvious counter.
SP+ likes Pitt a lot more, 36th overall at 10 versus Syracuse at 67th with a 1.7 rating.
Fair.
But we're 2 games into the 2026 season, so those ratings are still projections leaning on last year's inputs, not this year's results.
And even if the gap is real, SP+ measures who wins, not who covers 10 in a game trending toward the low 20s.
Both defenses have shown up early.
Pitt is allowing 10.5 a game through 2 contests.
Syracuse is allowing 12.
When both units are getting stops, margins compress, and compressed margins are where big underdog numbers cash.
Syracuse quarterback Steve Angeli threw 3 interceptions in the 21-18 loss to Cal, and the Orange still only lost by 3.
That's the floor.
Clean that up even partially and this stays inside the number.
Syracuse also holds the special teams edge, 0.4 to 0.1 in SP+.
In a field position fight, that matters more than usual.
Pitt has owned this series at home, and I respect that.
But home dominance doesn't score points, and this Pitt offense just proved it can go quiet for four quarters.
Give me the touchdown and change.
I like the Syracuse
5* NO BRAINER on Bills -3
The Lions are walking into a rough spot.
They needed overtime to beat the Saints 31-30 at home Sunday, and now they have to fly to Buffalo on 4 days' rest with an offensive line held together with tape.
Guard Christian Mahogany left Week 1 with what may be a hip injury and Dan Campbell admitted he isn't out of the woods.
Tackle Blake Miller and guard Juice Scruggs are also questionable.
On a short week, questionable usually means out or compromised.
Buffalo looked sharp in the opener.
The Bills went into Houston and won 36-31, with Josh Allen accounting for 4 total touchdowns and leading a 96-yard game-winning drive in the final 2 minutes.
The passing game has new layers too.
Dalton Kincaid went for 130 receiving yards and DJ Moore drew a team-high 8 targets in his Buffalo debut.
Lions corner D.J.
Reed is questionable, which makes covering all that even harder.
The case against Buffalo is real: they gave up 31 to the Texans, and Detroit hung 31 on New Orleans behind Jahmyr Gibbs' 156 rushing yards.
But the Lions' defense logged an extended overtime workload Sunday and now faces the league's toughest quarterback on the road 4 days later.
Tired legs against Allen is how blowouts happen.
The -115 juice at -3 tells you where the pressure is.
If Detroit's linemen get ruled out, this hits -3.5.
Getting the key number now is the value.
Home team, healthier roster, better quarterback, and a beat-up opponent on short rest.
I like the Bills
SERVICE BIO
Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.
No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays.
Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle.
Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board.
Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner.
All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates.
