Kyle Hunter

*3 Star Play Over* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has been absolutely dreadful all season long. Why do I want to bet the over in this game? They have played a bunch of games on neutral courts which lowers scoring. They also have played much better defenses than they will be playing in this game.

San Diego State hasn't gone up against a defense worse than 166th in the nation in defensive efficiency. All but one of their opponents has a defensive efficiency rank of #103 or better this year so far. What about Long Beach State's defense? They rank 303rd in the nation in defensive efficiency. San Diego State should see more of their shots drop against this terrible defense.

Long Beach State ranks 12th in the nation in tempo on the offensive end. The 49ers are putting up shots quickly. San Diego State likes to play quickly as well.

This is a very low total for a game that should be played at a quick pace.

Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have had a major pace change under new coach Ben Johnson. They are playing about 1.5 seconds per possession slower than they did a year ago under Richard Pitino. They also ranked 160th in effective field goal percentage defense last year. They rank 16th in that same statistic this year. 

Pittsburgh ranks 300th in overall tempo. The Panthers have had virtually no offense all season. How bad has it been? Pitt has scored 63 points or less in 5 of their 6 games this year. That's despite facing teams like The Citadel, UNC Wilmington, and Towson. 

Minnesota is the highest ranked defense Pitt has faced so far this season. Minnesota has played some really weak defenses this year, and I think the Golden Gophers offense will struggle this year without Marcus Carr, Gabe Kalschuer, and some other key contributors from last year.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* This Creighton Blue Jays team isn't very similar to the Creighton teams of the last couple seasons. They lack the long range shooters. The trio of Zegarowski, Mahoney, and Jefferson are all gone for the Blue Jays. 

Creighton also ranks 269th in turnover percentage on offense in the country. They ranked 28th last season. There are a lot more wasted possessions for this team.

The North Dakota State Bison rank 291st in tempo in the country. They'll try to slow this game down to a grind. Creighton has played noticeably slower this year than they did last year as well.

Take the under.