Matt Fargo

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. After winning the first two games of this series, the Pistons now have their backs against the wall as they have dropped the last three games including Game Five in overtime after blowing a 15-point lead and a late seven-point lead. The difference again were the whistles as Detroit was heavily outscored against at the free throw line and over the last two games, the Pistons have been outscored 61-27 as Cleveland has had a 72-32 edge in free throw attempts over these last two games. We thought the advantage in Game Four would either reverse or come back to the mean in Game Five but it clearly did not but we should not see such a big disparity here in Game Six. Detroit is 11-2 in its last 13 games after three consecutive spread losses while going 9-1 in its last 10 games after a home loss while Cleveland is 0-11 ATS in its last 11 games following a road divisional win. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off two consecutive losses against division rivals. This situation is 28-6 (82.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (523) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Padres came through for us on Wednesday as they hit a three-run home run in the ninth inning to secure a 3-1 win but San Diego could score yesterday as it lost 7-1 and also lost hold of first place in the National League West as they now trail the Dodgers by a half-game. Randy Vazquez had a rough first season in San Diego with a 4.87 ERA but bounced back last season with a 3.70 ERA in 26 starts and now this season he has a 3.05 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through eight starts that includes a couple below average starts at home and he has been excellent on the road with a 1.93 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in three starts. The Mariners took three of four in Houston to complete a 4-3 roadtrip and turn to Emerson Hancock who is having a great season but coming off a poor start and he has allowed six home runs over his last four starts. 10* (927) San Diego Padres

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Mets took out Detroit Thursday afternoon to complete their first sweep of the season and bring that momentum into the subway series where they took two of three here last year. Clay Holmes is getting overshadowed in this game by the other brand name starting pitcher but he is certainly holding his own with a 1.86 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in eight starts as he has not allowed more than two runs in any outing. Last season he had a great year with a 3.63 ERA in 31 starts which was No. 25 in baseball among qualified pitchers and he keeps the ball in the yard as he allowed only 14 home runs and has given up just three this season. Cam Schlittler is having a better season and is getting the notoriety and rightfully so but he will be overpriced all the time especially on this team and we fade when facing another elite starter. 10* (916) New York Mets 

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Cincinnati rolled over Washington 15-1 to avoid the three-game sweep and we were on the wrong side of that debacle and we will not back the Reds with that momentum in a value spot. Andrew Abbott is one of the young guns in this rotation and after posting a 2.87 ERA in 29 starts last season, he has a 4.47 ERA through nine starts this season. It is inflated due to one bad start against the Angels back in early April and take that out and his ERA drops to 3.32. He is on a streak of 16.2 innings without allowing a run. Cleveland is coming off a sweep of the Angels as the pitching held them to two runs in each game and they hope Tanner Bibee can keep it going as he has been great with a 2.46 ERA over his last five starts. He too has been hurt by just one bad start but we cannot overlook the fact Cleveland is 0-8 his last eight starts. 10* (913) Cincinnati Reds