MIKE LUNDIN'S NUGGETS @ CELTICS FREE PICK

The Boston Celtics have won five of their last six but have their work cut out for them Monday night as the Denver Nuggets, one of the best from the West, will pay a visit to TD Garden.

The Nuggets have allowed an average of just 102 ppg through a three-game winning streak and under is 10-1 in their last 11 overall. The Celtics are coming off four high-scoring contests as they've been beating up on teams with losing records, but under is 6-0 in Celtics last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 

Celtics' center Al Horford and forward Gordon Hayward both got banged up in Saturday's win over Atlanta. Horford (knee) is listed as probable while Hayward has been placed in the concussion protocol and is doubtful to play against Denver.

Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings, but note that under is 11-5 for Denver in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 220. I think this will be a relatively low-scoring contest. 

Free pick on UNDER. 

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The Portland Trail Blazers had won three straight prior to a 108-103 loss at San Antonio on Saturday. "I thought it was a really good basketball game," Portland coach Terry Stotts told reporters. "Both teams really defended hard, played hard, had good performances. I thought it was good effort on our part. ... It was disappointing to lose, though."

They are a solid 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. 

Here Portland will face a Pacers side that covered the spread in a 102-100 loss at Denver on Saturday, but it is still only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

The Blazers will be without starting shooting guard CJ McCollum (knee), but note that they're 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Pacers who haven't won in Portland since 2007.

8* play on Portland Trail Blazers. 

TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL 

The Golden State Warriors fell to Phoenix Suns on March 10 but have bounced back with a pair of wins at Houston and Oklahoma City Thunder while allowing an average of just 96 ppg.

"I think the loss to Phoenix opened our eyes a little bit," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "And I think our guys just felt threatened on the road. We've played two great teams, we've got another one, maybe the hottest team in the league in San Antonio coming up, so anytime they're threatened, I think our guys tend to play better."

Under is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10. and here they'll face a San Antonio team that has won eight straight games and held all but one of those opponents (Milwaukee) to fewer than 105 points. The Spurs lead the league in scoring defense during their winning streak, allowing just 99.8 points per 100 possessions.

The Warriors put a 141-102 beating on San Antonio last month, but you better believe Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will have his team better prepared defensively for this one. 

10* play on UNDER.