Rob Vinciletti

The College road warrior power system play is on  Tennessee ST. Game 801 at 8:30 Eastern. Solid line value here on  the drop as this one opened at 8.5. The Tigers are off back to back road wins and now travel to take on a Western Illinois team off to a slow start and a team they have beat by 18 and 20 last season. Tonight the Tigers fit a super 12-0 straight up and to the spread system that plays on road favorites between 2 and 11 that are off back to back road dog wins and have less than 19 days rest and are taking on a team with 7 or less days of rest that has a win percentage of .600 or less and is off a loss. Add in that the total must be more than 125. Western Illinois has failed to cover 8 of 10 as a home dog of more than 1. Look for Tennessee St to cover.

SU:12-0 

ATS: 12-0 

01/08/2026    Thu   2025    TENST    WILLI    away---4&4     -6.5    147.5

The NBA Road warrior is on Dallas. GAME 559 AT 8:10 Eastern. The Mavs have revenge here and  Catch Utah is a tough spot. The Jazz have no rest and are off a tough loss in overtime as a double digit dog vs OKC. Rob notes that when two teams both under .500 hook up and we have a road favorite with rest off a road favored win taking on a home dog with no rest that lost as a road dog last night. That road favorite has covered every time. With an average spread around 3.5 these road teams win by 15 points per game. The Jazz have failed to cover the last 5 at home with no rest off a road loss. Dallas has covered 5 of 6 as a road favorite vs an opponent with no rest. Move on the Mavericks tonight.

Thursday Card has the Bowl Play of the Year headlining along with a Top Soccer Play. NHL Comp play below

The NHL Comp play is on the Under in 5.5 goals in the NY. Islanders at Nashville game at 8:05 eastern. NY is off a 9-0 win over the NJ. Devils in their last game and Road teams off a home win that scored at least 8 goals and shutout their opponent have gone under all 6 times since 2007. These games average under 4 goals per game. NY has gone under in 9 of the last 10 on the road. Nashville is finally home after 7 game 2 week road trip. Look for this game to play under here tonight. GL Rob V-

 The SERIE A Slammer is on AC Milan rotation number 210342 at 2:45 eastern at -1 goals on the Asian Handicap. AC Milan is likely to find the net multiple times here at home against a Genoa team that struggles in the back field particularly on the road. Long term Milan has 41 wins and 7 losses at home in the series with 18 draws. More recently Milan is undefeated in the series over the last 9 matches. AC has 11 wins in their last 16 matches since an opening game loss to Cremonese. With the Quality and depth of this AC Milan squad they will not slip up at home here any likely take the spoils in a multiple goal win.

The Fiesta Bowl Play is on Miami Florida. Game 273 at 7:30 eastern. The Canes have the better defense here and have played a tougher schedule overall. They took out a pair of 1 loss teams in back to back games in Texas A@M and Ohio St. Next up is an Ole Miss team that is off a big revenge win over Georgia. Going back to 1980 Rob see that neutral field favorites like the Canes that allowed less than 17 points and less than 7 points in their last 2 games and are taking on a team off a dog win  are a perfect 5-0 straight up and to the spread since 1980 and win by an average 33-12 score despite a low 6.5 point line, which sets up a massive 14 point Z-FACTOR. The Miami defense will be the toughest Trinidad Chambliss will have faced. Beck for the Canes has big game experience and Ole Miss wont be any tougher than Ohio St was. SEC Teams are under.500 in bowl action and 0-3 vs ACC Teams this bowl season. Make it Miami